Sunday, March29, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Kitty Hawk, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 7:26PM Sunday March 29, 2020 2:10 AM EDT (06:10 UTC) Moonrise 8:55AMMoonset 11:25PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kitty Hawk, NC
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location: 36.04, -75.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 290529 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 129 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2020

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will approach the area tomorrow with limited moisture and push through tomorrow night. High pressure returns early next week. An area of low pressure will lift along the NC coast Tuesday night and strengthen off the Mid-Atlantic coast Wednesday. High pressure will build over the area late next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 950 PM Sat . After a record shattering afternoon, temperatures remain very warm across the area, ranging from the upper 70s inland to the upper 60s along the coast. Quiet weather expected overnight as deep southwesterly flow continues between a large low pressure system over the lower Missouri Valley, and high pressure off the SE coast. Breezy conditions and periods of high clouds moving across the area will keep conditions mild overnight, with lows only expected in the mid to upper 60s.

Still a chance for some sea fog again tonight, but think stronger winds should limit widespread formation . though confidence is low.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/. As of 330 PM Sat . The cold front is expected to be over the TN Valley by morning, while the area is in a deep warm southern flow. The main story for tomorrow will be how warm it will be; with possible record-breaking temps. Temperatures are forecasted to reach the low 90s inland with upper 70s to low 80s along the coast.

Also, models continue to show the moisture associated with the cold front to diminish as the cold front moves over the Appalachian Mtns. resulting in no precip across ENC. Though the area will be unstable as CAPE values will reach btw 1500-2000 J/kg and shear increasing to AOA 45kt, the area can get an isolated shower, but not enough to add a POP into the forecast at this time. Overall, expect very warm weather with partly cloudy conditions.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As 3 AM Sat . A cold front with limited moisture will move through the region Sunday evening. Low pressure will lift along/near the NC coast Tuesday night, pushing offshore Wednesday. High pressure will build over the area late week. Above normal temps will continue Sunday, then near climo Tue through late week.

Sunday night through Monday . Slightly cooler conditions expected Monday behind the front. As a result of little to no CAA behind the front temperatures should once again climb into the 80s for some spots, and mid to upper 70s everywhere.

Tuesday through Friday . Miller type B cyclogenesis is expected on Tue over South Carolina with the parent low tracking across the Ohio Valley. This is response to a potent mid level trough moving across the Midwest US. The developing low is forecast to track northeast along the NC coast Tue night into Wed then continue to deepen Wed afternoon off of the Mid-Atlantic coast. Widespread rainfall is expected late Tue afternoon into Wednesday morning. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible Tuesday night with PWATs approaching 1.5". Will continue likely pops. Bulk of precip should be ending by Wed afternoon with lighter wrap around moisture from the offshore low possible across the area through Wed night. Highs Tue and Wed will be in the low to upper 60s and upper 50s to low 60s along the Outer Banks. Drier wx with temps near climo expected Thu and Fri as high pressure builds in from the west.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Short Term /through 06Z Monday/ . As of 130 AM Sun . VFR conditions prevail across all sites early this morning with high confidence in VFR conditions through the period. Abundant high clouds will continue to stream overhead courtesy of maturing cyclone over the central CONUS, but some lower clouds at 4-5 kft are possible around and after sunset as weak front attempts to cross the area overnight. Main concern is respectable southwest winds with tightening pressure gradient. Afternoon gusts of 20-25 kt are likely especially for the coastal plain.

There is a highly conditional threat of an isolated thunderstorm mainly for PGV/ISO depending on whether upper ridge shifts far enough east for some instability to be realized, but probability of this is too low to mention in forecast this cycle.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 3 AM Sat . Pred VFR conditions expected through Tuesday morning. A cold front with limited moisture will move through the region Sunday evening. Developing low pressure will approach the area from the southwest late Tue producing widespread rain and occasional sub-VFR conditions. Best chance for widespread sub-VFR conditions will be Tue night into Wed.

MARINE. Short Term /Today and Tonight/ . As of 700 PM . Winds will increase this evening as the gradient tightens between the high pressure over the coastal waters and the low pressure system over the Central Plains. Expect SW winds to increase to 20-25 kts overnight. Seas will build 4-6 ft south of Oregon Inlet with possible 7 ft over the central waters late tonight. As the cold front approaches the area from the west Sunday, SW winds will remain 15-25 knots tomorrow and peaking 20-25 kt tomorrow afternoon and early evening. Seas will remain elevated during this period. SCAs are in effect for the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet, and the Pamlico Sound, and will go into effect tomorrow for the northern coastal waters.

Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/ . As of 3 AM Sat . The cold front will cross the waters Sunday night with winds becoming NW 15-20 kt. Seas Sunday will build from 4-6 ft early to 5-8 ft in the afternoon and evening, then subside to 3-5 ft early Mon. SCA conditions expected to continue into Sunday night and early Monday morning. Will likely need to reissue for the Pamlico Sound and maybe the northern waters. As high pressure builds over the waters Mon, NW winds 10-20 kt will become W 10-15 kt. Seas 3-5 ft Mon subsiding to 2-4 ft. Confidence is low but could see a brief period of SCA conditions develop Monday night into Tue, as sfc low strengthens to the north and gradient tightens between low and approaching system. N/NE winds will increase to 15-20 kt with seas building to 3-5 ft. Tue ahead of developing low pressure to the southwest, NE winds 10-20 will veer to the E 10-15 kt. An area of low pressure will lift along the NC coast Tuesday night and strengthen off the Mid-Atlantic coast Wednesday. Strong northerly winds 20-30 kt will develop Wed and continue into Wed night. A brief period of gale force winds will be possible Wed and/or Wed night depending on exact track and strength of low. 6 ft+ seas could develop across the waters Tue night peaking late Wed and Wed night.

CLIMATE. Record High temperatures possible Saturday 3/28

LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 84/2007 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 77/1994 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 88/1929 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 85/2012 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 98/1907 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 86/2007 (KNCA ASOS)

Record High temperatures possible Sunday 3/29

LOCATION TEMP/YEAR New Bern 88/1985 (KEWN ASOS) Cape Hatteras 79/2012 (KHSE ASOS) Greenville 90/1985 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS) Morehead City 84/2012 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS) Kinston 91/1910 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS) Jacksonville 89/1985 (KNCA ASOS)

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Monday for AMZ135. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Monday for AMZ152-154-156- 158. Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ150.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . SGK SHORT TERM . BM LONG TERM . JME/CQD AVIATION . CQD/MS MARINE . CQD/BM CLIMATE . MHX


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 16 mi52 min SSW 12 G 15 69°F 1013.1 hPa
FRFN7 17 mi130 min 2 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 18 mi40 min 54°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 26 mi40 min 54°F3 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 29 mi58 min SSW 14 G 16 64°F 64°F1014.5 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC17 mi35 minSSW 510.00 miFair67°F60°F80%1013.5 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC17 mi35 minSW 1010.00 miFair66°F61°F83%1014.2 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC18 mi16 minSW 910.00 miFair71°F63°F76%1013 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMQI

Wind History from MQI (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:24 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:18 AM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:19 PM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:36 PM EDT     3.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.22.72.11.40.80.50.60.91.52.12.732.92.51.91.30.70.50.50.91.62.333.3

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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