Saturday, January18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hampton, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 5:16PM Saturday January 18, 2020 1:20 AM EST (06:20 UTC) Moonrise 1:11AMMoonset 12:27PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 1258 Am Est Sat Jan 18 2020
Rest of tonight..NE winds 10 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sat..E winds 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft. Rain likely in the evening.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Mon..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Tue night..N winds 15 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
ANZ600 1258 Am Est Sat Jan 18 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Canadian high pressure builds into the area overnight. Low pressure tracks north of the region Saturday, with a cold front crossing the area Sunday. Turning much colder early next week, as another canadian high pressure system slowly builds into the area.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hampton, VA
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location: 37.01, -76.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 180557 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1257 AM EST Sat Jan 18 2020

SYNOPSIS. Strong high pressure centered over southeast Canada, will slide east tonight and off the coast Saturday morning. A warm front will lift across the area during Saturday, then a cold front will push into and through the region Saturday night into Sunday morning. High pressure builds back into and over the area for Sunday afternoon through Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 1045 PM EST Friday .

Satellite shows high clouds arriving a little faster than previously forecast as the large area of high pressure begins to retreat toward the northeast in advance of the Midwestern storm system. As a result of the increase in clouds, temperatures are a little warmer than expected so have bumped overnight lows up a couple of degrees. Some locations may have already hit their low for the evening, but did allow for a few more degree drop. Otherwise, the weather should remain dry overnight with just a thickening mid to high level cloud deck.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 355 PM EST Friday .

High pressure will slide into the Atlc Sat morning, allowing a warm front to lift across the area during the day Sat. Surface winds will quickly turn SE then S and increase a bit Sat morning into Sat aftn. Models continue to delay the onset of any significant pcpn until after 18Z, where temps will then be warm enough for all pcpn to be just rain across the entire region.

Very dry low levels Sat morning will take some time to saturate before pcpn reaches the surface, but will provide an opportunity for efficient evaporational cooling, especially across the Nrn/NW counties, where the best chance for very light frozen/mixed pcpn will exist. QPF is expected to be only a few hundredths through noon Sat, but the potential exists for a few hour window of mixed pcpn (flurries/sleet pellet) before the low levels warm above freezing and pcpn transitions to all rain. Given the dry air to overcome, minimal QPF, and the later timing for heavier pcpn moving in, do not expect any real winter threat from this event and no snow or ice accumulations are forecast.

PoPs increase markedly after 18Z with the highest chances across the N/NW, transitioning ESE through the evening hours/early Sat night, as the surface cold front pushes into the region. High temps will vary widely with in-situ CAD wedging noted across the NW, and SE/S winds off the warmer Atlc. Expecting highs ranging from the upper 30s to lower 40s far NW, to the upper 40s to lower/mid 50s SE. Pcpn ends from NW to SE Sat night into Sun morning, with lows ranging from the mid 30s far NW, to the mid to upper 40s SE.

Dry wx returns for Sun aftn through Mon, as sfc high pressure will gradually build toward the area from the WNW. Partly to mostly sunny both days with highs mainly ranging from the mid to upper 40s NNW, to the mid 50s SE on Sun, and only in the upper 30s to lower 40s on Mon. Lows Sun night ranging through the 20s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 355 PM EST Friday .

For much of next week, high pressure will be in control at the surface and troughing aloft. While mainly dry/sunny conditions are expected, next week will feature much colder air compared to the past few weeks. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will struggle to climb out of the upper 30s and lower 40s across the region, with overnight lows Monday night through Wednesday night ranging from the teens to low 20s inland to the mid to upper 20s at the coast. A gradual warming trend begins Thursday into Friday as the center of high pressure begins to shift eastward and ridging develops across the Eastern US. An area of low pressure potentially develops across the central Thursday before moving northeast during the day on Friday. This area of low pressure and its associated frontal boundary may bring a chance of rain to the area late Friday into Saturday.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 1250 AM EST Saturday .

VFR conditions with high pressure over the region tonight, moves offshore this morning as low pressure and a cold front approach the region from the west. Light and variable NE winds will become SE/S through the morning hours and S/SW and gusty by the afternoon as the gradient tightens. BKN/OVC high clouds moving into/across the region tonight will gradually lower into the afternoon as rain spreads from west to east 18-00Z. Potential for MVFR CIGs late afternoon/early evening at RIC and SBY, a few hours later at PHF, ORF, and ECG. Some guidance is showing potential for IFR CIGs at SBY and RIC but held off on explicit mention in the forecast.

OUTLOOK . Cold front crosses the area on Sat night into Sun morning, with any lingering pcpn ending from NW to SE. High pressure builds back in for Sun and Mon.

MARINE. As of 350 PM EST Friday .

