Saturday, May30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Montezuma, KS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 8:56PM Saturday May 30, 2020 7:34 PM CDT (00:34 UTC) Moonrise 1:03PMMoonset 1:45AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montezuma, KS
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location: 37.64, -100.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS
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FXUS63 KDDC 302320 AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 620 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

. Updated aviation discussion .

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Sunday) Issued at 124 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

There will be a chance for a few isolated late day thunderstorms along a surface boundary that will be located across eastern Colorado. 700mb to 300mb flow is forecast to be less than 10 knots so do not expect any storm that does develop in eastern Colorado to move very quickly or very far east early tonight. It appears that models today agree with this solution and indicated that late day Colorado storms will dissipate before they cross the border. Given such agreement between the models trend towards no mentioning any precipitation chances this evening. The possible exception will be right along the border Hamilton and Stanton counties.

Sunday will be another warm day with 850mb and 700mb temperatures at 00z Monday similar to what they are forecast to be this evening (00z Sunday). Environment and surface boundary location will also be very close to what we are expecting later this Saturday evening. As a result any late day convection that does develop again over eastern Colorado will likely stay west of southwest Kansas late Sunday and Sunday evening. The HIghs on Sunday will once again range from the upper 80s to near 95.

LONG TERM. (Sunday night through Saturday) Issued at 124 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

Upper ridge axis will stay in place across the Plain early next week as a weakening upper low makes its way slowly northward across west Texas towards Kansas. At this time it appears that only some increasing in mid to high level moisture will accompany this system early in the week. Precipitation chances, small as they may be, from this system early in the week will end up being focused across south central Kansas and Oklahoma. Across southwest Kansas there will be the potential for some increasing clouds which may limit how warm the afternoon temperatures will get. It will still feel like summer but highs are expected to stay mainly in the low to mid 90s through the middle of the upcoming work week.

Across the Rockies and Central Plains mid week the upper ridge is forecast to weaken as what appears to be a series of upper level waves cross the Central Rockies and moves out into the West Central High Plains. Ahead of each of these mid week upper level waves there will be a chance for some isolated thunderstorms late Wednesday across northern Kansas. There will then be a chance for thunderstorms across central and portions of western Kansas late Thursday.

Very warm conditions then return for the end of the week as both the GFS and ECMWF forecast the 700mb temperatures to warm to >12C and 850mb temperatures at 00z each day climb into the mid 20s to around 30. These 850mb temperatures will be on average several degrees warmer than what is currently expected early in the work week. Given the warmer temperatures late week many locations late week could easily see highs in the upper 90s. Highs near 100 degrees is not completely out the question in a few locations.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening) Issued at 620 PM CDT Sat May 30 2020

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through this period. Widely scattered thunderstorms over southeast Colorado are expected to diminish with the loss of daytime heating and should stay west of the Garden City terminal. A low level jet is expected to redevelop this evening over parts of the area and will carry LLWS in some of the TAFs. The low level jet could also trigger an isolated shower or thunderstorms across western Kansas overnight but confidence in them approaching any of the terminals is low enough to preclude any mention in the TAFs. Gusty south winds will redevelop again on Sunday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DDC 60 91 62 92 / 0 0 0 0 GCK 61 93 62 94 / 10 0 0 0 EHA 64 94 62 93 / 10 0 0 0 LBL 62 94 61 93 / 10 0 0 0 HYS 62 89 65 93 / 10 0 0 0 P28 60 88 62 91 / 0 0 0 0

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.

SHORT TERM . Burgert LONG TERM . Burgert AVIATION . Gerard


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dodge City, Dodge City Regional Airport, KS23 mi43 minSSE 21 G 3110.00 miFair and Breezy87°F53°F31%1014 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDDC

Wind History from DDC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE18
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1 day agoNE10NE4NE3E4SE4SW4SW4SW3Calm--NE5N4E6E9E9SE10
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2 days agoNE9N6NE5N4N4N3NW5NW5NW8NW12NW9NW8NW7N14
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Dodge City, KS (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dodge City, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.