Sunrise 6:18 AM   Sunset 8:01 PM Moonrise 12:03 AM   Moonset 9:20 AM

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FXUS64 KLZK 300008 AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 708 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

A weak and dissipating cold front is presently located in the northwest part of Arkansas, and will slowly make its way across much of the state overnight. A wind shift will be barely perceptible on this weakening front, but dewpoints will lower notably.

Showers and thunderstorms have developed along and ahead of the front this afternoon, at present extending from north central Arkansas into western Arkansas in a few bands.

Another point of concern tonight will be the development of fog as the weak cold front rolls into areas that recently received rain.
With light winds and clearing skies, patchy fog will be present over a good portion of the area, with potential dense fog in some areas.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Chances for showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast at times through the period across the state. Prior indications of at least a couple of days of dry weather and cooler temperatures appear more unlikely attm. At the sfc, warm/humid conditions will persist across much of the region with above normal temperatures expected each day.

Aloft, H500 flow will largely be out of the SW ahead of a trough swinging across the Northern/Central Plains toward the Great Lakes.
Mid-level ridging is expected to build across the SE US which will further influence the amplified flow across the region.

From Thu-Fri as a leading shortwave lifts north across the area, showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop. This activity will be aided by a cold front set to move across the state. The front will only briefly linger before retreating back to the north.

Some additional disturbances are likely to lift north in the SW flow aloft and help to provide periodic rain chances across the state through the end of the period.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 659 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

VFR conds should prevail through the evening hours. A broken line of SHRA/TSRA will continue drifting to the SE ahead of a weak boundary. Mentioned TEMPO PoPs at KLIT, otherwise confidence was too low to include at any other site. Skies will clear overnight and winds will become nearly calm. Given antecedent wet conds, fog is expected to develop. Conds are expected to become MVFR/IFR with 1/2-1SM VIS expected over much of Cntrl/Srn sites, perhaps into Nrn sites, where winds go calm. VIS should improve after 14z/15z on Tues.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 58 82 61 87 / 30 0 0 10 Camden AR 58 85 60 88 / 10 0 0 20 Harrison AR 53 82 59 85 / 0 0 10 10 Hot Springs AR 58 84 60 87 / 10 0 0 20 Little Rock AR 61 85 63 89 / 20 0 0 10 Monticello AR 62 83 62 88 / 20 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 57 85 60 87 / 10 0 0 20 Mountain Home AR 53 82 59 87 / 10 0 10 10 Newport AR 59 81 60 86 / 40 0 0 10 Pine Bluff AR 60 83 61 87 / 30 0 0 10 Russellville AR 56 84 60 88 / 10 0 0 10 Searcy AR 58 82 59 87 / 30 0 0 10 Stuttgart AR 61 82 62 86 / 40 0 0 10

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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