Pungoteague, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pungoteague, VA

May 14, 2024 4:20 PM EDT (20:20 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:55 AM   Sunset 8:07 PM
Moonrise 10:40 AM   Moonset 12:41 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 251 Pm Edt Tue May 14 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 7 pm edt this evening through Wednesday afternoon - .

Through 7 pm - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.

Tonight - SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers until early morning, then rain late.

Wed - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.

Wed night - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.

Thu - N winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Thu night - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Fri - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Fri night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers after midnight.

Sat - E winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Showers likely. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.

Sat night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

ANZ600 251 Pm Edt Tue May 14 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a low pressure system crosses the area later today through early Wednesday, bringing the potential for a period of elevated south winds. Low pressure then lingers near the area into Thursday, moving well offshore Friday through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pungoteague, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 141959 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 359 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
Widespread showers, with periods of moderate to heavy rain prevail tonight. Scattered showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms continue Wednesday, mainly in the afternoon. Mainly dry Thursday, with additional showers and storms Friday night into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 345 PM EDT Tuesday...

Key Messages:

- Widespread showers prevail this evening/overnight, diminishing after midnight from SW to NE.

- The heaviest rain is expected along and S of I-64, with rainfall totals of 1.00-1.50" with localized amounts of 2" or more possible. Generally 0.50"-1.00" in most other locations.

- Mainly just drizzle or very light rain Wed morning, with scattered showers and a few storms Wed aftn.

The latest wx analysis shows high pressure well offshore with low pressure centered across far southern IL/western KY. A closed upper low is now tracking across eastern MO with SW flow aloft over the Mid- Atlantic. The sky is now cloudy throughout the area with showers becoming widespread along and S of the I-64 corridor. Rainfall amounts so far have been light with the exception of the southern piedmont where 0.50"-0.80" has fallen since this morning.

The parent sfc low pressure system W of the Appalachians is expected to track slowly to the E into tonight, becoming stacked w/ height underneath the upper low. Meanwhile, secondary sfc low pressure continues to develop across SC/GA, and this will deepen into this evening across NC in response to continued height falls aloft. Expect the showers to become widespread to nearly the entire area by 6 PM or so as rather strong mid-level forcing/lift arrives from the SW and PWs climb to 1.6-1.8". Even as we remain on the cool side of the system w/ the warm front set up to our south, periods of moderate to heavy rain are likely. There will only be a few hundred J/kg of sfc- based instability...(if that) which will lead to some locally heavier showers but not expecting much in the way of thunder. Will maintain just a slight chc mention for thunder overnight across NE NC.

At this time, the highest QPF amounts still look to be over SE VA and NC, though model trends suggest nearly as much falls into central VA as well (co-located with 850-925mb WAA). Expect total QPF through Wed to avg 1.00-1.50" with local amounts over 2" along and S of I-64, with 0.50"-1.00 to the N/NE. While localized flooding will be possible, the cells will be moving tonight and FFG guidance is rather high so have not issued any Flood Watches. Temps will fall into the upper 50s-mid 60s tonight with breezy SE winds (gusts to 20-30 mph) developing near the coast just ahead of the deepening secondary low.

The mid levels are progged to dry out from SW to NE after midnight, so additional QPF after 06Z will be 0.10" or less to the S of I-64, though the low levels remain saturated through Wed morning. Have added the mention of drizzle between 09-15Z.
Otherwise, additional showers are expected Wed aftn, with the highest PoPs over the S. Highs Wed around 80F across interior NE NC, to the mid 60s across the far N (and perhaps barely 60F along the MD Atlantic coast).

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 320 AM EDT Tuesday...

Key Messages:

- Showers linger over the area on Wednesday with cooler temperatures (60s) likely across northern portions of the area and 70s to near 80F in NE NC.

- A few thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon across southern VA and NE NC.

- Drying out on Thursday, though clouds and a few spotty showers may persist.

On Wednesday, the surface low will track NE along or just offshore of the VA coast while the upper low currently over MO becomes an open wave as it tracks from west to east before gradually moving offshore Wed night/early Thu. The sfc low will likely linger offshore of the VA coast through a good part of Thursday. Wednesday will likely be overcast with light rain or drizzle across northern portions of the area with temps holding in the 60s with a N-NE wind while it will warm well into the 70s in extreme SE VA/NE NC with a westerly wind with showers and a few tstms developing during the day as the upper low/trough approaches. It is important to note that there is quite a bit of uncertainty in the forecast for Wednesday especially with respect to temps (which will depend on the exact track of the low). If it is farther south than shown my model consensus (like the NAMNest shows), temps will struggle to get out of the 60s across much of the area. On the other hand, if the farther north and slower ECMWF solution verifies, it will warm into the 70s farther north than expected (with more tstm coverage during the aftn but less in the way of low clouds/light rain/drizzle).
Regardless, additional QPFs on Wed are no higher than a few tenths of an inch with locally higher amounts expected in tstms.

A bit of a transition day weatherwise for Thursday. Drier conditions overall in subsidence behind the departing trough, though low clouds may linger near the coast through the morning (and potentially longer on the eastern shore). We should see a decent amount of clearing inland by the aftn. Temps rise to ~70F on the eastern shore with mid to upper 70s inland. There may be just enough instability for an isolated shower inland during the aftn/early evening. Highs Thu once again in the mid/upper 70s well inland to lower/mid 70s along the coast. Lows Thu night range from the mid 50s-60F with dry wx expected.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 320 AM EDT Tuesday...

Key Message:

- Warm weather is expected late this week with increasing chances for showers and storms later Friday and especially this weekend.

