Saturday, August24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Moyock, NC

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 7:45PM Saturday August 24, 2019 8:11 AM EDT (12:11 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 1:53PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ633 Currituck Sound- 624 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Sunday evening...
Today..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely.
Sun..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the morning. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night..NE winds 20 kt, diminishing to 15 kt in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..NE winds 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Mon night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the evening.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night..SE winds 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 624 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure builds north of the region through the weekend. Meanwhile, a cold front will become stationary off the coast. Low pressure is expected to develop along the boundary early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moyock CDP, NC
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location: 36.5, -76.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 241057
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
657 am edt Sat aug 24 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will stall along the carolina coast over the weekend.

High pressure will build in from the north behind the front
through today. Low pressure is expected to develop along the
front early next week.

Near term through tonight
As of 400 am edt Saturday...

as of this morning, a cold front is located just south of the
forecast area with north to northeast winds in its wake. High
pressure builds in from the north through today, bringing drier
air to portions of the region (particularly north of i-64). Do
expect at least partly sunny skies across the northern half of
the forecast area by this afternoon, higher cloud cover will
persist further south. Northeast flow along with plentiful low
level moisture will allow for the continued chances of showers,
especially across far SE va and NE nc closer to the boundary.

Much cooler today compared to the past couple of days, highs
will generally range from the mid to upper 70s, potentially
cooler in areas where rain showers persist.

Short term Sunday through Monday
As of 400 am edt Saturday...

by Sunday morning, the surface high looks like it will push the
moisture far enough south to limit the chances for any showers
to mainly NE nc and far SE va with drying of the mid and upper
level expected to continue through the day on Sunday suppressing
the pcpn farther south through the day. However, the low level
moisture should remain in place with strong easterly flow
through about 850 mb. That may be enough to hold clouds in place
and could limit the day time heating. For now have gone close
to 80s most areas, but if those lower clouds do hold together
could see readings more in the mid 70s toward the southern va
piedmont.

The forecast for Sunday night into Monday could change rapidly
over the next few days depending on the potential development of
a tropical system of the SE us coast. The models are struggling
with the development and location of the system with the 00z
gfs quicker to develop the system and move it northward off the
carolinas by Monday afternoon while the 00z ECMWF continues to
be slower and farther to the SE off the coast with much less
impact to the region. Very minor changes to pops with this
update, maintained low chance pops with the moisture overrunning
the wedging high. Again will need to monitor the potential
tropical development along the SE us coast this weekend.

Long term Monday night through Friday
As of 300 pm edt Friday...

the early part of the extended forecast will depend much upon any
development and potential track of the tropical disturbance
currently off the fl coast. Latest NHC outlook suggests that
this system will stay well off the local coast. Despite that,
given the proximity to the tropical system and the potential for
some tropical type showers to move across the area, and some
reinforcing moisture lift from weak upper disturbances moving
across the mid atlc and NE states in the w-sw flow aloft, will
maintain low chance pops Mon night through thu. However, if the
tropical system stays further offshore it is conceivable that
much of the middle of next week will be dry other than perhaps
some widely scattered afternoon evening storms. Otherwise, by
Friday the GFS and ECMWF both show drying across the area as a
ridge axis builds in from the west. As such, have kept Friday
dry.

Temps on Tuesday will trend slightly below normal due to the
extensive cloudiness (although it will be muggy), but then rise to
near normal for wed-fri.

Aviation 12z Saturday through Wednesday
As of 700 am edt Saturday...

scattered very light rain showers will be possible through the
morning for the southern two-thirds of the region, little to no
impacts are expected with these. Ceilings have becomeVFR at all
taf sites minus ecg, and are expected to stayVFR through the
afternoon and overnight. Ceilings at ecg are expected to become
vfr by 18z. N to NE winds will range around 10 to 15 knots
along the immediate coast and diminish to less than 10 knots
further inland. Additional showers redevelop across
far southeastern portions of the region this evening and
overnight.

