Friday, July10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Camden, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 8:26PM Friday July 10, 2020 1:13 PM EDT (17:13 UTC) Moonrise 11:08PMMoonset 10:08AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Camden, NC
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location: 36.22, -76.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 101610 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1210 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. Tropical Storm Fay currently just off the coast the Delmarva Peninsula will continue to lift northward this afternoon and evening while pulling away from the local area. A weak frontal boundary will push across most of the area on Saturday before dissipating along the coast Saturday night. Hot and humid conditions are expect to continue through much of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 1200 PM EDT Friday .

Tropical Storm Fay is now centered just northeast of Ocean City. The bands of moderate to heavy rain that impacted the MD Eastern Shore earlier this morning are now displaced far enough to the north and west of Fay's center that only spotty light rain showers remain over the Lower Ern Shore. The FFA has been dropped and all FFWs have been converted to Areal Flood Warnings. Generally 2 to locally 5.5 inches of rain fell over the Atlantic side of the Lower MD Ern Shore (with the highest totals in/near Ocean City). Satellite imagery reveals just SCT- BKN stratocumulus across areas W of the Chesapeake Bay. Some isolated showers have started to develop across the VA Nrn Neck/bayside of the Lower MD Ern Shore. The larger scale upper pattern features broad troughing over the Great Lakes/ern CONUS, with a shortwave moving E into the OH Valley. There is an associated sfc low over Michigan, with a weak/trailing frontal boundary extending swd into wrn OH, KY, and TN.

Forecast remains on track and am still expecting a hot/mainly dry day across central VA, southeast VA, and northeast NC. There will be some subtle ridging/subsidence in the wake of Fay, so it will be difficult for any showers or thunderstorms to form across much of the forecast area today. Forecast highs are in the mid 90s along and west of I-95/low 90s across SE VA and NE NC. Drier air will be filtering in from the north with TS Fay northeast of the area. This will allow for dew points to drop into the low to mid 60s along and west of I-95. Heat indices may get near 100 degrees across SE VA and NE NC this afternoon where dew points will be higher.

Will keep slight chc-chc PoPs across the NE third of the CWA through the day today (to account for isolated-scattered showers). Scattered tstms are expected to develop across the Appalachians as the aforementioned upper shortwave continues to slowly move eastward. These storms may hold together as they move into the VA Piedmont (most likely timing after 00z/8 PM), but they are not expected to make it all the way to the I-95 corridor/RIC metro due to the loss of daytime heating. Not expecting a whole lot of organization to the tstms closer to our area given weak deep layer flow. Cannot rule out a stray shower or two during the second half of the night. Otherwise, partly cloudy, warm, and humid overnight with lows mainly in the low-mid 70s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 430 AM EDT Friday .

An upper-level trough will be slowly moving across the area Friday night. A slight chance for showers and/or thunderstorm will continue Friday night for areas south and east of Richmond and along the coast. The trough will remain along the coast on Friday and will be focus for afternoon thunderstorm development. Pops are 40-50% for NE NC, Hampton Roads, and Delmarva Saturday afternoon. Areas along and west of the I-95 corridor are expected to remain dry on Saturday. It will be another hot day. Low will be in the mid to upper 70s with afternoon temperatures in the mid 90s. Heat indices will be approaching 100 degrees again for Hampton Roads. Dew points will be low enough across central VA to keep heat indices from being much higher than the actual temperature.

Sunday will be another hot and mostly dry day. Only slight chance for afternoon thunderstorms near the coast and far west Piedmont. Otherwise, lows temperatures in the 70s and high temperatures in the low to mid 90s.

A trough is expected to be moving just north of the area Sunday night into Monday. This may allow for a better chance of showers and thunderstorm, best chance will be during the afternoon east of I-95 and Delmarva. Pops are 10-20% Sunday night and Monday morning across the entire area and 30-40% Monday afternoon east. Highs will not be as hot on Monday with more shower activity. High will be 87-93 degrees, and lows in the 70s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 450 PM EDT Thursday .

Overall the operational models are still in decent agreement with a Eastern US Trough being the dominant weather feature in the extended period, but the strength of the trough and differs. Southerly flow sets up Monday ahead of a weak cold front which slowly approaches from the west and eventually pushes offshore Tue morning. Kept a blended between the synoptic models increasing POP especially late Mon morning and through the afternoon. POPs should decrease from west to east monday evening and overnight into Tue morning.

