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Marine Weather and Tides Scotland, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:14AM

Sunset 5:18PM

Monday January 20, 2020 7:04 AM EST (12:04 UTC)

Moonrise 3:26AM

Moonset 1:45PM

Illumination 22%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Scotland CDP, VA

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 201134 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 634 AM EST Mon Jan 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cold high pressure builds across the region through midweek. Much colder air spills across the region through Tuesday night . with temperatures slowly moderating for the latter half of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 630 AM EST Monday .

Early morning surface analysis shows strong low pressure well northeast of New England moving away into the Atlantic while 1044mb high pressure builds southeast from the Dakotas toward the region. The resulting pressure gradient over the local area has kept winds around 10mph this morning and temperatures have not fallen as far as previously forecast. Bumped up lows a few degrees due to continued mixing, generally ranging from the low/mid 20s west of I- 95 to mid/upper 20s to the east.

Strong cold air advection continues today, brisk NW winds and temps in the mid to upper 30s result in a raw day across the region despite a mostly sunny sky. Wind chills will average in the mid/upper 20s, even through the afternoon. Bay-streamer clouds are possible downstream (south and southeast) of the Ches bay today as cold, dry air interacts with the relative warmth of the waters. Latest model guidance has trended toward winds not totally decoupling tonight, so have raised overnight lows a few degrees into the upper teens and low 20s.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 345 AM EST Monday .

Continued cold and dry Tuesday, with highs remaining below normal. Thickness tools in agreement with cool side of MOS guidance envelope, with highs mainly in the mid to upper 30s despite a mainly clear/sunny sky. Clear and cold once again Tuesday night with early morning lows in the low to mid 20s . to around 30 SE.

Models still show the formation of a cut-off low near the GA/SC coast Tuesday night. However, models remain in good agreement in taking this wave offshore, with cyclogenesis occurring well away from the local area, thus minimizing any sensible weather impacts across the local area.

Behind this wave, modifying sfc high builds over the Mid-Atlantic and northeast CONUS on Wednesday. Thicknesses begin to climb, signaling the start of a moderating temp trend. Slightly warmer Wednesday with highs climbing to near normal in the low to mid 40s, under a mainly sunny sky. Lows Wednesday night will inch up a few degrees as well with generally low/mid 20s expected across the region.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 230 PM EDT Sunday .

Medium range period characterized by dry conditions and gradually moderating temperatures. Rain chances increase by late in the week into the weekend. Forecast period begins with high pressure at the sfc and aloft in place over the region with quiet weather persisting through Thu night. Highs in the 50s Thu/Fri. Lows in the 20s to mid 30s Wed/Thu night, mid 30s to mid 40s Friday night.

Our next weather maker will come from a developing upper trough over the central Plains Wed night and Thursday, with that system then lifting northeast Ohio Valley/Great Lakes Friday/Friday night. Remaining dry Wednesday night through Friday morning, with rain chances ramping up Friday night and Saturday. Kept PoPs in the chance range at this time with typical temporal differences between the deterministic models, though models are reasonably clustered with ensembles for this time range. PWs

Other big story weather-wise will be with quickly moderating temperatures. Pre-frontal warm front will lift across the region over the course of next weekend, with temperatures moderating back toward then above normal Saturday and Sunday (highs in the 50s to low 60s, lows in the 30s and 40s). The attendant sfc cold front approaches and crosses through the area sometime late next weekend . but with the Pacific origins of that airmass, expect temperatures to only fall back to around climo normal. In short, outside of the chilly temperatures in the short term, no chances of wintry weather to be found over the next 10 days.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 630 AM EST Monday .

VFR conditions noted at all terminals as high pressure builds in from the west. North and northwest winds continue across the region with most terminals reporting gusts to 20+ knots early this morning. Clear skies for most of the region today with the exception of ORF and perhaps ECG and SBY where some SCT/BKN bay streamer clouds are possible. CIGs in these areas are forecast to remain above MVFR thresholds with obs generally reporting BKN040 this morning. Winds decrease after sunset but remain out of the north through the end of the period.

Outlook: VFR conditions persist through Wed as cold high pressure builds back across the region.

MARINE. As of 345 AM EST Monday .

High pressure is building in from the NW early this morning, with a cold front now located well S of the region. Strong CAA is resulting in a NNW wind of 20-30kt for the Bay/ocean, and 15- 25kt elsewhere. Seas are 5-6ft N to 6-8ft S, with 3-5ft waves in the Bay. The wind is expected to become N near to around 20kt for the ocean/Bay/Sound, 15-20kt for the lower James, and diminish to 10-15kt for the other rivers today. Seas remain 5-6ft N, to 6-8ft S today, with 3-4ft waves in the Bay. High pressure remains NW of the region tonight, and another push of low-level CAA should maintain a N wind of 15-20kt. High pressure builds N of the region Tuesday into Wednesday, as low pressure develops well off the Southeast Coast. The wind will become NNE with speeds 10-15kt N to 15-20kt srn Bay, and 20-25kt for the ocean S of Cape Henry. This will likely maintain at least 5-6ft seas S, and could remain 6-8ft Tuesday/Wednesday off the nrn Outer Banks. Elsewhere, seas subside to 3-4ft, with 2-3ft waves in the Bay.

