Wednesday, November13, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kill Devil Hills, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 4:59PM Wednesday November 13, 2019 7:57 PM EST (00:57 UTC) Moonrise 6:00PMMoonset 7:28AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ231 Croatan And Roanoke Sounds- 628 Pm Est Wed Nov 13 2019
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves a moderate chop.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A chance of showers.
Fri..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to choppy in the afternoon. Showers.
Fri night..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt after midnight. Waves rough, increasing to very rough after midnight. Rain likely.
Sat..NE winds 30 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Waves extremely rough. Rain likely.
Sat night..NE winds 30 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Waves extremely rough. Rain likely.
Sun..N winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt. Waves very rough, diminishing to rough. A chance of rain.
Mon..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to around 10 kt. Waves choppy, diminishing to light chop.
AMZ200 643 Pm Est Wed Nov 13 2019
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Strong northerly winds will ease up a bit through afternoon with an improvement in sea condition. However, moderately steep waves will continue overnight, affecting smaller vessels with dangerous seas. Low pressure developing just offshore late Thursday through Saturday will bring more strong winds and difficult seas, and winds may reach gale force at times this weekend, as a series of coastal lows impact the waters.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kill Devil Hills, NC
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location: 36.02, -75.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 132347
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
647 pm est Wed nov 13 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will continue to build into the area today and
persist through mid week. A strong coastal low will impact the
area this weekend.

Near term tonight
As of 650 pm wed... No significant changes needed to previous
forecast for update. Temps dropping quickly this evening with
clear skies and light winds inland. Some spots already below
freezing. High pressure will continue to ridge into the area
from the west tonight, with the low level gradient gradually
weakening below strong subsidence aloft. Inland areas are
expected to decouple under mainly clear skies, while light to
moderate northerly flow persists with more cloud cover closer to
the coast. Weak moisture transport will begin in the low
levels, but overall low levels will be too dry for any
significant fog threat, though pockets of shallow fog cannot be
ruled out mainly inland. Lows similar to Wednesday morning,
though lighter winds will make it feel several degrees warmer.

May see temps rise a few degrees along the coast early thu
morning as clouds increase.

Short term Thursday
As of 330 pm wed... Height falls begin aloft in response to
troughing digging across the mississippi valley, with high level
cirrus coverage increasing through the day. At the surface, an
inverted trough will strengthen just off the coast, with ridging
persisting inland. Moderate to breezy northerly winds prevail
as a moderate gradient remains between these two features. Low
level moisture will gradually trend upward through the day, and
scattered to broken strata-cu could develop by the afternoon
below persistent mid-level ridging. Showers will be confined to
near the coast in close proximity to the trough in the morning,
but could begin to spread inland by late in the afternoon. Temps
warmest near the coastal trough along the coast, where highs
will reach into the 60s. Cooler conditions expected for the
inner coastal plain, where persistent CAA will suppress highs to
the lower to mid 50s.

Long term Thursday night through Wednesday
As of 340 pm wed... An inverted trough will develop along the
coast Thursday night ahead of a coastal low pressure system that
will develop off the southeastern u.S. Coast Friday. The
coastal low will deepen on Saturday with impacts to the area
through the weekend. Another coastal low is possible Tuesday
into Tuesday night.

Thursday night through Friday... At the surface, an inverted
trough develops along the enc coast Thursday night while an
upper level trough digs south into the gulf coast states and
towards the carolinas on Friday, becoming closed-off from the
main flow aloft. Strong southerly warm air advection above the
inverted trough will help enhanced precip chances across the
area overnight into Friday morning. Continued trend of
increasing pops late Thursday night through Friday, with
categorical pops for most of enc Friday as the surface low
deepens off the coast. The will be a gradient in rainfall, from
around half an inch inland to 1.50 inches along the coast. Winds
become gusty from the northeast by late Friday, upwards of
20-25 mph, highest along coastal portions and the obx. Temps
will range low 50s inland to low 60s along the coast.

Friday night through Sunday... Friday's initial surface low will
shift east while a second surface low develops off the
southeastern u.S. Coast, deepening below 1010 mb off CAPE fear
late Friday night. The upper low shifts farther east over the
surface low, aiding in further deepening on Saturday, with
guidance continuing to suggest a sub-1000mb low passing a few
hundred miles off the nc coast during the day on Sunday.

Gradient winds around this low, especially Saturday afternoon
through Sunday, will be strong and lead to coastal flooding
issues across the area. See the coastal flooding section below
for details. At this time, high wind warnings appear likely for
downeast carteret and obx hyde and dare counties, with wind
advisories likely for the next tier of counties inland from the
coast. There will again be a gradient with rainfall across enc,
upwards of 2-4 inches along the coast to 1-2 inches for interior
portions. Temps will remain mild due to cloud cover precip,
highs in the 50s inland, 60s along the coast, lows near 40
inland with 50s along the coast outer banks.

