Petersburg, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Petersburg, VA

May 18, 2024 1:45 PM EDT (17:45 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:56 AM   Sunset 8:15 PM
Moonrise 2:44 PM   Moonset 2:26 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ637 James River From Jamestown To The James River Bridge- 1239 Pm Edt Sat May 18 2024

This afternoon - E winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. A chance of showers.

Tonight - NE winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. A chance of showers.

Sun - NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.

Sun night - NE winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

Mon - NE winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

Tue - N winds 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 around 1 foot.

Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming s. Waves around 1 foot.

Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

Wed night - S winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

ANZ600 1239 Pm Edt Sat May 18 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a low pressure system moves across the carolinas today and then moves off the coast tonight into Sunday, before slowly moving offshore Monday. High pressure returns by Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Petersburg, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 181418 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1018 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
Widespread showers continue through early this afternoon, with a few thunderstorms also possible across the south. The widespread rain will shift south tonight into Sunday, though at least light rain or drizzle will still be possible. Dry weather returns Monday, with a warming trend leading to a more summerlike pattern by the middle of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 1015 AM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- Widespread rainfall continues through the rest of the morning and into early afternoon for the Eastern Shore and the Middle Peninsula/Northern Neck.

- Additional showers possible this afternoon, with a chance of thunderstorms mainly south of the NC/VA border.

Morning analysis shows high pressure (centered over Atlantic Canada) ridging S into the coastal Mid-Atlantic. Just to the E (offshore), expansive, but weak, low pressure continues to harmlessly spiral. In the upper levels, WSW flow continues ahead of a srn stream shortwave currently located over the mid-South.
Water vapor imagery also shows a secondary impulse in the WV/srn PA vicinity. Along with a sfc boundary/weak sfc low, this upper disturbance is serving to focus moderate-heavy showers over eastern portions of the area. Radar shows the highest coverage over the peninsulas and Eastern Shore. PWATs along the coast are ~1.5in as of 14z mesoanalysis and model-derived soundings still indicate fairly deep saturation, so moderate to heavy rainfall within stronger showers will still be possible through the rest of the morning/early afternoon.
However, flooding is not anticipated (except perhaps in isolated instances).

There remains some uncertainty heading into the mid/late afternoon regarding coverage of showers and possible storms. For the nrn half of the area, not expecting much redevelopment due to lingering impacts from the morning rain/convection and cool low-levels from the NE flow. Some sfc-based instability may creep into far srn VA and NE NC which could favor storms. CAMs generally focus most of the heavier activity just S of our CWA and along a remnant Midwestern MCS boundary. The best chance for storms in our CWA would be just S of the NC/VA border and especially along the Albemarle Sound. SPC has a marginal risk for severe for these areas, but thinking is best chance for svr is well to our S given the meager instability (and decreasing)
instability. Elsewhere, just expecting scattered light rain or showers and perhaps some drizzle. It certainly won't feel like late spring with cloudy skies and highs struggling to get out of the low-mid 60s for most of the FA. Upper 60s or lower 70s are possible in interior NE NC and S and W of US-460. Scattered showers continue into tonight with the highest coverage over SE VA and NE NC. Overnight lows will be in the low-mid 50s under continuing overcast skies. Becoming breezy along the immediate coast with a tightening pressure gradient.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
As of 325 AM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- Low chance for showers across SE VA and NE NC Sunday, with dry weather elsewhere. High temperatures will remain below normal, though may warm into the 70s for northern portions of the area.

- Partly to mostly cloudy skies and below normal temperatures Monday across coastal areas. Near-normal temperatures expected well inland.

