Exmore, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Exmore, VA

April 16, 2024 4:10 PM EDT (20:10 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:27 AM   Sunset 7:42 PM
Moonrise 11:51 AM   Moonset 2:09 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 255 Pm Edt Tue Apr 16 2024

Through 7 pm - E winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tonight - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers in the afternoon.

Wed night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.

Thu - W winds 10 kt, becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thu night - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.

Fri - NE winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.

Fri night - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.

Sat - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.

Sat night - N winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.

ANZ600 255 Pm Edt Tue Apr 16 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a frontal boundary over the carolinas is forecast to lift north as a warm front into Wednesday. Another front crosses the area Thursday with a stronger cold front then expected by early in the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Exmore, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 161854 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 254 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
This morning's front is forecast to lift back north as a warm front late tonight into Wednesday. Another front crosses the area Thursday with a stronger cold front then expected by the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
As of 250 PM EDT Tuesday...

Afternoon analysis shows strong low pressure over eastern Nebraska with high pressure near the Hudson Bay ridging south into the local area. Skies are mostly clear N and E of I-64 with some high clouds across the SW half of the area. Temperatures are in the 70s for inland areas with upper 60s near the coast where onshore flow continues.

The front that came through the region early this morning has moved well SW into NC. Expect dry conditions to persist through the remainder of the day but the front is forecast to begin lifting back NE tonight which will allow for a slight chance of showers across the west. A weak trough to the north may provide enough of a focus for a few showers across the northern tier of counties late tonight but PoPs are generally below 20%. Lows tonight will fall into the low and mid 50s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 250 PM EDT Tuesday...

The front lifts NE through the area on Wednesday, bringing an increase in cloud cover and a chance for showers during the afternoon and evening. Highs will climb into the upper 70s and low 80s SW of I-64. The front will slow/stall to the NE of 64 which will keep highs in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees. Some instability is noted on forecast soundings during the evening hours so have added a slight chance of thunder to the weather grids. Low temps will be a few degrees warmer with upper 50s to low 60s forecast.

Warm temperatures return for Thursday with a weak cold front moving through in the afternoon. Most guidance keeps the local area dry.
Temps range from the mid 80s across the SW to the 70s for the immediate coast and Eastern Shore. Lows Thursday night will mostly be in the 50s with a few upper 40s possible for the MD Eastern Shore. A stronger front approaches the region on Friday with increasing chances for showers across the west in the afternoon.
Will keep a mention of thunder in the forecast as well. High temps will again be warmest across the SW counties and coolest NE, ranging from the mid to upper 70s to the low 60s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 250 PM EDT Tuesday...

A stronger cold front is progged to approach from the NW Fri night and the 12z/16 global models now all show the front crossing the area early in the day on Saturday. Shower chances increase Friday evening ahead of the front but remain below 50%. Guidance has trended downward with respect to PoPs on Saturday with most areas now 20% or less. With the earlier frontal passage timing, any mention of thunder has been removed for the area Saturday. Temps on Saturday will range from the upper 60s for the Eastern Shore to he low and mid 70s elsewhere. It will be much cooler behind the front on Sunday and Monday with highs in the 60s and overnight lows in the 40s. In addition, a southern stream low pressure system may bring additional rain to the region during this time (highest PoPs are in SE VA/NE NC)...although there is still quite a bit of uncertainty regarding this feature. Otherwise, high pressure slowly builds in from the NW into early next week. Warming trend for Tuesday with highs back into the low 70a away from the water.

AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 250 PM EDT Tuesday...

Prevailing VFR conditions will continue through the 12z/16 TAF period. A cold front has just crossed ORF/PHF, and will cross ECG shortly. Winds become NE at ~10 kt behind the front, although there will be a 1-3 hour period of 20 kt gusts at PHF/ORF/ECG from now-14z. Winds veer to the E then SE this aftn/evening with clear skies outside of SCT-BKN high clouds.
Cloud bases lower tonight as the front starts to move back north as a warm front. MVFR CIGs are possible late tonight at RIC with low-end shower chances after 06z.

