Monday, March30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Gloucester Point, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 7:27PM Monday March 30, 2020 11:36 AM EDT (15:36 UTC) Moonrise 9:35AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 40% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 1124 Am Edt Mon Mar 30 2020
Rest of today..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt late. Waves around 2 ft.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N in the late evening and overnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 to 2 ft early in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 ft. Showers likely.
Wed..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 4 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft early in the afternoon. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 4 ft, subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
ANZ600 1124 Am Edt Mon Mar 30 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Low pressure will track north of the region today. A cold front will cross the coast tonight. Low pressure tracks off the carolina coast Tuesday night and Wednesday. High pressure builds in from the northwest Wednesday night and Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gloucester Point, VA
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location: 37.25, -76.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 300852 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 452 AM EDT Mon Mar 30 2020

SYNOPSIS. Weak high pressure will build into the area for today and tonight. Also, low pressure moving through extreme southeast Canada will provide dry and breezy conditions to the local area during today. Another low pressure system tracks east across the Gulf coast states on Tuesday, then off the coastal Carolinas while intensifying Tuesday night into Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 410 AM EDT Monday .

Early this morning, a sfc cold front was pushing well off the coast. But, exiting low pressure was providing low clouds and fog across the VA nrn neck, and the Lower MD and VA ern shore. Otherwise, the sky was mostly clear to partly cloudy with temps ranging from the lower 50s over the NE counties, to the lower 70s over extrm SE VA and NE NC. Also, westerly winds behind the front were starting to usher drier air into the area.

Low pressure will move through extrm SE Canada and into New England today and tonight, while weak high pressure builds toward the area from the WNW. Dry wx expected today and tonight.

Generally mostly sunny today, with downslope flow bringing another mild to warm day with breezy conditions this aftn. RH values drop into the 20 to 30% range and in tandem with gusty winds, could potentially present some minor fire wx issues inland/piedmont of VA esply. High temps today will likely reach 75 to 80 across most of VA/NC counties, with upper 60s to lower 70s readings for the Lower MD and VA ern shore.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. As of 410 AM EDT Monday .

Clear/mostly clear start with gradually increasing clouds from SW to ENE late tonight into Tue morning. Lows will range through the 40s to around 50.

Tue/Wed .

Clouds increase from the W-SW during Tue, as sfc low pressure tracks across the Gulf coast states. This low will eventually slide offshore of the coastal Carolinas late tonight into Wed morning. Still some degree of spatial spread with exact track of the sfc low (NAM/ECMWF a bit stronger and more amplified, with the GFS a bit weaker and flatter). However, both models are a bit more aggressive with convective potential across the Gulf coast and Mid-south, which tends to slow down onset of PoP across our region. Thus, have maintained rain chances a bit farther back in time into later Tue and Tue night. Have continued with a blended model solution, weighted toward the NAM/ECMWF. So while highest PoPs will remain across the srn half of the area, have held onto rain chances a bit longer into the day on Wed. Highs on Tue in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs on Wed in the 50s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Sunday .

Cool area of high pressure builds across the eastern US on Thursday and Friday allowing for dry conditions across the region and temperatures near to slightly below normal for this time of the year (Normal: Highs generally low to mid 60s, Lows generally low to mid 40s). Mostly sunny skies are anticipated for Thursday and Friday. A slow warming trend is expected as we head into the late week/weekend as high pressure starts to shift to the east and the flow becomes more southerly. Another system potentially approaches from the west late Saturday into Sunday, though timing differences remain between the 12z GFS (faster) and the ECMWF (slower). For now will have mainly slight chance PoPs starting late Saturday to account for the uncertainty. High temperatures on Saturday and Sunday will mainly range from the mid to upper 60s (cooler at the coast and across the Eastern Shore) and lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.

AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 300 AM EDT Monday .

Latest obs and sat pix continue to show IFR/LIFR conditions lingering over the VA nrn neck, and the Lower MD and VA ern shore early this morning. Latest guidance indicates these areas should improve to VFR conditions after 12-13Z. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions today into Tue morning at the TAF sites. Breezy W winds 10-15 kt with gusts to around 20-25 kt most areas will occur late this morning through this aftn, with the potential for a few hrs of stronger winds during the mid/late aftn (gusts 25-30 kt), due to much drier airmass filtering into the region. Winds calm down this evening, then become NW or N around 5 kt or less tonight into early Tue morning.

Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions expected through Tue aftn. Flight restrictions are likely to return with the next system, arriving Tue evening into Wed. In addition, strong E/NE winds are expected near the coast. Improving conditions then expected Thu-Fri.

MARINE. As of 400 AM EDT Monday .