Late afternoon surface analysis shows ~1045 mb Canadian high pressure centered over the nrn Great Lakes ridging swd into the Carolinas. A developing area of low pressure was moving ewd over the nrn High Plains. Northerly winds have relaxed to below SCA criteria on the rivers, while winds are still in the 20-25 kt range (sustained) over the bay/ocean. Seas are 5-7 ft N/6-8 ft S, with 3-4 ft waves on the Ches Bay. The high will build across New England this evening into tonight, with sfc ridging (briefly) becoming centered over the waters by early Sat AM. Therefore, the wind will diminish to 10-15 kt (and become NNE) by late evening, before becoming NE 5-10kt later tonight. SCAs remain in effect through 03z/10 PM for the Ches Bay/Currituck Sound/nrn coastal waters, and until 09z/4 AM for the coastal waters S of Cape Charles. Seas are progged to fall below SCA criteria across the nrn coastal waters early tonight before falling to below 5 ft S of Cape Charles by late tonight.

High pressure will push offshore by late Sat AM as the aforementioned area of low pressure tracks ENE across the Great Lakes Saturday and across New England Sunday. Winds turn to the S on Saturday (but remain below SCA criteria through at least midday). The pressure gradient increases by aftn-evening (ahead of the approaching trailing cold front). Some of the guidance is showing pressure falls of 5-6 mb/3 hr during the evening. As a result, winds increase to 20 kt on the bay/25 kt on the ocean (and veer to the SSW- SW) by Saturday evening. Winds could gust to 30 kt across the nrn coastal waters for a time. Seas build back to 4-6 ft (highest 20 nm offshore), with 3 to perhaps 4 ft waves on the Ches Bay. After coordinating with neighboring offices, will allow current headlines to expire before issuing any new SCA headlines for Saturday-Saturday night.

Winds are forecast to decrease slightly (and turn more westerly) from early Sun AM through the day on Sun before the cold front moves S of the waters Sunday night with the wind becoming NW 15-25kt. Winds diminish to 15-18 kt by Mon aftn before a secondary surge of low-level CAA is progged to cross the waters Monday night. NNW winds increase slightly to ~20 kt Mon night as high pressure builds into the Midwest. The high slowly builds toward the local area on Tuesday before becoming centered over the waters by late Wednesday/Wednesday night. Winds slowly veer from the NNW-NNE from Tue-Wed while remaining 15 kt N/15-20 kt S. Winds become light across all areas by Wed night. Seas remain in the 3-4 ft N/4-5 ft S through early next week (perhaps reaching 6 ft off the NE NC coast at times).

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST early this morning for ANZ656-658.

SYNOPSIS . TMG NEAR TERM . ESS/TMG SHORT TERM . RHR/TMG LONG TERM . AJB AVIATION . RHR MARINE . AJZ/ERI


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 3 mi56 min 35°F 1038.5 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 5 mi56 min 49°F1038.8 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 6 mi56 min 34°F 1039.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 8 mi50 min 36°F 1038.6 hPa
44087 10 mi50 min 47°F2 ft
44064 13 mi30 min NE 7.8 G 9.7 1038.5 hPa
44072 14 mi30 min SE 12 G 14 34°F
CHBV2 14 mi56 min 34°F 1037.5 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 16 mi56 min 35°F 51°F1038.7 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 17 mi50 min 34°F 48°F1038.9 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 17 mi50 min 34°F 1039.7 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 19 mi50 min 35°F 1038.6 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 22 mi56 min 45°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 34 mi50 min NNE 1.9 29°F 1040 hPa23°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 34 mi50 min 49°F4 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 39 mi32 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 47°F1042.5 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 40 mi50 min 1040.1 hPa

Wind History for Willoughby Degaussing Station, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA6 mi81 minNE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy35°F18°F50%1039.4 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA6 mi84 minNE 910.00 miOvercast33°F21°F64%1039.9 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA11 mi29 minNE 810.00 miFair36°F16°F44%1038.5 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA12 mi26 minN 010.00 miFair32°F21°F64%1038.9 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA17 mi84 minN 010.00 miOvercast33°F17°F53%1039.3 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA21 mi24 minNW 510.00 miOvercast31°F21°F67%1038.5 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA24 mi25 minN 010.00 miFair30°F26°F87%1039.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNGU

Wind History from NGU (wind in knots)
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2 days agoE4NE5NE8NE6NE8N6E3E4NE4NE3NE7N6N4NE4NE4E6CalmSE4CalmSE6S7S8S6S7

Tide / Current Tables for Old Point Comfort, Hampton Roads, Virginia
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Old Point Comfort
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:10 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:12 AM EST     2.45 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:27 AM EST     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:27 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:31 PM EST     2.05 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:14 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:34 PM EST     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.82.22.42.321.40.80.2-0-00.30.71.31.7221.71.20.60.1-0.2-0.30

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:09 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:06 AM EST     0.91 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:52 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:16 AM EST     -1.19 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 12:25 PM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 12:31 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:37 PM EST     0.52 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:13 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:42 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 09:27 PM EST     -1.18 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.70.90.80.60.4-0.1-0.6-1-1.2-1.1-0.8-0.30.20.50.50.40.2-0.1-0.5-0.9-1.2-1.1-0.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.