Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ballou, OK
December 7, 2024 8:16 PM CST (02:16 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:16 AM Sunset 5:07 PM Moonrise 12:19 PM Moonset 11:38 PM |
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KTSA 072344 AFDTSA
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 544 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
New AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 250 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
- Rain chances increase this evening and Sunday across southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas
- Above normal temperatures through Monday
- Cooler again by mid-week.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday Night)
Issued at 250 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Upper low over the Desert Southwest will accelerate northeastward this evening and overnight drawing Gulf moisture northward into southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Rain chances will increase this afternoon, with much of the initial activity having a hard time reaching the ground with dry air in place near the surface. Eventually the near surface layer will moisten sufficiently for scattered showers to move northeastward out of northern Texas and across portions of southeast Oklahoma this evening. Showers will continue into Sunday as the upper low lifts across the region, ending from southwest to northeast throughout the afternoon. Instability is very limited, but a rumble of thunder or two will be possible near the Red River as cooler temps aloft spread over the region during the day Sunday. Much of the rain totals look to stay below a quarter of an inch, with some places along the Red River seeing up to half an inch of precip when all is said and done Sunday evening. Temperatures will remain mild through Sunday night with lows in the 40s and highs in the 50s to near 60 where it isn't raining.
Bowlan
LONG TERM
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 250 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
A cold front will move through the area Monday night into Tuesday and bring a return to more seasonable temperatures for the middle part of the week. This front will be mostly dry, but a few light showers could develop along the front across northwest Arkansas on Monday night. Surface high pressure quickly shifts eastward through the middle of the week and gusty southerly winds return toward the latter half of the work week. With that will come a return to above normal temperatures and dry weather persisting into the weekend. Another system and frontal boundary could bring rain chances and cooler weather again by next weekend.
Bowlan
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 541 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
VFR conditions will deteriorate tonight as low clouds spread north and west into the region. Cigs will drop to MVFR category by late evening or early overnight, then into IFR category by the morning hours. It should be noted, recent trends suggest low clouds may develop quicker than currently forecast and amendments may be required this evening. Cigs may improve during the afternoon for NE OK sites. However, NW AR sites, as well as MLC, are expected to remain in IFR category through the end of the forecast period.
Vsby reductions may also be observed across NW AR sites and MLC with potential for light precip (-SHRA or -DZ)... primarily during the late morning and afternoon hours. Sfc winds increase for all sites during the afternoon hours, mainly between 10-15 kts.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 43 58 43 59 / 0 10 0 0 FSM 44 57 46 62 / 10 70 10 0 MLC 43 57 44 61 / 20 50 0 0 BVO 39 60 38 57 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 41 56 43 60 / 0 60 10 0 BYV 44 58 46 58 / 0 60 20 0 MKO 44 55 45 60 / 0 30 0 0 MIO 42 56 45 57 / 0 10 10 0 F10 43 57 43 60 / 0 20 0 0 HHW 44 54 45 63 / 50 80 10 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None.
AR...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 544 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
New AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 250 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
- Rain chances increase this evening and Sunday across southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas
- Above normal temperatures through Monday
- Cooler again by mid-week.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday Night)
Issued at 250 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
Upper low over the Desert Southwest will accelerate northeastward this evening and overnight drawing Gulf moisture northward into southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Rain chances will increase this afternoon, with much of the initial activity having a hard time reaching the ground with dry air in place near the surface. Eventually the near surface layer will moisten sufficiently for scattered showers to move northeastward out of northern Texas and across portions of southeast Oklahoma this evening. Showers will continue into Sunday as the upper low lifts across the region, ending from southwest to northeast throughout the afternoon. Instability is very limited, but a rumble of thunder or two will be possible near the Red River as cooler temps aloft spread over the region during the day Sunday. Much of the rain totals look to stay below a quarter of an inch, with some places along the Red River seeing up to half an inch of precip when all is said and done Sunday evening. Temperatures will remain mild through Sunday night with lows in the 40s and highs in the 50s to near 60 where it isn't raining.
Bowlan
LONG TERM
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 250 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
A cold front will move through the area Monday night into Tuesday and bring a return to more seasonable temperatures for the middle part of the week. This front will be mostly dry, but a few light showers could develop along the front across northwest Arkansas on Monday night. Surface high pressure quickly shifts eastward through the middle of the week and gusty southerly winds return toward the latter half of the work week. With that will come a return to above normal temperatures and dry weather persisting into the weekend. Another system and frontal boundary could bring rain chances and cooler weather again by next weekend.
Bowlan
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 541 PM CST Sat Dec 7 2024
VFR conditions will deteriorate tonight as low clouds spread north and west into the region. Cigs will drop to MVFR category by late evening or early overnight, then into IFR category by the morning hours. It should be noted, recent trends suggest low clouds may develop quicker than currently forecast and amendments may be required this evening. Cigs may improve during the afternoon for NE OK sites. However, NW AR sites, as well as MLC, are expected to remain in IFR category through the end of the forecast period.
Vsby reductions may also be observed across NW AR sites and MLC with potential for light precip (-SHRA or -DZ)... primarily during the late morning and afternoon hours. Sfc winds increase for all sites during the afternoon hours, mainly between 10-15 kts.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 43 58 43 59 / 0 10 0 0 FSM 44 57 46 62 / 10 70 10 0 MLC 43 57 44 61 / 20 50 0 0 BVO 39 60 38 57 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 41 56 43 60 / 0 60 10 0 BYV 44 58 46 58 / 0 60 20 0 MKO 44 55 45 60 / 0 30 0 0 MIO 42 56 45 57 / 0 10 10 0 F10 43 57 43 60 / 0 20 0 0 HHW 44 54 45 63 / 50 80 10 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None.
AR...None.
Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KTQH
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KTQH
Wind History Graph: TQH
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas
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Tulsa, OK,
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