Saturday, July11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Gloucester Point, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:53AMSunset 8:28PM Saturday July 11, 2020 3:46 PM EDT (19:46 UTC) Moonrise 11:36PMMoonset 11:06AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 1259 Pm Edt Sat Jul 11 2020
This afternoon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 feet. A slight chance of showers and tstms early, then a chance of showers and tstms late.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms early in the evening.
Sun..NW winds 5 kt, becoming se in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..SE winds 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 1259 Pm Edt Sat Jul 11 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A trough will continue to push east across the coast through this evening. Weak high pressure builds across the area Sunday. High pressure moves offshore Monday. A weak cold front moves through the region later Monday night into early Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gloucester Point, VA
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location: 37.25, -76.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 111921 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 321 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak frontal boundary will linger over the region this evening before dissipating along the coast overnight. Hot and humid conditions are expected to continue through much of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. As of 250 PM EDT Saturday .

Latest analysis continues to show weakening sfc/coastal trough draped just inland of the Chesapeake Bay this aftn. Temperatures across the area are very warm, ranging from low 90s inland (with lower dewpoint values), to upper 80s to ~90 degrees along the coast all under mostly sunny conditions at 19z. The higher dewpoint values are resulting in heat indices ~100-103 degrees across Hampton Roads and northeast NC. This boundary has been the focus for some isolated convection thus far for communities along the Potomac River early this afternoon. HRRR (time-lagged) has handled this activity well thus far, and have leaned in its direction for the balance of the day. Remaining dry over the piedmont/west of I-95. Mainly dry too along the coast through tonight, but did allow for Isolated to widely scattered showers and embedded T-storms to develop over the next few hours over the northern neck and eastern shore and also along/south of US 17 in far SE VA/NE NC. No real concern for strong storms at this time, though with drier air pushing in from the west, potential for a rogue gusty thunderstorm or two over the northern neck over to the eastern shore cannot be ruled out entirely. Otherwise, main impact with any pulsy storms would be brief heavy rainfall through early evening.

Any showers and thunderstorms that form across the eastern portions of the area should quickly weaken/diminish with loss of daytime heating, so will advertise no PoP overnight. Partly to mostly clear and comfortable overnight, with lows in the 60s to low 70s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 250 PM EDT Saturday .

Broad mid/upper troughing persists over the eastern U.S. Sunday, as strong (600+ dm at h5!) upper ridging will continue across the desert southwest. The local area will be in between shortwaves on Sunday, with a dampening shortwave (pre-frontal) trough pushing north of the area later Sunday/Sunday night. This will likely result in another hot and mostly sunny/dry day across the region. Will maintain a slight chance PoP across the northwestern third of the area (west of the Bay) after 4 pm Sun aftn into Sunday night, in association with the trough, with another slight chance area along and north of the Albemarle Sound in association with some isolated sea-breeze induced late day showers and storms Sunday aftn. Highs on Sunday will be in the low to mid 90s.

Weak sfc cold front will approach the area from the west late Sunday night and Monday, but with weak forcing, expect any convection will slow/weaken as it loses its forward momentum. That said, CAMs do show potential for a narrow line of showers/storms pushing into the area tomorrow evening, again with convection again likely to weaken before reaching I-95 corridor. Will maintain a chance PoP in the west, tapering to slight chance I-95 corridor.

There will likely be a lull in the precip late Sunday night into the day on Monday as the weak front slowly crosses the area. High temperatures will be in the low 90s Monday afternoon. Expect weakening front will again be the focus for isolated to widely scattered convection as it pushes across Hampton Roads/eastern shore/NE NC Monday aftn. Pops are accordingly around 30-50% (mainly east of I-95) for Monday afternoon into Monday night. Low temperatures Tuesday morning will range from the mid 60s across the Piedmont to mid 70s near the coast.

Front will be along or just off the coast Tuesday, with precipitation being even more spotty in nature given warming aloft and lower PW values. No airmass change post-frontal, with deeper mixing allowing for an even warmer afternoon Tuesday. Highs in the low to mid 90s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 355 PM EDT Friday .

In typical mid-July fashion, the extended period can be described in two words: "hot" and "humid".

Tues will be the "coolest" day with highs in the upper 80s near the coast and in the Eastern Shore with low 90s inland. A strong ridge builds over the south Wed. The southern ridge combined with a strengthening Bermuda High will result in very warm, moist air advecting into the region through at least Fri. Therefore, highs in the low to mid 90s Wed will increase into the upper 90s inland with low to mid 90s near the coast on Thurs and Fri.

Lows also reflect the heat and will range from the upper 60s to the low 70s Mon and Tues nights, rising into the low to mid 70s on Wed night, and rising even more into the mid to upper 70s on Thurs and Fri nights. Dewpoints start off in the mid 60s to low 70s early on, but they too will increase into the low to mid 70s on Thurs and Fri. The combination of low to mid 70s dewpoints with temps in the upper 90s will result in high to potentially very high heat indices by Wed, Thur, and Fri. Heat indices could approach 100 degrees Wed, 100 to 105 degrees Thurs, and 105+ on Fri.

