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Marine Weather and Tides Williamsburg, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it. 8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue. 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:51AM

Sunset 7:04PM

Monday September 21, 2020 4:27 AM EDT (08:27 UTC)

Moonrise 10:43AM

Moonset 9:08PM

Illumination 17%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Williamsburg, VA

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 210746 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 346 AM EDT Mon Sep 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. Strong high pressure will build into the region from the north today. This high will stay over the region through much of week ahead.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 345 AM EDT Monday .

Generally quiet weather will continue today with conditions very similar to what we saw on Sunday. Strong (1038mb) high pressure centered near the NY/VT/southern Canadian border extends southward along the higher terrain of the Appalachians. Hurricane Teddy continues to move northward in the west central Atlantic and TS Beta nears the central TX Gulf Coast. The gradient between the surface high and Teddy offshore will lead to continued breezy NE winds today, again strongest near the coast. Most of the region will see mostly sunny skies today with more clouds hanging on over southeastern third of the area. A few light showers or sprinkles will be possible once again today but shouldn't result in more than trace accumulations. High temperatures today top out in the mid to upper 60s with some low 70s possible across NE NC. High pressure settles over the area tonight finally reducing the pressure gradient and allowing for excellent radiational cooling over inland areas. Lows tonight generally in the low to mid 40s along and west of I-95 with continued potential for some upper 30s in the typically cooler locales across the NW. To the east of 95 lows average in the upper 40s and low 50s with some upper 50s along the immediate coast.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. As of 345 AM EDT Monday .

String of exceptionally pleasant wx days continues Tuesday. Building upper ridging/sfc high overhead brings a mostly clear/sunny sky Tuesday, with low humidity and highs in the low 70s. Not as cool Tuesday night with lows in the mid to upper 40s and low 50s.

Sfc high slides offshore and the upper ridge finally starts to break down as remnants of TC Beta approach the mid-south region. Resultant return flow will kick start moderating trend with temps bumping back up toward climo normal. Highs Wed in the upper 70s to ~80. Overnight lows Wednesday continue the warming trend with low to mid 50s inland to right around 60 degrees at the immediate coast.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 330 PM EDT Sunday .

High pressure for much of the day Thursday before a weak short wave moves through late Thursday into Friday, allowing for an isolated shower (15-25% PoPs) through Friday in the SW portion of the CWA. A ridge of high pressure begins to develop by Saturday over the region ahead of a deepening trough to the west. The ridge and trough deepen through the weekend and into Monday as a low pressure system develops over the Great Lakes. The trough and associated cold front moves through the region Monday or Tuesday. The result of this amplified pattern will be an increase in prefrontal precipitation chances from Saturday through at least Monday with mainly isolated light showers Saturday and Sunday before a much greater chance for rain (possibly heavy rain) on Monday along and just ahead of the cold front.

Highs generally in the upper 70s to around 80F through the extended. Lows Wednesday night will range from the low 50s NW to around 60F near the coast. Lows Thursday through Saturday nights will range from the mid to upper 50s W to the low 60s E. Lows Sunday night will range from the low 60s NW to the upper 60s SE.

AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 1250 AM PM EDT Monday .

VFR conditions across area terminals are expected to continue through the 06z TAF period. Strong NNE winds will continue through the TAF period (gusts to 25-30 kt are likely at ORF/ECG, with 20-25 kt gusts at the other terminals). Clear/SKC inland but with the continued NNE flow, expect SCT SC at 3-5kft AGL to continue near the immediate coast tonight. CIGs likely become BKN at 3-5kft near the coast again this afternoon. While some of the hi-res guidance is forecasting the potential for a brief period of MVFR SC along the VA/NC coast (ORF/ECG), will go with persistence and keep CIGs above 3kft in all of the TAFs (conditions remained VFR earlier today, even near the coast). At RIC/SBY, expect just SCT aftn VFR CU/SC this afternoon. Cannot rule out isolated light showers/sprinkles across SE VA/NE NC during the day, but these will not have any impact on flying conditions.

OUTLOOK . Strong high pressure will provide dry/VFR conditions through midweek.

MARINE. As of 345 AM EDT Monday .