Shortwave ridging briefly moves over the area on Friday. Another system approaches late on Friday with a few showers/tstms possible west of I-95 late in the day. Better rain chances arrive over the weekend as another shortwave trough approaches from the SW.
While it is still 5 days out, the best chance for showers/tstms appears to be on Saturday (highest coverage likely during the aftn/evening), with lingering showers possible on the back side of the system on Sunday. Temps remain near seasonal averages late this week into the weekend. Drier wx returns early next week with temps warming above average.

AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 200 PM EDT Tuesday...

Mainly VFR conditions to start the TAFs, with deteriorating conditions into this evening (mainly IFR flight restrictions to prevail tonight into Wed morning). S winds shift to the E-SE and will be gusty to 20-25 kt closer to the coast. Expect the showers to be heavy at times INVOF PHF/ORF/ECG between 00-06z (with a slight chc of a tstm at ECG). The rain will mostly come to an end between 09-12Z (except at SBY), though low clouds and drizzle continue through the remainder of Wed morning. Periodic flight restrictions continue Wednesday aftn with scattered showers and potentially a few aftn tstms across srn portions of the CWA

Conditions gradually improve Thursday into Friday.
Another low pressure system will bring showers, a chc of tstms, and degraded flight conditions Friday night into Saturday, with at least a chc for showers/tstms on Sunday.

MARINE
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...

Key messages:

- SCA conditions expected across local waters this evening into tomorrow for elevated winds as low pressure tracks across the area.

- SCA for coastal waters (northern zones) linger into Thurs due to seas remaining around 5ft.

High pressure is now well offshore as low pressure approaches from the west. Winds over most of the waters have turned to the SE at around 15kt, but far northern waters are still showing a more southerly direction. Buoy obs reflect seas of 2-3ft and waves at 1- 2ft (2-3ft at the mouth of the bay). Low pressure will track towards the area tonight, crossing the waters sometime tomorrow morning.
Winds will increase this evening and into tonight as the pressure gradient tightens. By this evenings, winds will be up to 15-20kt (gusts to 25kt) with the highest winds located in the southern coastal waters and lower bay. This axis of higher winds (associated w/ enhanced pressure falls) will gradually move northward into the rest of the coastal waters (on the nrn side of the low) into early Wednesday. Small craft advisories are in effect for all of the waters (upper rivers have been added) for frequent gusts to 25-30 kt, starting at 20z/4 PM today in the srn bay, 23z/7 PM for the upper bay and rivers, 2z/10 PM for the Currituck Sound and coastal waters S of Cape Charles, and then early Wed morning for the coastal waters N of Cape Charles. Waves in the bay become 2-4 ft tonight.
Seas will also increase to 4-6 ft, potentially up to 7 ft given the onshore flow. However, the relatively brief nature of the elevated easterly winds should prevent the nearshore seas from getting too high. Elevated seas persist longest in the nrn waters, so the current SCA there goes through early Thursday.

Winds then become N-NE for most of the waters Wednesday afternoon through Thursday as the low meanders offshore to our E. There is moderate disagreement in the global models regarding how long the low lingers and how close to shore it will be. This will result in at least breezy northerly winds through at least Thurs night.
Current forecast has the winds just below SCA criteria for most waters, so cannot rule out additional advisories. Conditions look to improve for the weekend, but with onshore flow forecast, cannot rule out seas building to 5ft just yet.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ630-631.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ632-634.
Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ633.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ635>637.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ638.
Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Wednesday to 1 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ650-652.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 7 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ654.
Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ656-658.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 7 mi50 min S 11G14 65°F 67°F29.95
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 13 mi50 min SE 17G19 29.98
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 24 mi44 min SSE 12G16 67°F 67°F2 ft
44089 27 mi54 min 58°F3 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 33 mi50 min S 18G21 68°F 66°F29.98
44072 38 mi44 min S 14G19 68°F 1 ft
44042 - Potomac, MD 39 mi44 min SE 12G14 65°F 66°F1 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 43 mi50 min SE 8.9G9.9 68°F 67°F29.95
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 43 mi50 min SSE 8.9G11 69°F 69°F29.93
CHBV2 44 mi50 min SSW 14G17 71°F 29.92
44087 45 mi54 min 67°F2 ft
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 45 mi50 min S 11G17 72°F 68°F29.93
44064 46 mi44 min S 12G19 68°F 66°F2 ft


Wind History for Wachapreague, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMFV ACCOMACK COUNTY,VA 3 sm5 minSSE 0710 smMostly Cloudy29.95
KTGI TANGIER ISLAND,VA 17 sm45 minSE 11G1510 smOvercast70°F64°F83%29.95
Link to 5 minute data for KMFV


Wind History from MFV
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
   
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Pungoteague Creek
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Tue -- 01:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:02 AM EDT     1.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:40 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:49 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:32 PM EDT     1.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:54 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.4
1
am
0.6
2
am
1
3
am
1.3
4
am
1.6
5
am
1.7
6
am
1.6
7
am
1.4
8
am
1.1
9
am
0.8
10
am
0.5
11
am
0.3
12
pm
0.3
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.7
3
pm
1
4
pm
1.3
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
1.5
7
pm
1.3
8
pm
1.1
9
pm
0.8
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0.4


Tide / Current for Onancock, Onancock Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Onancock
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Tue -- 01:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:32 AM EDT     1.78 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:39 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:21 PM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:02 PM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Onancock, Onancock Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.3
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.9
3
am
1.2
4
am
1.6
5
am
1.8
6
am
1.8
7
am
1.6
8
am
1.4
9
am
1
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.5
12
pm
0.3
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.6
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
1.6
7
pm
1.5
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
1
10
pm
0.8
11
pm
0.5


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