Low pressure is developing off the NJ coast early this morning, with a trailing frontal boundary extending to the SW toward the VA capes. The wind is N 5-15kt N of the boundary and WNW 5-15kt S of the boundary. Seas are generally ~3ft, with ~4ft seas off the MD coast. The northerly wind has pulled some marine fog back into the area, and this will persist through 7 am, with vsby generally 1- 3nm. The initial low will pull well to the NE today with the frontal boundary pushing off the coast. Another low will track through the Ern Great Lakes today. The wind will generally be SW 10-15kt for most of the marine area as mixing will be limited with strong surface heating. However, the rivers will be an exception with a W wind increasing to 15-20kt with gusts to 25kt late this morning into the aftn, and an SCA has been issued from 10 am through 7 pm. There could be some gusts up to 20kt for the wrn shore of the Bay later this aftn, but most of the Bay should remain sub-SCA. A cold front drops across the region tonight with a sub-SCA NNW surge, although marginal SCA conditions are possible in the middle Bay. Seas briefly build to 3-4ft late tonight and early Tuesday, with 2-3ft waves in the Bay. Weak high pressure builds N of the region Tuesday. Low pressure tracks along and off the Carolina coast Tuesday night into Wednesday. SCA conditions are likely, with the latest guidance continuing to depict a potential for gale conditions for the ocean S of Cape Charles. Seas build to 6-8ft N and 8-10ft S Tuesday night into Wednesday. High pressure builds in from the NW Wednesday night through Friday as low pressure lingers offshore. The wind will be NW 10-20kt, and strongest overnight/morning with nocturnal CAA. Seas will likely remain elevated (4-6ft) due to swell with low pressure lingering offshore.

FIRE WEATHER. As of 410 AM EDT Monday .

Pattern looks favorable for at least SPS/Fire Danger statement to be issued for today, esply for most of the VA counties. This as min RH values are expected down into the 20-25% range across much of inland VA and 25-30% closer to the coast (some areas along and W of I95 could get down below 20%). Winds are expected to gust to 20-30 mph during the aftn.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Low pressure is forecast to track across and off the NC Outer Banks Tuesday night into Wednesday bringing a modestly strong NE wind. This will result increasing tidal anomalies, particulary during high tide late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning, Wednesday aftn, and then potentially late Wednesday night/early Thursday. Current extra-tropical surge guidance depicts the highest departures (1.5-2.0ft above astronomical) over the lower Bay/lower James and this would result in the potential for minor tidal flooding.

CLIMATE. No record highs were set but with the exception of SBY it was quite warm with highs of 88F at RIC and ECG and 87 at ORF.

* Record Highs Sun 3/29:

* RIC: 94 (1907) * ORF: 92 (1907) * SBY: 93 (1907) * ECG: 90 (1985)

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ635>638.

SYNOPSIS . TMG NEAR TERM . TMG SHORT TERM . MAM/TMG LONG TERM . AJB AVIATION . TMG MARINE . AJZ FIRE WEATHER . AKQ TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . AKQ CLIMATE . AKQ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 2 mi49 min Calm G 1 56°F 58°F1016 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 8 mi49 min WSW 1.9 G 4.1 53°F 1017 hPa
44072 13 mi37 min Calm G 1.9 53°F 55°F1 ft
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 16 mi67 min NE 1.9 56°F 1017 hPa53°F
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 20 mi55 min SE 4.1 G 4.1 54°F 1016.9 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 21 mi55 min SE 1 G 2.9 53°F 1016.1 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 23 mi55 min 58°F1016.4 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 25 mi67 min WSW 1.9 G 3.9 55°F1020.3 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 26 mi49 min WSW 1.9 G 4.1 54°F 1016.4 hPa
CHBV2 27 mi55 min S 1.9 G 1.9 53°F 1015.2 hPa
44064 28 mi37 min WSW 1.9 G 1.9 55°F1016.1 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 28 mi49 min SW 1 G 2.9 55°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 33 mi49 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 1016.9 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 34 mi49 min E 2.9 G 4.1 52°F 1016.4 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 34 mi49 min Calm G 1 58°F 61°F1016.4 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 47 mi37 min 51°F3 ft

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA8 mi43 minSW 37.00 miOvercast59°F53°F81%1016.3 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA10 mi41 minN 09.00 miOvercast57°F54°F92%1015.9 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA11 mi42 minN 010.00 miOvercast61°F55°F83%1016.9 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA14 mi1.7 hrsN 02.00 miFog/Mist55°F55°F100%1017.2 hPa
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA23 mi42 minSSE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy56°F53°F91%1016.9 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA24 mi98 minN 01.00 miFog/Mist55°F53°F93%1017.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPHF

Wind History from PHF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6CalmNE8NE7E6SE6SE5SW12SW10SW11SW11W8W8W8W6W6W6W4E7NE5NE5NE7CalmSW3
1 day agoCalmSW8SW7W6CalmE8E10NE6NE5NE4E7E7E6E6E4NE4NE6NE3NE3NE6NE4NE3CalmCalm
2 days agoW8W9NW4N5E11E6NE4NE5NE3E8E5E7NE8E8SE9E6E7E5E7SE5E5NE6NE5E4

Tide / Current Tables for Gloucester Point, York River, Virginia
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Gloucester Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:43 AM EDT     2.56 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:02 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:11 PM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:06 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.52.52.31.81.30.90.50.40.50.81.11.61.92.121.71.30.80.50.40.50.81.2

Tide / Current Tables for Browns Bay, Mobjack Bay, Virginia
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Browns Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:13 AM EDT     2.59 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:59 AM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:39 PM EDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:54 PM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.42.62.52.21.81.30.90.60.50.60.91.41.82.12.221.61.20.80.50.40.50.91.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.