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Marine Weather and Tides Scotland, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:48AM

Sunset 7:29PM

Wednesday April 1, 2020 4:46 PM EDT (20:46 UTC)

Moonrise 11:16AM

Moonset 1:28AM

Illumination 63%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Scotland CDP, VA

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 012005 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 405 PM EDT Wed Apr 1 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure off the mid Atlantic coast will slowly move northeast through Friday. High pressure returns to the area Thursday and Friday as the low pressure lingers well offshore.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY/. As of 4 pm EDT Wednesday . Winds are finally diminishing across the coastal area. As such, will allow the wind advisory to expire at 4pm this afternoon. Generally quiet night tonight as the strong surface low continues to slowly move east. Cannot rule out a passing light shower or sprinkle late this afternoon across the NW due to a weak short wave moving through in the NW flow, and have maintained a slight chance of showers in this area through 8pm. Despite the clouds early this evening, expect much of the area to see clear skies overnight due to drying aloft. This will yield chilly temps with mid-upper 30s NW and MD eastern shore to lower to mid 40s close to the coast. Would not be completely shocked to hear about patchy frost in the normally colder areas in Louisa and Fluvanna Counties tonight. However, given that the winds will be generally around 5-8 mph overnight and that the dew points are still in the mid-upr 30s, would not expect any widespread frost Thu morning.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday .

Seasonably cool conditions will persist through Saturday as the upper over the western Atlantic becomes closed off and struggles to move east. In fact, the low is expected to retrograde westward Thu night into Friday, allowing a backdoor cold front to move down the coast Friday. This will allow for temps to stay in the lower 60s on Thursday. On Friday/Saturday, expect temps to rise into the mid 60s across the western part of the forecast area, with upper 50s across the eastern shore due to the increased clouds from the backdoor cold front. Cannot completely rule out a passing shower across the MD eastern shore Friday, but the NWP suggests the lower levels will be fairly dry and as such have opted to keep any mention of precipitation out of the forecast.

LONG TERM /SAT NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday .

Quiet to start the extended forecast period with high pressure in control of the local weather. Skies will average somewhere between partly cloudy (west) and mostly clear (central/east) Saturday night. Overnight lows fall into the low and mid 40s. Mostly clear on Sunday with temperatures warming into the low/mid 60s near the coast to right around 70s for the Piedmont counties.

Diffuse high pressure slips to the south of the local region Sunday night into Monday as weak southerly surface flow continues. Lows fall into the upper 40s and low 50s under partly cloudy skies. Moisture levels tick upward on Monday afternoon as high temps climb into the mid 70s inland (upper 60s/low 70s near the coast). Slight chance of showers by Monday evening into early Tuesday as a series of low amplitude waves in the NW flow aloft traverse the region. This pattern will continue into the mid week period with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s.


AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 200 PM EDT Wednesday .

Gusty north winds continue at the terminals this afternoon with areas close to the coast still gusting to 30kt. Expect these winds to diminish early this evening. NW winds will then increase again Thu morning, but not as strong as today. VFR conditions expected through the fcst period, after some SCT-BKN cumulus this afternoon.

High pressure builds in from the NW Thursday and Friday as low pressure lingers offshore. High pressure largely prevails Saturday/Sunday, with a weak trough bringing a slight chc of showers early next week.

MARINE. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday .

Very strong (sub 980mb) low pressure continues to slowly pull away from the Mid Atlantic coast this afternoon. Northeast winds have transitioned to more northerly this afternoon with the strongest flow located from the VA/NC border southward. Waves in the bay have come down to 3-4 ft (4-7 ft near the mouth of the bay) while seas offshore range from 8-10 ft N to 10-15 ft S.

Conditions will continue to improve over the course of this evening with all Gale headlines set to come down at 4pm. Northerly winds will decrease to 10-15 knots for a period this evening across the Ches bay and coastal waters before ramping back up after midnight tonight. Winds will increase to 20-25 knots with gusts to 30 knots in the bay, lower James, Currituck Sound, and coastal waters with this CAA surge. As such, have transitions/continued SCA headlines for these areas from tonight into at least Thursday evening. Another more energetic northerly surge is expected to drop southward on Thursday night so have extended SCA headlines for the bay and coastal waters through Friday morning. It appears the upper tidal rivers and as well as the James river and Currituck Sound will have periods of SCA conditions periodically from Thursday afternoon into Friday but uncertainty in the timing precludes any headlines with this update.