POPs lessen mid week and have removed all POPs for Wed. There is a slight chance of showers early over MD on Thu and then a slight chance of showers and storms over the piedmont Thu afternoon ahead of the next front. POPS increase to chance from west to east Thu evening as a weak cold front tries to push through.

For temperatures . next week after a cooler day Monday things warm up and will be seasonably warm. Have Bumped up readings into the mid 90s Wed and Thu. Lows in the low to mid 70s.

AVIATION /16Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 1200 PM EDT Friday .

Conditions have improved to MVFR at SBY with mainly VFR conditions elsewhere (with SCT-BKN SC from 2000-4000 ft). Gusty NW winds (to ~25 kt) should subside at SBY later this aftn. Elsewhere, prevailing wind speeds should remain aob 12 kt through tonight.

TS Fay continues to move away from the local area during the remainder of the day today. Subsidence behind the departing tropical system results in only SCT CU/SC this aftn except at SBY where MVFR CIGS hang on for at least the next few hours.

OUTLOOK . VFR conditions expected thru Mon, but sct diurnal convection results in periods of MVFR CIGS/VSBYS.

MARINE. As of 345 AM EDT Friday .

TS Fay is slowly moving nwd off the VA Capes and S of Ocean City early this morning. The strongest wind field is located E and N of the center. Therefore, the wind is less locally and is generally 15-20kt with gusts to 25 kt out of the NNE across the nrn half of the area, and NNW 15-20kt across the S. There is a potential for the wind to increase to NE 20-25kt with gusts ~30kt for a brief period of time off the MD coast this morning, but conditions are expected to remain below TS force. Seas this morning are generally 5-6ft S to 6-8ft N. The wind will become NNW 15-20kt with gusts ~25k as Fay pulls to the N later this morning, and then NW 10-15kt by this aftn. Seas gradually subside to 3-4ft S to 5-6ft N by this aftn, then further subsiding to 4-5ft N by tonight. SCAs for the nrn Bay continue through this aftn, through late morning for the srn Bay, and 7am for the lower James. SCAs for the ocean will continue into this aftn for the nrn coastal zones and through late morning for the srn zones. The wind will become S/SW tonight through the weekend as Fay moves well to the N of the area and a trough develops over the Great Lakes. Wind speeds are generally expected to be 10-15kt, with occasionally 15-20kt over the ocean. Seas will generally be 2-3ft S (occasionally 4ft out near 20nm), to 3-4ft N, with 1-2ft waves in the Bay. A weak cold front tries to push into the area early next week. A brief wind shift to NW is possible late Monday into early Tuesday, but speeds are expected to remain below 15kt.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ632- 634-656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ630- 631. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ650- 652-654.

SYNOPSIS . ERI NEAR TERM . CP/ERI SHORT TERM . CP LONG TERM . JAO AVIATION . ERI/MPR MARINE . AJZ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 19 mi55 min WSW 8 G 12 82°F 1011 hPa
FRFN7 20 mi193 min 4 ft
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 21 mi47 min 79°F4 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 27 mi47 min 80°F4 ft
44086 40 mi60 min 78°F5 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 40 mi55 min W 7 G 8.9 84°F 82°F1010.4 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 42 mi61 min S 5.1 G 6 81°F 78°F1011.6 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 48 mi55 min W 8.9 G 13 84°F 1010.6 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 49 mi55 min W 12 G 16 83°F 1010.8 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC5 mi19 minVar 610.00 miA Few Clouds89°F75°F63%1010.9 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC13 mi18 minWSW 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F74°F67%1010.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECG

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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1 day agoE9E9E10SE5E8E8E7E8NE7E7E7E6E6E6E7E6NE8NE8NE9NE11E9NE9NE10NE15
2 days agoSE11SE11SE10SE10SW6S4S5S5SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmSE3E5CalmE9SE7SE11E11E11SE7

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 05:58 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:06 PM EDT     3.31 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:16 PM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.12.51.710.50.30.51.11.82.53.13.33.22.72.11.40.80.60.71.11.72.43

Tide / Current Tables for FRF Pier, Duck, North Carolina
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.