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PZZ535 Monterey Bay- 848 Pm Pst Wed Nov 29 2023
.small craft advisory in effect from Thursday afternoon through late Thursday night...
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves 0 to 1 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 13 seconds.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 13 seconds.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 14 seconds. A slight chance of rain.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. W swell 2 to 3 ft at 13 seconds.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 knots. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 2 to 4 ft at 13 seconds. A slight chance of rain.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 13 seconds.
Sat night..N winds around 5 knots. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft at 13 seconds.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 knots. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. W swell 3 to 5 ft.
locally lower winds and seas across sheltered portions of the bay.

PZZ500 848 Pm Pst Wed Nov 29 2023
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries...
expect weaker winds into Thursday before strong breezes develop in the late morning, with gale force winds possible over the far southern coastal waters near point sur. A larger moderate period northwest swell arrives in the late week. Weather conditions will remain unsettled into the weekend.

FXUS66 KMTR 300824 AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1224 AM PST Thu Nov 30 2023

New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM

SYNOPSIS
Issued at 1221 AM PST Thu Nov 30 2023

Breezy today into early Friday with small rain chances. High pressure brings a warming trend for the weekend. Unsettled pattern persists into next week with the best rain potential across the North Bay.

SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1221 AM PST Thu Nov 30 2023

An upper level trough will progress through the region today as surface troughing reaches the Bay Area this evening. Strong high pressure will evolve over the northeast Pacific as lower pressure over the Great Basin maintains a robust onshore pressure gradient.
Given weak forcing and only modest lower tropospheric moisture we're not looking for a whole lot in the rain department with some of the coastal ranges perhaps picking up 0.1" or so. Amounts will be much less elsewhere and on the order of a few hundredths for those who do see precipitation today. The greatest rain potential (15-25%) is generally from mid to late afternoon across the Bay Area and from late afternoon to early evening for the Central Coast. Given the aforementioned pressure gradient expect breezy onshore winds along the coastal interface, within the favorably oriented valleys, within the higher terrain and within the local gaps and passes. While we look to fall short of Wind Advisory criteria gusts in the 20-25 mph range are expected across the region later today and tonight. Given onshore flow and the increased cloud cover highs will largely top out right around 60 degrees for most areas today. Clearing skies tonight will allow overnight lows to dip into the 30s and 40s; coldest in the North Bay Valleys and in far southern Monterey County.

LONG TERM
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1221 AM PST Thu Nov 30 2023

We'll remain in an unsettled northwest flow pattern aloft through late week as a series of weak impulses traverse the mean flow.
However the best moisture and forcing should remain displaced to our north. Any rain amounts we do see should be rather inconsequential, although accumulations of up to 0.5" or so are possible in the Sonoma coastal range. High pressure builds at the surface and aloft this weekend leading to drier conditions and a warming trend in temperatures. The ridge weakens for mid to late next week as upper troughing impinges on far NorCal around this time.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 4945 PM PST Wed Nov 29 2023

Widespread VFR lasts through much of Thursday morning. Light to moderate winds last through the night. Winds aloft remain stronger over the North Bay leading to LLWS concerns at STS in the early morning. Some models point to brief periods of drizzle Thursday, but do not look to be impactful. Breezy to gusty west and northwest winds build Thursday afternoon. MVFR CIGs affect the southern terminals Thursday afternoon. Surface winds reduce late Thursday, but winds aloft remain stronger in the North Bay leading to another round of LLWS concerns at STS.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR through the TAF period. Winds stay light and Variable into the evening but increase and become northwesterly into the night. Some lower clouds move through the SF Bay late Thursday morning, but are quick to clear. Gusty westerly winds are expected Thursday afternoon and look to last into the late night.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR through late Thursday morning. Expect light and variable winds through Thursday morning. MVFR CIGs arrive with gusty northwest winds Thursday afternoon but cigs will clear in the late afternoon and winds reduce into the night.

MARINE
(Tonight through next Monday)
Issued at 945 PM PST Wed Nov 29 2023

Expect weaker winds into Thursday before strong breezes develop in the late morning, with gale force winds possible over the far southern coastal waters near Point Sur. A larger moderate period northwest swell arrives in the late week. Weather conditions will remain unsettled into the weekend.

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PST this evening for SF Bay N of Bay Bridge.

Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PST Friday for Mry Bay-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 9 AM PST Friday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10- 60 NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 9 PM PST this evening for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

Gale Watch from this evening through Friday afternoon for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

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Elkhorn
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:42 AM PST     3.63 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:11 AM PST     3.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:00 AM PST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:24 AM PST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:36 AM PST     5.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:50 PM PST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:09 PM PST     -0.78 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:47 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Elkhorn, California, Tide feet

Point Pinos
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Thu -- 02:57 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:58 AM PST     -0.33 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:00 AM PST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:06 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:24 AM PST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:48 AM PST     0.39 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 01:25 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:52 PM PST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:57 PM PST     -0.90 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:48 PM PST     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:05 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Pinos, California Current, knots

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