Drying out Sunday as weak low pressure gradually moves ESE off the Carolina coast. There may be quite a difference in weather Sunday across the area as drier air attempts to filter into from the north and the cooler maritime airmass persists across the SE and along the coast. Thus, we may see some clearing for northern portions of the area away from the immediate coast (especially in the later aftn hrs). In response to this potential, the guidance is trending up with temps across this area. Given looming uncertainty and the fact that these airmasses are sometimes hard to scour out, will blend the previous forecast's highs w/ the NBM, which yields temps in the low 70s across the N (a couple degrees below NBM). However, temps could certainly be warmer w/ 75th percentile highs approaching the mid 70s. Highs likely to stay in the 60s in SE VA/NE NC and along the Atlantic coast (where it also remains breezy). PoPs also continue to trend down, with just slight chc for the srn half of the area (30% along the Albemarle Sound). Lows Sun night in the mid 50s.

Low pressure gradually shifts offshore Monday, though an additional low may develop S of the upper feature offshore. High pressure also nudges south into the Mid-Atlantic. NE flow is still expected (breeziest across southern coastal areas), keeping temperatures below normal across the SE, and slight below normal elsewhere. The low levels dry out enough well inland, allowing temperatures to warm into the mid-upper 70s. Upper 60s are expected along the coast. The majority of the area stays dry with PoPs below 20% areawide. Lows Mon night in the 50s with some upper 40s possible well inland.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 325 AM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- A substantial warming trend is expected Tuesday through Thursday with mainly dry weather.

- Thunderstorm chances return Thursday afternoon and again Friday afternoon, with some stronger storms possible.

Low pressure gets pushed offshore rather quickly Mon night, with upper level ridging moving in by Tue. As such, much warmer temps are expected midweek, with highs Tue in the upper 70s/lower 80s inland and in the low-mid 70s at the coast. The warming trend continues Wed into Thu with mid/upper 80s making a comeback. An isolated shower is possible across the NW Wed night w/ a shortwave sliding through the ern Great Lakes.
However, vast majority of the moisture stays well to our NW.
There is decent agreement among the global models that a cold front will cross the area in the later Thursday/early Friday timeframe. Will have a chc of showers and storms over most of the area. CAPE fields from the GFS/ECMWF show impressive instability so could see some stronger storms. A little cooler behind the front to end the week, though will need to watch another disturbance ejecting out of the Plains Friday into Saturday. Depending on the track of the sfc feature, will again need to monitor for some stronger storms. Overnight lows will be in the 50s Tue night and 60s for the remainder of the week.

AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 650 AM EDT Saturday...

As of 11/12z, conditions continue to oscillate at all terminals. SBY is VFR, RIC has been bouncing across 3 flight categories, and ORF/PHF/ECG are mainly MVFR. Generally MVFR CIGs this morning and then IFR by the aftn today (SBY may stay MVFR for most of today). Coverage of showers may lower some later in the aftn, but IFR-LIFR CIGs and potentially some drizzle will keep flying conditions less than ideal. Degraded VSBY in rain/drizzle is also likely. Showers/storms redevelop late this aftn/evening, mainly S of the NC/VA border. Have therefore included VCTS at ECG from 22z-01z. E-NE winds are light this morning, with 5-10 kt winds prevailing for the remainder of the period.

Outlook: At least some chance for showers (and flight restrictions likely) into Sunday morning, with the best chance at srn terminals. Mainly dry by Sun afternoon and night with a few lingering showers in the SE. Dry Mon-Tue.

MARINE
As of 325 AM EDT Saturday...

Key Message:

- Increasing NE wind and seas for the weekend. Small craft advisories will go into effect for southern portions of the marine area later tonight.

Weak high pressure is centered in vicinity of the Mid-Atlantic coast early this morning, with weak low pressure centered well inland and slowly approaching from the W. The wind in mainly E to NE at 5-10kt with seas 3-4ft. Low pressure will track ESE across NC today and become more organized off the Carolina coast tonight into Sunday, before very slowly pulling away from the coast through Monday.
Meanwhile, high pressure slowly builds in from the N. The wind is expected to become E 10-15kt today, and then become NE by tonight into Sunday ranging from 10-15kt N to 15-20kt with gusts to 25kt S.
Seas build to 4-5ft N to 5-6ft S (potentially 6-8ft if the wind reaches 20-25kt). SCAs will go into effect later tonight from Cape Charles S for the ocean, the mouth of the Bay, and the Currituck Sound. High pressure builds across the Mid-Atlantic coast Tuesday into Wednesday as weak low pressure lingers off the Southeast coast.
High pressure slides offshore later in the week with the wind becoming SSW but remaining sub-SCA. Seas gradually subside to 3-4ft by Monday night/Tuesday, and then 2-3ft by midweek.

