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Marine Weather and Tides Chesapeake, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:46AM

Sunset 5:51PM

Thursday February 20, 2020 11:51 AM EST (16:51 UTC)

Moonrise 5:09AM

Moonset 3:04PM

Illumination 10%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chesapeake, VA

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 201548 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1048 AM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure tracks northeast across the southeastern states today, then moves off the Carolina coast tonight. High pressure returns for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1040 PM EST Thursday .

Large/strong sfc hi pres centered INVOF IA/NE/SD extends E to the mid-Atlantic/NE CONUS this morning. Colder/dry air has spread into the local area the past 24 hrs Meanwhile. lo pres was found INVOF central gulf states (along the stalled out frontal boundary which extends E of nrn FL/GA coasts). While dew points range from the upper teens to m20s over much of the FA now . temperatures have risen into the u30s-m40s (highest over far SE VA-coastal NE NC). Latest model trends are now honing in on SE VA-NE NC as the area that will have the greatest (SN accum) impacts later today/tonight as lo pres transfers to off the SE CONUS coast (while intensifying). Even the bullish NAM has shifted its highest pcpn/accums SE so along w/ hi res guidance now narrowing in on their QPF/SN accums (across srn/SE VA-NE NC) . confidence is increasing wrt fcst SN accums/impacts.

No changes to headlines attm. Still thinking RA or RA/SN mix this afternoon over the FA as pcpn intensity remains rather lgt and the nr sfc/boundary layers slowly cool (w/ arrival of pcpn). Accums through 21-23Z/20 expected to be aob 1/2" (most likely limited to areas in south central VA/interior NE NC). Highs from the u30s-m40s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 350 AM EST Thursday .

Pcpn quickly changes over to snow this eve with the best lift and support for accums will be before 06Z/21. The pcpn shield begins to shift se towards the coast after midnite as the system pulls farther away from the region. CAA along with some partial clearing will allows temps to drop into the 20s except arnd 30 at the coast. This will result in hazardous travel into the Fri morning commute.

Any snow shwrs quickly end Fri morning across the sern coastal areas. Otw, high pressure builds in from the west resulting in sunny to mstly sunny skies. Cold and with snow cover, will lean toward the cooler guid nmbrs. Highs mid-upr 30s. Clr/cold Fri nite. Lows in the 20s to near 30 sern beaches.

High pressure moves south into the Gulf coast states. Return wsw flow along with mstly sunny skies starts a warming trend. Highs 50- 55 except for some upr 40s along the beaches.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 315 PM EDT Wednesday .

Medium range period characterized by moderating temperatures with rain chances returning to the forecast Sunday night through Tuesday morning. Sfc high slides offshore to begin the period Sunday night, with resultant developing low-level winds veering around to the S- SW. This will bring milder temperatures for early next week, as well as a renewed influx of Gulf moisture in the form of scattered to numerous showers mainly Monday through Monday evening.

Warm front will lift north across the area on Monday, with the trailing cold front approaching from the north Monday night into Tuesday. Cool high pressure builds into the area from the Tennessee Valley later Tue/Tue night. Rain chances return by the end of the period, with parent upper trough pivoting across the eastern third of the CONUS.

Overall temperatures will remain at or above normal for the medium range. Highs mainly in the 50s to mid 60s, with early morning lows mainly in the 30s to mid 40s.

AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 630 AM EST Wednesday .

VFR conditions continue thru 18Z as mid level clouds increase ahead of the systm apprchg from the south. Rain or a rain/snow mix along with MVFR CIGS will spread nne across the local area after 18Z. Enough cold air noted for the pcpn to turn over to all snow arnd or shortly after 00Z (even across the sern TAF sites). The pcpn shield then shifts se towards the coast by the end of the fcst period as the systm pushes off the Carolina coast. Gusty north winds (20-30 KTS) expected at ORF/ECG on the back side of the low. IFR CIGS/VSBYS are possible in mdt to hvy pcpn before 06Z at ORF/ECG but not forecasted at this time.

OUTLOOK . VFR conditions return Fri thru Sun as high pres returns.

MARINE. As of 350 AM EST Thursday .

For today, low pressure moves eastward along a stalled boundary across the Deep South, then offshore of the Southeast coast by this evening. Meanwhile, a strong high pressure system will be over the center of the country. N/NE winds will intensify beginning late this afternoon over Currituck Sound and the southern coastal waters, and then the rest of the area waters by late Thursday night into Friday. Expect winds by early Friday morning 20-25 kts with gusts around 30 kts. Higher winds of 25-30 kt and gusts up to 40 kt will occur over the Currituck Sound and southern coastal waters south of Cape Charles. For that reason, have hoisted a Gale Warning for these areas. The rest of the area waters should remain within SCA wind criteria. However, some gusts up to 35 kt will be possible for several hours early Friday morning north of Cape Charles to the Delaware border. Waves on the Ches Bay will reach 3-4 ft. Seas will build to 5-9 ft (highest south). A high surf advisory has been issued for Eastern Currituck County due to waves in the surf zone around 8 ft from late tonight through Friday.