SCAs have been extended through 7 am Wednesday for the ocean S of Cape Charles due to high confidence of elevated seas, 7 pm Tuesday for ocean zone 654 and the Sound, 4 pm Tuesday for the lower Bay, 1 pm Tuesday for the middle Bay, 10 am Tuesday for the lower James, 4 am Tuesday for the nrn ocean, and remaining 10 am Monday for the remaining rivers.

High pressure builds over the region Wednesday night into Thursday and slowly slides offshore Friday. Low pressure and an associated cold front pass through the area Friday night into Saturday.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for ANZ635>637. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ632-634. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ633-654. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ630-631. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ638. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ650-652.

SYNOPSIS . MAM NEAR TERM . RHR SHORT TERM . MAM/RHR LONG TERM . MAM AVIATION . RHR MARINE . AJZ

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA	15 mi	94 min	NNW 6	27°F			1025 hPa	17°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA	17 mi	46 min	NNW 14 G 21
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA	24 mi	46 min	N 19 G 25	28°F			1024.3 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA	26 mi	52 min	E 2.9 G 11	29°F			1024.2 hPa
44072	28 mi	34 min	ENE 19 G 25	29°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA	30 mi	52 min	NNW 18 G 23	28°F			1023.5 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA	31 mi	58 min			47°F		1023.7 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA	33 mi	46 min	NNW 13 G 18	28°F			1023.8 hPa
44087	36 mi	34 min			46°F	4 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA	38 mi	28 min	N 18 G 21		45°F		1027 hPa
CHBV2	39 mi	52 min	NNW 23 G 28	29°F			1021.7 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA	39 mi	52 min	N 8.9 G 16	29°F	50°F		1023.5 hPa
44064	40 mi	34 min	N 21 G 29				1023.1 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA	43 mi	52 min	NNW 23 G 28		45°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA	46 mi	46 min	NW 20 G 29	29°F			1023.4 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA	47 mi	46 min	NNW 27 G 31				1024 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

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12 PM

1 PM

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4 PM

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6 PM

7 PM

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12 AM

1 AM

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Last 24hr

SW11 G15

SW12 G18

SW12 G18

W12 G17

W12 G18

NW13 G19

NW14 G20

NW21

NW14 G17

NW15

NW11 G16

NE10 G14

N15 G20

N17 G24

NW22

NW17 G23

NW18 G22

NW19

NW16 G22

N14 G19

NW17 G24

NW18 G22

NW21 G26

NW16 G20

1 day ago

SE3

SW4

S1 G4

SE3

SE4

S5

S8 G11

S7 G11

S11 G17

S10 G14

S7 G12

SW5 G11

W4

SW7 G11

SW7 G10

W7 G12

SW9

SW11 G16

SW9 G12

SW10 G14

SW11 G16

SW15 G21

SW15 G20

SW14 G20

2 days ago

NW19 G23

NW15 G21

NW17 G26

N22 G27

N19 G23

N16 G23

NW15 G19

N11 G17

N15

N13

N14

NW12

N8

N9

N9 G12

N9

N7

N6

N6

NE6

NE8

E10

NE6

NE5

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA	4 mi	69 min	N 11 G 23	10.00 mi	Fair	27°F	12°F	54%	1024.4 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA	10 mi	68 min	N 10 G 23	10.00 mi	Fair	27°F	10°F	49%	1023.7 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA	16 mi	70 min	N 11 G 23	10.00 mi	Fair	27°F	10°F	49%	1023.8 hPa
Wakefield Municipal Airport, VA	19 mi	70 min	Var 6	10.00 mi	Fair	27°F	12°F	53%	1024.4 hPa
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA	22 mi	69 min	NW 8	10.00 mi	Fair	26°F	13°F	59%	1024.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJGG

Wind History from JGG (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

W6

W7

W14 G18

NW13 G17

W12 G18

NW12 G20

NW10 G22

NW12 G16

NW13 G19

NW8 G18

N7 G15

N8 G15

N15 G27

N11 G21

N11 G19

NW5

NW5

Calm

N8 G21

N10 G15

N9 G17

N9 G20

N7 G18

N12 G19

1 day ago

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

S7

Calm

S10 G14

S8

S8

S7

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

W4

SW6

Calm

Calm

W10 G14

SW7 G15

SW7 G14

SW9 G19

SW5

W7

2 days ago

NW6

N5

N6 G21

N6 G19

NW11 G18

N10 G19

N7 G17

NE3

N9

N3

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

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Tide / Current Tables for Jamestown Island, James River, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Hog Point, James River, Virginia

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (7,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA

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