Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Viola, AR
April 18, 2025 2:36 AM CDT (07:36 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:28 AM Sunset 7:43 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 8:46 AM |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Viola, AR
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS64 KLZK 180731 AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 231 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday Night)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Relatively quiet albeit breezy conditions are ongoing across the Natural state early this Fri morning...with mainly dry conditions continuing. Temps have remained int he 60s and 70s due to this wind allowing mixing to continue during the overnight period. If winds were to relax some...especially in those more sheltered locations...those areas could see temps drop into the upper 50s to low 60s
Otherwise
most areas will see mild but mainly dry conditions continuing into the morning hrs. SRLY winds will continue into the afternoon hrs...allowing temps to warm into the mid 70s to mid 80s. Dewpts will also be on the rise ahead of an approaching cold front.
A more active pattern will develop over the next few days starting today as he cold front approaches from the NW. Flow aloft will increase from the SW by this afternoon...with this front slowing as it approaches AR as it becomes parallel to the upper flow. Chances for convection increase across the NWRN portion of the CWA late this afternoon...but primarily this evening into the overnight period.
Best overlap of instability and SHR will be just ahead of this front over the same NWRN corner of the state...though coverage of convection looks somewhat limited due to forecast CIN going into the evening/overnight period with decreasing SFC heating. Any threat for SVR convection will be conditional on this CIN being overcome by either forcing from the SFC front...or any upper level waves passing overhead
In any case
coverage in the LZK CWA looks somewhat limited...with better coverage of convection further NW along/behind the SFC front through tonight.
The SFC front that will initially stall over the far NWRN corner of the state tonight will lift back to the NW some during the day on Sat as flow aloft becomes more SRLY just west of AR. The focus for convection will shift slightly NW as a result...but may wobble back to the SE slightly for Sat night. This slight shift will be aided from the upper level closed low over the SWRN CONUS lifting ENE into the SRN Plains...opening into a more open upper wave as it moves closer to AR. Best chances for convection look to remain just west/NW of the CWA through Sat night as a result...but this upper shortwave will continue lifting NE...north of AR by the early part of the long term period. This will be when the focus for convection will shift east and impact a larger portion of the CWA
The threat for seeing strong/SVR convection will remain conditional through the short term period given the primary focus of convection remaining just to the NW of AR. If convection were to develop into the far WRN to NWRN counties this afternoon/tonight...and again for Sat afternoon/night...a couple of these storms could become strong to SVR if they manage to overcome the CAP. All modes of SVR Wx could be seen
including damaging winds
large hail...and possibly a tornado
Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible
with the highest threat for seeing heavy rainfall across the NWRN corner of the CWA Will note that any adjustment in where the front stalls through Sat night will either increase or decrease the threat for seeing SVR Wx and or heavy rainfall for the CWA ..and of course the SEWD extend of those threats.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025
An active weather pattern will be ongoing heading into the long term.
Synoptically, a compact negatively tilted trough and associated closed low is anticipated to pivot across the region just to the NW of AR. This passing upper level feature will spark off a round of showers and thunderstorms across AR on Sunday and Sunday evening.
More details on Sunday's weather to come. Afterwards, upper flow will become WSW to SW through mid-to-late week. With sustained WSW/SW flow in place through the period, a couple rounds of upper level energy are expected to traverse across the region bringing additional bouts of precipitation to AR on Wednesday and Thursday.
At the surface, AR will easily reside within the warm sector on Sunday bound by a surface low just to the NW of the AR border, a cold front trailing from the surface low back to the SW, and a warm front extending E from the surface low. Dew points across the state are expected to be in the mid 50s to mid 60s, with afternoon air temperatures climbing into the mid 70s to mid 80s.