Seas will continue to slowly decrease this evening but will remain 8- 12 ft S overnight so have extended the High Surf Advisory from VA Beach southward until 10am tomorrow. Seas fall to 4-7ft by tomorrow afternoon. However, today's low pressure system will meander/loop around the waters off the east coast through Saturday, sending large swell waves toward the coast. Seas remain above (periodically much above) SCA thresholds through Saturday and potentially beyond. Waves in the bay will not be nearly as robust but larger swells will spill into the lower Ches bay through the weekend.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday .

N/NE winds continue to be gusty this afternoon but are expected to subside late tonight. Tidal anomalies are slowly falling but continue to run 1-2 ft in the northern bay and 2-3 ft in the southern bay and James river. Coastal flood advisories have been extended out through the next two high tide cycles (through Thursday morning) for the bayside of the lower Maryland eastern shore, northern neck VA, bayside of Northampton VA, and coastal areas of the upper James. Will continue to evaluate the tidal anomaly trends this evening and overnight and adjust headlines as needed.

CLIMATE. March 2020 temperature ranks:

4th warmest at RIC (54.8F), #1 1945 (58.5F) 4th warmest at ORF (57.0F), #1 1945 (59.5F) 8th warmest at SBY (50.7F), #1 1945 (56.2F) 4th warmest at ECG (58.0F), #1 1945 (61.5F)

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 AM EDT Thursday for MDZ021>023. NC . High Surf Advisory until 10 AM EDT Thursday for NCZ102. VA . Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM EDT Thursday for VAZ075-077- 089-090-093-096-100-524. Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for VAZ084- 095-097-098-523-525. High Surf Advisory until 10 AM EDT Thursday for VAZ098. High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ099-100. Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for VAZ078- 085-086. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Friday for ANZ632-634-650- 652-654-656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ630-631. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ633-638.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ/MRD NEAR TERM . MRD SHORT TERM . MRD LONG TERM . RHR AVIATION . MRD MARINE . ERI/RHR TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . CLIMATE .

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA	15 mi	77 min	N 5.1	53°F			1010 hPa	35°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA	17 mi	47 min	N 9.9 G 15	52°F	55°F		1008.3 hPa (-0.5)
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA	24 mi	47 min	N 17 G 20	51°F			1009.1 hPa (+0.0)
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA	26 mi	53 min	NE 6 G 9.9	52°F			1008.9 hPa
44072	28 mi	27 min	E 16 G 21	50°F
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA	30 mi	53 min	NNE 17 G 20	48°F			1008.5 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA	31 mi	47 min			56°F		1008.8 hPa (+0.0)
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA	33 mi	47 min	NNE 12 G 17	49°F			1008.6 hPa (+0.0)
44058 - Stingray Point, VA	38 mi	23 min	N 16 G 18		53°F		1011.6 hPa
CHBV2	39 mi	53 min	N 20 G 23	48°F			1007.5 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA	39 mi	47 min	N 6 G 13	51°F	57°F		1008.6 hPa (+0.0)
44064	40 mi	27 min	NNE 19 G 23				1008.4 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA	43 mi	47 min	N 16 G 24		53°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA	46 mi	47 min	N 24 G 26	47°F			1008.7 hPa (+0.6)
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA	47 mi	47 min	NNW 20 G 23				1009.4 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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E17

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NE21 G28

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NE17 G25

NE21 G27

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NE18 G23

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N23 G30

N16 G20

N19 G24

NE25 G31

N13 G17

N15 G20

N16 G21

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N16 G21

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N10 G15

1 day ago

W12 G17

SW8 G11

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NE15 G21

NE13 G18

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NE6 G9

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E4 G7

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W11 G15

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W12 G17

NW3

W5 G8

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W11 G16

W11 G17

W17 G24

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA	4 mi	52 min	NNW 9 G 18	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	57°F	35°F	44%	1009.1 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA	10 mi	1.8 hrs	N 10 G 17	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	54°F	32°F	44%	1008.4 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA	16 mi	53 min	N 9 G 17	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	55°F	30°F	40%	1008.7 hPa
Wakefield Municipal Airport, VA	19 mi	53 min	NNW 10 G 17	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	55°F	33°F	44%	1009.4 hPa
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA	22 mi	52 min	NW 9 G 14	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	53°F	34°F	50%	1009.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJGG

Wind History from JGG (wind in knots)

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NE6 G22

NE6 G16

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N10 G19

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Calm

1 day ago

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SW6 G18

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W8 G15

SW11 G17

SW11 G15

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Tide / Current Tables for Jamestown Island, James River, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Hog Point, James River, Virginia

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (16,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA

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