Thursday, October1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hardinsburg, KY

Version 3.4
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8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:38AMSunset 7:27PM Thursday October 1, 2020 4:27 PM EDT (20:27 UTC) Moonrise 6:49PMMoonset 6:17AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hardinsburg, KY
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location: 37.6, -86.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Louisville, KY
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FXUS63 KLMK 011916 AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Louisville KY 316 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020

Short Term. (This evening through Friday) Issued at 300 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020

A fairly sharp upper level trough is digging southeast into the Ohio Valley today. NW flow has supplied CAA, while early day sunshine has resulting in steep lapse rates up to around 10 kft. A layer of moisture between 850-700 mb has resulted in BKN mid clouds this afternoon. Scattered light showers are ongoing over southern IN, and widely scattered showers are expected to continue through mid- evening from southern IN into north-central KY. Freezing levels are very low around 6 kft with the steep lapse rates, so would not be surprised to see a few small hail reports in the taller showers.

The upper trough swings east tonight, and skies clear out. Northwest winds will diminish to 3-5 mph after midnight. Lows tonight are expected to dip into the upper 30s and lower 40s. Sfc high pressure drifts southeast toward the area from Iowa on Friday. Expect a sunny start with an increase in stratocu through the midday hours. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon with highs in the lower 60s.

Long Term. (Friday night through Thursday) Issued at 310 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020

The upper level trough overhead will continue to dominate the eastern half of CONUS for the start of the long term period. At the surface we should see dry conditions for Friday night and into Saturday as a 1024 sfc high builds. Friday night should see clearing skies and calm winds, which will allow for the potential for some patchy frost. However, have noticed a consistent warming trend with models. The latest GFS has been on a warming trend at 850mb, where yesterday and prior runs were suggesting 850mb temps around 0C, but now suggest temps around 2-3C, which agrees with the latest ECMWF and NBM run. NBM outputs lows in the low 40s, with dewpoints around the same. While sky cover and winds are not expected to be limiting factors, will go conservative with forecast temps and only lower Saturday morning temperatures for valleys and low lying areas into the upper 30s.

On Sunday our next system arrives with precip chances. Am embedded shortwave will strengthen and develop a sfc low that will track through the Ohio Valley. Slight precip chances begin for our southern IN counties by 06z Sun, and continue throughout the CWA during the day. The low and associated front will be quick moving, and should be east of the CWA by Sunday night/Monday morning. Additionally, there will be limited moisture to work with as soundings only suggest PWATs around 1 inch. In terms of QPF, storm total for Sunday is in the neighborhood of 0.10-0.25 inches.

The upper trough axis will swing through Monday night, and high pressure will quickly fill in behind. High pressure will slide east across the region on Monday, and continue eastward for Tuesday and Wednesday. Max temps should remain in the 60s through the weekend and for Monday. By Tuesday we should be located in the return flow sector, so southerly winds should help increase temperatures back into the lower 70s, and the mid-upper 70s for Wednesday.

Weather History Tidbits .

Oct 2 . 1894 F3 hit Little Rock Oct 3 . 1964 Cat 4 Hilda hit SE LA killing 38 Oct 4 . 1995 Opal hit FL Panhandle as a Cat 3 Oct 5 . 1786 Great Pumpkin Flood of Susquehanna River Oct 6 . 1981 F28 Fokker flew into tornado in Holland killing all 17 Oct 7 . 1844 Major hurricane hit Jamaica, Cuba, and Bahamas

Aviation. (18Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 138 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020

VFR weather will be the rule for this TAF period. Currently have a BKN stratocu field around 7-8 kft that will persist through sunset. An approaching upper level trough along with steep lapse rates will likely help force widely scattered showers over southern IN and the northern half of KY. SDF and LEX have the best chance at seeing a brief shower, and could possibly amend to include a VCSH mention for a few hours. Will continue to monitor the radar on that front.

Skies gradually clear out late this evening with light NW winds continuing overnight around 5 kts. Expect a lower stratocu field on Friday after 16z in the 4-5 kft range.

LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IN . None. KY . None.

Short Term . EBW Long Term . CJP Aviation . EBW


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Knox, KY34 mi32 minW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F37°F34%1017 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFTK

Wind History from FTK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS16
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SW10--W6CalmNW9NW8NW6NW4NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3SW5W9W11W9
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1 day agoNW7W10SW3W4W5W4W4CalmCalmSW3SW4S5S3S8S6S10S10S12
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2 days agoW7W5CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3NW3CalmW4W3CalmCalmW7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Louisville, KY
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