Friday, February21, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Elizabeth City, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 5:52PM Friday February 21, 2020 10:46 AM EST (15:46 UTC) Moonrise 5:51AMMoonset 4:03PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth City, NC
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location: 36.25, -76.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 211207 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 707 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build in from the Midwest today through the weekend. The next system will impact the area early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 700 AM EST Friday .

Sfc low pressure has moved well east of the Carolina coast this morning. Meanwhile, high pressure will be building into the local area from the Midwest today. Have let all winter wx headlines expire as of 7 am and replaced them with special wx statements (SPS's) to highlight the potential of black ice and slippery conditions through the morning hours with temps at or just below freezing. Today will be a cold day despite a clearing sky later this morning. Highs no better than the mid-upr 30s. Remaining breezy along the coast this morning. Clear and cold tonight as high pressure moves overhead. Lows from the mid-10s in the coldest spots to the low- mid 20s coast.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 350 AM EST Friday .

Saturday will be dry w/ more seasonable conditions and high pressure overhead. Highs in the upr 40s to low 50s. Sfc high pressure remains near or just SE of the local area Sat night through Sun as the next storm system begins to take shape INVOF central Plains. Winds turn SSW leading to continued moderation w/ little clouds. SKC Sat night w/ near calm conditions. Lows in the mid-upr 20s inland to the low 30s right along the immediate coast in ern/SE VA and coastal NE NC. Mostly sunny and mild Sunday w/ highs mainly 55-60F . though cooler along the bay/ocean.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 255 PM EDT Thursday .

Low pressure tracks NE through the Ohio Valley late Monday into Tuesday. The trailing cold front will result in scattered rain showers with PoPs increasing to 60-75% by Tuesday. This system will be followed by stronger low developing Wednesday/Thursday along a deep trough moving into the region. This system is developing in a much stronger kinematic environment but current model consensus is that the low will track inland, and therefore it is expected bring only rain into the CWA Wednesday into early Thursday. High pressure moves in Thursday.

Low temps Sun night will range from the low 30s in the piedmont to the upper 30s along the coast. Low temps Mon and Tues nights will range from the low 40s in the NW to the upper 40s to low 50s in the SE. Low temps Wed night will range from the mid 30s in the NW to the low 40s in the SE. Low temps on Thurs night will be the coldest of the long term period with mid-20s in the NW and low 30s in the SE. High temps Mon will range from the mid-50s in the NW to around 60F in the SE. High temps Tues and Wed will range from the upper 50s in the NW to the mid-60s in the SE. High temps on Thurs will range from the upper 40s in the NW to the mid-50s in the SE.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 700 AM EST Friday .

Mid stratus deck at 3500-5000 ft will pass over PHF/ORF/ECG through 14-15z. Otw, SKC or becoming SKC today. Breezy N winds will continue along the immediate coast this morning, especially ORF and ECG where gusts will reach 30-35 kt. SKC tonight with light/calm winds.

OUTLOOK . VFR conditions prevail Sat through Sun, as high pressure builds over the area then slides offshore. Rain showers and possible flight restrictions will be possible Mon aftn into Tue aftn, as a cold front approaches and moves through the region.

MARINE. As of 350 AM EST Friday .

Low pressure is pulling off the Southeast coast early this morning. Meanwhile, high pressure is building in from the NNW. The wind is NNE 25-30kt for much of the area, 30-35kt S of Cape Henry, and 15-25kt for the rivers. Seas range from 5-7ft N, to ~10ft S, with 3-4ft waves in the Bay. Pressure rises of +4-5mb over the next 6hrs should help maintain current wind speeds through this morning, and could even increase a few kt as drier air spreads over the water over the next few hours. Current headlines remain on track. The lower Bay and ocean from Cape Charles to Parramore Is. will get close to gale conditions. However, high-end SCA conditions are expected to prevail. Seas could briefly build to 10-12ft off the Currituck Outer Banks this morning, and nearshore waves will be >= 8ft, so the High Surf Advisory remains on track from now through this aftn. The pressure gradient will relax this aftn into tonight as high pressure builds into the region. The wind will diminish this aftn and become NW/N 10-20kt by tonight. Seas will be slow to subside tonight, especially S where SCA flags will be necessary once gale conditions cease.

High pressure settles S of the region Saturday into Saturday night, and then slides offshore Sunday. The wind will become SW with speeds generally less than 15kt. Seas will subside to 3-4ft Saturday, then 2-3ft Saturday night into Sunday. Low pressure approaches from the W Monday. This area of low pressure is forecast to track N of the region Monday night into Tuesday with a weakening cold front approaching from the W. Sub-SCA conditions are expected to prevail with a S wind of 10-15kt and seas ranging from 2-3ft S to 3-4ft N.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . High Surf Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NCZ102. Wind Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for NCZ102. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ635>637. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ632- 634. Gale Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ633-656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ630- 631-638. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Saturday for ANZ654. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ650- 652.

SYNOPSIS . JDM NEAR TERM . JDM SHORT TERM . ALB/JDM LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . JDM MARINE . AJZ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FRFN7 25 mi107 min 10 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 25 mi59 min N 28 G 36 34°F 1028.7 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 26 mi47 min 47°F10 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 33 mi47 min 47°F13 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 37 mi53 min NNE 13 G 21 31°F 48°F1031.9 hPa
44086 45 mi22 min 48°F14 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 45 mi53 min N 20 G 31 32°F 1032 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 47 mi53 min N 25 G 31 35°F 44°F1028 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 48 mi53 min N 26 G 29 28°F 1032 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 48 mi53 min 47°F1032.7 hPa

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC2 mi53 minN 2010.00 miFair and Breezy34°F21°F61%1031 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC15 mi1.9 hrsN 25 G 2910.00 miMostly Cloudy and Windy31°F23°F73%1030.1 hPa
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC24 mi1.9 hrsN 7 G 1510.00 miMostly Cloudy33°F29°F87%1030.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECG

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN12N14N14N13N13N8N8N6N6N6N6N6N5N5NE3CalmN3NE5N6N8N7N11NE11NE15
2 days agoSW3W5W5SW7SW8W5SW4S5--SW5S6SW7SW7S8S7SW6SW6SW7W8N18
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N19N17N10

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:03 AM EST     3.56 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:25 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:01 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:17 PM EST     3.00 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.20.211.92.73.33.63.42.821.10.4-000.51.222.732.92.41.70.80.1

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:48 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:08 AM EST     3.61 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:34 PM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:01 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:28 PM EST     2.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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00.311.92.83.43.63.52.92.11.20.50.10.10.41.11.92.52.82.82.51.810.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.