Tuesday, August11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Saluda, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 8:02PM Tuesday August 11, 2020 8:30 PM EDT (00:30 UTC) Moonrise 11:25PMMoonset 12:43PM Illumination 44% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ635 Rappahannock River From Urbanna To Windmill Point- 644 Pm Edt Tue Aug 11 2020
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A slight chance of tstms until early morning. A slight chance of showers.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Fri..SE winds 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..NE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 644 Pm Edt Tue Aug 11 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure settles over the area through mid week. A trough of low pressure settles over the region late week into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saluda, VA
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location: 37.53, -76.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 120012 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 812 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure remains near the coast through Friday. A trough of low pressure developing across the area will gradually increase the chance for showers and thunderstorms each day.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 810 PM EDT Tuesday .

Early evening analysis shows coastal trough lingering across southeastern VA and south across the Carolina coastal plain. To the west, a diffuse piedmont trough persists over western VA up into central PA. Showers and T-Storms fired along the shear axis along the coast of SE VA/NE NC earlier this aftn/evening. Areas of locally heavy rainfall were observed, with portions of the eastern Hampton Roads area picking up between 2-4", including a report of a little more than 2.5" in 90 minutes time in Norfolk. Flash Flood Warnings in effect for this area have lapsed, but have maintained an areal flood warning with some lingering reports of minor flooding from spotters and on traffic cameras across the region. Farther inland, showers were fewer and farther between, but some localized heavy rainfall was noted along and west of the I-95 corridor, which has diminished with loss of heating. Expect that trend will continue into the overnight. Might see some isolated/lingering SHRAs over eastern VA and eastern shore along the trough axis. Otherwise, a partly cloudy and muggy night is expected w/ poss patchy FG/ST late into early Wed morning. Lows mainly 70-75F.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 810 PM EDT Tuesday .

Similar setup expected for Wed, as a sfc trough lingers back near the mountains and hi pres remains in the wrn Atlantic. The day may begin w/some patchy FG/ST . with some partial clearing into late morning. Expecting SCT SHRAs/tstms to develop from midday/early afternoon and continue through the evening hours. Expect the sfc trough to the west to be the focus for mid-late aftn and evening storms. Given PWs in the 1.75-2" range, along with expected low mbE velocities/steering flow for developing storms, and already diminished flash flood guidance from the multiple rounds of rains over the past week or so, there is some concern for a localized flash flood threat. Frequent lightning and gusty winds are also once again concerns aside from the heavy rainfall threat. Given the orientation of the front/sfc trough inland and majority of 12z/11 CAMs depicting storms/higher QPF more widespread and oriented just to our N-NW, not confident enough for any flood watches at this time. However, we will add some more wording to the Hazardous Weather Outlook for tomorrow over the piedmont and we'll re-evaluate late tonight Highs Wed in the u80s- around 90F. except m80s at the beaches.

Trough aloft will become established INVOF OH/TN Valleys Thu-Fri. Tropical moisture will be increasing over the region leading to a high confidence for SHRAs/tstms. Given the recent overall wet wx pattern so far this month . flooding will likely become more of a concern due to PW's well above normal. Heavy rain and poss slow movement to the SHRAs/tstms will contribute to that threat Otw. mostly cloudy w/ highs Thu in the m80s then Fri in the l-m80s. Nighttime lows mainly 70-75F.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 120 PM EDT Tuesday .

The extended period will remain unsettled. A slow moving weak upper level trough from the OH/TN Valleys (Fri night) will track across the FA this weekend into early next week. Meanwhile . hi pres will sit nearly stationary over the wrn Atlantic. Models suggest plentiful moisture through much of the period and there will likely be a sfc frontal boundary sitting over the local area (dissipating Mon-Tue). Expecting rather widespread coverage of SHRAs/tstms from Fri night through the weekend w/ locally heavy rain and poss flooding. A transition to more typical Summer conditions (and mainly diurnal pcpn) likely to occur Mon- Tue Otw. VRB clouds-mostly cloudy through the period Highs Sat/Sun mainly in the l-m80s. lows mainly in the u60s-l70s. Highs Mon-Tue in the mid-upr 80s.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 800 PM EDT Tuesday .

Lingering showers around the KORF/KPHF terminals at TAF time. Otherwise, rain threat diminishes overnight. Some late night patchy FG/ST again expected late tonight/early Wed across area terminals . w/VFR conditions then expected after 13Z into the aftn Wed More scattered afternoon/evening tstms Wed. which could result in brief flight restrictions.

Outlook: Mainly VFR conditions expected Wed night, though some late night stratus/BR possible early Thu morning. There is increased confidence for higher chances of SHRAs/tstms Thu through the weekend.

MARINE. As of 245 PM EDT Tuesday .

Quiet marine conditions continue this afternoon with high pressure centered well offshore and a weak lee trough in place across inland areas. Winds are generally southerly between 5-10 knots over the Ches Bay with winds averaging 10-15 knots offshore. Waves are around 1 foot with seas offshore aob 2 ft.

A modest increase in SSE winds 10-15 knots this evening for the bay will subside back to 5-10 knots overnight. Expect a similar pattern to persist Wednesday into Thursday with some potential for mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Weather becomes increasingly unsettled Friday into the weekend as a front and weak low pressure impact the region. A period of onshore/ENE winds is expected in the wake of the front with the potential for seas to build to 4-5 ft offshore from late Saturday into early next week.

EQUIPMENT. As of 120 PM EDT Tuesday .

KAKQ radar back in service. Additional maintenance is planned Wed and/or Thu (wx permitting).

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . ALB/MPR NEAR TERM . ALB/MAM SHORT TERM . ALB LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . ALB MARINE . AJB EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 12 mi60 min SSE 1.9 84°F 1015 hPa74°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 16 mi18 min SW 9.7 G 12 84°F 86°F1016.6 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 21 mi42 min SSW 7 G 8 80°F 84°F1013.6 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 22 mi42 min SW 13 G 15 82°F 1014.4 hPa
44072 27 mi20 min W 12 G 14 83°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 28 mi42 min S 13 G 15 1014.5 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 32 mi42 min SSE 8 G 9.9 85°F 83°F1013.7 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 39 mi42 min S 6 G 8 84°F
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 40 mi42 min S 6 G 7
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 40 mi42 min S 5.1 G 6 80°F 1013.4 hPa
44087 41 mi34 min 84°F1 ft
CHBV2 42 mi42 min SW 6 G 9.9 81°F 1013.2 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 42 mi42 min SSW 5.1 G 7
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 42 mi48 min 82°F1014 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 46 mi42 min SSE 6 G 6 79°F 1014 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 46 mi42 min SSW 8.9 G 14 82°F 89°F1014.3 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA11 mi35 minSSE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F73°F73%1014.2 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA22 mi35 minSSE 410.00 mi82°F73°F74%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFYJ

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3S3CalmS3S3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmS4S4S3S4SE4S5SW5SW6S4SW5CalmS5S3S4
1 day agoSE4SE4SE3CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE6S8S8SE5SE8SE4E7E6E6E5
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3S3SE5SW5S4S3S9SE7S8SE6SE5E5

Tide / Current Tables for Dixie, Piankatank River, Virginia
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Dixie
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:17 AM EDT     1.21 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:02 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:51 PM EDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.60.91.11.21.21.10.90.70.50.30.30.40.60.91.11.31.41.31.210.80.60.4

Tide / Current Tables for Urbanna, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Urbanna
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:05 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:33 AM EDT     1.30 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:59 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:43 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:07 PM EDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.50.70.91.11.31.31.210.80.50.40.30.40.60.91.21.41.51.51.31.10.90.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.