Monday, August26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Viola, AR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 7:43PM Monday August 26, 2019 1:49 AM CDT (06:49 UTC) Moonrise 1:06AMMoonset 4:01PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Viola, AR
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location: 36.34, -92     debug


Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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Fxus64 klzk 260517 aaa
afdlzk
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service little rock ar
1217 am cdt Mon aug 26 2019

Discussion
Updated to include the 06z aviation discussion below...

Aviation
Some lingering shra tsra will be seen across central sections of
the state overnight... Moving NE over time. This activity should
remain away from the terminals. However... MVFR or lower conditions
will be possible due to low CIGS and fog. Improving conditions are
expected by later this morning into the afternoon hrs. A cold
front will drop SE towards the state by the end of this taf
period... With increasing chances for shra tsra for the nrn
terminals after 00z
prev discussion... (issued 257 pm cdt Sun aug 25 2019)
short term... Tonight through Tuesday
sctd to numerous shra embedded tsra noted acrs the fa this aftn.

Activity was occurring ahead of an upper lvl trof working into wrn
ar this aftn. With pwat values in excess of 2 inches acrs the fa
this aftn, we wl cont to seeing locally heavy downpours rainfall
into early this evening.

The aforementioned upper trof wl eventually work acrs the fa
overnight, with rain chances diminishing fm the w. Low clouds are
expected to persist thru Mon mrng, along with patchy fog forming.

Otherwise, rain chances look to be minimal on Mon as the fa wl be in
between wx systems. Cannot rule out a stray shra tsra, but not
planning to keep pops below threshold values.

The next storm sys cdfnt is progged to affect the area Mon night and
tue. Model solutions are still in good agreement today with the
going fcst trends, so no major chgs were made to these periods.

Shra tsra chances wl again ramp up fm the NW later Mon night and tue
as the front works into ar. A few strong storms cannot be ruled out
mon ngt acrs the NW part of the fa. However, the time of day assocd
with the FROPA still looks to keep organized svr storms to a minimum.

Long term... Tuesday night through Sunday
the long term begins on a rather unsettled and amplified note.

Aloft, a large scale troughing will be traversing the u.S. Canadian
border with strong ridging over the great basin. Flow between
systems should be out of the west-northwest across western and
central CONUS before rounding the base of the trough near the
appalachians mtns then becoming southwesterly into new england.

Through the remainder of the period, northwesterly flow will settle
in across the region. Ridging over the four corners will remain
stationary, meanwhile upper level vorticity maximums will rotate
through passing troughs every couple of days. These upper level
impulses are expected to push weather systems towards the eastern
half of the CONUS through the period.

A surface cold front is expected to be situated just to the south of
ar to begin the period. Surface northwesterly flow will advect
cooler and drier air into the region on Wednesday, however the warm-
humid air will be slow to retreat southward out of the state. Low-
level convergence near the frontal boundary will serve as the focus
and trigger to the eventual development of showers and
thunderstorms. This activity will increase in areal coverage both
north and south of the front as the system sags southward into
northern louisiana. Best pop chances will reside across the southern
half of ar. By Thursday, drier air filters into central and southern
ar with dew points dropping into the 60s, even dew points as low as
upper 50s are possible across the north. Dry weather is expected
into Thursday for much of the state, however surface winds will
quickly become southerly as surface high pressure moves east of the
region. A new surface low is expected to develop in lee of the
rockies on Friday as the frontal locally lifts back to the north as
a warm front.

Heading into the weekend, southerly winds will continue to advect
moisture and warmer temperatures into the state, with best pop
chances residing across western half of arkansas. A new surface
frontal system will approach the state from the north late
Saturday early Sunday bringing the potential of a reinforcing shot
of cooler air to the natural state. Some indications suggest the
front may get hung up across portions of ar. Once again, the
boundary will serve as a focus for converging air and lift across
the region. Thus, rain chances return to ar over the weekend. With
the system being pretty far out, my confidence in a frontal passage
is pretty low at this time, however temperatures should remain near
or slightly below average through the period. High temperatures will
generally be in the 80s with lows in the 60s and 70s. A few
locations across southern ar may see lower 90s. Heat index values
appear to remain below 100 degrees at this time during the long term
period.

Lzk watches warnings advisories None.

Aviation... 62


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Baxter County Airport, AR25 mi1.9 hrsS 410.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F72°F100%1009.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBPK

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Last 24hrE4--SE4----E4E3--SE7----S6S5S5SE3E5E6S6SE5SE5S5S3--S4
1 day ago--E6E55E5E74E7E6E8SE8E6E5--E6SE6--E6E6E4E4----Calm
2 days ago------Calm--CalmCalm--Calm--E3SW4SW3--S4SE4E3--CalmE3Calm------

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Little Rock, AR (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Springfield, MO
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.