Sunday, December15, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cape Charles, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 4:51PM Sunday December 15, 2019 6:03 PM EST (23:03 UTC) Moonrise 8:27PMMoonset 10:14AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 406 Pm Est Sun Dec 15 2019
Through 7 pm..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight, then increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..E winds 10 kt, becoming S in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
Tue..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming W 10 to 15 kt late. Waves around 2 ft. Showers.
Tue night..NW winds 15 kt, becoming N with gusts up to 30 kt in the late evening and overnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft, building to 3 to 4 ft after midnight. Showers in the evening.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 4 ft, subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ600 406 Pm Est Sun Dec 15 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A backdoor front will become drop across the area overnight into Monday. A low pressure system crossing the mid atlantic region Tuesday will drag anotehr cold front across the area late Tuesday into early Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cape Charles, VA
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location: 37.26, -76.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 151946 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 246 PM EST Sun Dec 15 2019

SYNOPSIS. A slow moving front will become nearly stationary across the area overnight into Monday. A low pressure system crossing the mid Atlantic region Tuesday will drag a cold front across the area late Tuesday into early Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 230 PM EST Sunday..

This afternoon high pressure is off the SE coast. Meanwhile, a cold front is slowly drifting towards our area from the NW and is expected to become nearly stationary across our area overnight. The rest of the day will remain dry however clouds will be on the increase tonight. Temps in the mid to upper 50s this afternoon will drop to the low to mid 30s north overnight, with mid 30s to near 40 south. Some patchy fog is expected early Monday morning, especially over southside and inland portions of NE NC.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 230 PM EST Sunday .

A tricky forecast for Monday as the position of the nearly stationary front will have implications for both precip and temperatures. Precip moves in north of the front Monday morning. While most of this precip will be rain, there is a chance for some mixed precip across far northern portions of the VA piedmont and also over the MD eastern shore. QPF amounts will be light and surface temps of 33-35 degrees in these areas will likely result in little to no accumulation. High temps will be highly variable, with low to mid 40s north of wherever the front positions itself, and upper 50s to lower 60s south of the front.

Monday night the front will make a slow progression to the north as a warm front. A low pressure system will track from the TN valley to the Mid-Atlantic early Tuesday. Temperatures will remain steady or climb slightly Monday night into early Tuesday. Low temps Tuesday morning range from the lower 40s north to mid 50s south. Rain chances increase Tuesday morning ahead of a cold front that will cross the western portions of the CWA Tuesday afternoon and exit eastern portions of the area by late Tuesday into early Wednesday. Rainfall amounts on Tuesday generally in the 0.3 to 0.75 inch range. High temps will be mild as the region sits in the warm sector for much of the day. Expect upper 50s north to mid and upper 60s south.

Conditions improve quickly after the frontal passage as high pressure builds into the region overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Modest CAA and clearing skies should drop temps to the lower 20s NW to around 30 SE by Wednesday morning.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 230 PM EST Sunday .

High pressure remains in control Wednesday through Friday. This will result in dry weather and slightly below normal temps during this period. Low temps Thursday and Friday in the 20s, near 30 at the coast, and high temps in the 40s. Overnight model runs had a coastal developing over the SE and riding up the Atlantic coast next weekend. 12Z runs of the GFS and ECMWF today have a low developing over the eastern gulf and then slowly drifting off the SE coast over the weekend, while the CMC still tracks the low up the Atlantic coast. With the high uncertainty this far out, just went with low chance pops for next weekend.

AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 115 PM EST Sunday .

VFR conditions are expected through the majority of the 18z TAF period. RIC and SBY have a chance at briefly reaching MVFR conditions after 15z Monday due to cloud bases around 2500 feet. W winds 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt will weaken and become light and variable at around 3 kt overnight. Higher clouds will increase by Monday morning and continue through the TAF period.

OUTLOOK . SBY has the potential to see light showers and MVFR conditions Monday night but otherwise VFR conditions expected with overcast skies. Tuesday has the potential for degraded flight conditions due to low clouds and rain across all airports ahead of a cold front which passes through the region Tuesday evening. High pressure builds Wednesday with VFR conditions returning.

MARINE. As of 235 PM EST Sunday .