From a synoptic perspective, the closed low is expected to be rather compact and as such the wind field confined to a relatively small area compared to the previous couple of big weather events. While impressive jet dynamics appear present such as winds turning clockwise with height in addition to speed maxima's, the area being covered is smaller and in closer proximity to the upper level features. This puts the best helicity, 0-1km and 0-3km, overlapped with other favorable ingredients over MO. Also, the forecasted environment looks to be low CAPE high shear and EBWD of 50-70 kts.
Nonetheless, the threat for strong to severe weather remains possible across much of the state with all modes of severe weather possible. LCL's are a bit high for ideal tornado conditions, but this low level drier air could accelerate rain cooled air to the ground leading to an enhanced damaging wind gust threat. Timing of strongest storms appear to be Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening.
A flood watch remains in place over portions of NW AR where total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible from Friday through Monday. Locally higher amounts are possible over NW AR.
A brief surface high will move into the state in the wake of Sundays cold front. High pressure will remain in control through Tuesday bringing a reprieve of rainfall from over the weekend. By mid to late week, PoPs will increase once again in response to passing upper level impulses. At this time the risk of severe weather looks low for the mid-week systems. Temperatures through the period will largely be in the upper 50s to mid 60s for lows and upper 70s to mid 80s for highs.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 85 68 81 64 / 10 20 20 60 Camden AR 88 65 85 65 / 0 0 10 20 Harrison AR 81 63 71 59 / 30 70 80 90 Hot Springs AR 87 66 83 64 / 0 10 30 50 Little Rock AR 87 68 84 66 / 0 10 10 40 Monticello AR 88 68 85 67 / 0 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 86 67 81 63 / 10 20 40 60 Mountain Home AR 82 64 74 59 / 20 60 70 80 Newport AR 86 68 84 65 / 0 10 10 40 Pine Bluff AR 88 67 84 66 / 0 0 10 20 Russellville AR 86 67 81 63 / 20 30 40 70 Searcy AR 86 67 83 64 / 0 10 10 40 Stuttgart AR 87 68 84 66 / 0 0 10 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Flood Watch from this evening through Sunday evening for ARZ004>006-014-015-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203- 212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 231 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025
New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(Today through Saturday Night)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025
Relatively quiet albeit breezy conditions are ongoing across the Natural state early this Fri morning...with mainly dry conditions continuing. Temps have remained int he 60s and 70s due to this wind allowing mixing to continue during the overnight period. If winds were to relax some...especially in those more sheltered locations...those areas could see temps drop into the upper 50s to low 60s
Otherwise
most areas will see mild but mainly dry conditions continuing into the morning hrs. SRLY winds will continue into the afternoon hrs...allowing temps to warm into the mid 70s to mid 80s. Dewpts will also be on the rise ahead of an approaching cold front.
A more active pattern will develop over the next few days starting today as he cold front approaches from the NW. Flow aloft will increase from the SW by this afternoon...with this front slowing as it approaches AR as it becomes parallel to the upper flow. Chances for convection increase across the NWRN portion of the CWA late this afternoon...but primarily this evening into the overnight period.
Best overlap of instability and SHR will be just ahead of this front over the same NWRN corner of the state...though coverage of convection looks somewhat limited due to forecast CIN going into the evening/overnight period with decreasing SFC heating. Any threat for SVR convection will be conditional on this CIN being overcome by either forcing from the SFC front...or any upper level waves passing overhead
In any case
coverage in the LZK CWA looks somewhat limited...with better coverage of convection further NW along/behind the SFC front through tonight.
