Kitty Hawk, NC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kitty Hawk, NC

June 18, 2024 2:46 PM EDT (18:46 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:45 AM   Sunset 8:26 PM
Moonrise 4:24 PM   Moonset 1:57 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ230 Albemarle Sound- 956 Am Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

Rest of today - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft this afternoon.

Tonight - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft.

Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.

Wed night - E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft.

Thu - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Thu night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Fri - S winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.

Fri night - SE winds around 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.

Sat - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.

Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft.

AMZ200 942 Am Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - Elongated high pressure off the new england coast will gradually shift south, moving to a more typical bermuda high location by the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kitty Hawk, NC
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Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 181743 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 143 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure dominates through Thursday resulting in dry and warm conditions. Coastal troughing may bring some showers to the region late in the week into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 1000 AM Tue...Prior forecast remains on track this morning. Mid-level ridge remains centered over eastern NC and surface high is centered off the northeast coast. Warm and dry conditions will prevail today with highs nearing 90 across the coastal plain and low to mid 80s along the beaches and OBX. With dew points in the low 60s and an easterly breeze, it will be quite pleasant. Those lower dew points will feel nice but they will also present increased fire weather concerns with minimum RHs around 35-40% across the inner coastal plain. See the Fire Weather section for details.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/
As of 3:30 AM Tuesday...Another pleasant evening is in store with lows ranging from the mid 60s across the inner coastal plain to low 70s along the OBX. Cloud cover will increase from east to west overnight as low level moisture increases.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 230 AM Tuesday...

- Watching the Southwest Atlantic through late-week

- Building heat and humidity likely (60-80% chance) this weekend into next week

- Increased storminess possible (30-50% chance) by next week

Synoptic Summary: An impressive mid-upper level ridge is forecast to remain anchored over the Eastern U.S. through the end of the week.
Over the weekend and into next week, the ridge is forecast to break down, or shift west, with upper level troughing returning to the Eastern U.S. At the SFC, a strong area of high pressure is forecast to remain over the Carolinas through mid-week. The high is then forecast to shift offshore by the weekend, with lee-troughing developing. A frontal boundary may try to sneak south into ENC early next week.

Wednesday-Thursday: Despite impressive ridging at the surface and aloft, an area of relatively lower low-level thicknesses are forecast to remain in place within the easterly onshore flow across the Carolinas through mid-week. This should keep temps close to normal, locally, with the more impressive heat remaining focused to our north across the Mid-Atlantic and New England. A moistening easterly flow may support coastal shower activity moving west off the Atlantic, especially Wednesday, but outside of weak WAA, there isn't much forcing, and I expect most areas will remain dry.

Friday-Saturday: Medium range guidance begin to differ during this time, especially with the evolution of the above-mentioned mid-upper level ridge. In general, the ridge is forecast to weaken, and potentially shift west. Initially, the ridge overhead should keep the tropical wave in the SW Atlantic on a westerly path through mid- week. Then, late in the week, the evolution of the ridge will help determine where the wave goes from there. The general consensus among deterministic and ensemble guidance has been a more southerly track with the wave, and weaker with any surface reflection. Of note, the westward-shifting ridge may actually slow the forward progress of the wave as it approaches the Southeast U.S. coast. Some ensemble members even bring what's left of the wave north as a weakness develops within the broader ridge aloft. The key message here is that we'll still keep an eye on the SW Atlantic, but guidance is trending towards something less noteworthy for now.

What is more certain during this time is the development of a moistening return flow as SFC high pressure shifts offshore. This is forecast to occur regardless of what happens with the above mentioned wave. Despite the moistening low-levels, a lack of appreciable forcing should keep the chance of showers/storms low.
With the increasing moisture will come increasing humidity, with a "feels like" temp approaching 100 degrees by Saturday.

Sunday-Tuesday: Both deterministic and ensemble guidance are showing a consistent signal for above normal temperatures and an increased risk of heat-related impacts thanks to continued southerly flow and increasing low-level thicknesses. During this period, the "feels like" temperature is forecast to reach 100-105 degrees, especially Sunday and Monday.

