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Marine Weather and Tides Exmore, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17. 1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

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Sunrise 6:32AM

Sunset 6:01PM

Tuesday March 2, 2021 9:01 PM EST (02:01 UTC)

Moonrise 10:01PM

Moonset 8:42AM

Illumination 81%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Exmore, VA

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 030004 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 704 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure remains over the area through this evening before sliding offshore tonight. Low pressure tracks off the Carolina coast Wednesday. High pressure returns later in the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 645 PM EST Tuesday .

Latest analysis indicates ~1025mb sfc high pressure centered over SE Va and eastern NC, with ~1013mb sfc low pressure over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, with a sfc trough extending NE to the coast of GA/north FL. Meanwhile, an upper low currently over the lower- mid MS Valley becomes an open wave as it moves E/ESE to a position over the srn Appalachians by late tonight. Some of the thicker high cloud cover from this aftn has dissipated except over NC and this is allowing temperatures to fall off rapidly early this evening. On average, anticipate mostly clear/fair conditions north and partly cloudy conditions south overnight as the low moves ENE across the Deep South. Forecast lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s appear on track given current conditions and observations. With the light S wind overnight, temperatures will tend to become nearly steady after midnight across most of the region.

SHORT TERM /7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 300 PM EST Tuesday .

The upper shortwave moves off the Carolina coast by midday Wed. At the surface, low pressure organizes near the South Carolina coast Wednesday morning before quickly pushing offshore by the afternoon. The 12z/02 deterministic and ensemble guidance continues with a far south track of the low, and keeps all QPF south of the FA. Will keep a dry forecast going for Wed. Sky conditions will average out mostly sunny NW with a partly to mostly cloudy sky in SE. Forecast highs range from the low-mid 50s Eastern Shore and SE to the upper 50s-lower 60s W and NW.

The sky clears Wednesday night with low temperatures falling into the 30s. High pressure builds in from the NW Thursday behind a quick moving but dry cold fropa. Dry Friday with high pressure in control. Seasonable high temperatures in the 50s in most areas (upper 40s-near 50F on the Ern Shore) for Thursday under a mostly sunny sky. Cool Friday despite plenty of sunshine. Highs in the 40s . to near 50 Piedmont.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 300 PM EST Tuesday .

Mainly dry weather for Friday night through early next week. Another upper level wave cuts south of the local are on Saturday but a strong long wave trough over eastern Canada will keep this system and its moisture suppressed south. This will also keep temps near seasonable levels through the weekend. Highs Sat/Sun will generally be in the mid 40s to low 50s. Lows in the 20s and 30s. Milder early next week with highs in the upr 40s to mid 50s Monday and mid 50s to mid 60s next Tuesday.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 645 PM EST Tuesday .

VFR conditions will prevail through the 00z TAF period as high pressure remains in control. BKN high clouds will affect mainly the southern half of the area through Wed aftn. Winds will be light E to Se near the coast amd light/variable inland this evening. Winds turn to the S (and will be around 5 kts) later tonight as the high weakens and slowly pushes offshore. Low pressure tracks to our south on Wed with any pcpn remaining to our south, and winds will be 10kt or less.

OUTLOOK . A prolonged period of generally benign weather is expected Thursday into early next week as high pressure builds back over the area.

MARINE. As of 645 PM EST Tuesday .

Have dropped remaining SCA headlines over the southern coastal waters where seas have subsided to 3-4 ft. Otherwise, high pressure will remain over the region this evening, and shift a bit offshore overnight as weak sfc low pressure slowly pushes east toward the GA/FL coast late tonight, and passes south of the local waters Wed morning through Wednesday evening. Light E/SE winds turn to the SSW at 10-15kt over the mid/upper Bay and northern coastal waters, while remaining S to SE over the southern waters. Seas overnight will avg 2-3 ft with waves in the Bay 1-2 ft. Winds generally 10-15kt across the northern waters on Wed and 10kt or less elsewhere as sfc low pressure passes by well to our S keeping the pressure gradient fairly weak.

A cold front drops across the waters Thursday morning, with a brief period of SCA flags potentially needed Thu morning in the Bay. Winds diminish into the aftn, but will likely need a SCA Thu night into Fri morning with the secondary CAA surge, again mainly on the Bay and perhaps the lower James and the Sound.

Generally benign marine conditions then favored over the weekend, as sfc high pressure then builds over the area Fri into Sat. The high then slides offshore late in the weekend into early next week, as another weak sfc low pressure moves E-NE across the Gulf coast to the southeast coast. Looking to remain sub-SCA through this time frame, with winds out of the N-NW Sun- Mon, but will need to watch exact low track as we get closer. Models look to favor a return flow (S-SW) setup into the middle of next week.

HYDROLOGY. As of 330 PM EST Tuesday .

Flood Warning remains in effect for Richmond-Westham and the gage has crested at 12.5 ft this afternoon. See FLSAKQ and water.weather.gov for more details.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . JDM NEAR TERM . JDM/LKB SHORT TERM . ERI/JDM LONG TERM . ERI/JDM AVIATION . JDM/LKB MARINE . LKB/MAM HYDROLOGY . AKQ

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA	5 mi	163 min	ENE 4.1 G 5.1				1024.5 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA	13 mi	163 min	Calm G 1	36°F	47°F		1024.2 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA	27 mi	163 min	SW 4.1 G 5.1		44°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA	30 mi	163 min	ESE 7 G 8	37°F
44072	30 mi	151 min	SSE 5.8 G 7.8	37°F
44089	35 mi	155 min			41°F	2 ft
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA	37 mi	163 min	SE 6 G 7	38°F	44°F		1023.7 hPa
CHBV2	37 mi	163 min	E 5.1 G 6	39°F			1023 hPa
44087	38 mi	155 min			42°F	1 ft
44042 - Potomac, MD	40 mi	151 min	SSE 7.8 G 9.7	37°F	40°F		1024.1 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA	42 mi	163 min	S 4.1 G 5.1	38°F	40°F		1023.7 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA	43 mi	163 min	E 2.9 G 6	39°F			1024.3 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA	45 mi	169 min	ESE 5.1 G 7	38°F			1023.5 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147)	45 mi	155 min			43°F	2 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA	47 mi	169 min			45°F		1024 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD	47 mi	163 min	S 2.9 G 4.1	38°F	43°F		1023.5 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA	49 mi	169 min	ESE 4.1 G 7	40°F			1024.2 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA

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SW4 G9

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA	11 mi	66 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	30°F	22°F	73%	1023.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFV

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)

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NW8

NW11 G14

NW11 G23

NW9 G16

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NW14 G21

N10 G21

NW13 G22

NW10 G21

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NW12 G19

NW14 G24

N10 G16

N14 G26

NW16 G23

NW15 G24

NW15 G21

N10 G18

N8 G14

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1 day ago

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SE3

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S7 G14

SW10 G14

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E4

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Tide / Current Tables for Gaskins Point, Occohannock Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Nassawadox Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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