Thursday, February20, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Chesapeake, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 5:51PM Thursday February 20, 2020 11:51 AM EST (16:51 UTC) Moonrise 5:09AMMoonset 3:04PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ634 Chesapeake Bay From Little Creek Va To Cape Henry Va Including The Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel- 647 Am Est Thu Feb 20 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through Friday afternoon...
Today..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 3 ft. Rain and snow likely late.
Tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 ft. Snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the evening.
Fri..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun..S winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Mon night..S winds 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers likely.
ANZ600 647 Am Est Thu Feb 20 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Low pressure tracks northeast across the southeastern states today, then moves off the carolina coast tonight. High pressure returns for the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chesapeake, VA
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location: 36.76, -76.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 201548 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1048 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure tracks northeast across the southeastern states today, then moves off the Carolina coast tonight. High pressure returns for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1040 PM EST Thursday .

Large/strong sfc hi pres centered INVOF IA/NE/SD extends E to the mid-Atlantic/NE CONUS this morning. Colder/dry air has spread into the local area the past 24 hrs Meanwhile. lo pres was found INVOF central gulf states (along the stalled out frontal boundary which extends E of nrn FL/GA coasts). While dew points range from the upper teens to m20s over much of the FA now . temperatures have risen into the u30s-m40s (highest over far SE VA-coastal NE NC). Latest model trends are now honing in on SE VA-NE NC as the area that will have the greatest (SN accum) impacts later today/tonight as lo pres transfers to off the SE CONUS coast (while intensifying). Even the bullish NAM has shifted its highest pcpn/accums SE so along w/ hi res guidance now narrowing in on their QPF/SN accums (across srn/SE VA-NE NC) . confidence is increasing wrt fcst SN accums/impacts.

No changes to headlines attm. Still thinking RA or RA/SN mix this afternoon over the FA as pcpn intensity remains rather lgt and the nr sfc/boundary layers slowly cool (w/ arrival of pcpn). Accums through 21-23Z/20 expected to be aob 1/2" (most likely limited to areas in south central VA/interior NE NC). Highs from the u30s-m40s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 350 AM EST Thursday .

Pcpn quickly changes over to snow this eve with the best lift and support for accums will be before 06Z/21. The pcpn shield begins to shift se towards the coast after midnite as the system pulls farther away from the region. CAA along with some partial clearing will allows temps to drop into the 20s except arnd 30 at the coast. This will result in hazardous travel into the Fri morning commute.

Any snow shwrs quickly end Fri morning across the sern coastal areas. Otw, high pressure builds in from the west resulting in sunny to mstly sunny skies. Cold and with snow cover, will lean toward the cooler guid nmbrs. Highs mid-upr 30s. Clr/cold Fri nite. Lows in the 20s to near 30 sern beaches.

High pressure moves south into the Gulf coast states. Return wsw flow along with mstly sunny skies starts a warming trend. Highs 50- 55 except for some upr 40s along the beaches.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 315 PM EDT Wednesday .

Medium range period characterized by moderating temperatures with rain chances returning to the forecast Sunday night through Tuesday morning. Sfc high slides offshore to begin the period Sunday night, with resultant developing low-level winds veering around to the S- SW. This will bring milder temperatures for early next week, as well as a renewed influx of Gulf moisture in the form of scattered to numerous showers mainly Monday through Monday evening.

Warm front will lift north across the area on Monday, with the trailing cold front approaching from the north Monday night into Tuesday. Cool high pressure builds into the area from the Tennessee Valley later Tue/Tue night. Rain chances return by the end of the period, with parent upper trough pivoting across the eastern third of the CONUS.

Overall temperatures will remain at or above normal for the medium range. Highs mainly in the 50s to mid 60s, with early morning lows mainly in the 30s to mid 40s.

AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 630 AM EST Wednesday .

VFR conditions continue thru 18Z as mid level clouds increase ahead of the systm apprchg from the south. Rain or a rain/snow mix along with MVFR CIGS will spread nne across the local area after 18Z. Enough cold air noted for the pcpn to turn over to all snow arnd or shortly after 00Z (even across the sern TAF sites). The pcpn shield then shifts se towards the coast by the end of the fcst period as the systm pushes off the Carolina coast. Gusty north winds (20-30 KTS) expected at ORF/ECG on the back side of the low. IFR CIGS/VSBYS are possible in mdt to hvy pcpn before 06Z at ORF/ECG but not forecasted at this time.

