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Marine Weather and Tides Scotland, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:12AM

Sunset 6:30PM

Tuesday October 15, 2019 7:27 AM EDT (11:27 UTC)

Moonrise 6:51PM

Moonset 7:42AM

Illumination 97%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Scotland CDP, VA

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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Fxus61 kakq 151041 afdakq area forecast discussion national weather service wakefield va 641 am edt Tue oct 15 2019 Synopsis High pressure centered to our north will keep the region dry on Tuesday. A strong cold front crosses the area on Wednesday bringing periods of rain and gusty winds behind the front. High pressure builds in for the end of the week with cooler and drier conditions expected. Near term through tonight As of 600 am edt Tuesday... the fog that has persisted much of the night near the coast has diminished in coverage. Latest surface obs and satellite imagery shows some pockets continuing in NE nc and along the coast of md va. Issued another sps for patchy dense fog until 8 am. Further inland, good radiational cooling has allowed temps to dip a little bit more than expected. Many locations south and west of the richmond metro have dropped into the lower 40's, with even a couple readings in the upper 30's in louisa county. Temps will rebound quickly after sunrise, with high temps reaching the low to mid 70's this afternoon. Short term Wednesday through Thursday As of 330 am edt Tuesday... a strong cold front will cross the region on Wednesday bringing some much needed rain to the area. A shortwave digging through the northern stream will amplify as it crosses the ohio valley. Meanwhile, a healthy southern stream will help to tap into some gulf moisture ahead of the front. Forecast soundings show pwat values increasing to about 1.5 inches on Wednesday. Expect showers to overspread the region from southwest to northeast beginning before 12z Wednesday and lasting through late Wednesday evening. Instability isn't impressive but can't rule out a couple rumbles of thunder. Overall thinking on QPF is in line with wpc, with rainfall values generally ranging from 0.5-1.0 inches with isolated higher amounts. Went on the cooler side of guidance for high temps on Wednesday, as it's expected overcast and rainy conditions will likely hold temps in the mid to upper 60s. By 06z Thursday the rain should be over across the region, and a gusty wnw wind will bring in drier and much cooler conditions. Low temps Thursday morning will easily be in the 40s for most of the region except right near the coast. Areas west of i-95 may get close to 40 degrees. Thursday afternoon high temps will only reach the low to mid 60s. Winds will gust 25-30mph across most of the area, but the md eastern shore may see wind gusts up to 35-40mph Thursday morning and afternoon. Long term Thursday night through Monday As of 130 pm edt Monday... sfc hi pres moves across the fa fri-sat resulting in dry near seasonable wx. Return flow behind the high as it moves off the coast Sun through Mon will likely bring an increase in moisture (and pops) from the SW ahead of lo pres tracking through the midwest - initially inland during sun... Then all areas by sun night mon. Lows Thu night 40-45f inland to around 50f at the immediate coast. Highs Fri in the l-m60s. Lows Fri night in the l-m40s inland to the l50s at the (immediate coast). Highs Sat in the u60s-l70s. Lows Sat night in the u40s inland to the l-m50s at the coast. Highs Sun in the l70s at the coast and m70s elsewhere. Highs Mon from the l70s N to the u70s far se. Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday As of 640 am edt Tuesday... patchy fog may still briefly impact visbys at kecg and kphf for a couple more hours but once the remainder of the fog burns off all taf locations will beVFR throughout the day. Winds will be NE this morning becoming SE by late in the day. Wind speeds will remain below 10 kts.