Outlook: low pressure developing along a stalled front and
high pressure building in from the north will keep an easterly
flow across the region through early next week. Easterly flow
will allow for ample moisture, chances for additional showers,
and the potential for sub-vfr ceilings (especially at eastern
taf locations) into early next week.

Marine
As of 630 am edt Saturday...

a NE wind has increased to 15-20kt across the bay and mouth of
the james early this morning. SCA flags have been added through
10 am as high-res guidance has the wind diminishing to 10-15kt
later this morning into the aftn.

Previous discussion...

a cold front is pushing swd through nc early this morning
as high pressure builds across the great lakes. The wind has shifted
to nne behind the front 10-15kt, and this has resulted in 3-4ft seas
in the ocean and 2-3ft waves in the bay. The high will build across
upstate ny and into NRN new england today as the front settles off
the carolina coast. Therefore, the wind will shift to NE and remain
10-15kt. The high strengthens and remains nearly stationary tonight.

Meanwhile, an inverted trough begins to develop along the old
frontal boundary and the pressure gradient will tighten along the
mid-atlantic coast. A NE wind should increase to 15-25kt tonight
into Sunday, with seas building to 4-5ft N and 5-6ft S later tonight
into Sunday. SCA flags remain in effect for the bay and lower james,
and have been added for the ocean (primarily for seas) and the
currituck sound. The wind will remain NE Sunday night into Monday as
tropical low pressure organizes off the carolina coast. Sca
conditions for seas (potentially building to 5-8ft) will likely
linger into early next week as the flow remains onshore and with low
pressure over the ocean. By Tuesday night and Wednesday the wind
should become N and then SW as the low pulls well offshore. This
should allow seas to subside.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 am edt this morning for
anz630>632-634-638.

Small craft advisory from 6 pm this evening to 6 pm edt Sunday
for anz630>632-634.

Small craft advisory from 4 am to 10 pm edt Sunday for anz633.

Small craft advisory from midnight tonight to 6 pm edt Sunday
for anz638.

Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 6 am edt
Monday for anz650-652-654.

Small craft advisory from 4 am Sunday to 6 am edt Monday for
anz656-658.

Synopsis... Ajb cmf
near term... Ajb
short term... Ajb ess
long term... Mrd
aviation... Ajb
marine... Ajz


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 21 mi54 min NE 4.1 G 8.9 73°F 81°F1018 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 29 mi54 min NE 15 G 18 75°F 1018 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 30 mi54 min N 15 G 17 71°F 1018.3 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 31 mi42 min 66°F4 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 31 mi60 min N 14 G 15 69°F 64°F1017 hPa
FRFN7 31 mi132 min 3 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 32 mi60 min 78°F1018.3 hPa
44100 - Duck FRF 26m, NC (430) 34 mi42 min 74°F4 ft
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 34 mi60 min NE 20 G 23 1017.8 hPa
44064 35 mi42 min ENE 16 G 19 72°F 1018.2 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 35 mi60 min NNE 1 G 4.1 1018.6 hPa
44087 36 mi42 min 79°F3 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 37 mi42 min 72°F5 ft
CHBV2 37 mi60 min NE 18 G 21 1017.3 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 47 mi60 min NNE 7 G 9.9 78°F
44072 49 mi42 min ESE 18 G 21 75°F

Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Currituck, Currituck County Airport, NC10 mi17 minN 10 G 1410.00 miOvercast72°F68°F90%1018.6 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA14 mi17 minN 510.00 miOvercast70°F63°F80%1019 hPa
Elizabeth City C/G Regional Airport, NC17 mi18 minN 1010.00 miOvercast72°F66°F82%1018.2 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA24 mi16 minNNE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy71°F64°F79%1018.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONX

Wind History from ONX (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for False Cape, Virginia
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False Cape
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:59 AM EDT     3.38 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:03 AM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:34 PM EDT     4.14 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:17 PM EDT     1.00 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.83.23.43.22.72.11.510.811.52.233.74.14.13.83.22.51.81.311.11.5

Tide / Current Tables for Sandbridge, Virginia
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.