Wednesday, July15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Elizabeth City, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:58AMSunset 8:23PM Wednesday July 15, 2020 4:56 AM EDT (08:56 UTC) Moonrise 12:56AMMoonset 2:51PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ130 Albemarle Sound- 307 Pm Edt Thu Apr 4 2019
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth City, NC
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location: 36.25, -76.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 150745 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 345 AM EDT Wed Jul 15 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds into the region today into Thursday, and then slides off the coast Friday. A trough of low pressure will push into the area this weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 345 AM EDT Wednesday .

The current analysis shows an upper trough over Atlantic Canada downstream of a ridge over the Ern Great Lakes. At the surface, weak high pressure is centered over wrn PA. Mostly clear early this morning across the local area, with temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s for much of the area, and mid 70s for the coasts of SE VA and NE NC. Surface high pressure will build across New England today, with a subtle boundary sliding across the region this morning. Light onshore flow will develop behind this boundary as the high builds to the NE. 850mb temperatures range from 15-17C today supporting seasonal highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with mid 80s at the immediate coast with onshore flow. Good mixing and drier air associated with the high to the NE will allow aftn dewpoints to drop into the mid 60s away from the coasts. Most areas will be partly to mostly sunny and dry today, with only a slight chc of showers/tstms along the sea- breeze over the MD Ern Shore, and an additional slight chc over the SW Piedmont.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 345 AM EDT Wednesday .

High pressure remains centered over New England tonight into Thursday. Therefore, expect mostly clear and dry conditions for tonight, with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. The low-level flow becomes more SE by Thursday as the high nudges offshore. Upper heights build across the region Thursday as a ridge builds in aloft from the W. Thus, there is not much of a trigger for aftn/early evening showers/tstms, so PoPs are largely 20% or less, with the exception of the NW Piedmont where PoPs are up to 30% Thursday aftn as some showers/tstms could drift off the mountains as some shortwave energy slides across the nrn periphery of the ridge. 850mb temperatures Thursday remain in the 15-17C range supporting seasonable highs once again in the upper 80s/low 90s (mid 80s at the coast with onshore flow). Dewpoints Thursday aftn range from the mid to upper 60s, so heat indices will again be near or slightly above the ambient temperature. Overall, quite typical for mid July. Hot and more humid Friday with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s, and max heat indices in the mid 90s to around 100F. PoPs of 30-40% for showers/tstms, especially during the aftn/evening, as a weak trough/shortwave energy pushes into the region. Lows will mainly range from the upper 60s to mid 70s Friday morning.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 350 PM EDT Tuesday .

The extended portion of the forecast will bring a continuation of typical mid Summer conditions. Broad E-W high pres aloft (from the wrn Atlantic to the Rockies will remain in control while a weak sfc trough lingers over interior portions of the mid-Atlantic region. There will be a slight weakness (or trough) in the ridge INVOF mid- Atlantic and that will allow for poss mainly daily diurnal SHRAs/tstms (highest PoPs 30-50% inland each day). Lows at night in the l-m70s. Highs each day from the u80s-m90s.

AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 155 AM EDT Wednesday .

Weak high pressure builds in from the north early this morning and becomes centered over New England today into tonight promoting light onshore flow across the region. Mostly clear this morning with some patchy fog possible through 12z. PHF will be an exception where shallow ground fog is expected to produce variable vsby (LIFR to VFR) through about 10z. FEW-SCT CU this aftn for most of the area, with a slight chc of a sea-breeze shower or tstm at SBY. Mostly clear conditions are expected by tonight.

The chc for aftn/early evening showers/tstms is generally less than 15% at the TAF sites Thursday, 20-30% Friday, 30-40% Saturday, and 20-40% by Sunday. VFR conditions are expected to prevail outside of showers/tstms.

MARINE. As of 230 AM EDT Wednesday .

Sfc high pressure will reside over New England today. Light and variable winds this morning will become ESE 10 kt or less by late this morning into the afternoon. Generally light onshore flow is expected to continue through tonight, before a slight uptick in east winds for Thursday (10-15 kt) which become SSE at similar speeds on Friday. SSW winds aob 15 kt expected this coming weekend as a weakening frontal boundary washes out over the region. Waves on the Ches Bay will remain 1-2 ft through the period; seas 2-3 ft.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ/TMG NEAR TERM . AJZ SHORT TERM . AJZ/TMG LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . AJZ MARINE . JDM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FRFN7 25 mi176 min 2 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 25 mi146 min 1017.3 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 26 mi60 min 80°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 33 mi60 min 80°F2 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 37 mi62 min 83°F
44086 45 mi43 min 79°F2 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 45 mi146 min 1017.7 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 47 mi62 min 83°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 48 mi146 min 1018.3 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 48 mi62 min 82°F

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC2 mi62 minN 01.75 miFog/Mist74°F73°F100%1017.7 hPa
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC15 mi61 minN 010.00 miFair73°F72°F100%1017.6 hPa
Edenton, Northeastern Regional Airport, NC24 mi61 minN 010.00 miFair77°F75°F95%1017.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KECG

Wind History from ECG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW5NW3NW9N6NE3CalmN34CalmSE7SE7NE18
G26
E6E6E5E6E5E4E5E5E3E3Calm
1 day agoS6SW7SW7SW11
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W11NW8N7CalmCalmE8S8S7E11
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SE7S3SE5SW3Calm--S5S3CalmCalmNW3
2 days agoSW6--SW5SW5SW3SW4S7S7S11SW11SW8SW10SW12SW9S9S7S8SW6S4S7SW7SW5SW7SW6

Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:39 AM EDT     2.89 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:42 AM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:12 PM EDT     3.59 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:50 PM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.422.52.82.92.62.21.61.10.70.70.91.52.22.83.43.63.53.12.51.91.30.90.8

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:36 AM EDT     2.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:40 AM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 04:19 PM EDT     3.36 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:52 PM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.72.22.52.62.421.510.60.50.81.21.82.53.13.33.332.51.91.20.80.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.