1038mb high pressure is centered over nrn New England early this morning. Meanwhile, and upper trough is dropping SE well off the Mid-Atlantic coast. This has helped enhance CAA early this morning. A NE wind is generally 20-25kt with gusts to ~30kt for most of the area, 25-30kt with gusts to ~35kt off the Currituck Outer Banks, and 15-20kt for the rivers aside from the lower James. Seas range from 9-11ft N to 11-13ft S, with 3-5ft waves in the Bay, and 5- 7ft at the mouth of the Bay. The trough will continue to drop SE today and interact with Hurricane Teddy. Meanwhile, the high will remain centered N of the region and gradually weaken through tonight. Therefore, the pressure gradient will slowly slacken, with the wind diminishing to NE 15-25kt by this aftn, and NE 12-20kt by tonight.

SCAs for the Bay have been extended through 08z/4am Tuesday, through 11z/7am Tuesday for the Sound, and remain at 02z/10pm Tuesday for the lower James, and 17z/1pm today for the remaining rivers. A gale warning continues for the ocean off the Currituck Outer Banks through 17z/1pm today. The combination of onshore flow and Hurricane Teddy will result in seas remaining 8-12ft through tonight and subsiding to 6-10ft Tuesday, with 5-7ft waves in the mouth of the Bay today subsiding to 3-4ft Tuesday. SCAs for the ocean N of the VA/NC border have been extended through 11z/7am Wednesday, and remain 22z/6pm Tuesday for the mouth of the Bay.

Hurricane Teddy is forecast to make landfall on Nova Scotia early Wednesday, with high pressure sinking swd into the Mid-Atlantic Tuesday and Wednesday. The wind will become WNW 10-15kt and seas are expected to subside once the hurricane makes landfall and the wind becomes offshore. High pressure then slides offshore later in the week with the wind becoming southerly. Seas are expected to subside to ~2ft by the end of the week.

Hurricane Teddy tracking nwd well off the coast will keep seas elevated into middle portion of the week. Otherwise, the wind will diminish as high pressure settles into the region Tuesday and Wednesday.

HYDROLOGY. As of 750 PM EDT Sunday .

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for the Chickahominy River near Providence Forge, as the river has fallen below flood stage. Flood Warnings remain in effect for the Nottoway River near Sebrell, and the Blackwater River near Dendron/Zuni/Franklin. Will likely be able to cancel the Flood Warning for Dendron by Monday morning, while the other warnings likely will remain in effect for at least the next day or two.

See FLWAKQ/FLSAKQ and weather.gov/AKQ for more site-specific information.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 555 AM EDT Sunday .

Despite the continued onshore/NE flow, there has been no significant flood tide vs. ebb tide dominance at the mouth of the Bay over the past several cycles and there is no indication that this changes during the next 24-36 hrs. Thus, water levels across the middle and upper Bay are only showing departures of 0.5 to 1.0 ft above astronomical tides and the chance for this increasing significantly through today and even Monday is low. Therefore, the Coastal Flood Watch has been cancelled and a the Coastal Flood Advisory has been extended through the Monday aftn high tide.

Across the lower Bay, lower James River, York River, and the coastlines of Northampton County, VA departures are higher, averaging ~1.5 ft above normal. These departures will result in minor flooding at higher astronomical high tide this morning through early aftn, and borderline minor flooding during the lower astronomical high tide later this evening. Therefore, the Coastal Flood Warning has been replaced with a Coastal Flood Advisory today into tonight. The higher astronomical high tide from mid-Monday morning into the early aftn still has a potential to reach moderate flooding in some locations, so a Coastal Flood Warning is still in effect for Monday.

Coastal Flood Warnings continue for ocean-side VA Beach through Outer Banks Currituck today through Monday. Moderate flooding is expected during the higher astronomical high tides this morning and Monday morning, with tidal departures ~2.0ft above normal. Minor flooding is likely during the lower astronomical high tide this evening.