The SFC front that will initially stall over the far NWRN corner of the state tonight will lift back to the NW some during the day on Sat as flow aloft becomes more SRLY just west of AR. The focus for convection will shift slightly NW as a result...but may wobble back to the SE slightly for Sat night. This slight shift will be aided from the upper level closed low over the SWRN CONUS lifting ENE into the SRN Plains...opening into a more open upper wave as it moves closer to AR. Best chances for convection look to remain just west/NW of the CWA through Sat night as a result...but this upper shortwave will continue lifting NE...north of AR by the early part of the long term period. This will be when the focus for convection will shift east and impact a larger portion of the CWA
The threat for seeing strong/SVR convection will remain conditional through the short term period given the primary focus of convection remaining just to the NW of AR. If convection were to develop into the far WRN to NWRN counties this afternoon/tonight...and again for Sat afternoon/night...a couple of these storms could become strong to SVR if they manage to overcome the CAP. All modes of SVR Wx could be seen
including damaging winds
large hail...and possibly a tornado
Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible
with the highest threat for seeing heavy rainfall across the NWRN corner of the CWA Will note that any adjustment in where the front stalls through Sat night will either increase or decrease the threat for seeing SVR Wx and or heavy rainfall for the CWA ..and of course the SEWD extend of those threats.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Fri Apr 18 2025
An active weather pattern will be ongoing heading into the long term.
Synoptically, a compact negatively tilted trough and associated closed low is anticipated to pivot across the region just to the NW of AR. This passing upper level feature will spark off a round of showers and thunderstorms across AR on Sunday and Sunday evening.
More details on Sunday's weather to come. Afterwards, upper flow will become WSW to SW through mid-to-late week. With sustained WSW/SW flow in place through the period, a couple rounds of upper level energy are expected to traverse across the region bringing additional bouts of precipitation to AR on Wednesday and Thursday.
At the surface, AR will easily reside within the warm sector on Sunday bound by a surface low just to the NW of the AR border, a cold front trailing from the surface low back to the SW, and a warm front extending E from the surface low. Dew points across the state are expected to be in the mid 50s to mid 60s, with afternoon air temperatures climbing into the mid 70s to mid 80s.
From a synoptic perspective, the closed low is expected to be rather compact and as such the wind field confined to a relatively small area compared to the previous couple of big weather events. While impressive jet dynamics appear present such as winds turning clockwise with height in addition to speed maxima's, the area being covered is smaller and in closer proximity to the upper level features. This puts the best helicity, 0-1km and 0-3km, overlapped with other favorable ingredients over MO. Also, the forecasted environment looks to be low CAPE high shear and EBWD of 50-70 kts.
Nonetheless, the threat for strong to severe weather remains possible across much of the state with all modes of severe weather possible. LCL's are a bit high for ideal tornado conditions, but this low level drier air could accelerate rain cooled air to the ground leading to an enhanced damaging wind gust threat. Timing of strongest storms appear to be Sunday afternoon and Sunday evening.
A flood watch remains in place over portions of NW AR where total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible from Friday through Monday. Locally higher amounts are possible over NW AR.
A brief surface high will move into the state in the wake of Sundays cold front. High pressure will remain in control through Tuesday bringing a reprieve of rainfall from over the weekend. By mid to late week, PoPs will increase once again in response to passing upper level impulses. At this time the risk of severe weather looks low for the mid-week systems. Temperatures through the period will largely be in the upper 50s to mid 60s for lows and upper 70s to mid 80s for highs.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 85 68 81 64 / 10 20 20 60 Camden AR 88 65 85 65 / 0 0 10 20 Harrison AR 81 63 71 59 / 30 70 80 90 Hot Springs AR 87 66 83 64 / 0 10 30 50 Little Rock AR 87 68 84 66 / 0 10 10 40 Monticello AR 88 68 85 67 / 0 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 86 67 81 63 / 10 20 40 60 Mountain Home AR 82 64 74 59 / 20 60 70 80 Newport AR 86 68 84 65 / 0 10 10 40 Pine Bluff AR 88 67 84 66 / 0 0 10 20 Russellville AR 86 67 81 63 / 20 30 40 70 Searcy AR 86 67 83 64 / 0 10 10 40 Stuttgart AR 87 68 84 66 / 0 0 10 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Flood Watch from this evening through Sunday evening for ARZ004>006-014-015-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203- 212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Air | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KBPK
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KBPK
Wind History Graph: BPK
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Southern Mississippi Valley
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