Thursday, July29, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Coinjock, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:08AMSunset 8:14PM Thursday July 29, 2021 5:42 PM EDT (21:42 UTC) Moonrise 10:43PMMoonset 10:43AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 504 Pm Edt Thu Jul 29 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday morning...
Through 7 pm..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw early in the afternoon, then becoming N late. Waves 1 to 2 ft, diminishing to less than 1 foot and light chop in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, increasing to 1 to 2 ft late. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Sat..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop.
Sun..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop. Showers likely. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop, diminishing to flat after midnight. A chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves less than 1 foot and light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 504 Pm Edt Thu Jul 29 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Low pressure will track well north of the region later today and tonight. The trailing cold front will cross the area Friday morning, then stall across the carolinas through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Coinjock, NC
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location: 36.34, -75.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 291939 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 339 PM EDT Thu Jul 29 2021

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will track by north of the local area tonight to be followed by its trailing cold front during Fri. The front stalls across the Carolinas by Saturday. Low pressure moves east along the front Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. As of 330 PM EDT Thursday .

Not quite sure how the convective scenario evolves this evening given the continued conflicting model guidance. Warm front now N of the FA . and weak lo pres is expected to move E across far nrn VA and MD. WNW flow aloft can be a signal for strong/svr convection. Certainly there is available heat/moisture available here but the best svr wx parameters may be just N of the FA. Svr watch now out for the lower MD ern shore through 01Z/30 . and if necessary can be expanded S to include VA counties. Tail of mid level S/W now exiting the higher terrain NW of the FA. Highest confidence for ISOLD/SCT tstms right now is mainly N of a WAL-XSA-LKU line through mid/late evening. Wouldn't rule out ISOLD stms popping up further S . for now keeping PoPs AOB 15% across srn/SE VA-NE NC. Any lingering pcpn likely to dissipate after midnight/by late tonight as a cold front enters the far NNW areas. Lows 70-75F.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 310 PM EDT Thursday .

The cold front progresses into/through srn/SE portions of the FA Fri Right now. SPC has MRGL along/S of the Albemarle Sound . still will carry 20-30% far srn/SE VA across NE NC before the frontal passage. Will be another hot/humid day (heat indices topping out around 100F one last day in this stretch) across srn/SE VA and NE NC (pre-frontal passage) while drying/lowering dew points occurs over central/nrn portions. Highs in the u80s-l90s.

Any lingering SHRAs/tstms Fri evening likely to diminish/end early. Period of NNE winds (gusty at the coast) and cold/dry air advection Fri night into Sat ends the recent period of high humidity heading into the weekend. Low Fri night in the l60s N to around 70F far SE.

The front stalls across the Carolinas by Sat. Expecting mostly sunny conditions N and partly sunny S and very comfy for the last day of July Highs in the l80s. u70s right along the coast/beaches.

This time of year . hard to keep the dry/cooler wx here. Hi pres shifts off the SE coast of New England Sat night leading to a quick return of moisture from the SSW. A series of lo pres systems forecast to moves along the stalled front (across NC). Increasing PoPs to 50-70% (mainly SHRAs) for late Sat night into Sun afternoon along w/ widespread clouds. Lows Sat night mainly in the m-u60s. Highs Sun in the 70s to l80s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 100 PM EDT Thursday .

Unsettled wx conditions expected early/mid next week as trough aloft amplifies through Great Lakes and OH/TN Valleys. Initially a frontal boundary is forecast to push just offshore Sun night/Mon then due to the trough digging in to the W of the FA . the front would likely back WNW into the local area through mid week. The overall pattern setting up is fairly typical for mid Summer (and fits an MJO forecast of a transition from phase 6 to phases 8 and 1 - favoring BLO normal temps and near-ABV normal pcpn) and usually leads to a few/several days of high potential for SHRAs/tstms and psbl heavy rainfall. Have capped PoPs at 50% through the period.

Nighttime lows through the period mainly from the m60s to around 70F. Highs Mon 80-85F. Highs Tue in the l80s. Highs Wed and Thu in the l-m80s.

AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 1245 PM EDT Thursday .

VFR conditions expected for the majority of the 18Z/29 TAF forecast period. Convection is expected develop by late this afternoon (after 19-21Z/29) w/ the highest prob being at SBY and RIC through this evening. Local MVFR/IFR in heavy rain along w/ gusty winds due to any stms. SSW winds mainly BLO 10 kt. ISOLD/SCT convection expected to wane overnight as a cold front enters the FA from the NW. Additional stms are psbl Fri afternoon across SE VA-NE NC as that cold front pushes SE . OTW VFR.

Generally VFR Fri night/Sat though NNE winds become gusty near the coast. Lo pres tracking across NC Sun may result in IFR/MVFR conditions and psbl SHRAs.

MARINE. As of 320 PM EDT Thursday .

A cold front moves over the local waters late tonight into Friday. Ahead of the front, winds are S/SW 10-15 kt, becoming SW 15-20 kt late this evening into tonight. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay, Lower James, and Currituck Sound from 8 PM through most of the night. As the cold front moves through late tonight through Fri morning, winds shift to NW/N 10-15 kt, remaining N 10-15 kt through Fri night. Winds may approach SCA criteria with the CAA surge late Fri night into early Sat, but for now, expect winds to remain around 15 kt. Winds switch from NE 5-10 kt to SE Sat into Sat night, remaining SE 10-15 kt through Sun. Another cold front comes through Sun night with winds shifting back to N Mon.

Waves of 1-2 ft and seas of 2-3 ft build to 2-3 ft and 3-4 ft respectively overnight before subsiding back to 1-2 ft and 2-3 ft by Fri afternoon through early next week. Seas may approach or briefly touch 5 ft tonight, but confidence is too low to issue a SCA at this time.

Moderate rips expected Sat.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 7 AM EDT Friday for ANZ631>634-638. Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 4 AM EDT Friday for ANZ630.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . ALB SHORT TERM . ALB LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . ALB/MPR MARINE . RMM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 15 mi55 min SSW 11 G 14 86°F 1013.1 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 16 mi47 min 80°F2 ft
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 20 mi47 min 80°F2 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 36 mi55 min SW 6 G 13 89°F 83°F1011.7 hPa
44086 37 mi60 min 80°F3 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 41 mi55 min SSW 8.9 G 14 88°F 1012.2 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 42 mi47 min 78°F2 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 43 mi55 min WSW 8 G 15 89°F 1011.8 hPa
ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC 43 mi61 min SSW 14 G 16 82°F 82°F1014.1 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 46 mi55 min 81°F1011.9 hPa
CHBV2 48 mi55 min WSW 2.9 G 4.1 88°F 1010.9 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 48 mi55 min SW 13 G 14 86°F 1011.9 hPa
44087 49 mi47 min 84°F1 ft

Wind History for Duck, NC
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC13 mi49 minS 1010.00 miFair88°F76°F68%1012.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONX

Wind History from ONX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3CalmSW4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW5NW3CalmN3SW3W3SW4SW6SW6S5S4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
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Tide / Current Tables for Currituck Beach Light, North Carolina
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Currituck Beach Light
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Thu -- 06:03 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:19 PM EDT     3.63 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:37 PM EDT     0.53 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.53.22.61.810.50.20.411.82.63.33.63.53.12.51.710.60.60.91.52.22.8

Tide / Current Tables for Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina
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Duck Pier
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:07 AM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:21 PM EDT     3.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:42 PM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.22.61.910.40.20.30.81.52.43.13.43.432.51.81.10.70.70.91.42.12.8

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