Sunday, July12, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Columbia, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 8:25PM Sunday July 12, 2020 2:59 PM EDT (18:59 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 12:00PM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Columbia town, NC
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location: 36.05, -76.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 121810 AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 210 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak front will gradually dissipate across the area today. Another weak front expected to approach the area early next week, followed by Bermuda high pressure dominating and inland lee trough over the piedmont.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1020 AM Sun . No major changes to the forecast. The frontal boundary continues to linger just offshore helping to fire plenty of convective activity over the Gulf Stream. Short range guidance continues to suggest at least isolated activity developing along a developing sea breeze this afternoon in an environment characterized by effective shear of 25-30 kt and 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE, 2500-3000 J/kg surface based. A strong storm or two is certainly possible today with strong downbursts being the main threat.

Pre Dis . The stationary boundary is located over the coastal plains and move towards the coast, then gradually dissipate today. Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon along the sea breeze as CAPE value reaching to 2500 to 3000 J/kg, while shear ranging 25-30 knots. Expect temperatures to reach into the low to mid 90s inland and mid to upper 80s along the Outer Banks.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/. As of 300 AM Sun . The showers and thunderstorms that developed during afternoon will gradually diminish or shift offshore. Expect mostly dry weather, expect along the immediate coast line. A light SW flow will continue to bring warm and muggy night. Expect overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 300 AM Sun .

Monday . A well defined short wave can be seen on the water vapor loop over Northeast Iowa this morning. This feature will move into an unstable environment Monday afternoon with decent 0-6 KM Bulk Shear values of around 20 kts. MUCAPES on the GFS seem too low (1200 j/kg) and the NAM may be a tad too high (3000 j/kg), with the EURO right in the middle or around 2000. Right now we are in general thunder for Monday but the upper level support of the short wave may be enough to compensate for average shear values. We will have to carefully watch this period for severe weather potential with both large hail and damaging winds possible due to high instability and dry air in the mid levels. Highs Monday will again be well into the 90s inland.

Tuesday through Friday . Upper level heights rise to 594 DM by the end of the week which will continue our summerlike pattern through the end of the week. Daily convection is possible along the sea breeze, especially Tuesday and Wednesday. By later in the week while something isolated can't be ruled out, the overall chances will dip a bit with building subsidence from our upper level ridge.

Saturday . Pretty far out to get too cute but signs point toward a weakness in the upper level heights with the ridge retreating west a bit. This may allow for a better chance for thunderstorms but with it being 7 days out, capped chances at 30%. Remaining hot with highs in the 90s inland.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Short Term /through 18Z Monday/ . As of 2 PM Sunday . VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Cu field this afternoon providing sct skies. EWN and OAJ have best chance of experiencing late afternoon tstorms. Winds out of the SW 7kts or less with a chance of gusts associated with outflows from any tstorms that do develop. Slight chance of fog tomorrow for OAJ and EWN, but that will be dependent on rainfall late this afternoon/early evening so BR/FG was omitted from this cycle. Tomorrow SCT to BKN skies between 7k and 8k ft working in from NW moving SE. Winds will be S to SW 7kts or less except for EWN which shows 8kt winds gusting up to around 15kts.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/ . As of 2 PM Sun . Mainly VFR through the period. Monday a shortwave enters the region bringing an increased chance of showers and tstorms developing after 18Z. Potential for brief MVFR restrictions especially during the afternoon in periods of showers or thunderstorms. Early morning fog also possible in the footprint of afternoon/evening rainfall.

MARINE. Short Term /Sunday/ . As of 700 AM Sun . The latest buoy observations are showing SW winds 5-10 knots and seas 3 ft north of Oregon Inlet and 4-5 ft south. SW winds 5-10 knots in the morning, then becoming 10-15 knots with a few gusts close to 20 knots later in the day and continuing through the overnight hours. Seas 3-5 ft will continue through today and this evening, then becoming 4-6 ft with the highest over the central waters late tonight as swell energy moves up towards the Carolinas. Therefore, Small Craft Advisory will become in effect for late tonight for the central waters.

Long Term /Sunday Night through Thursday/ . As of 430 AM Sun . 6 foot seas will linger early in the long term period with improving marine conditions through mid week.

6 footers linger Monday especially central waters with southwest winds 10 to 20 kts. Sea subside to 2 to 4 feet Tuesday, as winds diminish to under 10 kts. Wind directions will be a bit tricky over the waters Tuesday with a boundary cutting through the area. Winds over the northern waters will be more northerly, while a southwest flow will continue south of Cape Hatteras. Winds back toward the southeast through the end of the period and remain light, or generally 5 to 15 kts with seas 2 to 3 feet.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NC . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 5 PM EDT Monday for AMZ152-154.

SYNOPSIS . MHX NEAR TERM . BM/MS SHORT TERM . BM LONG TERM . EH AVIATION . EH/BM/CEB MARINE . EH/BM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 18 mi59 min S 8.9 G 12 87°F
FRFN7 19 mi179 min 3 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 20 mi33 min 82°F3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 28 mi33 min 82°F4 ft
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 31 mi59 min S 15 G 18 84°F 85°F
44086 33 mi46 min 81°F4 ft
44095 43 mi33 min 80°F3 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC16 mi65 minSW 1110.00 miFair92°F70°F49%1009.1 hPa
Manteo / Dare County Regional, NC20 mi84 minSSW 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F77°F76%1009.5 hPa
Kill Devil Hills, First Flight Airport, NC20 mi64 minS 610.00 miFair89°F72°F57%1009.1 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC24 mi84 minSSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F71°F54%1009.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECG

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW10SW12SW10SW11W9W6SW5SW4SW4S4S5S5SW5SW5SW6--SW5SW5SW3SW4S7S7S11SW11
1 day ago6S9S10S8SW8S5S3S7S8S10SW9S8S7S8SW8SW6CalmSW7SW6SW9SW10SW10W11SW10
2 days agoNE12NE15NE14
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NE15NE14N11N11N10N9N11NW8N10NW5NW7W6NW4W7W7NW7W10W8W116W6

Tide / Current Tables for Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina
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Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:59 AM EDT     2.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:16 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 01:36 PM EDT     3.14 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 07:57 PM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.82.92.82.41.81.20.70.50.611.62.22.83.13.12.92.41.81.30.90.80.91.31.9

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:56 AM EDT     2.96 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:26 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 01:40 PM EDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 08:07 PM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.832.82.51.91.30.80.50.50.81.322.633.12.92.521.510.911.31.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Newport/Morehead City, NC (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.