There is a very slight chance of diurnal thunderstorms Wed and Thurs afternoons/evenings (15-20% PoPs), but the only substantial chance for rain will come on Fri as a short wave pivots through the region. The euro is quicker/weaker with this feature and brings it through Thurs night into Fri morning, whereas the GFS is slower/stronger with the feature and develops a line of storms that acts as a pseudo cold front and moves through late Fri. Will introduce 25-35% PoPs for this feature due to uncertainty with strength and timing this far out.

AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 135 PM EDT Saturday .

Mainly VFR conditions across area terminals expected to persist through the 18z TAF period. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected to re-develop by late afternoon across southeast VA and northeast NC, with the highest chances between ORF/ECG. Have mentioned showers in the vicinity of KECG terminal, but have held off mention for now at ORF. Any convection over or near a terminal may result in brief flight restrictions. Winds SW 10 kts or less, becoming light and variable overnight/early Sun.

OUTLOOK . Mainly VFR conditions continue for the end of the weekend into early next week, with just scattered late day and evening convection along the coast which may result in brief flight restrictions.

MARINE. As of 320 PM EDT Saturday .

A coastal trough is moving east over the waters this afternoon and will continue to move slowly east tonight. A weak frontal boundary associated with the trough will move through this evening. As a result, SSW winds 10-15kt for the Bay/rivers/Sound and around 15 kt for the ocean will become W after midnight in the Ches Bay/ northern coastal waters before becoming NW and light (~5 kt) overnight. High pressure develops near/over the waters tomorrow with light and variable winds before moving offshore and will be replaced by SSE winds 10 to 15 kts late tomorrow afternoon/evening. Winds become SSW tomorrow night through Monday. Models continue to show a cold front pushing through across the coast Monday night into early Tuesday. The wind shifts to NW behind this front with sub-SCA conditions expected at this time. High pressure then builds into the area later Tuesday into Wednesday.

Seas are expected to range from 2-4 ft S to 3-4 ft N this afternoon, becoming 3-4 ft everywhere tonight through Monday. Seas will then decrease to 2-3 ft for the southern coastal waters while remaining 3- 4 ft over the northern coastal waters on Monday night. Waves 1-2 ft in the Ches Bay.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MAM NEAR TERM . MAM SHORT TERM . CP/MAM LONG TERM . TMG AVIATION . CP/MAM MARINE . RMM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 2 mi47 min WSW 8 G 14 88°F 82°F1006.3 hPa (-1.1)
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 8 mi47 min W 12 G 14 87°F 1007.3 hPa (-0.9)
44072 13 mi27 min NW 12 G 14 86°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 16 mi77 min W 4.1 89°F 1008 hPa71°F
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 20 mi47 min WSW 9.9 G 15 87°F 1007.4 hPa (-1.1)
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 21 mi47 min WSW 12 G 15 86°F 1006.6 hPa (-1.1)
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 23 mi47 min 83°F1006.9 hPa (-1.2)
44087 24 mi51 min 82°F2 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 25 mi23 min SW 9.7 G 9.7 84°F1010.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 26 mi47 min WSW 9.9 G 16 89°F 1006.9 hPa (-1.1)
CHBV2 27 mi47 min W 12 G 14 85°F 1006 hPa (-1.1)
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 28 mi47 min W 8 G 9.9 82°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 33 mi47 min SW 4.1 G 6 1007.2 hPa (-1.0)
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 34 mi47 min WSW 12 G 17 91°F 1007.1 hPa (-1.2)
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 34 mi47 min W 7 G 11 90°F 82°F1006.8 hPa (-1.2)
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 47 mi81 min 79°F3 ft

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA8 mi53 minWSW 11 G 1910.00 miA Few Clouds93°F70°F47%1007 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA10 mi51 minWSW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F72°F57%1006.7 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA14 mi51 minSW 129.00 miMostly Cloudy91°F73°F57%1007.7 hPa
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA23 mi52 minWSW 1010.00 miFair91°F71°F54%1007.1 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA24 mi1.8 hrsWSW 13 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy92°F73°F54%1007.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPHF

Wind History from PHF (wind in knots)
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2 days agoE13E10E11E9E9E6E6E4E3E3CalmCalmE3NE3E7E9E7NE10NE9NE12
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Tide / Current Tables for Gloucester Point, York River, Virginia
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Gloucester Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:15 AM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:35 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:06 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:40 PM EDT     2.45 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:06 PM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.72.22.42.321.61.10.70.40.40.611.522.42.42.21.91.410.70.60.70.9

Tide / Current Tables for Browns Bay, Mobjack Bay, Virginia
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Browns Bay
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:51 AM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:24 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:25 PM EDT     2.38 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:53 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.32.42.21.91.40.90.50.30.30.61.11.72.12.42.32.11.71.30.90.60.50.71

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.