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Marine Weather and Tides Coinjock, NC Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 5:58AM

Sunset 8:23PM

Thursday July 16, 2020 9:24 AM EDT (13:24 UTC)

Moonrise 1:28AM

Moonset 3:50PM

Illumination 15%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Coinjock, NC

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 161058 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 658 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure centered off the New England coast will continue to prevail today, before sliding off the coast tonight into Friday. A trough of low pressure will slide across the area later Friday into Saturday. High pressure off the Southeast coast will bring increasingly hot conditions to the region Sunday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 355 AM EDT Thursday .

The current surface analysis depicts 1028mb high pressure centered across New Brunswick, with a surface ridge axis extending to the SW into the Mid-Atlantic. Partly cloudy to mostly clear early this morning, with temperatures ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s. This area of high pressure will begin to slide offshore today and the low-level flow becomes more southeasterly. An upper level ridge will build across the region today, thus there is not much of a trigger for aftn/early evening showers/tstms, so PoPs are less than 15%, with the exception of a 20% chc for the far wrn Piedmont. 850mb temperatures today remain in the 15-17C range supporting seasonable highs once again in the upper 80s/low 90s (mid 80s at the coast with onshore flow). Some guidance is a few degrees lower with highs, but stayed on the high side of guidance given recent dry conditions for most of the area. Dewpoints Thursday aftn range from the mid to upper 60s, so heat indices will again be near or slightly above the ambient temperature. Overall, quite typical for mid July.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 355 AM EDT Thursday .

16/00z numerical guidance is quicker with breaking the ridge down an allowing shortwave energy and a surface trough to track across the region Friday aftn/evening. Forecast PoPs range from 30-50% from the Piedmont to the Ern Shore, with 20-30% for SE VA/NE NC. Much of the local area has received 25-50% of normal rainfall the past 2 weeks (even less in some areas of central VA), so any rain from showers/tstms should be welcome. The only exception in the MD Ern Shore from SBY to WAL to OXB. Given strong surface heating some locally strong wind gusts are possible in any tstms. Hotter and more humid Friday with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s, and max heat indices in the mid 90s to around 100F. Lows will mainly range from the upper 60s to mid 70s Friday morning.

Similar conditions are expected Saturday with the boundary remaining in the region and some weakness in the ridging aloft over the Mid Atlantic. The potential for showers and tstms increases into the aftn with strong surface heating. Some degree of uncertainty on where the boundary will stall, so will PoPs remain in the chc range (30-50%). More clouds around on Saturday will keep high temperatures in the upper 80s and low 90s (possibly mid 90s for central VA), however, dewpoints in the low to mid 70s will result in afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s and low 100s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 355 AM EDT Thursday .

Latest model guidance for the long range continues to imply hot/humid summer conditions with chance for showers/storms each day. Although certainly not unprecedented, temps are expected to be above normal and the hottest so far this summer, with the broad upper ridge extending from the Rockies through the middle Atlantic states. This will allow 850mb temps of 20-22C to move across the region from the west per the GFS and ECMWF. This would suggest temps in the mid- upper 90s each day with perhaps the warmest day being Monday. In fact, the NBM mean for Monday suggests some 100F high temperatures near and just north of RIC. However, have kept in the upper 90s as any shower/storm activity would keep temps slightly below 100. Regardless of the exact temperature, expect heat index values to approach 105 each day. Speaking of storms, will keep chance PoPs each afternoon/evening in the extended as the area will be on the southern edge of the westerlies which combined with the expected lee trough will allow for late aftn/evening storms to develop across the Piedmont/I-95 corridor and move east before dissipating.

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 700 AM EDT Thursday .

High pressure will remain in vicinity of the New England coast today, and this will result in a SE wind that will peak at 8-12kt late morning through the aftn. Occasional mid and high clouds will pass across the region this morning, mainly for RIC/SBY/PHF. SCT CU are expected during the aftn, and dry conditions are expected as showers/tstms are expected to remain along and W of the Blue Ridge. The high will gradually slide offshore tonight the the low-level flow veering from SSE to SSW under occasional mid and high clouds, especially after 06z.

The chc for aftn/early evening showers/tstms is generally 20-40% Friday, 30-40% Saturday, and 20-30% Sunday and Monday. VFR conditions are expected to prevail outside of showers/tstms.

MARINE. As of 325 AM EDT Thursday .

No headlines in the short term through Saturday. Early this morning, sfc high pressure was pushing off the New England coast. Winds were E 5-10 kt, while waves/seas were 1-2 ft. Expect winds to become SE 10-15 kt this aftn, then SSE 10-15 kt Fri aftn. SSW winds around 10 kt or less expected Sat and Sun, as a weakening frontal boundary washes out over the region. Waves on the Ches Bay will remain 1-2 ft through the period, with seas 2-3 ft.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ NEAR TERM . AJZ SHORT TERM . AJZ/RHR LONG TERM . AJZ/MRD AVIATION . AJZ MARINE . JDM

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370	15 mi	54 min	E 16 G 17
44056 - Duck FRF, NC	16 mi	58 min			80°F	3 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430)	20 mi	58 min			80°F	3 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA	36 mi	54 min	E 5.1 G 8.9		83°F
44086	37 mi	41 min			79°F	3 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147)	41 mi	178 min			80°F	2 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA	41 mi	54 min	E 11 G 12
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA	43 mi	54 min	E 9.9 G 11
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC	43 mi	54 min	NE 11 G 13		81°F
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA	46 mi	54 min			81°F
CHBV2	48 mi	54 min	E 8.9 G 11
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA	48 mi	126 min	ESE 8 G 8.9
44087	49 mi	58 min			81°F	1 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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NE8

NE11

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E17

E16 G20

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E12 G15

E10 G13

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1 day ago

N6

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2 days ago

W16

NW13 G16

NW7 G10

NE3

N2

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NE5

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N10

NE3

S15

SW15

SW8

SW5

W4

SW6

SW10

SW8

S6

S5

SW5

SW1

N3

NW5

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC	5 mi	29 min	E 5	10.00 mi	Fair	80°F	73°F	81%	1023 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC	13 mi	30 min	E 9	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	83°F	75°F	77%	1022.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONX

Wind History from ONX (wind in knots)

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NE5

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E5

E5

E7

E4

E3

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

NE7

NE5

1 day ago

N4

NE3

NE3

E4

E6

E4

E6

NE4

E4

Calm

Calm

Calm

E3

Calm

Calm

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NE4

2 days ago

W6

NW3

N5

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N3

E5

N9 G19

SE12 G19

S6

Calm

NW5

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

N3

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Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina

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Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (9,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA

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