Monday, August10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
West Point, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:20AMSunset 8:08PM Monday August 10, 2020 2:23 PM EDT (18:23 UTC) Moonrise 10:56PMMoonset 11:46AM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ636 York River- 1258 Pm Edt Mon Aug 10 2020
This afternoon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the evening.
Wed..S winds 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Thu..S winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Fri..SW winds 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds 5 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 1258 Pm Edt Mon Aug 10 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure settles over the area through mid week. A trough of low pressure settles over the region later this week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Point, VA
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location: 37.44, -76.74     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 101638 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1238 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure settles into the area today and then lingers nearby through midweek. Isolated showers and thunderstorms today, with daily chances increasing for the middle to end of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1100 AM EDT Monday .

Typical Summer wx pattern over the region w/ very warm-hot and humid conditions continuing Wrt PoPs. HRRR has best coverage for convection of the hi-res models . w/ generally highest PoPs (20-30%) S of I 64 to interior NE NC this afternoon-early this evening. Any storms could produce localized very heavy rain/flooding Otw. SCT CU w/ light SSE winds. Highs from the u80s-l90s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 1100 AM EDT Monday .

Precip will wane after sunset, with dry conditions area wide by 03Z. Low temps tonight in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

A shortwave crossing the area combined with a weak surface boundary in the vicinity of the area will increase storm chances for Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon/evening. Chance pops (30-50%) both days inland and then tapering off to slight chance closer to the coast.

High temps both days upper 80s to lower 90s. Low temps 70-75.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 340 PM EDT Sunday .

The medium range period begins Wed night with a typical upper level ridge centered well off the SE coast and an upper trough to the E of Hudson Bay Canada. The models differ with respect to how progressive that upper trough is while moving to the SE Thu-Sat. The 12Z/09 GFS is quite a bit more progressive with the upper trough pushing off to Atlantic Canada Fri and then well offshore on Sat. This keeps the upper ridge along the Carolina/SE coast and would make it difficult for a front to sag S into the local area through the weekend. The ECMWF and GEM show more of a potential for a blocking pattern and a sfc front stalling over the local area Fri-Sat and possibly even into Sunday. Will be following a blended solution at this point which will incorporate an unsettled pattern with above climo PoPs through the period, but not to the extent of the operational ECMWF/GEM just yet. Highs Thu will be in the upper 80s/around 90F with increasing PoPs by aftn as the front slowly approaches from the N. Beyond that, with the increasing uncertainty as to how far S the front gets, have a fairly broad- brushed high chance PoP (~50%) Fri-Sun with some low end likely PoPs Fri W of I-95. Highs Fri-Sun will be mainly in the mid to upper 80s with lows primarily between 70-75F with some upper 60s possible in the Piedmont through the period. If the ECMWF/GEM solutions verify, highs will likely be a bit cooler especially over the N.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 1235 PM EDT Monday .

Outside of ISOLD tstms this afternoon/early this evening and patchy FG again late tonight . VFR conditions expected through the 18Z TAF forecast period. Mostly VFR conditions expected through mid week outside of scattered afternoon/evening tstms which could result in brief flight restrictions. There is an increased chance of SHRAs/tstms late in the week.

MARINE. As of 230 AM EDT Monday .

No headlines through the week as high pressure becomes the dominate weather feature across the waters. Low pressure will move east along a sfc trof late this week.

SSE winds aob 10 kts during the overnight/morning hrs increasing to 10-15 kts during the aftn/eve hrs. Waves 1-2 ft. Seas arnd 2 ft. Could see an uptick in seas (2-3 ft) late this week.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . CMF/JDM NEAR TERM . ALB SHORT TERM . CMF LONG TERM . LKB AVIATION . ALB/CMF MARINE . MPR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 2 mi53 min SSE 1.9 88°F 1019 hPa75°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 20 mi53 min E 12 G 15 84°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 25 mi53 min SE 12 G 14
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 27 mi35 min S 12 G 14 84°F 86°F1020.5 hPa
44072 30 mi33 min S 12 G 14 82°F
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 37 mi53 min ENE 11 G 13
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 39 mi53 min S 8 G 9.9
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 39 mi53 min E 9.9 G 12
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 41 mi53 min SSE 8 G 9.9 82°F
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 41 mi53 min 82°F
44087 42 mi57 min 83°F1 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 44 mi53 min SSW 7 G 8.9
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 44 mi53 min SSE 12 G 15 83°F
CHBV2 45 mi53 min SE 11 G 13
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 49 mi53 min SSE 11 G 12

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA6 mi28 minSSE 910.00 miFair88°F71°F58%1017.9 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA14 mi28 minN 010.00 mi93°F75°F56%1017.9 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA22 mi87 minS 810.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F75°F68%1017.9 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA24 mi29 minS 410.00 miMostly Cloudy91°F73°F56%1017.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFYJ

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9SE7S8SE6SE5E5SE4SE4SE3CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE6S8S8SE5
1 day agoE7E7NE6E6SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3S3SE5SW5S4S3
2 days agoCalmW3CalmSW3SE6S3CalmCalmSE4CalmSW3CalmCalmNE4CalmCalmSE4S4S3CalmNE5N4CalmE5

Tide / Current Tables for Roane Point, York River, Virginia
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Roane Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:44 AM EDT     2.63 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:57 AM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:16 PM EDT     2.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:46 PM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:55 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.82.22.62.62.421.510.70.60.71.11.72.22.72.92.82.52.11.61.20.90.9

Tide / Current Tables for Allmondsville, York River, Virginia
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Allmondsville
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:02 AM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:14 AM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:33 PM EDT     2.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:03 PM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:55 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.62.12.52.72.52.21.71.20.80.60.711.52.12.62.92.92.72.31.81.310.80.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.