Monday, March30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hampton, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 7:27PM Monday March 30, 2020 3:34 PM EDT (19:34 UTC) Moonrise 9:35AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 42% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 320 Pm Edt Mon Mar 30 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from Tuesday evening through Wednesday afternoon...
Through 7 pm..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 foot in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft, building to 3 to 4 ft after midnight. Showers.
Wed..NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 4 ft. Showers, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 to 2 ft after midnight.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ600 320 Pm Edt Mon Mar 30 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A cold front will cross the coast tonight. Low pressure tracks off the carolina coast Tuesday night and Wednesday. High pressure builds in from the northwest Wednesday night and Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hampton, VA
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location: 37.01, -76.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 301631 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1231 PM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

SYNOPSIS. Weak high pressure will build into the area through tonight. Also, low pressure moving through extreme southeast Canada will provide dry and breezy conditions to the local area during today. Another low pressure system tracks east across the Gulf coast states on Tuesday, then off the coastal Carolinas while intensifying Tuesday night into Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 1230 PM EDT Monday .

Early afternoon weather analysis reveals weak ~1022+mb sfc high pressure building east from the Mississippi River Valley. To the north, weakening low pressure continues to meander east across the northeast into New England. Clouds from post-frontal onshore flow continue to slowly diminish along the coastal mid-atlantic and Delmarva, with winds becoming S-SW areawide. Expect improving mixing as we break into clearing sky this aftn. Mild (coast) to warm (inland) today on breezy S-SW winds this aftn. RH values drop into the 20 to 30% range and in tandem with gusty winds, could potentially present some minor fire wx issues inland/piedmont of VA esply (see Fire Wx Section below). High temps today will likely reach 75 to ~80 across most of VA/NC counties, with upper 60s to lower 70s readings for coastal peninsula/Hampton Roads . and the lower eastern shore.

Clear/mostly clear to start this evening, with gradually increasing clouds from SW to ENE late tonight into Tue morning. Lows will range through the 40s to around 50.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. As of 410 AM EDT Monday .

Tue/Wed .

Clouds increase from the W-SW during Tue, as sfc low pressure tracks across the Gulf coast states. This low will eventually slide offshore of the coastal Carolinas late tonight into Wed morning. Still some degree of spatial spread with exact track of the sfc low (NAM/ECMWF a bit stronger and more amplified, with the GFS a bit weaker and flatter). However, both models are a bit more aggressive with convective potential across the Gulf coast and Mid-south, which tends to slow down onset of PoP across our region. Thus, have maintained rain chances a bit farther back in time into later Tue and Tue night. Have continued with a blended model solution, weighted toward the NAM/ECMWF. So while highest PoPs will remain across the srn half of the area, have held onto rain chances a bit longer into the day on Wed. Highs on Tue in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs on Wed in the 50s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Sunday .

Cool area of high pressure builds across the eastern US on Thursday and Friday allowing for dry conditions across the region and temperatures near to slightly below normal for this time of the year (Normal: Highs generally low to mid 60s, Lows generally low to mid 40s). Mostly sunny skies are anticipated for Thursday and Friday. A slow warming trend is expected as we head into the late week/weekend as high pressure starts to shift to the east and the flow becomes more southerly. Another system potentially approaches from the west late Saturday into Sunday, though timing differences remain between the 12z GFS (faster) and the ECMWF (slower). For now will have mainly slight chance PoPs starting late Saturday to account for the uncertainty. High temperatures on Saturday and Sunday will mainly range from the mid to upper 60s (cooler at the coast and across the Eastern Shore) and lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.

AVIATION /16Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 300 AM EDT Monday .

Latest obs and sat pix continue to show IFR/LIFR conditions lingering over the VA nrn neck, and the Lower MD and VA ern shore early this morning. Latest guidance indicates these areas should improve to VFR conditions after 12-13Z. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions today into Tue morning at the TAF sites. Breezy W winds 10-15 kt with gusts to around 20-25 kt most areas will occur late this morning through this aftn, with the potential for a few hrs of stronger winds during the mid/late aftn (gusts 25-30 kt), due to much drier airmass filtering into the region. Winds calm down this evening, then become NW or N around 5 kt or less tonight into early Tue morning.

Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions expected through Tue aftn. Flight restrictions are likely to return with the next system, arriving Tue evening into Wed. In addition, strong E/NE winds are expected near the coast. Improving conditions then expected Thu-Fri.

MARINE. As of 400 AM EDT Monday .