Monday through Wednesday... The coastal low will gradually lift
northeast away from the region on Monday, while another
shortwave trough digs into the gulf states developing another
coastal low for Tuesday into Tuesday night. Latest guidances
indicates a much weaker low that the weekend system, and farther
offshore with a quicker movement away from the region.

Aviation 23z Wednesday through Monday
Short term through Thursday ...

as of 650 pm wed... Light northerly winds and clear skies
prevail through this evening. Winds decouple tonight, and even
though dry low levels will preclude any significant fog threat,
periods of very shallow fog at the terminals close to moisture
sources (kpgv and kewn) cannot be ruled out. Low level moisture
increases Thu as troughing develops along the coast, and
scattered low clouds could begin to develop below during the
afternoon and evening. Sub-vfr could develop after 18z, but
think will off until Thu night.

Long term Thursday night through Monday ...

as of 340 pm wed... Sub-VFR conditions expected Thursday night
through Friday. MVFR ceilings expected Friday night through
Sunday night due to low pressure developing off the coast, with
potential for ifr conditions for our more eastern sites ewn and
oaj. Low- level wind shear will also be a concern, especially
Saturday afternoon through Sunday night as a low pressure system
deepens offshore of eastern nc. Return toVFR on Monday as the
low moves northeast away from the area.

Marine
Short term through Thursday ...

as of 650 pm wed... Dropped SCA for pamlico sound. Scas continue
for the waters through late tonight and early Thursday.

Moderate northerly winds generally persist through Thursday as
ridging remains inland and a coastal inverted trough develops
offshore. Elevated seas will gradually diminish overnight, with
scas remaining in effect for the coastal waters into early
Thursday morning. 3-5 ft seas prevail Thursday in lingering
northeast windswell.

Long term Friday through Monday ...

as of 350 pm wed... Very active long term period with dangerous
conditions developing Saturday and continuing through Sunday
night. An invert trough will develop along the nc coast Thursday
night. A coastal low will develop offshore Friday, with a
second area of low pressure expected to deepen below 1000mb
Saturday afternoon through Sunday as it passes a few hundred
miles off the nc coast.

Winds will become northerly and slowly increase to gale force
Friday night with winds peaking Saturday. Seas will build late
Friday night into Saturday with seas peaking 15-25 feet Saturday
afternoon night. Marine conditions will be rough Sunday night
through Monday night as winds and seas remain elevated above
small craft advisory levels.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 7 pm wed... A complex low pressure system will impact
eastern nc Friday through the weekend. Persistent, strong
northerly winds could lead to moderate to potentially
significant coastal flooding along the soundside outer banks
mainly south of oregon inlet, downeast carteret county, the
lower neuse river, and southern shores of the albemarle sound
and alligator river. The most oceanside impacts, including beach
erosion and ocean overwash, are expected along the outer banks,
especially north of CAPE hatteras where portions of nc 12 could
become inundated and impassible at times. Please continue to
monitor the latest forecasts from the national weather service
on this developing weather situation.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 5 am est Thursday for amz152-154-
156-158.

Small craft advisory until 2 am est Thursday for amz150.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Cqd cb
short term... Cb
long term... Dag bm cb
aviation... Dag cqd bm cb
marine... Dag cqd bm cb
tides coastal flooding... Mhx


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 11 mi57 min NNE 12 G 16 40°F 59°F1028.9 hPa (-0.0)
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 12 mi57 min 63°F5 ft
FRFN7 12 mi177 min 5 ft
44086 15 mi32 min 64°F6 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 18 mi57 min 63°F5 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 18 mi63 min NNE 13 G 19 40°F 54°F1028.5 hPa
44095 27 mi41 min 64°F7 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC2 mi62 minN 010.00 miOvercast37°F26°F64%1028.8 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC7 mi62 minNE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy37°F25°F62%1029.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFFA

Wind History from FFA (wind in knots)
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N7--N5N6N3N5Calm
1 day agoS3S3S4SW5SW5SW8SW7SW8W5SW5--CalmCalmW6W3W5NW6N7N13
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2 days agoCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmSW3S4--Calm--CalmS3

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
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Wed -- 01:07 AM EST     0.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:26 AM EST     4.10 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:28 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 01:56 PM EST     0.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:59 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:45 PM EST     3.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.20.411.92.93.64.143.62.81.91.10.50.30.61.222.83.33.43.12.41.6

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:06 AM EST     0.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:36 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:22 AM EST     4.13 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:27 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 01:55 PM EST     0.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:59 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:41 PM EST     3.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.20.41.122.93.74.143.62.81.91.10.50.30.61.222.83.33.43.12.41.6

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.