Outlook: Shower chances continue Wednesday/Wednesday night as that frontal boundary continues to move north before stalling in/near the eastern shore. MVFR-IFR restrictions are possible Wed-Thu AM, especially at RIC/SBY. Drier conditions move in by late Thursday.

MARINE
As of 250 PM EDT Tuesday...

NE winds have decreased to generally 10 kt or less across the waters as high pressure builds overhead. The high will shift offshore by this evening allowing winds to turn SE into Wednesday. Winds turn southerly at 10 to 15 kt by Wed evening as a frontal boundary just south of the area moves back north. Weak low pressure moves across the waters Thu allowing winds to turn north to northeast by Thu afternoon. This low is forecast to deepen slightly just offshore of the Delmarva late Thursday into Thursday night, which will allow N- NE winds to increase to 15 kt across the waters. Will keep conditions below small craft advisory criteria for now as the low is expected to stay far enough offshore to limit SCA conditions. NE winds will continue Friday into Saturday although they will gradually diminish as the low weakens just offshore and high pressure builds in.

Waves generally 2 ft or less in the bay through the week (except building to up to 3 feet at the entrance of the bay by Friday).
Waves 2 to 3 feet building to 3 to 4 ft by Friday over the ocean.

CLIMATE
Norfolk (KORF) set a new daily record high temperature with their high of 90 yesterday (4/15), breaking the previous high of 89 (1941).

Wallops (KWAL) set a new daily record high temperature with their high of 87 yesterday (4/15), breaking the previous high of 84 (1967).

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 5 mi53 min WSW 7G8 30.22
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 13 mi53 min ESE 5.1G6 61°F 66°F30.17
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 18 mi41 min SSE 7.8G12 62°F 61°F0 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 27 mi53 min SE 5.1G12 62°F 59°F30.22
44072 30 mi41 min S 7.8G12 59°F 1 ft
44089 35 mi45 min 56°F3 ft
CHBV2 37 mi53 min ESE 4.1G5.1 60°F 30.15
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 37 mi53 min E 8G9.9 63°F 60°F30.18
44087 38 mi45 min 60°F1 ft
44064 39 mi41 min E 5.8G7.8 58°F 60°F2 ft
44042 - Potomac, MD 40 mi47 min S 1.9G1.9 64°F 59°F0 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 42 mi53 min NE 4.1G5.1 67°F 63°F30.17
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 43 mi53 min ENE 4.1G5.1 60°F 30.20
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 43 mi41 min SE 2.9 70°F 30.1843°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 45 mi45 min 56°F3 ft
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 45 mi53 min E 8G8.9 59°F 30.19
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 47 mi53 min WSW 11G12 64°F 68°F30.17
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 47 mi53 min 59°F30.21
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 49 mi53 min E 8.9G13 62°F 30.20


Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMFV ACCOMACK COUNTY,VA 11 sm15 minE 0410 smClear30.18
KTGI TANGIER ISLAND,VA 20 sm35 minSW 0610 smClear66°F52°F60%30.17
Link to 5 minute data for KMFV


Wind History from MFV
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Gaskins Point, Occohannock Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
   
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Gaskins Point
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Tue -- 03:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:52 AM EDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:53 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:17 PM EDT     1.43 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Gaskins Point, Occohannock Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.3
1
am
0.4
2
am
0.7
3
am
1
4
am
1.3
5
am
1.6
6
am
1.6
7
am
1.5
8
am
1.4
9
am
1.1
10
am
0.8
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.5
3
pm
0.7
4
pm
1
5
pm
1.3
6
pm
1.4
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
1
10
pm
0.8
11
pm
0.6



Tide / Current for Nassawadox Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Nassawadox Creek
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Tue -- 03:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:16 AM EDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:38 AM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:50 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:41 PM EDT     1.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:42 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Nassawadox Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.7
2
am
1.1
3
am
1.4
4
am
1.6
5
am
1.7
6
am
1.7
7
am
1.5
8
am
1.2
9
am
0.9
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.4
1
pm
0.5
2
pm
0.8
3
pm
1.1
4
pm
1.3
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
1.5
7
pm
1.4
8
pm
1.2
9
pm
0.9
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0.4




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Wakefield, VA,



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