Nassawadox, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Nassawadox, VA

June 13, 2024 7:14 AM EDT (11:14 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:42 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM
Moonrise 11:29 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ654 Coastal Waters From Parramore Island To Cape Charles Light Va Out 20 Nm- 601 Am Edt Thu Jun 13 2024

Today - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 3 seconds and E 2 ft at 7 seconds.

Tonight - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 2 ft at 3 seconds.

Fri - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 6 seconds.

Fri night - S winds 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds. A chance of showers and tstms.

Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 8 seconds and N 2 ft at 4 seconds.

Sat night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 foot at 15 seconds.

Sun - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.

Sun night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.

Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft.

Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

ANZ600 601 Am Edt Thu Jun 13 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
high pressure has moved off the mid-atlantic coast this morning. Coastal low pressure will lift ene off the carolina coast Friday. The next cold front will push south across the area early Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nassawadox, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 130756 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 356 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will be centered off the coast today, bringing a warmup to the region to end the week. A cold front pushes through Friday night with a chance for a few showers and storms.
Dry with seasonable temperatures over the weekend, followed by a hot and mainly dry pattern next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 320 AM EDT Thursday...

Key message:

- Warming trend begins today, but still seasonable with moderate humidity levels.

The latest WX analysis shows the upper low lifting NE across Atlantic Canada, with zonal flow over the OH Valley and mid- Atlantic in its wake. To the south, there remains another upper level trough across the deep south/ eastern Gulf of Mexico, with an associated sfc trough from north FL extending out off the GA/SC coast. Locally, a broad area of sfc high pressure is centered off the mid Atlantic coast. Aside from high clouds, the sky is mostly clear over the FA, with light and variable to calm wind. Temperatures range from the upper 50s on the MD eastern shore to the upper 60s at the coast in SE VA and NE NC with most places in the low-mid 60s. Dew pts are little higher than the past few mornings, but still only in the low-mid 60s for most.

Lingering mid to high clouds remain in place through the morning, especially across the south, but overall it will be mostly sunny this morning, with mainly SCT aftn cu developing by midday. The southern stream upper trough will push to the SE coast this aftn, allowing the sfc trough to become more organized off the SE coast this aftn into tonight. Remaining dry into tonight over the AKQ CWA, with temperatures this aftn warming a few more degrees compared to Wed, highs generally ranging from the low-mid 80s along the coast to the upper 80s well inland. By tonight, the upper trough looks to get pushed NE as the next shortwave pushes SE into the Great Lakes on the northern periphery of the strong upper ridge over the SW CONUS.
Mostly clear tonight, except for the potential for some increasing clouds over the far SE zones on the edge of the sfc low offshore overnight. Seasonably warm with lows in the mid to upper 60s.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
As of 330 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

- Hot Friday with moderate humidity levels, a chance for storms Friday evening/night.

- Dry weather and cooler temperatures (seasonable) return for Saturday.

On Friday, the upper level ridge slowly pushes east across the southern plains and into the lower MS Valley. Meanwhile, shortwave energy dives SE from the Great Lakes towards the mid Atlantic, which should keep the coastal low system just far enough offshore to keep most of our area dry Fri morning (have added a slight chc PoP to coastal NE NC for a few stray showers). The forecast for Friday remains on track, though a tad cooler across SE zones with onshore flow. Deep mixing and 850 mb temperatures rising to 18-20C continue to support high in the low-mid 90s well inland across central VA/metro RIC, with upper 80s to around 90F closer to the coast. Dew points continue to be fairly low, mixing into the low-mid 60s, which will act to mitigate the heat index from being much warmer than the actual air temp. Near the coast, dew points will be a little higher, but given the offshore system, SE winds will keep actual air temperatures held at or below 90F. Heat Advisories are not anticipated with peak heat indices in the mid- upper 90s.

A cold front drops SE across the local area Friday evening into Friday night with at least a chance for showers/storms possible (highest across N/NE portions of the FA). Will also have to watch the potential for a stronger storm or two potentially slipping into far northeastern portions of the area, with the latest day 2 SPC outlook having the slight risk well to our NE, but the marginal just clipping NE zones of the FA. (primarily a wind threat). Lows on Friday night will range from the 60s to near 70F (warmest SE).