A moderate risk for rip currents continues for today, with moderate for the northern beaches Sunday, and high for the southern beaches due to increasing NE flow and building seas.

HYDROLOGY
As of 325 AM EDT Saturday...

Flood Warnings remain in effect for Nottoway River near Stony Creek for minor flooding. Lawrenceville crested last night and has now fallen below flood stage. Stony Creek remains in flood and is expected to crest tonight. See FLSAKQ for additional information.

Latest forecasts indicate rainfall amounts from today will lead to a secondary rise in water level late in the weekend/early next week, but that most places stay just below Minor Flood thresholds. Will still need to monitor as a slight over- performance would lead to additional flooding.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 325 AM EDT Saturday...

Tidal anomalies have dropped a few tenths of a foot across the middle Chesapeake Bay and tidal Potomac and Rappahannock Rivers in the wake of a modest ebb tide. Therefore, nuisance to minor tidal flooding is largely not expected during the next high tide cycle later this morning to mid-afternoon. However, astronomical high tides will gradually increase over the next several days, and this combined with increasing onshore flow will result in nuisance to minor tidal flooding later this weekend into early next week, particularly for the middle Chesapeake Bay and tidal portions of the Rappahannock River and southern shore of the tidal Potomac.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 10 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ633.
Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Sunday to 1 AM EDT Monday for ANZ634.
Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Sunday to 7 AM EDT Monday for ANZ656-658.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
44041 - Jamestown, VA 33 mi27 min E 12G18 58°F 71°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 39 mi75 min 0 61°F 29.9860°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 49 mi45 min E 13G17 60°F 68°F29.96


Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPTB DINWIDDIE COUNTY,VA 7 sm10 minE 051/2 smOvercast Lt Rain 61°F61°F100%29.96
KFCI RICHMOND EXECUTIVECHESTERFIELD COUNTY,VA 14 sm27 minE 0610 smOvercast61°F29.96
KRIC RICHMOND INTL,VA 20 sm51 minESE 096 smOvercast Mist 63°F59°F88%29.95
Link to 5 minute data for KPTB


Wind History from PTB
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Petersburg, Appomattox River, James River, Virginia
   
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Petersburg
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Sat -- 01:03 AM EDT     3.18 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:07 AM EDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:25 PM EDT     2.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:12 PM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Petersburg, Appomattox River, James River, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
3
1
am
3.2
2
am
3
3
am
2.6
4
am
2.1
5
am
1.6
6
am
1.2
7
am
0.9
8
am
0.7
9
am
0.9
10
am
1.4
11
am
2.1
12
pm
2.6
1
pm
2.9
2
pm
2.9
3
pm
2.5
4
pm
2
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
1
7
pm
0.8
8
pm
0.6
9
pm
0.7
10
pm
1.3
11
pm
2.1


Tide / Current for City Point (Hopewell), James River, Virginia
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City Point (Hopewell)
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Sat -- 12:33 AM EDT     2.88 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:55 AM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:55 PM EDT     2.64 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:00 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

City Point (Hopewell), James River, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
2.8
1
am
2.8
2
am
2.5
3
am
2
4
am
1.5
5
am
1
6
am
0.7
7
am
0.6
8
am
0.8
9
am
1.3
10
am
1.8
11
am
2.2
12
pm
2.5
1
pm
2.6
2
pm
2.4
3
pm
2
4
pm
1.4
5
pm
0.9
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
1.1
10
pm
1.8
11
pm
2.3


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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Wakefield, VA,




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