Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Point Arena, CA
April 19, 2024 3:36 PM PDT (22:36 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:26 AM Sunset 7:50 PM Moonrise 3:22 PM Moonset 3:57 AM |
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Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 192001 AFDMTR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 101 PM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 1206 PM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
A bit cooler across the board today with cloud cover in addition to a deeper marine influence. Continued cloudiness to start the weekend and a dry stretch going into next week. Potential drizzle/light rain chances mid-to-late next week.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1206 PM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Well defined marine layer up to about 2,000 feet remains in place this afternoon per Fort Ord profiler. Expecting this to remain in place through into Saturday as the responsible upper low moves through and the onshore flow increases through tomorrow. Though the deep marine layer remains locked in through Saturday, the associated cloud cover will mix out during the afternoon, much like today, and give way to a rather pleasant afternoon. Locations right along the coast may see more persistent cloud cover lasting later in the day, however. Otherwise, expect northwest winds to increase Saturday afternoon, becoming breezy up to 25-35 mph along the coast and nearby coastal hills.
LONG TERM
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1206 PM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
To end the weekend and start next week, ridging takes over the pattern once again with afternoon highs increasing by a couple of degrees for Sunday and Monday. Tuesday brings the next big change in the weather as the well-advertised upper low moves into the region. The most notable changes that will be noticed Tuesday are cooler temps and increased cloud cover. Really not much change to the forecast beyond that through the rest of the week. Certainty regarding rainfall remains about the same with still only about 25 out of 100 members advertise anything measurable. Again, the most likely scenario as of now will be drizzle in the hills and coastal areas with perhaps some pockets of sprinkles here and there.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1117 AM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Stratus continues to linger throughout portions of the Bay Area with conditions ranging from VFR to MVFR-IFR. Satellite imagery shows stratus is dissipating along the Central Coast with VFR to return within the next hour. Satellite shows dissipating stratus in the North Bay remains slightly more widespread but VFR conditions are expected to return in the next 1 to 2 hours. After stratus dissipation, VFR will prevail through the late evening/early night with stratus and MVFR to IFR returning overnight. Light to moderate winds primarily out of the W.
Vicinity of SFO...VFR conditions through the end of the TAF.
Guidance indicates that stratus may return between 08-16Z but confidence was low. Stratus previously developed at SFO from 11-14Z this morning. If persistence holds true, stratus may develop early tomorrow morning but as of now confidence was too low to include in TAF. Light northerly to northeasterly winds at SFO will transition more northwesterly to westerly through the TAF period with moderate winds to return during the afternoon.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR to MVFR-IFR overnight. Stratus continues to linger over portions of the Central Coast with VFR conditions to fully return at MRY and SNS within the next hour.
Stratus will return late this evening through mid tomorrow morning.
Moderate confidence given guidance and persistence that IFR conditions will develop at MRY and SNS overnight. Guidance indicates some potential for LIFR overnight but confidence remains low.
Primarily light to moderate winds out of the west at MRY and winds out of the west to northwest at SNS.
MARINE
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1117 AM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Light to moderate breezes out of the northwest and fair weather prevail over much of the waters through at least Saturday afternoon. Come the evening of Saturday, northwesterly winds increase to become strong and gusty. Swell builds into Sunday out of the northwest as gusty conditions continue but looks to diminish towards the middle part of the next week. Light southerly swell continues to move through the waters this weekend and through the next work week.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Saturday to 3 AM PDT Sunday for Mry Bay-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM PDT Saturday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 101 PM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 1206 PM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
A bit cooler across the board today with cloud cover in addition to a deeper marine influence. Continued cloudiness to start the weekend and a dry stretch going into next week. Potential drizzle/light rain chances mid-to-late next week.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1206 PM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Well defined marine layer up to about 2,000 feet remains in place this afternoon per Fort Ord profiler. Expecting this to remain in place through into Saturday as the responsible upper low moves through and the onshore flow increases through tomorrow. Though the deep marine layer remains locked in through Saturday, the associated cloud cover will mix out during the afternoon, much like today, and give way to a rather pleasant afternoon. Locations right along the coast may see more persistent cloud cover lasting later in the day, however. Otherwise, expect northwest winds to increase Saturday afternoon, becoming breezy up to 25-35 mph along the coast and nearby coastal hills.
LONG TERM
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1206 PM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
To end the weekend and start next week, ridging takes over the pattern once again with afternoon highs increasing by a couple of degrees for Sunday and Monday. Tuesday brings the next big change in the weather as the well-advertised upper low moves into the region. The most notable changes that will be noticed Tuesday are cooler temps and increased cloud cover. Really not much change to the forecast beyond that through the rest of the week. Certainty regarding rainfall remains about the same with still only about 25 out of 100 members advertise anything measurable. Again, the most likely scenario as of now will be drizzle in the hills and coastal areas with perhaps some pockets of sprinkles here and there.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1117 AM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Stratus continues to linger throughout portions of the Bay Area with conditions ranging from VFR to MVFR-IFR. Satellite imagery shows stratus is dissipating along the Central Coast with VFR to return within the next hour. Satellite shows dissipating stratus in the North Bay remains slightly more widespread but VFR conditions are expected to return in the next 1 to 2 hours. After stratus dissipation, VFR will prevail through the late evening/early night with stratus and MVFR to IFR returning overnight. Light to moderate winds primarily out of the W.
Vicinity of SFO...VFR conditions through the end of the TAF.
Guidance indicates that stratus may return between 08-16Z but confidence was low. Stratus previously developed at SFO from 11-14Z this morning. If persistence holds true, stratus may develop early tomorrow morning but as of now confidence was too low to include in TAF. Light northerly to northeasterly winds at SFO will transition more northwesterly to westerly through the TAF period with moderate winds to return during the afternoon.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR to MVFR-IFR overnight. Stratus continues to linger over portions of the Central Coast with VFR conditions to fully return at MRY and SNS within the next hour.
Stratus will return late this evening through mid tomorrow morning.
Moderate confidence given guidance and persistence that IFR conditions will develop at MRY and SNS overnight. Guidance indicates some potential for LIFR overnight but confidence remains low.
Primarily light to moderate winds out of the west at MRY and winds out of the west to northwest at SNS.
MARINE
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1117 AM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Light to moderate breezes out of the northwest and fair weather prevail over much of the waters through at least Saturday afternoon. Come the evening of Saturday, northwesterly winds increase to become strong and gusty. Swell builds into Sunday out of the northwest as gusty conditions continue but looks to diminish towards the middle part of the next week. Light southerly swell continues to move through the waters this weekend and through the next work week.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Saturday to 3 AM PDT Sunday for Mry Bay-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM PDT Saturday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
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