Tuesday, October27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kill Devil Hills, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 6:15PM Tuesday October 27, 2020 12:19 PM EDT (16:19 UTC) Moonrise 3:44PMMoonset 2:30AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ231 Croatan And Roanoke Sounds- 930 Am Edt Tue Oct 27 2020
Rest of today..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop.
Tonight..E winds around 5 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves flat. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves flat, increasing to light chop in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves light chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves a moderate chop, increasing to rough in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers.
Thu night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves rough. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Fri..W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming n. Waves rough. A chance of showers.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt. Waves choppy, diminishing to a moderate chop.
AMZ200 1149 Am Edt Tue Oct 27 2020
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles.. Weak high pressure will maintain light winds and benign marine conditions through the middle of the week. A frontal system will affect the area late in the week, with small craft advisory conditions likely late Thursday into Friday, possibly persisting into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kill Devil Hills, NC
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location: 36.02, -75.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 271331 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 931 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will continue over the area through mid week. A complex frontal system and low pressure area will impact the area Thursday into Friday. Cool high pressure will build in Saturday into Sunday.

NEAR TERM /TODAY/. As of 930 AM Tuesday . High pressure will continue over the area through tonight. Dense Fog Adv continues for most of the area through 10 AM this morning, with widespread vsbys 1/4 mile. Expecting the fog and low clouds this morning to dissipate by 1030 this morning. This will be followed by partly sunny skies in the afternoon. Highs will be in the low to mid 70s.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 330 AM Tuesday . High pressure will continue over the area with dry conditions tonight. Clear skies and light winds will result in strong radiational cooling and the likely redevelopment of fog and low clouds beginning late this evening. Lows will be in the mid to upper 50s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 4 AM Tuesday . High pressure keeps settled weather conditions in place through mid week. A complex low pressure/frontal system will lift from the Gulf Coast and TN Valley then zoom across the eastern US, bringing unsettled weather Thursday into early Friday.

Wednesday . High pressure will continue across the area as a fairly strong upr ridge will reside over the swrn Atlantic keeping dry and warm conditions in place over ern NC. Continued above climo temps with highs in the mid 70s to around 80.

Thursday and Friday . Hurricane Zeta, which will make landfall on the central Gulf Coast late Wednesday, will move quickly through the interior Southeastern CONUS Thursday. The exact track of this system remains uncertain, but the overall expectation is increased deep moisture transport across the Southeast and a more warm/humid/unsettled period as the tropical system gets absorbed in a fast moving shortwave that will move quickly eastward. 27/00Z GFS has trended farther west more in line with the ECMWF/UKMET tracking NE through the southern Appalachians and VA keeping ENC dry until the main shortwave and cold front move through Thu night. Will limit PoPs to slt chc to low end chc for the day Thu and continue likely Thu night as the main shortwave and fropa push across the area. Instability will generally be limited across the area but strong frontal forcing could aid in transporting strong winds aloft to the surface which may bring a risk of damaging wind gusts late Thu night. Conditions improve drastically on Fri, with strong CAA and blustery nwrly winds bringing sharply colder temps.

Highs Thur will be very warm in the low 80s most locales with increasing swrly winds. Mild temps continue Thur night with lows in the 60s as swrly flow continues ahead of the front and fropa not expected until late. Highs Fri expected in the upper 60s well inland to mid 70s along the coast.

Saturday through Monday . Coolest airmass of the season on tap with aforementioned fropa and subsequent cool high pres building in. Highs will struggle towards 60 degrees many areas on Sat, with lows Sat night well down into the 40s. Temps moderate towards climo by Sun with highs 65-70. A northern stream shortwave and attendant cold front expected to push across the area Sunday night with reinforcing cool high pressure building back into the area Monday. Moisture will be limited with this system and only expect wdly sct showers with better chances near the coast. Temps cool back down Mon with high expected in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

AVIATION /13Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Short Term /Through Tonight/ . As of 620 AM Tuesday . Widespread fog and low clouds with LIFR conditions early this morning will dissipate by 10 AM followed by VFR conditions through early evening. Late this evening and overnight strong radiational cooling due to clear skies and light winds should result in the redevelopment of fog and low clouds and LIFR/IFR conditions.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 430 AM Tue . VFR conditions prevail most of the period. Will have typical threat of late night and early morn fog/stratus. By late Thur/Thur night wl start to see some shra develop ahead of next system with sub VFR poss at times. Gusty swrly winds expected to develop Thur and Thur night ahead of the front with gusty NW winds Fri as CAA ramps up behind the front.

MARINE. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 930 AM Tuesday . No changes to previous thinking. Latest obs show light N/NW winds 5-10 kt with seas 3-5 ft north of Oregon Inlet and 2-4 ft south. High pressure will continue over the waters through tonight with mainly light winds. Northerly winds 5-10 kt today will become light and variable tonight. 3-5 ft seas this morning will subside to 2-4 ft this afternoon and continue 2-4 ft tonight.

Long Term /Wednesday through Saturday/ . As of 445 AM Mon . High pressure dominates thru Wednesday, bringing more favorable marine conditions with general 5-10 kt winds and 3 to 4 ft seas. Strong cold front and low pressure system approach on Thu, with winds and seas increasing to SCA levels in strengthening swrly flow. Some gales possible ahead of the system Thu evening, and once again on back side of exiting low on Fri. Seas respond by building 6-12 ft and potentially higher Thur into Fri. Conditions gradually improve late Fri night into Sat with winds diminishing to 10-20 kt but seas will likely remain above SCA criteria through Sat, especially central and northern waters.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for NCZ029- 044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . JME/CQD SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . SK/TL AVIATION . JME/SK MARINE . JME/CQD/SK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 11 mi49 min WSW 4.1 G 6 62°F 1022.6 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 12 mi23 min 68°F3 ft
44086 15 mi36 min 69°F4 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 18 mi23 min 69°F4 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 18 mi49 min W 2.9 G 5.1 64°F 70°F1022.6 hPa
44095 27 mi23 min 69°F4 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC2 mi24 minN 010.00 miOvercast64°F62°F96%1022.3 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC7 mi24 minN 010.00 miOvercast63°F60°F93%1023 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFFA

Wind History from FFA (wind in knots)
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N6N6N3N5N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmNE7N3NE6NE3NE5CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3NE4CalmNW3N3N3NW4N4N8
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2 days agoW3SW4CalmSE3S3S3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:20 AM EDT     3.46 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:29 AM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:37 PM EDT     3.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:51 PM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.21.92.63.13.43.432.41.71.10.70.71.11.72.433.43.53.22.61.81.10.6

Tide / Current Tables for Jennetts Pier (ocean), North Carolina
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Jennetts Pier (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:16 AM EDT     3.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:28 AM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:33 PM EDT     3.52 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:50 PM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.21.92.63.23.53.432.41.710.70.71.11.72.53.13.53.53.22.61.81.10.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.