By Monday and Tuesday, southwesterly flow aloft tapping into a very moist pool of Gulf of Mexico moisture should support PWATs climbing back above 2". At minimum, the forecast pattern will favor a more active seabreeze. Additionally, though, there may be some added support from a shortwave, or two, and a frontal boundary trying to drop south into the area. In light of all of this, ensemble guidance has shown a consistent signal for increased storminess early next week which will be welcomed given the very dry pattern of late. This also appears to be the next appreciable chance of wetting rainfall.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
SHORT TERM /through 18z Wed/...
As of 145 PM Tuesday...Relatively quiet flying day unfolding across the region this afternoon with Atlantic high pressure still remaining firmly in control over ENC. Healthy cu field is in place area wide with generally easterly winds, gusting up to 15 kt at times along coastal areas.

Winds calm overnight, but with increased low-level moisture advection there will be a risk for some lower stratus drifting onshore, particularly for EWN/OAJ. Confidence is moderate (30-40%) in MVFR cigs during the pre-dawn hours, and stepped the forecast in that direction for the 18z TAFs to give future shifts a chance to reanalyze conditions.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
As of 230 AM Tuesday...

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the end of the work week, with minimal impacts to aviation expected. By the weekend, increasingly gusty southwest winds are likely, along with at least a modest increase in the risk of SHRA and TSRA.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Tuesday/...
As of 3:30 AM Tuesday...Warm and dry with sub-SCA conditions through the period. Winds will be ESE 5-15 kt with gusts and 2-4 ft seas.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
As of 230 AM Tuesday...

- Elevated seas possible mid-week (30-50% chance)

- Elevated wind and seas possible this weekend (40-60% chance)

Through mid-week, we'll be keeping an eye on a weak tropical wave moving west through the Southwest Atlantic. Guidance has trended weaker and further south with this wave, which may tend to keep seas lower than previously forecast. However, there's still at least some potential for 6ft seas across portions of the central and southern waters Wednesday and Thursday. Given the lower chance, and lower confidence, no marine headlines are planned at this time. Otherwise, good boating conditions continue with a continued easterly wind of 5- 15kt through Thursday. Winds become southerly late in the week and over the weekend, while also building to 10-20kt. A period of 25kt winds appears possible over the weekend. Seas will begin to build as well, providing another opportunity for 6ft seas.

FIRE WEATHER
As of 3:30 AM Tue...A dry airmass will be in place through mid week, with minimum RH in the 30s and 40s percent, especially away from the coast. This will overlap with breezy E winds at times, and is noteworthy for any ongoing, or planned, fires.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 16 mi52 minE 11G13 78°F 30.29
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 18 mi50 min 76°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 26 mi46 min 76°F 76°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 29 mi52 minE 8.9G11 77°F 80°F30.31
44086 30 mi50 min 76°F3 ft
44095 40 mi50 min 76°F3 ft
41082 46 mi166 minE 7.8 75°F 30.29


Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: MQI
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Tide / Current for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
   
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
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Tue -- 02:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:09 AM EDT     2.74 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:06 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:35 PM EDT     3.56 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
1
2
am
1.5
3
am
2.1
4
am
2.5
5
am
2.7
6
am
2.6
7
am
2.3
8
am
1.7
9
am
1.1
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.5
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
1.1
2
pm
1.8
3
pm
2.5
4
pm
3.1
5
pm
3.5
6
pm
3.5
7
pm
3.2
8
pm
2.7
9
pm
1.9
10
pm
1.2
11
pm
0.7


Tide / Current for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
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Tue -- 02:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:12 AM EDT     2.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:07 AM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:45 PM EDT     3.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.8
2
am
1.3
3
am
1.8
4
am
2.3
5
am
2.5
6
am
2.4
7
am
2.2
8
am
1.7
9
am
1.1
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
1.5
3
pm
2.3
4
pm
3
5
pm
3.5
6
pm
3.6
7
pm
3.3
8
pm
2.8
9
pm
2.1
10
pm
1.3
11
pm
0.7


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