Tuesday, January28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Moyock, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 5:27PM Tuesday January 28, 2020 6:00 AM EST (11:00 UTC) Moonrise 9:31AMMoonset 9:03PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 336 Am Est Tue Jan 28 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am est this morning...
Through 7 am..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Today..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..N winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Sat..E winds 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of rain in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 336 Am Est Tue Jan 28 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure builds across the waters today through Friday. A coastal low potentially impacts the waters by this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moyock CDP, NC
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location: 36.5, -76.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 280859 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 359 AM EST Tue Jan 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure over the upper midwest builds east through Thursday as low pressure moves across the Gulf coast region. Another low pressure system lifts northeast along the coast late Friday into Saturday before moving off to the north of the local area into Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 330 AM EST Tuesday .

Latest analysis indicates weak/broad sfc high pressure over the upper midwest, with sfc low pressure over Atlantic Canada. Aloft, a trough extends SSW from Atlantic Canada to eastern NC and this has been keeping a lot of clouds across the local area so far (models not doing a good job at picking up on this). Thus, have increased cloud cover through 12Z, then decrease clouds with the expectation that as the trough aloft shifts to the SE, a strengthening downslope flow will take over from the sfc up to 850mb and scour out the clouds E of the Mtns. Skies will become mostly clear/sunny today with a NW wind around 10-15 mph (gusty and a little stronger over the eastern shore). Highs will avg in the upper 40s N to the lower 50s S.

Continued resemblance of a trough aloft from New England extending down into the mid-Atlantic states tonight, with skies partly cloudy to mostly clear and lows mostly in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. As of 330 AM EST Tuesday .

Sfc hi pres from ern Canada will extend S into the local area Wed-Thu and low pres tracks by (well) to the S from the Gulf of Mexico to FL. Will keep PoPs AOB BLO 10% Wed-Thu w/ conditions partly cloudy on avg Wed and a little more cloudy on Thu. Less mixing and more clouds will keep highs a little cooler, mainly in the 40s both days. Lows Wed night in the mid 20s N to the m20s- around 30F S.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 330 AM EST Tuesday .

Will generally be following closet to the 00Z/28 EPS/GEFS ensemble means for the upcoming system Fri into the weekend as operational runs continue to be fairly different with respect to the strength and position of the sfc low as it moves NE along the coast. Overall, still appears that broad sfc high pressure will be centered over the NE CONUS early Fri as sfc low pressure develops/gradually deepens while moving NE from the Gulf of Mexico. Dry, but with clouds increasing to partly/mostly cloudy on Fri. Limited mixing keeps highs mostly in the 40s though some lower 50s will be possible in NE NC. 00Z/28 GFS is much stronger and closer to the coast w/ sfc low pressure late Fri night/Sat and rapidly intensifies the sfc low off the Delmarva Sat. The GEFS has trended a little stronger but is still much weaker than the operational GFS and is overall closer to the EPS and ECWMF operational runs. Thus, have trended PoPs up a bit for Fri night/Sat AM (to likely over far SE VA/NE NC), but will maintain continuity w/ 30-50% PoPs elsewhere. Still looking that cold air will be lacking . so p-type appears to be mostly RA with lows Fri night near 32F far NW and in the mid 30s to around 40F elsewhere. With flow expected to shift to the W later Sat, highs should warm well into the 40s NW to the lower 50s S. Upper level trough trailing behind is expected to cross the region Sat night-Sun resulting in VRB clouds and possible SCT SHRAs (highest PoPs NE). Could be enough cold air aloft for a mix with snow showers over mainly the N late Sat night/early Sun AM but PoPs are only ~30% for now. Another warmup is expected early next week Highs Sun in the l50s. except u40s on the ern shore Highs Mon in the m50s on the ern shore. u50s-around 60F elsewhere.

AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 1245 AM EST Tuesday .