Swells enhanced by Hurricane Teddy (well offshore), with periods of ~17 seconds, and very large waves of 10-12 feet+ will make for very dangerous conditions at the Atlantic Beaches (especially Sunday and Monday). In addition, there is dune/beach erosion potential, especially for more vulnerable locations, later this weekend into early next week. Beach Hazards Statements/High Rip Current Risk will be needed through this weekend into next week. A High Surf Advisory remains in effect for Virginia Beach/Eastern Currituck as seas are ~8ft and are expected to 8-10ft off VA Beach, and potentially 10-12ft for Outer Banks Currituck. High Surf Advisories have been added to the Atlantic coast of the Ern Shore beginning this evening.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . High Surf Advisory until 1 AM EDT Tuesday for MDZ025. NC . Coastal Flood Warning until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for NCZ102. High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EDT Tuesday for NCZ102. VA . Coastal Flood Warning from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM EDT this evening for VAZ089-090. Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for VAZ089- 090. Coastal Flood Warning from 8 AM this morning to 4 PM EDT this afternoon for VAZ084-093-095>097-100-523>525. Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for VAZ084- 093-095>097-100-523>525. Coastal Flood Warning until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for VAZ098. High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EDT Tuesday for VAZ098. High Surf Advisory until 1 AM EDT Tuesday for VAZ099-100. Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for VAZ075- 077-078-085-086. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ650-652- 654-656. Gale Warning until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ658. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ635>637. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Tuesday for ANZ634. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ630>632. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ633. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ638.

SYNOPSIS . MAM NEAR TERM . RHR SHORT TERM . MAM/RHR LONG TERM . RMM AVIATION . ERI/RHR MARINE . AJZ HYDROLOGY . TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA	9 mi	58 min	N 5.1	57°F			1031 hPa	49°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA	10 mi	58 min	NNE 14 G 17	62°F	72°F		1029.7 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA	17 mi	58 min	NE 25 G 31	63°F
44072	21 mi	38 min	ESE 21 G 25	63°F
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA	26 mi	58 min	NNE 8 G 12	62°F			1029.4 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA	28 mi	40 min	NNE 19 G 23	64°F	71°F		1032.4 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA	29 mi	58 min	NNE 22 G 25	63°F			1028.8 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA	30 mi	64 min			72°F		1029.2 hPa
44087	33 mi	62 min			71°F	5 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA	33 mi	58 min	NNE 14 G 20	63°F			1028.7 hPa
CHBV2	35 mi	58 min	NE 20 G 23	61°F			1027.7 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA	36 mi	58 min	NNE 8 G 13		67°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA	38 mi	58 min	NNE 25 G 29				1030.4 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA	41 mi	58 min	NE 7 G 11	62°F	73°F		1028.5 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA	49 mi	58 min	ENE 13 G 20	60°F	64°F		1031.3 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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Last 24hr

N10

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N11 G14

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NE19

NE15 G20

NE16 G22

NE13 G20

NE17

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NE19 G23

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NE18 G23

NE16

NE13 G19

NE14 G17

1 day ago

N15 G22

N15 G20

N13 G17

N12 G15

NE20

NE20 G26

NE19 G25

N18 G24

N19 G23

NE17 G22

N13 G18

NE14 G19

N13 G16

N11 G14

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N10 G14

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NE15

NE14 G18

NE14 G18

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N9 G13

2 days ago

NE15 G19

NE16

NE13 G16

N11 G14

NE12

N12 G16

NE14 G17

N14

N12

NE13 G18

N14 G18

N16

N17 G21

N12 G17

N14 G17

N12 G15

N11 G14

N10

N7

N7

N12 G15

NE19 G28

N12 G22

N14 G20

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA	5 mi	33 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	54°F	48°F	82%	1030.8 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA	11 mi	32 min	N 7	10.00 mi	Fair	58°F	48°F	71%	1029.4 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA	14 mi	34 min	NNE 10	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	61°F	46°F	60%	1029.6 hPa
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA	16 mi	33 min	NNW 3	10.00 mi	Fair	49°F	44°F	82%	1031.5 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA	22 mi	32 min	NE 12	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	61°F	50°F	68%	1030.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KJGG

Wind History from JGG (wind in knots)

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NE5

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1 day ago

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N5

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NE6 G15

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2 days ago

NE3

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N5

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N6 G15

NE3 G16

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N4

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N4

NE3

Calm

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Tide / Current Tables for Queen Creek (2 miles above entrance), York River, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Allmondsville, York River, Virginia

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA

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