The upper level trough moves offshore Saturday with the center of > 1020mb sfc high pressure moving from the Great Lakes to New England before sliding off the Mid Atlantic later in the weekend.
Overall, it will be a pleasant start to the weekend with dew pts falling back into the 50s N to lower 60s S with highs in the low- mid 80s along the coast and mid to upper 80s inland.
Lows sat night will be near to a little below avg with high pressure over the region, ranging from the low to mid 60s for most, with some upper 50s over rural interior sections.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 345 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

- Dry and seasonable for Sunday.

- Hot and mainly dry weather returns next week, likely persisting through the week.

Highs on Sunday will be similar to Sat or perhaps a degree or two warmer, as the sfc high becomes centered offshore. Highs will range from the upper 80s inland with low to mid 80s closer to the coast (upper 70s Atlantic coast of the eastern shore).

The models continue to depict the upper level ridge building across the eastern 1/3 of the CONUS next week. The 00Z/13 ECMWF remains the strongest and most persistent with the ridge with the highest H5 heights (around 598 dm with the core just N of the local area by midweek). The 00Z/13 GFS is not as intense, (H5 heights ~594dm) but shows a similar placement through midweek. The ensemble means are also in good agreement so confidence is high at seeing an extended period of hot and mainly dry weather. The core of the heat will be slightly to our N through midweek which will keep some degree of low level onshore flow intact. Highs should be into the low-mid 90s well inland (perhaps some upper 90s Tue-Wed), but will tend to stay in the upper 80s to lower 90s closer to the coast). The continental origin of the ridge may mitigate heat indices to some extent (at least through the midweek timeframe). The current forecast has heat indices through midweek not too far above air temperatures, generally in the upper 90s to around 100F inland and in the low-mid 90s closer to the coast Tue-Wed.



AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 200 AM EDT Thursday...

VFR conditions across area terminals early this morning to prevail through the 06Z TAF period. Skies are mainly clear other than high clouds. Light/variable winds overnight will take on a south to southwest direction at inland sites and E-SE direction closer to the coast by late morning/early aftn. Wind speeds will average 5-10 kt inland, and around 10 kt or a little higher close to the coast. Mainly SCT cu for the aftn. Mostly clear with light southerly winds tonight.

Outlook: VFR conditions should prevail through Friday with mainly dry weather. A cold front crosses the area Friday evening into Friday night with a low chance for a few evening showers or storms (best chance NE of KRIC to KSBY). Winds shift around to the N-NE Saturday morning and will likely be a bit elevated along the coast into the aftn (gusting to around 20 kt) as high pressure builds in from the N. After that, winds will average 10 kt or less with VFR conditions and mostly clear skies into early next week as high pressure gradually shifts off the coast.

MARINE
As of 255 AM EDT Thursday...

Key messages:

- Marginal Small Craft Advisory conditions are possible this afternoon in the lower James River and especially along the western shore of the Chesapeake Bay.

- A cold front drops south through the waters early Saturday with SCA conditions likely for the bay, lower James, and Currituck Sound.

1018mb high pressure has moved offshore early this morning, resulting in southerly flow 5-10 kt over the local waters. Waves are around 1 foot with seas 1-2 ft.

