Montezuma, KS Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Montezuma, KS


September 23, 2023 9:33 AM CDT (14:33 UTC)
Sunrise 7:27AM   Sunset 7:37PM   Moonrise  3:13PM   Moonset 12:00AM 

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Montezuma, KS
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Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS
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FXUS63 KDDC 231041 AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 541 AM CDT Sat Sep 23 2023

Updated for aviation

SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Sat Sep 23 2023

An upper level disturbance will pass off to the east today. In its wake, a cold front will sweep across southwestern Kansas this morning. Drier air will arrive along with cooler temperatures today, with north winds at 10-20 mph. Expect afternoon highs from 80 to the mid 80s, with the warmer readings at the lower elevations of south central Kansas. With drier air in place tonight, along with light winds, strong radiational cooling will allow temperatures to fall into the lower to mid 50s. The same air mass will be in place for Sunday as surface high pressure parks over the high plains. Highs will once again be between 80 and 85.
With dry air in place Sunday night, along with light winds, expect cool overnight lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s from northwest to southeast. Surface high pressure will gradually move off to the east by Monday afternoon, with weak surface low pressure forming across the high plains. This should allow temperatures to reach at least the mid 80s in the afternoon across most of central and southwest Kansas, and possibly the upper 80s in some places.

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Sat Sep 23 2023

By Tuesday, some low level moisture will sneak up the high plains toward Elkhart and Liberal. With weak northwesterly mid level flow persisting, a weak surface trough is expected to persist. There is a very small chance of a shower or thunderstorm in extreme southwestern Kansas as weak instability develops. Expect temperatures to reach the upper 80s.

Low amplitude upper level ridging will form over the high plains by Wednesday and persist through Friday before slowly moving off to the east by Saturday. There will be just enough mid level flow across the Rockies for the surface lee trough to persist, with south winds each day. Expect warmer afternoon highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. The EPS mean low level temperature anomalies support the operational ECMWF run with this warm regime, adding confidence to the forecast. Overnight lows will be warmer as well given the increasing low level moisture, with dewpoints close to 60, along with south winds at 10kts during the overnights encouraging low level mixing. Expect lows in the lower to mid 60s from Wakeeney and Dodge City eastward into central Kansas, with only slightly lower readings along the Colorado state line. There will be some marginal surface based instability each afternoon; but with the lack of upper level support, don't expect anything more than an isolated shower or thunderstorm in the late afternoon on the high plains of far western Kansas, with the vast majority of the area remaining dry.

AVIATION
(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 538 AM CDT Sat Sep 23 2023

The IFR CIGS at KHYS will be short-lived this morning as the low level winds veer to the southwest ahead of a cold front by 13-14z.
Vsbys at KGCK will continue to improve through 13z and become VFR as winds shift to the southwest and then north as a cold front passes. Behind the front, expect north winds at 10-15 kts today, diminishing toward sunset.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DDC 84 55 82 51 / 0 0 0 0 GCK 83 53 81 50 / 0 0 0 0 EHA 83 54 81 50 / 0 0 0 0 LBL 84 55 82 51 / 0 0 10 0 HYS 83 53 82 52 / 0 0 0 0 P28 86 58 85 55 / 0 0 10 0

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.


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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KDDC DODGE CITY RGNL,KS 22 sm41 minNW 145 smClear Mist 63°F61°F94%29.86

Wind History from DDC
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Dodge City, KS,



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