Sunday, September27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Deltaville, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 6:55PM Sunday September 27, 2020 3:49 AM EDT (07:49 UTC) Moonrise 4:15PMMoonset 1:38AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 147 Am Edt Sun Sep 27 2020
Rest of tonight..N winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A slight chance of showers with patchy drizzle. Patchy fog. Patchy fog late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..NW winds 5 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt late. Waves 1 foot. Patchy drizzle early in the morning. Patchy fog early in the morning.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Tue..S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers likely.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 147 Am Edt Sun Sep 27 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Low pressure lifts northeast just off the mid-atlantic coast through this morning. Weak high pressure then settles over the region this afternoon through Monday. Low pressure moves through the local area Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday, with a cold front crossing the waters Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Deltaville, VA
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location: 37.56, -76.27     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 270728 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 328 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure is off the Virginia and North Carolina coast. High pressure builds into the region today into Monday. A cold front will approach the Mid Atlantic by mid week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 320 AM EDT Sunday .

Latest analysis shows low pressure off the VA/NC coast with weak high pressure settling in over the TN valley. At the upper levels, weak ridging will build in for today. With the return flow around the low, plenty of low level moisture is resulting in low stratus and patchy dense fog this morning, along with patchy drizzle. Conditions will improve later this morning although it will remain partly to mostly cloudy through the day. A slight chance of a light shower can't be ruled out this afternoon, especially over the eastern shore. With plenty of cloud cover today, went on the cool side of guidance. High temps generally in the mid to upper 70s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. As of 320 AM EDT Sunday .

A deep trough digs across the central US on Monday with southerly flow across the eastern US. A weak wave passes through the Mid- Atlantic early Monday resulting in a slight chance of showers. Monday afternoon into the early evening should be dry across most of the area. High temps above normal generally in the lower 80s.

A cut off low digs through the deep south on Tuesday, and a front will approach the area from the west. Deep southerly moisture increases with PWAT values over the eastern half of the area increasing to 1.75-2.25 inches by Tuesday afternoon. Chance pops become likely by Tuesday afternoon with the heaviest rain occurring just along and ahead of the front late Tuesday into early Wednesday. Currently have roughly 1-1.5 inches of rain area wide, although there are likely to be higher amounts depending on where the heaviest rain sets up. WPC has the entire area in a slight risk for excessive rain, which given the already saturated soils, is hard to argue at this point. With the rain/cloud cover expected on Tuesday, went on the cool side of guidance for temps, with afternoon highs ranging from the mid to upper 70s. Low temps Tuesday night upper 50s NW to upper 60s SE.

Rain chances continue through Wednesday into late Wednesday night as the upper low moves across the Mid-Atlantic and the cold front takes it's time crossing the area. High temps over the west will struggle to hit 70, with mid and upper 70s expected over the SE. Low temps Wednesday night range from the lower 50s NW to around 60 close to the coast.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 320 AM EDT Sunday .

Drier conditions for Thursday before introducing some low end PoPs with the next frontal boundary that may move across the area on Friday ahead of the broad trough. Highs Thursday generally in the 70s. Highs Fri-Sat in the 60s. Low temps Thursday night upper 40s NW to upper 50s SE. Friday and Saturday night's low temps mid 40s to lower 50s.

AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 115 AM EDT Sunday .

Widespread IFR/LIFR ceilings this morning at all terminals. The low ceilings along with patchy dense fog will persist through around 14Z, when conditions improving late this morning into the afternoon when VFR/MVFR ceilings are expected. Winds this morning light and variable becoming southerly this afternoon through the remainder of the TAF period.

Outlook . VFR conditions are expected from Sunday night until Tuesday, when a front approaches from the west. Sub-VFR conditions are possible at that time, with another round of rainfall possible.

MARINE. As of 350 PM EDT Saturday .

SCA for ANZ658 will remain in effect until 7 pm for seas up to 5 ft offshore.

Mainly Sub-SCA conditions to prevail through the next several days. E wind this aftn and evening will remain 5-15 kt. Seas will avg 2-4 ft S of Cape Charles (and up to 5 ft off the OBX) and around 2 ft to the N. Waves in the Bay will be 1-2 ft, but up to 2-3 ft at the mouth of the Bay.

Low pressure off the NC coast now will weaken/transition into a trough off the Delmarva coast later tonight into Sun AM, allowing winds to shift to the NE and then to the N to NW at 5-10kt. Later Sunday a light onshore flow develops by aftn as the pres gradient remains weak. Seas will run 2-3 ft.

Southerly winds increase Mon-Tue ahead of the next system, which should then pass through the area Wednesday into Wed night. Still much uncertainty in the models for a high confidence forecast past Tuesday. Best chance for SCA conditions will be Wed into Thursday morning as a potent shortwave passes. A significantly cooler airmass is then expected late next week into next weekend.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . CMF/MRD NEAR TERM . CMF SHORT TERM . CMF LONG TERM . CMF/JDM AVIATION . CMF/MAM MARINE . JDM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 1 mi31 min WNW 7.8 G 7.8 69°F 70°F1016.5 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 14 mi49 min N 1.9 G 2.9 1014.5 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 22 mi49 min WNW 6 G 7 68°F
44072 25 mi29 min N 7.8 G 9.7 68°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 26 mi49 min W 5.1 G 6 67°F 70°F1013.9 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 26 mi79 min Calm 67°F 1015 hPa66°F
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 31 mi49 min NW 7 G 8 70°F
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 31 mi49 min Calm G 1 70°F 71°F1014 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 32 mi49 min Calm G 1 68°F 68°F1014.1 hPa
44087 37 mi23 min 70°F1 ft
CHBV2 38 mi49 min NW 8.9 G 9.9 68°F 1013.1 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 40 mi49 min NW 7 G 7 68°F 1013.5 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 42 mi49 min NW 7 G 8.9 68°F 1014.3 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 42 mi49 min Calm G 0
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 43 mi49 min 70°F1014.1 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 46 mi49 min NW 5.1 G 6 69°F 1014.4 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 47 mi49 min WNW 4.1 G 6 68°F 1014 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 47 mi49 min E 6 G 6 67°F 70°F1014.2 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA26 mi54 minN 00.75 miOvercast66°F65°F98%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFYJ

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW3N3CalmN5NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmW6W6NW4NW4CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3SE4E5E4SE5E4E8CalmE5E5E5CalmN3E4CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmW4S3CalmCalmS3CalmCalmS3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmS4CalmCalmS3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Stingray Point, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Stingray Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:11 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:49 AM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:13 PM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:17 PM EDT     1.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.30.30.30.50.811.21.31.210.80.50.30.30.30.50.81.11.31.41.41.31

Tide / Current Tables for Mill Creek, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Mill Creek
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:21 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:07 AM EDT     1.36 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:23 PM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:15 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:35 PM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.60.40.30.30.50.811.31.41.31.10.90.60.40.30.30.50.81.11.41.51.61.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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