Tuesday, January28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Claremont, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:29PM Tuesday January 28, 2020 8:10 PM EST (01:10 UTC) Moonrise 9:35AMMoonset 9:06PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ637 James River From Jamestown To The James River Bridge- 645 Pm Est Tue Jan 28 2020
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..N winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..N winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..NE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. Rain likely.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of rain in the morning.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
ANZ600 645 Pm Est Tue Jan 28 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure builds across the waters through Friday. A coastal low potentially impacts the waters by this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Claremont, VA
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location: 37.23, -76.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 282323 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 623 PM EST Tue Jan 28 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure over the Upper Midwest builds east through Thursday as low pressure moves across the Gulf Coast region. Another low pressure system lifts northeast along the coast late Friday into Saturday before moving off to the northeast of the local area into Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 335 PM EST Tuesday .

Current wv imagery shows an upper trough over the Mid- Atlantic and Northeast. A subtle shortwave trough is embedded in NW flow aloft beneath the broader upper trough, and this is resulting in mostly cloudy to overcast conditions from central and east central VA to the Ern Shore, with partly to mostly cloudy conditions for SE VA/NE NC, and mostly sunny for the SW Piedmont. Temperatures are in the mid/upper 40s for most of the area, and around 50F from the SW Piedmont to NE NC. Clouds are expected to slowly clear through the early evening, but could linger toward midnight for the MD Ern Shore. Otherwise, partly cloudy to mostly clear overnight with low temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 335 PM EST Tuesday .

Surface high pressure from ern Canada N of the Great Lakes will extend S into the local area Wednesday/Thursday as low pressure tracks by (well) to the S from the Gulf of Mexico to FL. Forecast PoPs are aob 10% Wednesday/Thursday. Partly cloudy conditions are expected Wednesday, and then generally mostly cloudy Thursday as a secondary nrn stream shortwave trough tracks across the region, and both NAM/GFS depict plenty of mid- level moisture along with more of a NE low-level flow as high pressure shifts toward New England. Less mixing and more clouds will keep highs a little cooler, mainly in the 40s both days though highs on Thursday will likely reach ~50F in NE NC, and the far NW Piedmont could remain in the upper 30s. Lows Wednesday night in the lower to mid 20s N/NE to the upper 20s/lower 30s S. Similar lows Thursday night in the mid 20s N to the upper 20s to lower 30s S.

Weak surface high pressure settles over the region Thursday night. Clouds decrease with mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions expected. Lows range from the mid/upper 20s N to the low/mid 30s SE where light NE flow persists. High pressure slides offshore Friday as low pressure organizes and lifts NE over the Southeast Conus. Increasing clouds with high temperatures ranging from the mid 40s NW to the low 50s SE. Dry most of the day with a 20-30% chc of rain nudging into far srn VA/NE NC late in the day.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 335 PM EST Tuesday .

At the start of the extended period (Fri night), high pressure will be centered from New England to just offshore of the Mid- Atlantic coast while sfc low pressure develops/gradually deepens while moving NE from the Gulf of Mexico. The low is expected to move to a position offshore of the Mid-Atlantic coast on Saturday. The associated upper trough axis is progged to cross the area Sat night- Sun AM. 12z/28 deterministic models/ensembles are starting to come into better agreement with respect to the evolution of the aforementioned low pressure system. The GEFS is still the weakest but has continued to trend a little stronger. Still, the operational GFS, ECMWF, and EPS are much stronger than the GEFS. Will trend PoPs upward, with the best chc of pcpn looking to be during the 00-12z Sat timeframe. Still have the highest PoPs (60-74%) over SE VA/NE NC. Have raised PoPs to 40-50% over the central third of the CWA, with only 35-50% PoPs for NW zones.

Still appears that cold air will be lacking . so p-type appears to be mostly RA with lows Fri night just above 32F across Louisa/Fluvanna Counties and in the mid 30s to low 40s elsewhere. With flow expected to shift to the W later Sat, highs should warm well into the 40s NW to the lower 50s S. Have decreasing PoPs on Sat as the sfc low moves offshore of the region and the best deep-layer moisture shifts to our east. As the aforementioned upper level trough crosses the region Sat night-Sun, scattered showers are expected, with the highest PoPs across ern zones. While it will be plenty cold aloft, sfc temperatures will struggle to fall Sat night, so expecting p-type to remain in the form of RA for the most part. Dry/seasonable on Sun as high pressure settles over the Gulf of Mexico and upper ridging builds to our west. Highs mainly in the upper 40s-mid 50s on Sun. Another warmup is expected early next week as the high moves off the SE CONUS coast, upper ridging builds over the area, and troughing deepens across the Rocky Mountain west.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 620 PM EST Tuesday .