OUTLOOK . VFR conditions return Fri thru Sun as high pres returns.

MARINE. As of 350 AM EST Thursday .

For today, low pressure moves eastward along a stalled boundary across the Deep South, then offshore of the Southeast coast by this evening. Meanwhile, a strong high pressure system will be over the center of the country. N/NE winds will intensify beginning late this afternoon over Currituck Sound and the southern coastal waters, and then the rest of the area waters by late Thursday night into Friday. Expect winds by early Friday morning 20-25 kts with gusts around 30 kts. Higher winds of 25-30 kt and gusts up to 40 kt will occur over the Currituck Sound and southern coastal waters south of Cape Charles. For that reason, have hoisted a Gale Warning for these areas. The rest of the area waters should remain within SCA wind criteria. However, some gusts up to 35 kt will be possible for several hours early Friday morning north of Cape Charles to the Delaware border. Waves on the Ches Bay will reach 3-4 ft. Seas will build to 5-9 ft (highest south). A high surf advisory has been issued for Eastern Currituck County due to waves in the surf zone around 8 ft from late tonight through Friday.

Winds will begin to diminish by late Friday morning and should drop below SCA levels by early Friday evening. This as low pressure moves away from the area and high pressure builds over the OH Valley. SCA's will likely be needed for the northern coastal waters into Friday evening and the southern coastal waters through Saturday morning as seas will be slow to subside. After that, conditions improve from later Saturday through Sunday.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . Winter Storm Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Friday for NCZ012>017-030>032. Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Friday for NCZ102. Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday for NCZ102. High Surf Advisory from 4 AM to 7 PM EST Friday for NCZ102. VA . Winter Storm Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Friday for VAZ087>090-092-093-095>098-523>525. Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for VAZ065>068- 078>086-099-100-512>516-518-520. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday for ANZ650-652-654. Gale Warning from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ656-658. Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ635>637. Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ632-634. Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ633. Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ630-631-638.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . ALB SHORT TERM . ALB/MPR LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . MPR MARINE . JDM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 1 mi57 min 45°F 50°F1030.7 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 9 mi57 min 44°F 1030.6 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 13 mi57 min 48°F1030.6 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 15 mi57 min 43°F 1030.3 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 16 mi57 min 44°F 1031.1 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 19 mi57 min 43°F 1031.1 hPa
44087 20 mi51 min 46°F2 ft
44064 20 mi41 min E 14 G 16 1030.5 hPa
CHBV2 22 mi57 min 43°F 1029.8 hPa
44072 30 mi41 min SE 9.7 G 12 42°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 32 mi51 min 46°F5 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 32 mi57 min 46°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 34 mi57 min 42°F 1031.8 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 34 mi57 min 42°F 47°F1030.9 hPa
FRFN7 49 mi171 min 4 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 49 mi57 min 46°F 1029 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 49 mi51 min 48°F5 ft

Wind History for Money Point, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA7 mi56 minNNE 11 G 1410.00 miOvercast43°F24°F48%1031.2 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA11 mi60 minENE 13 G 1710.00 miOvercast45°F28°F52%1030.8 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA12 mi1.9 hrsENE 1210.00 miOvercast44°F25°F47%1031.5 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA15 mi55 minENE 910.00 miOvercast43°F26°F51%1031.1 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA17 mi56 minENE 510.00 miOvercast44°F26°F52%1031.2 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA23 mi55 minE 1110.00 miOvercast43°F29°F59%1031.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCPK

Wind History from CPK (wind in knots)
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N6N6NE3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3N4N6NE9NE8
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1 day agoSW8W6S6SW5S5S4S4S5S4S4S4SW4S3SW4CalmW4NW4N7N8
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NE9NE5N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmSW4

Tide / Current Tables for Deep Creek Entrance, Elizabeth River, Virginia
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EST     -1.15 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:14 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:07 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:59 AM EST     0.88 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:32 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:01 PM EST     -1.29 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:02 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:13 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:48 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:29 PM EST     0.60 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:28 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.1-1.1-0.7-0.10.40.80.90.80.60.3-0.2-0.7-1.1-1.3-1.1-0.7-0.10.40.60.60.50.2-0.2-0.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.