Tuesday, July23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kitty Hawk, NC

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:03AMSunset 8:19PM Tuesday July 23, 2019 10:07 AM EDT (14:07 UTC) Moonrise 11:14PMMoonset 11:05AM Illumination 60% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kitty Hawk, NC
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location: 36.04, -75.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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Fxus62 kmhx 231358
afdmhx
area forecast discussion
national weather service newport morehead city nc
958 am edt Tue jul 23 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will slowly approach today, and move through
overnight. High pressure will build in behind the front mid week
through next weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 950 am Tuesday... Coastal showers and embedded
thunderstorms continue from CAPE lookout to oregon inlet at
mid-morning. This activity should dissipate shortly with a lull
in precipitation into later today. More widespread activity
should redevelop inland during the late afternoon and evening
hours as cold front currently over the western piedmont dives
slowly south toward the coast. Our area remains in both a slight
risk for severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall. With good
instability ahead of the front with surface-based CAPE values
approaching 3000 j kg and li's of -5 to -7, some localized wind
damage is possible in wet microbursts and precipitable water
values will top 2 inches. This wet atmosphere and the alignment
of the storm motion with the mid-level flow may lead to some
training of cells and localized flooding is possible in the
stronger storms this evening into tonight. Overall, made minimal
changes to the current forecast. High temperatures will reach
the mid upper 80s this afternoon.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday
As of 330 am tue... Line of showers and storms finally progress
eastward towards the coast this evening, though instability will
quickly wane with loss of heating, and organized severe threat
will end not too long after sunset, as well as heaviest
rainfall rates. Have likely categorical pops early in the
evening, becoming sct to iso after midnight with front pushing
off the coast by around daybreak. Low temps dropping to the mid
60s interior to 70s coastal counties.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
As of 345 am Tuesday... A cold front will be located offshore
Wednesday morning. More pleasant temps and dry high pressure
expected mid week through early next week.

Wednesday... The forecast remains a little tricky with the amount of
shower coverage across the area for the eastern third of the cwa,
though confidence has increased in a mostly dry day for interior
portions coastal plain counties of eastern nc. Coastal areas
continue to have best chance for occasional overrunning showers
with the front just offshore, as 850 mb front hangs back just a
bit. Regardless, rain totals will be rather light due to
scattered nature nature of the light showers. Much cooler than
the past week due to cloud cover and some showers, with highs in
the low mid 80s. Lows Wed night in the 60s interior to low mid
70s coast.

Thursday... The upper trough shifts farther east into the new
england states with the front far enough offshore that much of
eastern nc should be dry. Maintained just a slight chance of
showers along the immediate coast given uncertainty with where
the front resides off the coast and weak vorticity moving through
the base of the upper trough lifting away from the region.

Interior coastal plain should remain dry as high pressure begins
to ridge in from the northwest. MAX temperatures will be slightly
below climatology for late july, mid upper 80s inland with low
80s along the obx. Cooler overnight lows ranging from mid 60s
inland to low mid 70s beaches.

Friday through Monday... Weak longwave troughing present for the
eastern conus, with light northeasterly flow will mean near to
slightly below climo temps, as well as dry conditions. High
temps mainly in the 85-90 degree range with lows in the 60s
inland to low 70s coast.

Aviation 14z Tuesday through Saturday
Short term through tonight ...

as of 630 am tue...VFR expected through most of today. As front
moves into region this evening expect numerous shra and tsra
late in the afternoon and especially this evening with pds of
subVFR in heavy rain. A few of the storms could be strong to
severe with strong winds and very heavy rainfall. Most of
guidance also shows some lower CIGS developing in wake of front
late tonight.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 330 am Tuesday... The cold front will be just off the coast
Wednesday with potential for lower ceilings vsbys mainly from
ewn east to offshore, though likely MVFR or better for most of
the day. Aviation conditions improve to mainlyVFR by Thursday
as NE winds and drier conditions prevail across the TAF sites.

Marine
Short term through tonight ...

as of 955 am Tuesday... Sw winds starting to increase with 15-20
knots at late morning over the northern waters and sounds. Seas
however remain at 3-5 feet. An approaching slow cold front and
thermal gradient will lead to an increase in winds this
afternoon and evening. Have a SCA for wind gusts AOA 25 kt for
pamlico and croatan sound, as well as all coastal waters. Seas
will increase to above 6 ft late this afternoon, and subside
late tonight as front pushes offshore and SW winds become W and
eventually nw.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday ...

as of 415 am Tuesday... The cold front will be along or just
east of the eastern nc coastal waters by Wednesday morning,
shifting winds N NW and diminishing speeds to 15 kt or less.

Seas will subside from 3-5 ft early Wednesday to 2-4 ft by
Wednesday night. Winds become NE 10-20 knots Thursday through
Friday night, diminishing to 5-15 kt through the weekend as high
pressure builds across the waters from the north and northwest.

May see occasional showers for the southern waters Wednesday
into Thursday with front just to the south.

Mhx watches warnings advisories
Nc... Beach hazards statement until 8 pm edt this evening for ncz195-
196-199-204-205.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for amz131-
136-137-230-231.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for amz135-
150.

Small craft advisory until 5 am edt Wednesday for amz152-154-
156-158.

Synopsis... Mhx
near term... Ctc
short term... Tl
long term... Dag
aviation... Dag tl
marine... Dag tl ctc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 16 mi49 min SW 15 G 19 58°F1012.3 hPa
FRFN7 17 mi127 min 1 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 26 mi37 min 72°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 29 mi55 min SW 17 G 19 82°F 85°F1013.1 hPa
44086 30 mi42 min 68°F3 ft
44095 40 mi21 min 80°F4 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi87 minWSW 6 G 1410.00 miOvercast81°F72°F76%1012.9 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC17 mi87 minW 11 G 1810.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F73°F76%1013.5 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC18 mi73 minSW 1010.00 miOvercast82°F73°F77%1012.7 hPa

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW11
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2 days agoW6SW3SW4S5SW9SW10
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G14
SW11SW8SW11SW10SW8SW10W9W9W8W11
G14
W11W7W9W8W8W10

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:15 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:30 PM EDT     3.24 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:48 PM EDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.132.51.91.30.80.50.611.62.32.93.23.22.92.41.81.30.90.811.52.12.6

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.