Winds will begin to diminish by late Friday morning and should drop below SCA levels by early Friday evening. This as low pressure moves away from the area and high pressure builds over the OH Valley. SCA's will likely be needed for the northern coastal waters into Friday evening and the southern coastal waters through Saturday morning as seas will be slow to subside. After that, conditions improve from later Saturday through Sunday.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . Winter Storm Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Friday for NCZ012>017-030>032. Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Friday for NCZ102. Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday for NCZ102. High Surf Advisory from 4 AM to 7 PM EST Friday for NCZ102. VA . Winter Storm Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Friday for VAZ087>090-092-093-095>098-523>525. Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for VAZ065>068- 078>086-099-100-512>516-518-520. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Friday for ANZ650-652-654. Gale Warning from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ656-658. Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ635>637. Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ632-634. Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ633. Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ630-631-638.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . ALB SHORT TERM . ALB/MPR LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . MPR MARINE . JDM

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA	1 mi	57 min		45°F	50°F		1030.7 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA	9 mi	57 min		44°F			1030.6 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA	13 mi	57 min			48°F		1030.6 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA	15 mi	57 min		43°F			1030.3 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA	16 mi	57 min		44°F			1031.1 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA	19 mi	57 min		43°F			1031.1 hPa
44087	20 mi	51 min			46°F	2 ft
44064	20 mi	41 min	E 14 G 16				1030.5 hPa
CHBV2	22 mi	57 min		43°F			1029.8 hPa
44072	30 mi	41 min	SE 9.7 G 12	42°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147)	32 mi	51 min			46°F	5 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA	32 mi	57 min			46°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA	34 mi	57 min		42°F			1031.8 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA	34 mi	57 min		42°F	47°F		1030.9 hPa
FRFN7	49 mi	171 min				4 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370	49 mi	57 min		46°F			1029 hPa
44056 - Duck FRF, NC	49 mi	51 min			48°F	5 ft

Wind History for Money Point, VA

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

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5 PM

-12 PM

7 PM

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9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

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Last 24hr

NE10 G20

N8 G12

NE7 G12

NE4 G8

NE4 G8

NE6

NE3

NE3

--

NW1

SW1

W1

--

W1

N1

NW1

N1

NE3

NE4 G8

NE7 G11

NE5 G12

NE8 G14

NE6 G11

1 day ago

S2 G5

SW5

W7 G10

SW4

W5 G9

SW4 G7

S3

S3

S4

SW4 G7

SW3

SW3

SW5

SW4 G7

W3

W3

W2

NW6 G11

NE7 G15

N8 G20

N7 G19

N10 G15

N5 G12

N7 G11

2 days ago

NE4 G12

NE6 G11

N7 G12

NE6 G12

NE5 G11

NE6 G11

NE4 G7

NE4

NE5

NE3

NE3

NE2

E1

N2

NE1

NE2

NE1

N1

W1

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NW1

W2

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA	7 mi	56 min	NNE 11 G 14	10.00 mi	Overcast	43°F	24°F	48%	1031.2 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA	11 mi	60 min	ENE 13 G 17	10.00 mi	Overcast	45°F	28°F	52%	1030.8 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA	12 mi	1.9 hrs	ENE 12	10.00 mi	Overcast	44°F	25°F	47%	1031.5 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA	15 mi	55 min	ENE 9	10.00 mi	Overcast	43°F	26°F	51%	1031.1 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA	17 mi	56 min	ENE 5	10.00 mi	Overcast	44°F	26°F	52%	1031.2 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA	23 mi	55 min	E 11	10.00 mi	Overcast	43°F	29°F	59%	1031.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCPK

Wind History from CPK (wind in knots)

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1 AM

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Last 24hr

N10 G15

N9 G14

N6

N6

NE3

Calm

N3

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

NE3

N4

N6

NE9

NE8 G18

NE11 G15

1 day ago

SW8

W6

S6

SW5

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S4

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S4

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SW4

S3

SW4

Calm

W4

NW4

N7

N8 G17

N9 G19

N7 G14

N5

N7

N7 G15

2 days ago

NE6

NE6

N6

NE11 G14

NE9

NE5

N4

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

--

Calm

Calm

SW4

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Tide / Current Tables for Deep Creek Entrance, Elizabeth River, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (11,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA

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