Latest weather analysis reveals strong (~970mb) sfc low pressure over Atlantic Canada this afternoon. To the west, ~1020mb sfc high pressure continues to build across the region from the Ohio/Tenn River Valleys. Resultant pressure gradient has allowed for marginal SCA winds over the Chesapeake Bay and central/northern coastal waters, though winds are diminishing with gradient slackening as high builds farther east over the region. Waves generally ~2ft, seas 3-4 ft (4-5ft far N). Will keep SCA going over northern coastal waters through 7pm, with seas to slowly subside late this aftn.

High pressure slides off the Southeast coast tonight with a backdoor cold front dropping across the waters from the N. Much of the 12z/15 model suite seem to be in fair to good agreement with respect to handling of winds as the front settles south over the area Monday, w/low pressure sliding along the boundary toward the local area from the mid-south into Monday night through Tuesday. Typical minor timing differences remain during this period, but in general, ENE wind of 5-10kt is expected N of the boundary, with 10-15kt SSW wind to the S of the boundary. Seas should be 2-3ft while the boundary is over the area, with 1-2ft waves in the Bay.

By late morning Tuesday into Tue aftn, SW wind could briefly increase to 15-20kt for the lower Bay, Currituck Sound and ocean zones, which would allow for 3-4ft seas and 2-3ft waves in the lower Bay and result in some SCA winds Tue aftn. However, predominate SCA conditions not anticipated until the cold front drops across the waters Tuesday evening, with modest cold air advection occurring Tuesday night with a NNW wind increasing to 20-25kt. A second, stronger surge of CAA comes with secondary cold front (and another round of CAA) Wednesday night, w/W-NW winds increasing to ~25-30 kt. Overall, SCAs are likely for Tuesday night through early Thursday, with perhaps a lull during the day Wednesday before secondary surge of cold air arrives Wed night. High pressure returns Thursday into Friday, with improving boating conditions.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ650- 652.

SYNOPSIS . CMF NEAR TERM . CMF SHORT TERM . CMF LONG TERM . CMF AVIATION . RMM MARINE . MAM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 7 mi52 min W 7 G 8 49°F
44072 14 mi34 min NNW 5.8 G 7.8 51°F
CHBV2 16 mi52 min W 8.9 G 9.9 52°F 1017.5 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 17 mi46 min WSW 7 G 7 53°F 1019.2 hPa
44087 18 mi34 min 48°F1 ft
44064 18 mi34 min W 7.8 G 7.8 52°F 1018.9 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 19 mi46 min SW 11 G 11 1019.3 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi46 min SW 6 G 8 54°F 1019 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 24 mi52 min WSW 5.1 G 7 54°F 49°F1018.2 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 25 mi52 min WSW 9.9 G 9.9 54°F 1018.1 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 25 mi40 min SW 3.9 G 5.8 47°F1022.1 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 27 mi52 min 49°F1018.6 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 29 mi34 min 51°F2 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 30 mi46 min WSW 1.9 G 4.1 50°F 50°F1018.3 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 30 mi52 min W 6 G 7 54°F 1019 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 31 mi46 min SW 1 G 2.9 54°F 1018.7 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 37 mi52 min Calm G 2.9 56°F 51°F1018.6 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 38 mi94 min SSW 1.9 54°F 1019 hPa37°F

Wind History for Kiptopeke, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Langley Air Force Base, VA21 mi68 minSW 610.00 miFair52°F36°F57%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KLFI

Wind History from LFI (wind in knots)
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1 day agoN10N9--N8W6CalmNW4NE3CalmNW3NW5CalmCalmCalmSE3S6SW11SW11SW20SW19SW14SW12SW13SW16
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2 days agoN8NE12NE10NE12NE11NE9N7NE7NE8NE8E10
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Tide / Current Tables for Cape Charles Coast Guard Station, Virginia
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Cape Charles Coast Guard Station
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:39 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:13 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:51 AM EST     2.77 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:47 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:33 PM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:21 PM EST     2.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.40.80.30-00.20.71.52.22.62.82.62.11.50.80.3-0.1-0.10.20.71.41.92.2

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:34 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:09 AM EST     -1.40 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:15 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 09:56 AM EST     1.15 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 10:13 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:32 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:48 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:01 PM EST     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:18 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:27 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:34 PM EST     0.74 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.2-0.7-1.2-1.4-1.3-0.8-0.20.511.110.60.2-0.2-0.7-1.2-1.3-1.2-0.8-0.20.40.70.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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