Low pressure is developing off the NJ coast early this morning, with a trailing frontal boundary extending to the SW toward the VA capes. The wind is N 5-15kt N of the boundary and WNW 5-15kt S of the boundary. Seas are generally ~3ft, with ~4ft seas off the MD coast. The northerly wind has pulled some marine fog back into the area, and this will persist through 7 am, with vsby generally 1- 3nm. The initial low will pull well to the NE today with the frontal boundary pushing off the coast. Another low will track through the Ern Great Lakes today. The wind will generally be SW 10-15kt for most of the marine area as mixing will be limited with strong surface heating. However, the rivers will be an exception with a W wind increasing to 15-20kt with gusts to 25kt late this morning into the aftn, and an SCA has been issued from 10 am through 7 pm. There could be some gusts up to 20kt for the wrn shore of the Bay later this aftn, but most of the Bay should remain sub-SCA. A cold front drops across the region tonight with a sub-SCA NNW surge, although marginal SCA conditions are possible in the middle Bay. Seas briefly build to 3-4ft late tonight and early Tuesday, with 2-3ft waves in the Bay. Weak high pressure builds N of the region Tuesday. Low pressure tracks along and off the Carolina coast Tuesday night into Wednesday. SCA conditions are likely, with the latest guidance continuing to depict a potential for gale conditions for the ocean S of Cape Charles. Seas build to 6-8ft N and 8-10ft S Tuesday night into Wednesday. High pressure builds in from the NW Wednesday night through Friday as low pressure lingers offshore. The wind will be NW 10-20kt, and strongest overnight/morning with nocturnal CAA. Seas will likely remain elevated (4-6ft) due to swell with low pressure lingering offshore.

FIRE WEATHER. As of 410 AM EDT Monday .

Pattern looks favorable for at least SPS/Fire Danger statement to be issued for today, esply for most of the VA counties. This as min RH values are expected down into the 20-25% range across much of inland VA and 25-30% closer to the coast (some areas along and W of I95 could get down below 20%). Winds are expected to gust to 20-30 mph during the aftn.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Low pressure is forecast to track across and off the NC Outer Banks Tuesday night into Wednesday bringing a modestly strong NE wind. This will result increasing tidal anomalies, particularly during high tide late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning, Wednesday aftn, and then potentially late Wednesday night/early Thursday. Current extra-tropical surge guidance depicts the highest departures (1.5-2.0ft above astronomical) over the lower Bay/lower James and this would result in the potential for minor tidal flooding.

CLIMATE. No record highs were set but with the exception of SBY it was quite warm with highs of 88F at RIC and ECG and 87 at ORF.

* Record Highs Sun 3/29:

* RIC: 94 (1907) * ORF: 92 (1907) * SBY: 93 (1907) * ECG: 90 (1985)

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ635>638.

SYNOPSIS . MAM NEAR TERM . MAM SHORT TERM . MAM/TMG LONG TERM . AJB AVIATION . TMG MARINE . AJZ FIRE WEATHER . TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . CLIMATE .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 3 mi46 min W 5.1 G 5.1 64°F 1011.9 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 5 mi52 min 58°F1012.3 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 6 mi52 min W 8 G 13 67°F 1012.8 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 8 mi46 min WSW 12 G 17 72°F 1012 hPa
44064 13 mi34 min ESE 5.8 G 7.8 57°F1012 hPa (-4.0)
44072 14 mi34 min NNW 5.8 G 7.8 62°F 56°F1 ft
CHBV2 14 mi52 min ESE 5.1 G 5.1 56°F 1011.3 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 16 mi46 min W 4.1 G 16 73°F 59°F1011.9 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 17 mi46 min W 2.9 G 6 64°F 1012.7 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 17 mi46 min W 12 G 15 69°F 57°F1011.5 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 19 mi46 min ESE 7 G 8.9 56°F 1012.6 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 22 mi46 min S 6 G 7 56°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 34 mi34 min 52°F3 ft
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 34 mi64 min SW 4.1 71°F 1013 hPa38°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 39 mi40 min S 3.9 G 5.8 56°F1015.2 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 40 mi46 min S 14 G 15 1013 hPa

Wind History for Willoughby Degaussing Station, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA6 mi95 minW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy71°F48°F46%1013.5 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA6 mi38 minSW 159.00 miPartly Cloudy71°F41°F34%1012.5 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA11 mi43 minW 1010.00 miFair73°F37°F28%1012 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA12 mi40 minSW 14 G 1910.00 miFair74°F37°F27%1012 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA17 mi98 minWSW 310.00 miA Few Clouds67°F51°F58%1012.8 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA21 mi38 minW 1210.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F44°F37%1011.9 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA24 mi39 minSW 10 G 157.00 miFair73°F35°F25%1012.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNGU

Wind History from NGU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NW5SW9SW11
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W12W11W7W6W5W3NE8NE11E7E6CalmCalm3SW4W8SW9
1 day agoE12NE8E5NE5NE6E6NE6E5NE3NE5E4NE7NE3NE4N4NE4NE3CalmN3N5N4E6E7E6
2 days agoNE6NE5NE6NE5S3E6E8SE8SE10SE7SE9SE11
G16
E5E6E3SE6SE5SE6NW3NW5W76NW9N6

Tide / Current Tables for Old Point Comfort, Hampton Roads, Virginia
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Old Point Comfort
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:22 AM EDT     2.59 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:44 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:48 PM EDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:39 PM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.42.62.52.21.81.30.80.50.50.611.41.82.12.221.61.20.70.40.40.611.5

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:27 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:28 AM EDT     0.74 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:51 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:41 AM EDT     -0.85 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 10:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:18 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:13 PM EDT     0.30 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:13 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:29 PM EDT     -0.92 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 10:34 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.70.50.2-0-0.3-0.6-0.8-0.8-0.7-0.4-0.10.20.30.20.1-0.2-0.4-0.7-0.9-0.9-0.6-0.20.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.