Saturday, January25, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carmel Valley Village, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 5:23PM Friday January 24, 2020 11:21 PM PST (07:21 UTC) Moonrise 7:17AMMoonset 5:23PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ565 Coastal Waters From Point Pinos To Point Piedras Blancas California Out To 10 Nm- 840 Pm Pst Fri Jan 24 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 10 to 12 ft at 18 seconds. SWell W 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 10 to 12 ft at 17 seconds.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 8 to 10 ft at 15 seconds. A chance of rain.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 4 to 6 ft at 19 seconds and W 3 to 5 ft at 20 seconds. A chance of rain.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 20 seconds and W 6 to 8 ft at 16 seconds.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 10 to 12 ft at 18 seconds.
Mon night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 11 to 13 ft at 16 seconds.
Tue..N winds 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 9 to 11 ft.
Wed..N winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. NW swell 7 to 9 ft.
PZZ500 840 Pm Pst Fri Jan 24 2020
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Generally light winds will continue through Saturday afternoon with southerly winds over the northern waters and northwest winds over the southern waters. Winds will then become west to southwest and become breezy late Saturday and into Sunday as the next system approaches. A long period west to northwest swell will continue to impact the waters through Saturday. This will create conditions hazardous to small crafts. Additional long period northwest swells will arrive this weekend and early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carmel Valley Village, CA
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location: 36.1, -121.76     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 250603 AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 1003 PM PST Fri Jan 24 2020

SYNOPSIS. Two weak weather systems will bring periodic chances of light rain to the region from tonight through Sunday morning. Light rain or sprinkles with the first system tonight and Saturday morning should be mostly confined to the North Bay. More widespread rain is expected with the second system from late Saturday through Sunday morning, but rainfall amounts will once again be light. Generally dry conditions, along with above normal temperatures, are forecast for next week.

DISCUSSION. As of 8:45 PM PST Friday . Based on the 00Z NAM, widespread light warm advection precipitation should be developing in the North Bay at the present time, but latest KMUX radar is showing only isolated very weak returns. The latest HRRR may have a more realistic handle on short-term precipitation potential as it forecasts virtually no measurable rain overnight and into Saturday morning. Rain chances will increase in the North Bay by late Saturday afternoon as both moisture and warm advection increase ahead of an incoming shortwave trough. Rain will then become more widespread by late Saturday night as a weak cold front tracks quickly across the region. A few showers may linger into Sunday morning, but for the most part Sunday should be a dry day. Rain totals from tonight through Sunday morning are forecast to be in the range of a tenth to a half inch in the North Bay, and mostly less than a tenth of an inch elsewhere. Southern interior sections of our forecast area will likely see no measurable rain.

The airmass over our area will remain mild through the weekend. Expect highs ranging from the upper 50s in the north to the upper 60s in the south, with overnight lows mostly from the mid 40s to lower 50s.

Models agree that dry conditions will persist for most of next week as an upper ridge over the Eastern Pacific gradually builds over California. The exception may be a brief period of light rain in the North Bay Monday night and Tuesday morning as a weak system moves inland to our north. Temperatures are expected to warm above normal during the second half of the week.

Longer range models suggest continued dry conditions into the first week of February. Both the GFS and ECMWF ensemble mean indicate a persistent ridge near the West Coast, except for a brief weakening of the ridge around February 2nd.

AVIATION. as of 10:03 PM PST Friday . For 06Z TAFs. Clouds overspreading the region will lower to MVFR overnight. A few showers will be possible across the North Bay and possibly as far south as the Bay Area overnight. IFR cigs developing Saturday morning across many of the terminals. Very low cigs/fog have been observed near the coast this evening. These low cigs could impact the Bay Area terminals early Saturday morning with LIFR conditions possible. Low clouds will linger into the afternoon on Saturday but generally lift to SCT/BKN between 2,000 and 4,000 ft AGL. The exception will be across the North Bay where IFR/MVFR cigs will linger through the day. Winds through Saturday afternoon will be light and diurnal/terrain driven, becoming south to southeasterly late in the period. A weak front will begin to approach the area with scattered showers and MVFR cigs towards 12z Sunday.

Vicinity of KSFO . An isolated shower is possible late this evening. Cigs gradually lowering to MVFR overnight. IFR cigs expected Saturday morning, with periods of LIFR and patchy fog also possible. Conditions will improve Saturday afternoon but SCT/BKN clouds with bases 2,000 to 4,000 ft AGL will persist. Cigs lowering to MVFR Saturday evening with scattered showers. Light winds through Saturday afternoon, with south to southwest winds 5-10 kt developing Saturday night.

SFO Bridge Approach . Similar to KSFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals . Clouds will continue to increase tonight with periods of IFR at KMRY through 09z. MVFR cigs prevailing Saturday morning with patchy fog and reductions to IFR possible. Conditions will improve Saturday afternoon with VFR developing. Generally light winds through the period.

MARINE. As of 8:40 PM PST Friday . Generally light winds will continue through Saturday afternoon with southerly winds over the northern waters and northwest winds over the southern waters. Winds will then become west to southwest and become breezy late Saturday and into Sunday as the next system approaches. A long period west to northwest swell will continue to impact the waters through Saturday. This will create conditions hazardous to small crafts. Additional long period northwest swells will arrive this weekend and early next week.

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. Tngt. SCA . Mry Bay SCA . Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm SCA . Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm SCA . Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm SCA . Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm SCA . Pt Arena to Pigeon Pt 10-60 nm SCA . Pigeon Pt to Pt Piedras Blancas 10-60 nm



PUBLIC FORECAST: Dykema AVIATION: ST MARINE: ST

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46028 - CAPE SAN MARTIN - 55NM West Northwest of Morro Bay, CA 24 mi41 min NW 16 G 21 56°F 55°F1020.5 hPa55°F
46239 - Point Sur, CA (157) 24 mi51 min 55°F9 ft
MEYC1 36 mi51 min 56°F1021.6 hPa
46240 - Cabrillo Point, Monterey Bay, CA (158) 37 mi51 min 55°F4 ft
46092 - MBM1 47 mi64 min NW 7.8 55°F 55°F1021.1 hPa (+0.7)
ELXC1 - Elkhorn Slough Reserve, CA 49 mi96 min ESE 4.1 53°F 1020 hPa53°F

Wind History for Monterey, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monterey Regional Airport, CA34 mi27 minN 010.00 miFair54°F51°F90%1022.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMRY

Wind History from MRY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE9CalmSW3SW4E4CalmSE3E6E3CalmCalmNE4NW6NW4NW5NW6NW7CalmCalmSW3W4CalmS3Calm
1 day agoSE4CalmSE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3CalmCalmCalm4NW3NW6CalmNW5CalmSE5SE4W3S3SW4
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W4NW4N3CalmNW4NW4CalmCalmSE4E4SE3SE3

Tide / Current Tables for Carmel Cove, Carmel Bay, California
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Carmel Cove
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:02 AM PST     1.95 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:14 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:00 AM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:10 AM PST     5.89 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:20 PM PST     -0.81 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:25 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:21 PM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 11:48 PM PST     3.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.73.32.72.21.92.22.83.74.75.55.95.74.93.72.20.8-0.3-0.8-0.7-012.13.13.7

Tide / Current Tables for Monterey, Monterey Harbor, California
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Monterey
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:04 AM PST     2.72 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:14 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:00 AM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:01 AM PST     5.87 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:22 PM PST     -0.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:25 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:21 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.13.83.32.92.72.93.44.255.65.95.64.83.62.30.9-0.1-0.6-0.50.11.12.23.23.9

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station San Francisco Bay Area, CA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.