Wednesday, July15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carmel Valley Village, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:58AMSunset 8:23PM Wednesday July 15, 2020 12:22 AM PDT (07:22 UTC) Moonrise 1:03AMMoonset 3:01PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ565 Coastal Waters From Point Pinos To Point Piedras Blancas California Out To 10 Nm- 832 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 14 2020
Tonight..W winds up to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. NW swell 3 to 5 ft at 9 seconds. SWell S around 2 ft. Patchy fog this evening.
Wed..S winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. NW swell 3 to 4 ft at 9 seconds.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft. NW swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. NW swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Thu night..W winds around 5 kt. Wind waves 1 ft. NW swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds. Patchy fog.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft. NW swell 3 to 5 ft at 10 seconds. Patchy fog.
Fri night..NW winds around 5 kt. Wind waves 1 ft. NW swell 3 to 4 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog.
Sat..W winds up to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft. NW swell 3 to 5 ft. Patchy fog.
Sun..W winds up to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft. NW swell 3 to 5 ft. Patchy fog.
PZZ500 832 Pm Pdt Tue Jul 14 2020
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Breezy northwest winds continue over the outer waters with light southerly winds along the coast as the surface low tracks southward. Winds will increase over the northern san francisco bay during the afternoon and evening hours. This pattern is expected to continue through Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carmel Valley Village, CA
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location: 36.1, -121.76     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 150608 AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 1108 PM PDT Tue Jul 14 2020

SYNOPSIS. A few additional degrees of inland cooling is expected on Tuesday as onshore flow increases. Temperatures will then likely remain near seasonal averages for the remainder of the week and into the upcoming weekend along with the ebb and flow of overnight and morning low clouds.

DISCUSSION. as of 11:08 PM PDT Tuesday . Stratus and fog are in place over much of the coastal waters, along the coastline and in the nearby bays. Given recent surface to lower level cooling, a deepening of the marine layer and higher temperature inversions as seen on the profilers it's more favorable for stratus cloud coverage than fog coverage with exception of the higher coastal terrain. The marine layer varies in depth from 1,500 feet at Bodega Bay to over 3,000 feet at Fort Ord. Embedded within the stratus and fog is a nearly stationary and weak trough of low pressure from the surface up to the 925 mb and 850 mb levels, deepest to the south where recent cooling in the vertical and marine layer depth has been greatest. The surface pressure fields with the newly developed trough had adjusted from Monday to today, currently a 3 mb SFO to SAC pressure gradient and onshore wind prevail. Expect night and morning inland stratus and fog intrusions typically seen in the summer through at least mid to late week.

At the 500 mb level, an equally important level for monitoring weather changes year round, very little change is forecast to occur with 590 decameter heights varying - or + 1 to 2 decameters at most through mid to late week; there's nothing unusual about this and is seen from time to time in the summer. With exception of large scale sinking and compression forming the marine layer temperature inversion under this still strong 590 decameter 500 mb height much of the other influences especially the areal coverage of the marine layer are closer to sea level. In warm to cool and cool to warm season transitions or if a summer patterns is more active then this is less to much less the case.

Highs today ranged from the 60s coastside to the 70s/80s inland with a few locations far inland reaching the 90 degree mark. As mentioned in the previous discussion only minor temperature differences are forecast for Wednesday compared to today. Morning stratus clouds will lift and retreat back to the coast, expect clear/sunny conditions again inland. Will have to watch for possible monsoonal moisture reaching the Sierra Nevada crest Wed/Thu, main result will be slight increase in humidity recoveries and weak instability possibly generating a few afternoon convective clouds. Over the weekend more inland 90s can be expected with a slight increase in 500 mb height ridging and less onshore winds.

AVIATION. as of 10:52 PM PDT Tuesday . for 06z TAFs. Stratus layer moving onshore through the Monterey Bay into the Salinas Valley and also into SF Bay. Range of LIFR to VFR conditions expected across terminals, with higher confidence in impacts to the North Bay. VFR forecast Wednesday afternoon with breezy onshore winds.

Vicinity of KSFO . Winds are onshore and breezy. Lingering clouds near the terminal, but most stratus expected to remain north of KSFO west-southwest flow. Stratus retreats to the ocean for VFR Wednesday afternoon, with continued breezy onshore flow. Return of marine layer expected tomorrow night.

SFO Bridge Approach . Similar to KSFO except in an even drier slot with less chance of low clouds overnight tonight.

Monterey Bay Terminals . Stratus clouds have penetrated most of the Monterey Bay coastal areas and is progressing down the Salinas Valley, but with west- southwest winds just past Point Pinos, the peninsula is acting as a barrier and providing a brief, small gap in cloud cover over KMRY. Transition to MVFR and eventually IFR is expected by 11z at KMRY. KSNS is currently MVFR with IFR expected around 8z. Expect cloud cover to linger closer to the coast once again on Wednesday as onshore winds become breezy in the afternoon. Stratus layer will return tomorrow night.

MARINE. as of 10:40 PM PDT Tuesday . Breezy northwest winds continue over the outer waters with light southerly winds along the coast as the surface low tracks southward. Winds will increase over the northern San Francisco Bay during the afternoon and evening hours. This pattern is expected to continue through Thursday.

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. Tngt. NONE.



PUBLIC FORECAST: Canepa AVIATION: Lorber MARINE: DK

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46028 - CAPE SAN MARTIN - 55NM West Northwest of Morro Bay, CA 24 mi33 min SE 3.9 G 5.8 58°F 6 ft1014.4 hPa
46239 - Point Sur, CA (157) 24 mi57 min 53°F7 ft
MEYC1 36 mi47 min 58°F
46092 - MBM1 47 mi64 min SSW 7.8 56°F 55°F1014.3 hPa (+0.4)
ELXC1 - Elkhorn Slough Reserve, CA 49 mi98 min NW 4.1 58°F 56°F
MLSC1 - Moss Landing, South Harbor, CA 49 mi51 min WNW 4.1 G 11 1007.6 hPa

Wind History for Monterey, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monterey Regional Airport, CA34 mi29 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy59°F53°F81%1015.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRY

Wind History from MRY (wind in knots)
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4N54N7N8N76NW10NW11NW8W7NW8W8SW7SW8SW5SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Carmel Cove, Carmel Bay, California
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Carmel Cove
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:02 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:26 AM PDT     1.08 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:01 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:32 AM PDT     3.05 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:00 PM PDT     2.23 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:02 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:41 PM PDT     5.10 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.41.11.11.41.92.42.8332.92.62.32.22.42.73.344.655.14.84.13.2

Tide / Current Tables for Monterey, Monterey Harbor, California
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Monterey
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:01 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:15 AM PDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:01 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:28 AM PDT     3.12 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:40 PM PDT     2.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:02 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:25 PM PDT     5.30 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.311.11.522.52.93.13.12.92.72.52.42.63.13.74.44.95.35.24.84.13.1

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Francisco Bay Area, CA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.