Chesapeake, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Chesapeake, VA

May 27, 2024 8:15 AM EDT (12:15 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:47 AM   Sunset 8:17 PM
Moonrise 11:30 PM   Moonset 8:11 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ634 Chesapeake Bay From Little Creek Va To Cape Henry Va Including The Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel- 650 Am Edt Mon May 27 2024

Today - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late this morning and afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 2 seconds and se 2 ft at 5 seconds. A chance of showers this morning. A chance of tstms. Showers likely this afternoon.

Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming 10 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.

Tue - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 7 seconds and W 1 foot at 3 seconds.

Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 7 seconds.

Wed - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: nw 1 foot at 2 seconds and se 1 foot at 8 seconds.

Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 3 seconds and se 1 foot at 7 seconds.

Thu - N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.

Thu night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.

Fri - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

Fri night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

ANZ600 650 Am Edt Mon May 27 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
increasing south to southeasterly winds are expected later this morning into this afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front. The front crosses the waters on Tuesday, with weak high pressure building into the region through midweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chesapeake, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 271105 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 705 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front approaches the area today, then moves across the region later today into tonight. Additional rounds of showers and storms will occur today into tonight, with potential severe weather. An upper trough brings cooler and comfortable weather to end the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 400 AM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- There is a threat of severe weather today through this evening. Damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes are possible.

****Severe weather expected today through this evening with all modes of severe possible. Those with outdoor plans today should closely monitor the weather for warnings as multiple rounds of strong to severe storms could occur.****

The setup for today is complicated and heavily dependent on the behavior of early-day convection. The broad weather pattern will be characterized by an approaching mid-level shortwave and increasing flow aloft. Several subtle impulses will slide eastward through the area during the day, with one expected to cross the area from mid morning into this aftn. Several experimental CAMs show a line of convection crossing the area from around 15z to near 20z. This could pose a threat of isolated wind damage, heavy rain, and lightning. The impact of this activity on later this aftn/early this evening redevelopment is the main question. While there could be a good degree of stabilization from this early convection, most guidance insists of robust airmass recovery with MLCAPE building to 1500+ J/kg in during this aftn. A few models even show values of 2000-3000 J/kg, which would support extremely strong updrafts. Effective shear values will be very supportive for severe weather with 35-50 kts across most of the area. Therefore, later this aftn redevelopment seems like a good bet and all modes of severe will be possible. The large hail threat is supported by mid-level lapse rates of 7-8 C/km, highest across the S and SE. With southerly sfc winds and SW winds aloft, there is also some directional shear supportive of a non-zero tornado threat.
Forecast soundings show 150-200 m2/s2 of 0-1km SRH and favorably curved hodographs, again highest across the S/SE. SPC has the entire fcst area in a Slight Risk for today, and the introduction of a 5% tornado threat for most of our CWA PoP-wise, will have 30-60% PoPs from this morning into this evening. Highs will be very warm to hot and in the upper 80s/near 90 (lower to mid 80s immediate coast). Outside of storms, the sky will be mostly or partly sunny. A cold front will push across the region this evening into early Tue morning, with pcpn ending from WNW to ESE. Lows tonight will range through the 60s to near 70.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 400 AM EDT Monday...

Key Message:

- Quieter Tuesday, with scattered showers and isolated storms across the north Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening.

Much quieter Tue, with a lingering shower or storm across the far SE. Highs in the lower to mid 80s under a mostly sunny sky.
Upper troughing situates over the eastern CONUS for Tue night through Wed night. On Wed, a potent shortwave will dive SE and move through nrn portions of the area. This is expected to bring an increase in cloud cover and isolated to sctd showers, mainly N and E of the I-64 corridor and esply on the MD Eastern Shore.
Cooler temps aloft will allow for the development of some modest CAPE in the aftn, so cannot rule out a few rumbles of thunder as well. Highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Cooler Wed night with lows in the 50s for most of the area, and near 60/lower 60s for the far SE.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 410 AM EDT Monday...

Key Message:

- Cooler and more comfortable to end the week.

Another shortwave within the larger longwave trough pivots toward the area later Thu into Fri. However, drier air will work against any pcpn chances. Still could see increases in cloud cover in the aftn during peak heating. However, with the drier air and lower heights aloft, temps will trend back into the 70s with dew points in the 40s and 50s. Thus, it will feel much more comfortable.
High pressure builds down from the Great Lakes to end the week and start the weekend favoring a continuation of the dry and comfortable wx. High temps should begin to inch up some, as ridging begins to build across the eastern CONUS. Overnight lows through the extended will be in the 50s to near 60 at the immediate coast. A few upper 40s are possible Thu and Fri night across the far NW.

AVIATION /11Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 700 AM EDT Monday...

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail at the TAF sites this morning into Tue morning. A couple rounds of showers and tstms will move across the area from this morning into tonight, with any heavier showers or storms producing brief sub-VFR CIGs and VSBYs. Winds will be SSW this morning into tonight, with stronger SSW prevailing winds expected this aftn into early this evening with gusts to around 20 kt. A higher coverage of showers and storms (some of which could be severe) is expected this aftn through this evening at all terminals. Outside of storms, expect mainly VFR conditions.

