Thursday, July16, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Viola, AR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:03AMSunset 8:22PM Thursday July 16, 2020 10:54 AM CDT (15:54 UTC) Moonrise 1:33AMMoonset 3:57PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Viola, AR
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location: 36.34, -92     debug


Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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FXUS64 KLZK 161129 AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 629 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2020

AVIATION.

A frontal boundary across the north will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to the northern terminals during the afternoon hours. Otherwise, dry conditions are expected across the state with widespread VFR conditions. Winds will be light and from the south to southeast.

PREV DISCUSSION. (ISSUED 307 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2020) Short term . Today through Friday night

Pattern this morning is dominated by a broad mid level ridge which covers the majority of the central and southern conus. Position of this anticyclone has pushed the overall storm track across the central plains and into the Ohio Valley. With the center of the high over central Texas, numerous upper impulses will travel along the northern periphery of said feature.

Weak surface troughing is over the Ohio Valley this morning with low pressure over northern Indiana. Attendant front is situated right along the Arkansas/Missouri border and is forecast to sneak into the northern part of the state later today. The boundary itself will have little impact on our sensible weather sans a wind shift over the far north. However, it will act as a focusing mechanism for convection later today in an environment supportive of at least some surface based storms. CAMS models are in good agreement in this scenario with some damaging wind gusts possible.

Southerly flow will continue to advect deep moisture into the region and even with the front across the north, another very warm day is expected with highs in the 90s for just about everyone. Afternoon heat indices will top 105 degrees once again and the heat advisory will continue in its current form. A few locations actually come very close to excessive heat warning criteria but with expected cloud cover, will not go there quite yet.

Precipitation chances will continue tonight and into Friday with the front remaining in the general area and yet another shortwave moving through. Precipitation chances Friday will be aided by any residual boundaries if convection can get established today.

High temperatures Friday will be just a touch cooler over the northeast with increased pops and cloud cover but remain hot elsewhere. Ridge will begin to expand over the area as the period ends.

Long term . Saturday through Wednesday night

The long term period remains overall dry and settled with diurnal precipitation activity returning late in the period. At this point, the polar jet stream has receded to the US/Canada border, leaving behind a weak and stagnant upper flow pattern. An upper lvl anticyclone will settle over the fcst region, promoting broad scale subsidence, suppressing widespread PoPs early in the period. Unfortunately, this pattern will also keep conditions unpleasantly hot and humid with no real disruption or intrusion into the antecedent airmass.

Temps are progged to be slightly above normal in the mid to upper 90s through the long term, with daily heat index values between 100-105 degrees. Late in the period, daily showers and thunderstorms will return to the fcst, as PoPs are introduced more frequently on a diurnal basis, particularly over Cntrl and Ern AR.

LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories. Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening FOR Arkansas-Bradley-Calhoun-Clark-Cleburne-Cleveland-Conway- Dallas-Desha-Drew-Faulkner-Fulton-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring- Independence-Izard-Jackson-Jefferson-Johnson-Lawrence-Lincoln- Logan-Lonoke-Monroe-Montgomery-Ouachita-Perry-Pike-Polk-Pope- Prairie-Pulaski-Randolph-Saline-Scott-Sharp-Van Buren-White- Woodruff-Yell.



Aviation . GOUDSWARD


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Baxter County Airport, AR25 mi61 minVar 310.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F69°F67%1017.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBPK

Wind History from BPK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8646S10SW8SW6W5SW4SW3SW3W4CalmCalm44CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3Calm3
1 day agoS7SE8S11
G17
SE7S7SE10S8SE10S8S8SE6S5SE5SE6SE5SE4S4SE3SE4Calm--S5SE5S9
2 days agoSW7--S4SW6E8S6S4S5S5CalmS3S3CalmCalmS3CalmSE3SE3--SE3--S4S6S7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Little Rock, AR (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Springfield, MO
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.