VFR conditions expected thru the forecast period. High pres builds in behind the departing s/w that has produced a BKN-OVC SC deck today. These clouds will quickly sct out along the coast this eve except SBY where it will be after midnite before the clouds scour out. NNW winds below 10 kts.

OUTLOOK . A trough pushes off the SE coast Wed night, followed by a secondary trough that tracks across the region Thurs. This will result in considerable cloud cover, but VFR conditions are expected to prevail. A locally stronger NE wind is possible along the coast Thursday.

Weak high pressure builds into the area Thursday night/early Friday resulting in a clearing sky. However, clouds quickly increase later Friday ahead of low pressure over the Deep South. This area of low pressure tracks along the Carolina coast Friday night/early Saturday resulting in the potential for rain and degraded flight conditions. A secondary trough then tracks across the region Saturday night into Sunday.

MARINE. As of 335 PM EST Tuesday .

Improving marine conditions with decreasing northerly flow as the pressure gradient relaxes and high pressure builds in from the west. Winds are generally NNW at 10-15 knots, waves have decreased to 1-2 ft, and seas range from 3-4 ft.

Still expecting a period of enhanced winds overnight, corresponding to another weak surge of CAA, but winds are expected to stay below SCA thresholds. Winds during this period will average around 15 knots with a few gusts approaching 20 knots in the bay. Waves briefly build to 2-3 ft overnight. Offshore, winds average 15-20 knots with a few gusts approaching 25 knots (highest N). Seas remain in the 2-4 ft range. Winds decrease after sunrise and continue to fall into Wednesday afternoon.

Uncertainty increases for the late week period but models have come into better agreement showing low pressure (currently over the TX/OK border region) being suppressed southward into the Gulf of Mexico and eastward off of central FL on Thursday. No real effect on local weather with this system other than winds swinging from N to NE on Thursday. There is potential for a more impactful system to affect the area over the weekend.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ/LKB NEAR TERM . AJZ SHORT TERM . AJZ/LKB LONG TERM . ERI AVIATION . MPR MARINE . RHR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 18 mi100 min NW 1 44°F 1016 hPa32°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 25 mi52 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 32 mi52 min NNW 5.1 G 6 45°F 1016.3 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 33 mi58 min NNW 6 G 8 46°F 1016.1 hPa
44072 36 mi40 min NE 5.8 G 5.8 44°F
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 38 mi58 min 45°F1015.7 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 38 mi58 min NW 6 G 7 46°F 1015.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 40 mi52 min NW 2.9 G 5.1 43°F 1015.7 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 43 mi58 min NNW 5.8 G 5.8 43°F1019.7 hPa
44087 45 mi40 min 44°F1 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 46 mi58 min NNW 1.9 G 1.9 44°F 48°F1015.6 hPa
44064 48 mi40 min N 3.9 G 5.8 42°F 1015.7 hPa
CHBV2 48 mi58 min NW 5.1 G 5.1 44°F 1014.7 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA12 mi75 minN 010.00 miOvercast46°F28°F50%1016.3 hPa
Wakefield Municipal Airport, VA17 mi76 minN 010.00 miFair35°F28°F78%1016.2 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA19 mi74 minNNW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy44°F27°F51%1015.5 hPa
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA22 mi75 minN 010.00 miOvercast41°F32°F72%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJGG

Wind History from JGG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N7N11
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1 day agoCalmCalmW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4CalmW6W11
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW5W6
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Tide / Current Tables for Claremont, James River, Virginia
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Claremont
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:03 AM EST     1.57 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:34 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 09:39 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:19 PM EST     1.74 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:06 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:11 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.61.11.41.61.51.20.90.50.2-0-00.20.61.11.51.71.71.51.10.70.40.1-00

Tide / Current Tables for Sturgeon Point, James River, Virginia
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Sturgeon Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:37 AM EST     1.83 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:34 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:13 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:53 PM EST     2.03 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:06 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:45 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.91.41.81.81.61.30.90.40.1-0.100.411.51.921.91.61.10.70.30-0

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.