Weak synoptic flow will allow sea breeze forcing to augment SE/onshore flow this afternoon. Winds increase to around 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt, especially along the western shore of the Ches Bay and potentially into the lower James River as well. Some of the hi- res guidance shows winds increasing to around 20 kt late this afternoon in these areas but confidence in seeing widespread winds above SCA thresholds for more than a few hours is low so will hold off on headlines for now. Winds diminish to 5-10 kt during the late evening and overnight hours. The pressure gradient tightens on Friday ahead of an approaching cold front but winds are expected to stay in the 10-15 kt range in the pre-frontal southerly flow. Low pressure off the Carolina coast looks to stay far enough SE to limit local influence but any NW nudge in the track of this low will bring the potential for increased winds/seas for the southern coastal waters Friday afternoon. The front moves across the waters late Friday night into Saturday morning with winds becoming N and increasing to 15-20 kt and gusts to 25 kt. A period of SCA headlines will likely accompany the frontal passage into the first half of Saturday for the Ches Bay, lower James River, and Currituck Sound. Confidence in seeing sustained SCA conditions offshore is lower given the 25+kt wind thresholds for the ocean waters. Waves in the bay will average 1-2 ft through the period with 2-3 ft possible during periods of stronger flow this afternoon/evening and with the frontal passage early Saturday. Seas will average 2-3 ft with 3-4 ft likely during the stronger surge early Saturday. Offshore winds will tend to limit seas and recent guidance has backed off on the potential for 5 ft seas on Saturday. Quiet marine conditions return Saturday evening and are likely to persist well into next week with strong high pressure aloft lingering over the region.

Low rip current risk continues for all beaches today but will have to watch the northern beaches as seas increase late this afternoon.
By Friday, a tightening pressure gradient will help to increase near- shore wave height and longer period swells for the northern beaches where a moderate rip risk is likely.

CLIMATE
Record highs are not likely for most places Friday, but are listed below as RIC could be close:

- RIC: 99 (1926)
- ORF: 97 (1945)
- SBY: 97 (1945)
- ECG: 98 (1944)

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 14 mi56 minSSW 6G8.9 71°F 76°F30.04
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 18 mi56 minSSE 8.9G9.9 30.09
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 22 mi56 minSSE 6G7 71°F 74°F30.07
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 31 mi50 minSSW 7.8G12 73°F 76°F1 ft
44072 32 mi50 minS 9.7G12 72°F 1 ft
44089 32 mi48 min 67°F2 ft
CHBV2 32 mi56 minSSE 8G9.9 73°F 30.01
44064 34 mi50 minSE 7.8G9.7 70°F 74°F1 ft
44087 34 mi48 min 75°F1 ft
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 34 mi48 min 71°F2 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 36 mi56 minSSE 6G7 70°F 30.05
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 42 mi56 minS 2.9G4.1 70°F 76°F30.04
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 43 mi56 minS 6G7 71°F 30.04
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 45 mi56 min 76°F30.06
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 48 mi56 minS 5.1G6 72°F 30.04
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 48 mi56 minSSE 5.1G6 72°F 30.04


Wind History for Wachapreague, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMFV ACCOMACK COUNTY,VA 17 sm19 minSSE 0310 smPartly Cloudy30.06


Tide / Current for Great Machipongo Inlet (inside), Virginia
   
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Great Machipongo Inlet (inside)
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Thu -- 01:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:02 AM EDT     4.22 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:21 AM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:51 PM EDT     4.01 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:35 PM EDT     1.20 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Great Machipongo Inlet (inside), Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
3.6
1
am
4
2
am
4.2
3
am
4
4
am
3.2
5
am
2.4
6
am
1.6
7
am
1
8
am
0.7
9
am
0.7
10
am
1.2
11
am
1.9
12
pm
2.6
1
pm
3.3
2
pm
3.8
3
pm
4
4
pm
3.6
5
pm
2.9
6
pm
2.2
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
1.6
11
pm
2.2


Tide / Current for Quinby Inlet entrance, Virginia
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Quinby Inlet entrance
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Thu -- 01:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:29 AM EDT     3.90 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:46 AM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:19 PM EDT     3.70 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:00 PM EDT     1.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Quinby Inlet entrance, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
3.5
1
am
3.9
2
am
3.8
3
am
3.4
4
am
2.6
5
am
1.8
6
am
1.2
7
am
0.8
8
am
0.7
9
am
0.9
10
am
1.5
11
am
2.2
12
pm
2.8
1
pm
3.4
2
pm
3.7
3
pm
3.6
4
pm
3
5
pm
2.3
6
pm
1.8
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
1.2
9
pm
1.4
10
pm
1.9
11
pm
2.5


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Wakefield, VA,




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