Outlook: VFR/mainly dry conditions expected Tue through Thu.
However, SBY may receive a shower or storm Wed aftn/evening.

MARINE
As of 250 AM EDT Monday...

Key messages:

- Chances for some lingering showers early this morning, with more widespread showers reaching the waters by late morning into the early afternoon.

- Marginal Small Craft Advisory conditions possible by late this afternoon into tonight across the Chesapeake Bay and coastal waters due to increasing winds and building seas.

Latest analysis reveals a warm front now well north of the local waters. Winds are S/SE 10-15 kt, seas 2-3 ft and waves 1-2 ft (less than 1 ft in the upper rivers). A cold front approaches the area late today, associated with a deepening low pressure center over the Great Lakes. Winds increase this afternoon as pressure gradient tightens ahead of the system. Winds gust to ~20 kt (25 kt over the open ocean this afternoon), while E-SE wind wave potentially pushes some 5 footers across northern and central coastal zones this evening. A convective system will approach the area by mid to late morning, and may prompt some Marine Warnings. Some additional storms will be possible with the frontal passage itself as it pushes into the area this evening.

The front still looks to slow down or stall over the waters Monday night before getting pushed through the region Tuesday afternoon/evening. Winds veer around to the NW behind the front on Tuesday night through midweek. A second, reinforcing shot of cooler and drier air could bring another period of stronger northerly winds late Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

Moderate Rip Risk for northern beaches today with building seas and more of a shore normal component to wave energy. Will keep low risk for tomorrow for now, but will need to watch progress of the front. If it is indeed a bit slower, winds could briefly turn southerly tomorrow afternoon across the eastern shore beaches. If this occurs, a Moderate Rip Risk may be needed over northern portions.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 1 mi58 min SSW 2.9G4.1 71°F 74°F29.83
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 9 mi58 min SSW 6G7 74°F 29.83
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 13 mi58 min 73°F29.86
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 15 mi58 min SW 6G8 74°F 29.82
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 16 mi58 min SSW 5.1G6 73°F 29.84
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 19 mi58 min S 6G11 73°F 29.84
44064 20 mi40 min SSW 5.8G7.8 72°F 72°F1 ft
44087 20 mi50 min 73°F1 ft
CHBV2 22 mi58 min S 5.1G6 73°F 29.80
44072 30 mi40 min WSW 1.9G3.9 74°F 1 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 32 mi50 min 71°F2 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 32 mi58 min S 6G6 73°F 70°F29.85
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 34 mi58 min SW 2.9G4.1 74°F 73°F29.83
44041 - Jamestown, VA 41 mi40 min SSE 3.9G5.8 73°F 77°F
44056 - Duck FRF, NC 49 mi50 min 65°F1 ft
DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 49 mi58 min SSE 8G8 71°F 29.86


Wind History for Money Point, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KCPK CHESAPEAKE RGNL,VA 6 sm20 minS 0410 smPartly Cloudy73°F68°F83%29.85
KPVG HAMPTON ROADS EXECUTIVE,VA 9 sm19 minSSW 0710 smA Few Clouds73°F70°F89%29.86
KNFE FENTRESS NALF,VA 10 sm19 minS 0710 smClear75°F70°F83%29.85
KORF NORFOLK INTL,VA 10 sm24 minS 0810 smClear75°F68°F78%29.84
KNGU NORFOLK NS (CHAMBERS FLD),VA 12 sm16 minSSW 059 smA Few Clouds75°F68°F78%29.85
KNTU OCEANA NAS /APOLLO SOUCEK FIELD/,VA 14 sm19 minSSW 0610 smPartly Cloudy77°F70°F78%29.84
KSFQ SUFFOLK EXECUTIVE,VA 17 sm20 minS 0710 smClear75°F68°F78%29.86
KLFI LANGLEY AFB,VA 22 sm20 minWSW 048 smClear77°F70°F78%29.83
Link to 5 minute data for KCPK


Wind History from CPK
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Deep Creek Entrance, Elizabeth River, Virginia
   
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
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Deep Creek Entrance, Elizabeth River, Virginia, Tide feet


Tide / Current for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
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Mon -- 02:53 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:17 AM EDT     -1.16 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 09:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:40 AM EDT     0.43 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 02:04 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:08 PM EDT     -1.12 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:12 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current, knots
12
am
1
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.4
3
am
-0
4
am
-0.5
5
am
-1
6
am
-1.2
7
am
-1.1
8
am
-0.8
9
am
-0.4
10
am
0.1
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
0.3
2
pm
0
3
pm
-0.3
4
pm
-0.6
5
pm
-1
6
pm
-1.1
7
pm
-1
8
pm
-0.7
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
0.5
11
pm
0.9


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic   
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Wakefield, VA,




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