VFR conditions prevail and showers have moved off to the SE of Albemarle Sound in NC. There are still a lot of clouds and CIGs of 5-7k ft are observed at most of the main terminals. Winds have shifted to the N/NW at 5-10 kt. High pressure centered over the midwest will move a little closer to the local area today as low pressure lingers over Atlantic Canada. Skies will become mostly clear/sunny today with a NW wind around 10kt (gusty and a little stronger over the eastern shore).

OUTLOOK . Weak low pressure over the Gulf of Mexico moves E as high pressure becomes centered to our N Wed/Thu. This may bring some increase in clouds later Wed into Thu and somewhat stronger NE winds near the coast on Thu but conditions will remain VFR. Dry/VFR Fri, then a stronger low pressure system is expected to lift NE along the SE coast Fri night/Sat spreading clouds into the local area and a greater potential for flight restrictions by Sat.

MARINE. As of 315 AM EST Tuesday .

No changes to the headlines, with Small Craft Advisories now in effect for all the Chesapeake Bay, lower James River, and Currituck Sound through 10 AM EST (15 UTC). NW winds will continue to increase to around 15 to 20 knots over the next couple of hours with gusts to as high as 25 knots at times. While a few gusts may touch 25 knots across the coastal waters, expect this to be fairly limited/confined to elevated locations, thus opted to leave the coastal waters out of the SCA. Seas generally build to 3 to 4 feet this morning (potentially up to 5 feet out 20 nm), and waves in the Bay build to around 2 to 3 feet.

Still watching the potential for another surge of CAA tonight into early Wednesday morning, with the highest wind probabilities across the northern Bay and northern coastal waters. Anticipate winds to stay below SCA criteria, though a few gusts to 20 knots will be possible for elevated sites across the northern Chesapeake Bay. With surface high pressure building across the area, expect winds to generally remain around 10 knots or less Wednesday through Friday. A coastal low potentially impacts the area by this weekend, but much uncertainty still remains regarding low placement/timing.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for ANZ630>634-638.

SYNOPSIS . LKB NEAR TERM . LKB SHORT TERM . LKB LONG TERM . ALB/LKB AVIATION . LKB/MPR MARINE . AJB/RHR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 21 mi48 min N 5.1 G 9.9 44°F 47°F1011.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 29 mi42 min N 11 G 15 42°F 1011.6 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 30 mi42 min NNW 19 G 22 42°F 1011.6 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 31 mi30 min 47°F4 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 31 mi42 min NNW 15 G 17 44°F 1010.4 hPa
FRFN7 31 mi180 min 3 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 32 mi48 min 45°F1011.7 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 34 mi30 min 49°F5 ft
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 34 mi48 min NNW 14 G 18 42°F 1011.4 hPa
44064 35 mi30 min N 18 G 21 38°F 1011.7 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 35 mi48 min N 11 G 16 42°F 1012.1 hPa
44087 36 mi30 min 44°F2 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 37 mi30 min 46°F3 ft
CHBV2 37 mi48 min N 20 G 23 42°F 1010 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 47 mi48 min N 18 G 22 44°F
44072 49 mi30 min NE 14 G 16 42°F

Wind History for Money Point, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC10 mi65 minNNW 410.00 miOvercast42°F34°F75%1011.5 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA14 mi65 minNNW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy41°F27°F58%1011.8 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC17 mi66 minNNW 610.00 miOvercast44°F30°F60%1011.4 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA24 mi64 minN 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy41°F30°F65%1011.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONX

Wind History from ONX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmSW4S6--W11
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NW8W6W5W4W4NW3CalmCalmCalmNW3N6N9N6NW3NW3
1 day agoW5W5W6W6W5NW4SW4SW8
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W8W9NW3W4CalmCalmSW3CalmSW3W3W3W3SW3SW4SW3Calm
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Tide / Current Tables for False Cape, Virginia
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False Cape
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:28 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:29 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 09:40 AM EST     3.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:01 PM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:24 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:02 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:02 PM EST     3.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.10.4-0.1-00.41.22.12.93.43.53.12.41.60.70.1-0.10.10.71.52.32.93.12.9

Tide / Current Tables for Sandbridge, Virginia
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.