Wednesday, December11, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Montezuma, KS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:43AMSunset 5:22PM Wednesday December 11, 2019 6:54 PM CST (00:54 UTC) Moonrise 5:15PMMoonset 7:04AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montezuma, KS
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location: 37.64, -100.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS
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FXUS63 KDDC 112250 AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 450 PM CST Wed Dec 11 2019

. Updated Aviation .

SHORT TERM. (This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 1108 AM CST Wed Dec 11 2019

Short range models indicate an upper level shortwave trough pushing across the Colorado Rockies into eastern Colorado this evening and further east into the high plains of western Kansas early Thursday. Lee side troughing developing in eastern Colorado will deepen this evening in response, tapping into increased moisture to our south and raising surface dewpoints somewhat ahead of an advancing attendant frontal boundary. Despite this, a generally dry frontal passage is expected overnight . although a few sprinkles are possible in south central Kansas toward daybreak as hinted at by a couple CAMs. At the very least, increased low cloud cover is likely across central/south central Kansas.

Above normal temperatures are likely tonight as prevailing southerlies draw warmer air into western Kansas, not to mention increasing moisture with surface dewpoints climbing well into the 20s(F) to near 30F by early morning. Expect lows generally down into the 30s(F) overnight. The passage of the weak frontal boundary is expected to have little effect on the air mass spread across the high plains. Should see highs back up into the 50s(F) Thursday afternoon.

LONG TERM. (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1145 AM CST Wed Dec 11 2019

Quiet and dry conditions are to be expected through late Saturday afternoon as a west-northwest flow aloft prevails across the Western High Plains. Precip chances, likely in the form of snow, return to western Kansas late in the weekend as medium range models are in fair agreement showing a fairly progressive upper level shortwave trough pushing ashore into northern California late Saturday night, setting up an increasingly difluent westerly flow aloft across the Western High Plains. Although there remains a fair amount of uncertainty pertaining to more finite details, there is good agreement in regards to strong support aloft in the form of a robust +120kt jet out of the Central/Southern Rockies into western Kansas and the panhandles of Oklahoma/Texas ahead of the approaching system. With this, snow chances are expected to pick up moving into Sunday and Sunday night as the upper level shortwave projects into the Four Corners Region. There continue to be discrepancies between different longer range models and within same model run to run solutions pertaining to QPF fields. As it is, confidence persists for some accumulating snow across portions of western Kansas to finish out the weekend, but how much remains fairly ambiguous this far out.

One last day of well above normal temperatures can be expected Friday ahead of the next cold frontal passage likely sometime later Friday evening/early Saturday morning. With the assistance of west-northwest downsloping, expect highs well up into the 50s(F) to near 60F Friday afternoon. More seasonable temperatures are likely Saturday as colder air surges through the high plains of western Kansas behind the aforementioned cold front. Look for high temperatures no higher than the 40s(F) Saturday, and even lower highs on Sunday.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening) Issued at 450 PM CST Wed Dec 11 2019

VFR will continue through this TAF cycle. Increasing cirrus is expected this evening, ahead of an approaching shortwave, along with increasing SWly 850 mb winds. With an established low level jet and 850 mb winds increasing to near 50 kts, included low level wind shear in all TAFs for several hours during the 03-09z Thu time range. South winds will remain strong well into tonight, continuing to gust to near 30 kts. After 09z, a dry frontal boundary will bring a shift to weaker SWly surface winds, and clear out the cirrus. Light winds will continue to veer light NWly Thursday morning, with light northerly surface flow midday Thursday. Mid/high clouds will increase rapidly Thursday afternoon, with surface winds trending light and variable.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DDC 33 55 32 58 / 0 0 0 0 GCK 29 54 29 57 / 0 0 0 0 EHA 31 55 33 60 / 0 0 0 0 LBL 31 55 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 HYS 30 52 31 57 / 0 0 0 10 P28 38 57 32 60 / 10 10 0 0

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.

SHORT TERM . JJohnson LONG TERM . JJohnson AVIATION . Turner


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dodge City, Dodge City Regional Airport, KS23 mi62 minS 1610.00 miFair47°F32°F56%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDDC

Wind History from DDC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7SE10SE7S7S9S8S7SW12SW12SW13SW14SW11SW8SW8SW11SW8S9S13S14S17S19S24
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1 day agoN3NW4SW4S3SW5SW7SW8SW7SW6SW7SW7W9W8W8W7N11NE10NE9NE5NE9E7E7E9E8
2 days agoSE5SE5SE5SW3SW6SW9SW4S5W11NW20
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Dodge City, KS (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dodge City, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.