Saturday, September26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ballou, OK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 7:11PM Saturday September 26, 2020 9:47 PM CDT (02:47 UTC) Moonrise 3:51PMMoonset 12:59AM Illumination 74% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ballou, OK
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location: 36.15, -95.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Tulsa, OK
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FXUS64 KTSA 262350 AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 650 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2020

AVIATION. CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG. VFR conditions will largely prevail across most sites through the overnight hours. The only concern may be KBVO which will likely see a period of IFR ceilings thanks to low level moisture moving in ahead of the incoming cold front. Otherwise, all other sites will see some low clouds thanks to low level moisture but should remain FEW to SCT. Fog potential appears to be NIL tonight thanks to winds over 5kts which should keep the atmosphere well mixed.

The morning and early afternoon hours will see MVFR ceilings increase from north to south across E OK and NW AR TAF sites as the cold front quickly approaches from the north. Showers and storm activity will begin to increase across NE OK around 19Z with showers and storms quickly moving to the south and southeast through the remainder of the TAF period. Confidence in all TAF sites seeing showers and/or storms tomorrow afternoon and evening is high. KMLC and KFSM may see shower and storm activity hold off until shortly after the valid TAF period but opted to include a PROB30 at the end of the period given some of the guidance suggesting a faster moving cold front. Winds behind the cold front will be very gusty with sustained winds of 12 to 18kts with gusts near or just above 30kts at times. MVFR ceilings will likely persist behind the cold front as well.

Snider

PREV DISCUSSION. /Issued 159 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2020/

DISCUSSION . The main forecast concerns this afternoon revolve around the strong cold front set to move through the area tomorrow afternoon and into tomorrow night, particularly the potential for a few strong to severe thunderstorms.

Mid to upper 60s dew points have made a return to the region under the influence of persistent strong southerly winds in advance of tomorrow's system, with temperatures reaching near to above normal levels in most spots. Low clouds have been slow to break up across far southeast Oklahoma, but some continued erosion is noted in the satellite trends, likely to continue through the afternoon. Overnight, additional stratus may develop and affect parts of the area, and depending on how quickly it erodes tomorrow, there could be some impact on the high temperatures, currently expected to be above normal values.

The earlier mentioned cold front should begin to enter parts of northeast Oklahoma mid afternoon tomorrow, with showers and thunderstorms likely to be along and behind the front. The front should move fairly quickly, exiting the forecast area well before sunrise Monday. As such, the low end severe hail threat that could exist with the strongest storms will also move southeastward through the area quickly also. Locally heavy rain can be expected, but the progressive nature of everything should limit the overall flood threat. Expect dry weather across the forecast area by sunrise Monday.

Much cooler and drier air will invade the area behind the front, with highs Monday likely to be around 15 degrees cooler than tomorrow in most spots. Temperatures will remain cool Tuesday before a warmup toward more normal levels Wednesday, immediately ahead of another cold front. This front will pass through without any precipitation, dropping temperatures for Thursday and Friday back to levels near those expected earlier in the work week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. TUL 68 84 53 70 / 0 80 70 0 FSM 63 86 57 70 / 0 0 100 10 MLC 67 83 56 68 / 0 10 90 10 BVO 67 79 51 68 / 0 80 60 0 FYV 62 83 52 67 / 0 10 90 10 BYV 61 86 53 69 / 0 20 100 10 MKO 65 83 54 67 / 0 30 90 10 MIO 65 81 51 67 / 0 80 80 10 F10 67 82 54 67 / 0 30 80 10 HHW 65 83 58 68 / 0 0 90 10

TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OK . None. AR . None.

AVIATION . 21


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tahlequah, Tahlequah Municipal Airport, OK18 mi52 minSSE 710.00 miFair68°F62°F83%1010.2 hPa
Claremore, Claremore Regional Airport, OK19 mi52 minS 510.00 miFair70°F59°F69%1009.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTQH

Wind History from TQH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS9S6S9
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE6SE4S5S8
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Tulsa, OK
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