Sunday, April5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Broken Arrow, OK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 7:50PM Sunday April 5, 2020 1:42 PM CDT (18:42 UTC) Moonrise 4:09PMMoonset 4:51AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Broken Arrow, OK
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location: 36.04, -95.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Tulsa, OK
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FXUS64 KTSA 051712 AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1212 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2020

. UPDATE .

AVIATION. CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

IFR/MVFR ceilings persist at all the terminals, but satellite and surrounding surface observations are showing some pockets of local improvement that may affect mainly the E OK terminals this afternoon and evening. Given the trends in the observations to the SW of the NE OK terminals, will carry a period of VFR conditions beginning mid afternoon and continuing through the evening, with the expectation that MVFR conditions will redevelop early tomorrow morning. At MLC, surrounding observations continue to show MVFR heights, albeit right on the threshold of VFR so will carry a period of 3000 ft ceiling there through the evening. Confidence is lower that the W AR terminals will improve substantially, but expect a period of MVFR ceilings where things are currently IFR, before decreasing once again early tomorrow morning. Wind wise, southerly winds will increase very late in the period, with gustiness not out of the question at the E OK terminals prior to 18Z but more likely afterward.

PREV DISCUSSION. /Issued 1028 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2020/

.UPDATE.

DISCUSSION . Low clouds and some light fog persist across much of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas, and it's likely that at least the clouds will remain for much of the day across the area, with perhaps some late improvement in a few places. This will also have some impact on temperature trends and highs once again, showing a slower warm up and cooler highs in a few places. A few showers will remain possible in southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas through mid afternoon, but most places should remain dry into tonight. Updates reflecting increased cloud cover and the aforementioned changes to the temperatures are already out.

PREV DISCUSSION . /Issued 642 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2020/

AVIATION . CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG. IFR to LIFR conditions early this morning will improve to MVFR by late morning. MVFR ceilings will then prevail for the rest of the forecast period.

PREV DISCUSSION . /Issued 256 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2020/

DISCUSSION . The high temperature forecast for Today is highly dependent on the cloud cover. I have very little confidence that the models have a good handle on the cloud cover Today. I suspect we will see some breaks in the clouds this afternoon but where and when is the big question. I have lowered high temperatures a few degrees from the NBM guidance.

Still seeing a decent amount of isentropic lift across the region this morning which will lead to the potential of some showers across portions of the area at least through the morning hours. Patchy drizzle will persist through the morning as well.

The chances of showers and a few thunderstorms are still in the forecast for Monday into Monday night across portions of the area as the flow aloft becomes more southwesterly. This southwesterly flow aloft will bring a temporary surge of deeper moisture to the region Monday into Monday night before it is pushed off to the east.

Dry and unseasonably warm conditions are expected Tuesday into Wednesday before the next cold front crashes through the area Wednesday night. While this cold front is expected to move through the area dry, the chances of showers and perhaps a few rumbles of thunder will be on the increase Thursday and continue through Friday night as a mid-level low moves out of the southwest U.S. and into the Plains.

In the wake of the cold front, temperatures will return to near normal for this time of year from Thursday into Saturday.

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OK . None. AR . None.

AVIATION . 22


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tulsa - Jones Jr. Airport, OK5 mi50 minVar 510.00 miOvercast54°F46°F75%1020.5 hPa
Tulsa, Tulsa International Airport, OK12 mi50 minSSE 410.00 miOvercast51°F45°F80%1019.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRVS

Wind History from RVS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6N5NW4N4N4NE6N5N3CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm5
1 day agoN8N8
G16
NW8N6
G18
N7N8
G15
N10
G18
N9
G17
N8N7N9N5N7N6N10
G16
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G16
N8
G17
N7N9N7N6N95N9
2 days agoS16
G25
S17
G25
S15
G22
--------S7S3S4S3SE3S5--NW8NW8
G14
N9
G17
N7N8
G14
NW8
G17
N8
G18
N7
G20
6N7
G15

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tulsa, OK (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tulsa, OK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.