Looking ahead... A cold front will cross the area on Wednesday. Periods of showers are expected with a slight chance of thunderstorms, especially closer to the coast. Flight restrictions are possible in areas of heavy rain. After the frontal passage, gusty wnw winds are expected late Wednesday night and through the day on Thursday. Marine As of 400 am edt Tuesday... a weak cold front is currently crossing the lower bay shifting winds to the NW and eventually the NE later this morning. Pressure gradient and CAA is too weak for issuance of any sca headlines but will see a few hrs worth of sustained winds approaching 15 kt and a few gusts potentially to near 20 kt. Winds will become E at 5-10 kt during the aftn. Sub- sca conditions then prevail tonight, before another area of low pressure is progged to impact the area on wed, followed by a much stronger cold front Wed night. Some potential for sca conditions for building seas on the coastal waters and 15-20kt winds into the lower bay in sse flow late Wed am into Wed aftn before the winds shift to the W late Wed aftn. With this being 3rd period and somewhat marginal uncertain did not raise any scas yet. Have issued a gale watch for the coastal zones N of cape charles light for Wed night Thu for what will be a 12hr or greater period with gusts of 35-40 kt expected. Strong CAA and an intensifying sfc low pushes off the mid-atlantic coast wed night and into new england on thu. Strong scas (due to winds) look likely Wed night-thu for the remainder of the region and even in these zones not in the gale watch, there probably will be a few hrs worth of occasional gusts to ~35 kt late wed evening or early Thu am as the initial surge of sharply colder air moves through. Local wind probabilities are depicting >80% chances for gale gusts at buoy 44009 Wed night early Thu tapered to 20-40% (or less) over the southern coastal waters and bay. Due to the offshore NW flow, seas will not build that much despite the strong winds, generally to 4-6 ft while waves in the bay build to ~4 ft with 2-3 ft waves in the rivers. The current forecast has winds remaining AOA sca thresholds for bay and coast through ~12z fri. Sub-sca conditions return by late fri, as high pressure settles over the waters. Tides coastal flooding As of 500 am edt Tuesday... flood statement for the nc zones along the albemarle sound has been extended through noon. Water levels peaked yesterday but have been slow to fall and with some residual flooding still ongoing have extended the statement to cover the rest of this morning. Some increasing tidal anomalies are expected over the next day into the bay out ahead of a strong cold front. Minor flooding with the high tide Wed aftn will be possible into the upper bay for places like lewisetta, bishops head (and potentially crisfield and cambridge). The rip current risk will be moderate over area beaches today (this is the last srf issuance for the 2019 season). Akq watches warnings advisories Md... None. Nc... None. Va... None. Marine... Gale watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon for anz650-652-654. Synopsis... Cmf near term... Cmf short term... Cmf long term... Alb aviation... Cmf marine... Lkb tmg tides coastal flooding... Akq

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
44041 - Jamestown, VA	0 mi	34 min		57°F	70°F		1020.5 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA	15 mi	58 min	N 1.9	58°F			1021 hPa	54°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA	17 mi	58 min	NNW 5.1 G 5.1	60°F	70°F		1019.5 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA	26 mi	58 min	NNE 5.1 G 8	59°F			1019.8 hPa
44072	28 mi	38 min	E 16 G 18	66°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA	30 mi	58 min	N 9.9 G 12	62°F			1018.9 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA	31 mi	58 min			71°F		1019.5 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA	33 mi	58 min	N 6 G 8	64°F			1019.3 hPa
44087	36 mi	28 min			70°F	1 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA	38 mi	58 min	ENE 16 G 19	66°F	69°F		1023.5 hPa
CHBV2	39 mi	64 min	N 14 G 15	66°F			1018.3 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA	39 mi	58 min	NNW 2.9 G 4.1	57°F	72°F		1019.1 hPa
44064	40 mi	38 min	NNE 12 G 16	66°F			1019 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA	43 mi	58 min	NNE 5.1 G 7		69°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA	46 mi	58 min	N 11 G 13	66°F			1019.4 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA	47 mi	58 min	NNE 17 G 19				1020.4 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA	4 mi	33 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	55°F	55°F	100%	1020.3 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA	10 mi	92 min	NNE 4	10.00 mi	Fair	58°F	53°F	85%	1019.3 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA	16 mi	34 min	NE 3	5.00 mi	Fog/Mist	54°F	52°F	93%	1019.8 hPa
Wakefield Municipal Airport, VA	19 mi	33 min	N 0	6.00 mi	Fog/Mist	45°F	42°F	90%	1020.2 hPa
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA	22 mi	33 min	N 0	7.00 mi	Fair	46°F	46°F	100%	1021 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJGG

Wind History from JGG (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Jamestown Island, James River, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Hog Point, James River, Virginia

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (7,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA

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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.