Thursday, August13, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kitty Hawk, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 7:58PM Thursday August 13, 2020 5:13 AM EDT (09:13 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 2:36PM Illumination 30% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kitty Hawk, NC
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location: 36.04, -75.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 130657 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 257 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2020

SYNOPSIS. Weak low pressure will remain over the Carolinas through the weekend. A weak cold front will stall over Eastern NC early to mid next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. As of 255 AM Thursday . Weak low pressure will drift slowly across the Carolinas into the weekend. The circulation around this system can be clearly seen in radar imagery as showers rotate cyclonically around it. All of the guidance is quite bullish on precipitation chances with categorical to likely MOS PoPS for today. The airmass will remain very moist with dewpoints in the 70s and PW values in excess of 2". As the weak low drifts a little further north today, we expect the coverage of showers and thunderstorms to increase, initially along the coast then pivoting inland this afternoon. While the threat for some gusty winds will exist in thunderstorms, the main threat is going to be heavy rain and minor flooding, aided by high PW's AOA 2.25" over the region. High temps will struggle into the mid/upr 80s due to the widespread clouds and precipitation.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/. As of 255 AM Thursday . Expect showers and possible thunderstorms to continue tonight as the weak low moves into NC with the focus shifting from inland during the evening to the coast late. Locally heavy downpours will be the main threat as high PW values in excess of 2" remain over the area. Lows will be in the low to mid 70s most locations with upper 70s beaches.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 245 AM Thu . Wet weather along with seasonable temperatures are expected through the period, as a closed low currently over the Mid-West moves east and evolves into an open wave over the southeast this weekend. Ample mid level troughing is then expected to develop over the Eastern US for much of next week as a strong northern stream upper trough moves across southern Canada and the US northern tier. At the surface, the typical Atlantic high/inland lee trough pattern will persist through late week, then a wavy cold front will move into NC and stall while a series of weak lows move along it, enhancing rainfall across the region. Several inches of rain will possible over this period with the potential for localized flooding.

The air mass across Eastern NC will be supportive of locally heavy rains with cyclonic flow, dewpoints in the 70s, PW values AOA 2" and sufficient instability. While timing individual rainfall events are still uncertain, will continue likely PoPs through the weekend with best chances during peak heating inland, then along the immediate coast overnights. Will cap PoPs at chance for early next week, but these may need to be raised with subsequent forecasts if current model trends continue.

AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Short Term /through Tonight/ . As of 255 AM Thursday . Expecting occasional periods of sub VFR conditions beginning from near dawn today through tonight, as scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms with torrential downpours develop over the area in response to weak low pressure over the Carolinas.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 245 AM Thu . Sub-VFR conditions will be more frequent through the weekend with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, especially during peak heating. The greater rainfall chances increases the likelihood of patchy early morning fog and/or stratus each morning.

MARINE. Short Term /through tonight/ . As of 255 AM Thursday . Southerly flow 10-15 kt this morning will increase to 15-20 kt this afternoon and continue tonight as the flow becomes SW. Seas 2-3 ft this morning will build to 2-4 ft this afternoon and 3-5 ft tonight.

Long Term /Friday through Monday/ . As of 245 AM Thu . Good boating conditions will continue through most of the long term. Expect S to SW winds 10-15 kt Fri, with occasional gusts to around 20 kt. A wavy cold front will move into the waters and stall over the weekend, making wind directions challenging. The front is currently forecast to move into the northern waters Sat, though some models keep it further north closer to the NC/VA border. Winds may shift to the NE/E across the northern waters but expected to remain SW across the central and southern waters. Increased winds a bit Friday night and Sat from previous forecast with some guidance showing stronger winds, 15-20 kt, developing ahead of the approaching front. Flow becomes pred S/SW 10-15 kt Sat night through Mon. Seas generally 2-4 ft through Sat then building to 3-5 ft late Sunday and Monday.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . JME SHORT TERM . JME LONG TERM . JME/CQD AVIATION . JME/CQD MARINE . JME/CQD


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 16 mi56 min SE 6 G 7 73°F 1016.4 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 18 mi48 min 71°F1 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 26 mi48 min 77°F2 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 29 mi56 min SE 5.1 G 7
44086 30 mi31 min 77°F2 ft
44095 40 mi48 min 80°F2 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi19 minN 010.00 miFair77°F72°F86%1016.3 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC17 mi19 minSSE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F73°F84%1016.9 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC18 mi20 minN 010.00 miFair78°F75°F93%1016.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3SW5S7SW10S9
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1 day agoW4CalmCalmSW4SE8S5S8SW7S9NW7
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S7S12S10CalmS3SW9SW9SW9SW10SW9SW7W6W5Calm
2 days agoW3W3CalmW3CalmW3CalmSW7SW8SW9SW9S5S5SW11SW9SW10SW8SW4SW6SW9SW7W6SW4W4

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:48 AM EDT     2.82 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:50 AM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:22 PM EDT     3.51 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:34 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:06 PM EDT     0.97 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.42.72.82.62.21.81.30.90.811.52.12.73.23.53.43.22.72.11.51.111.1

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.