Thursday, December5, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Middles, KY

Version 3.4
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10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 5:19PM Thursday December 5, 2019 2:16 PM EST (19:16 UTC) Moonrise 2:00PMMoonset 1:00AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Middles, KY
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location: 36.66, -83.74     debug


Area Discussion for - Jackson, KY
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FXUS63 KJKL 051749 AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 1249 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2019

UPDATE. Issued at 1249 PM EST THU DEC 5 2019

Clear skies continue to reign underneath a dome of high pressure this afternoon. Will begin to see a few high clouds arrive near or likely after sunset, following afternoon high temperatures in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

UPDATE Issued at 640 AM EST THU DEC 5 2019

Very minor update to blend in the latest obs and trends, but otherwise forecast is on track at this time.

SHORT TERM. (Today through Friday) Issued at 352 AM EST THU DEC 5 2019

The morning surface analysis shows surface high continues to nose northward out of the Lower Mississippi River Valley. This feature will shift east today and bring weak southwest to southerly flow. Given the mostly sunny skies and southerly flow expect temperatures to actually warm just a couple of degrees above normal today. Tonight expect increasing clouds through the evening ahead of an upper level wave evident on water vapor imagery across Utah and Nevada this morning. This feature will eject east into the Plains by this evening and eventually move eastward through the remainder of the period. This feature will bring chances of showers back into the forecast early Friday morning into early Friday afternoon. Did opt to go likely PoPs this cycle given the good agreement among the model suites, but given the lack of better lower level moisture and lift think amounts will be light. Should see a downward trend in PoPs through the afternoon on Friday, as window for better upper level omega decreases quickly. Temperatures Friday should remain around normal for this time of year even with chances of precipitation.

LONG TERM. (Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 400 AM EST THU DEC 5 2019

The models have maintained agreement with a progressive and more zonal-like long wave pattern for this weekend, before amplification occurs into next week. There is a decent consensus regarding smaller scale features early in the extended portion of the forecast, before timing issues crop up into next week. Consequently, did not deviate much from the blended guidance for precipitation timing.

A modest short wave trough axis will be exiting eastern Kentucky Friday night, with deep enough moisture lingering in the low levels to support at least a slight chance of precipitation through the evening. Clouds may be harder to clear out through the rest of the night, as moisture in low level northeast flow, becomes trapped under a subsidence inversion aloft. Skies should at least partially clear out on Saturday as high pressure builds in and heights recover aloft. By late Saturday night and especially Sunday, clouds will be on the increase once again, as deeper troughing takes shape west of the Mississippi River.

Eventually, this deepening trough and an associated surface cold front will gradually move through the Ohio and Tennessee valleys Monday through Wednesday. The GFS is much more progressive with this front, while the ECMWF is slower. Persistence and overall continuity would lean toward a slower solution, so will maintain this idea. After the mostly dry weekend across eastern Kentucky, unsettled conditions will return early next week. PoPs will peak Monday night into Tuesday, with much colder air following the front, with some potential for a little snow as deeper moisture exits Tuesday evening. Wednesday looks to be dry and cold. Temperatures will trend above normal into early next week, before dipping well below normal by next Wednesday.

AVIATION. (For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon) ISSUED AT 1249 PM EST THU DEC 5 2019

Currently expecting VFR conditions to largely hold through early Friday afternoon, with the possible exception being from mid Friday morning onward as lowering clouds and rain showers infiltrate the eastern Kentucky airspace. Winds will generally remain southwesterly near or below 5 knots at the surface. Could see some low level wind shear near 30-35 knots northwest of a KIOB to KFGX line tonight into Friday morning, but the threat does not currently look to be high enough to include mention toward KSYM. MVFR ceilings will likely develop across a good portion of eastern Kentucky into Friday afternoon.

JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.

UPDATE . GUSEMAN SHORT TERM . DJ LONG TERM . GEOGERIAN AVIATION . GUSEMAN


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Middlesboro, Middlesboro-Bell County Airport, KY3 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair55°F29°F38%1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for K1A6

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1 day agoW4NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW7W7W6
2 days agoW4CalmW3W4W3NW6NW10N5NW9NE4NW5N3N6NW5NW5CalmCalmW4CalmNW3N3SW3CalmW3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Jackson, KY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.