Monday, March1, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Urbanna, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 6:04PM Monday March 1, 2021 5:06 PM EST (22:06 UTC) Moonrise 8:52PMMoonset 8:14AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ635 Rappahannock River From Urbanna To Windmill Point- 355 Pm Est Mon Mar 1 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Tuesday morning...
Through 7 pm..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot. Rain likely.
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..NW winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 355 Pm Est Mon Mar 1 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. An initial cold front will cross the waters through early this evening. A second and stronger cold front crosses the region tonight to be followed by high pressure arriving Tuesday. Low pressure tracks by south of the local waters Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Urbanna, VA
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location: 37.65, -76.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 012103 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 403 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

SYNOPSIS. Canadian high pressure returns tonight through Tuesday. Low pressure tracks off the Carolina coast Wednesday. High pressure returns later in the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. As of 400 PM EST Monday .

The latest GOES WV data depicts SW flow aloft persisting over the Southeast Conus, with a trough digging across the Great Lakes and Northeast. At the surface, 990mb low pressure is located over the Gulf of Maine near the SW coast of Nova Scotia. A cold front trails to the the SW and now reaches into southern and SE VA. Most of the rain has dissipated. However, there is a narrow line of showers along the front over SE VA, with some spotty light rain over NE NC and the Eastern Shore. A wind shift to NW with wind gusts to 25-30 mph has been observed with the frontal passage. Temperatures range from the upper 40s to mid 50s behind the front, and remain in the low 60s ahead of the front. Lingering showers should dissipate/move offshore through 00z as drier arrives from the NW. However, high clouds may be slow to clear this evening due to strong SW flow aloft. By later tonight, high clouds should become suppressed to the south with most of the area becoming clear. Temperatures are expected to fall into the 40s this evening, with overnight lows ranging from the upper 20s N/NW, to the mid 30s SE.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 400 PM EST Monday .

High pressure continues to build in from the NW Tuesday morning and then becomes centered over the area by Tuesday afternoon. Mostly sunny with highs ranging from the low to mid 40s E, to upper 40s/around 50F W Tuesday. A NNW wind of 10-15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph will linger along the coast in the morning and then diminish during the afternoon.

High pressure slides offshore Tuesday night as an upper trough trundles across the southern Appalachians. Remaining mostly clear Tuesday evening, with high clouds increasing across the south overnight. Forecast lows range from the mid/upper 20s N/NW to the lows 30s SE, although temperatures may begin to increase across the S once high clouds arrive. Surface low pressure organizes off the Southeast coast Wednesday morning and then pushes offshore Wednesday afternoon. The trend amongst the 01/12z guidance has been to keep most of the moisture S of the VA/NC border, with only chc PoPs for far srn VA and NE NC. Forecast highs range from the low 50s S, to the mid/upper 50s N. However, if there is enough sun across the NW highs could approach 60F.

The sky clears Wednesday night with low temperatures falling into the 30s. High pressure builds in from the NW Thursday with seasonal high temperatures of 50-55F under a mostly sunny sky.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 230 PM EST Monday .

Mainly dry weather for Thursday night through early next week. The only exception would be if northern stream energy digging down through the Ohio Valley late Saturday is able to interact with low pressure deepening off the Southeast coast. Then there would be the possibility of pcpn wrapping back inland into portions of SE VA and NE NC. Will keep the forecast dry for now until better model support develops. Highs through the period will be in the 40s to low 50s. Lows in the 20s and 30s.

AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 100 PM EST Monday .

995mb low pressure was centered over the Gulf of Maine as of 18z, with a cold front extending to the SW through the Delmarva and into central VA. Areas of light rain continued across the area with a line of showers along the cold front. Cigs were primarily VFR around 5-10kft, with IFR at SBY. The line of showers is expected to pass through SBY through 19z, and this could produce wind gusts to 25-30kt, along with brief moderate to heavy rain. This should also act to scour out the stratus. Otherwise, a WNW wind of 10-15kt with gusts to ~20kt is expected to develop through the afternoon as the cold front moves through the area. Remaining mostly cloudy to overcast, with cigs generally lifting later this afternoon. High pressure builds in from the NW with the sky clearing tonight. The wind will become NW, then N/NNW at 8-12kt at all sites, with occasional gusts to ~20kt at ORF. High pressure settles over the area Tuesday. A N/NNW wind of 10-15kt with gusts to 20kt will persist through midday Tuesday, before diminishing in the afternoon.

Low pressure moves off the Carolina late Tuesday night into Wednesday bringing a chance of rain to mainly ECG and possibly ORF. High pressure returns Thursday through Saturday.

MARINE. As of 230 PM EST Monday .

A potent cold front will sweep across the marine area through this afternoon. WSW winds 10-20 kt ahead of the front, then winds becoming WNW then NW behind the front. Brief gusts 35-40 kt will occur with the front and will handle this with short- fused Special Marine Warnings as needed.

A secondary push of CAA to arrive over the local waters tonight resulting in a strengthening of the NW winds. Wind probs and model blends remain consistent about a period strong SCA/low gales for the far nrn Ches Bay and the ocean waters off the MD/VA ern shore tonight/early Tue Elsewhere. a decent period of SCAs expected through Tue morning. Winds wane Tue afternoon/evening as sfc high pressure arrives from the west. As quickly as winds diminish/become VRB late Tue . SSW winds develop by Wed morning as the sfc high pressure moves off the coast. Low pressure passes south of the local waters Wed into Wed night.

Regarding headlines . SCAs are currently in place for all waters into Tuesday morning. Gale Warnings will take the place of SCAs for ANZ630 (Smith Pt to Windmill Pt) and the coastal waters north of Cape Charles by late this evening and overnight. Headlines should come down Tue afternoon/evening. May need a SCA (again) by Wed morning (esp on the Ches Bay) for poss SW winds to 20 kt.

HYDROLOGY. As of 400 PM EST Monday .

A Flood Warning has been issued for Richmond-Westham as the gauge is forecast to hit minor flood around 3 AM tonight, with a forecast crest of 12.3ft Tuesday.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ633- 635>638. Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Tuesday for ANZ631-632-634. Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EST this evening for ANZ630- 650. Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ630. Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for ANZ652-654. Gale Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ652-654. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ656-658. Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ650.

SYNOPSIS . AJB/AJZ NEAR TERM . AJZ SHORT TERM . AJB/AJZ LONG TERM . JDM AVIATION . AJZ MARINE . JDM HYDROLOGY . AKQ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 18 mi96 min NW 2.9 50°F 1011 hPa46°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 25 mi48 min NNW 8.9 G 12 49°F 40°F1010.7 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 29 mi30 min NNW 12 G 14 45°F 40°F1010.5 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 30 mi48 min NW 8 G 8.9 50°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 30 mi48 min WNW 7 G 8.9 49°F 44°F1010.2 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 31 mi48 min NW 14 G 16 1010.8 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 34 mi48 min NNW 18 G 20
44072 35 mi36 min N 7.8 G 9.7 46°F
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 46 mi48 min N 12 G 14 44°F
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 47 mi48 min NW 8.9 G 15 49°F 40°F1010.2 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 47 mi48 min NW 1.9 G 8 48°F 49°F1010.1 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 48 mi48 min NW 12 G 16 54°F 1011 hPa
44087 49 mi40 min 43°F1 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 49 mi48 min NNW 11 G 18 48°F 45°F1010.3 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 49 mi114 min W 16 G 21 56°F 1008.4 hPa

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA13 mi11 minW 310.00 miFair49°F47°F90%1011.2 hPa
Tappahannock-Essex County Airport, VA22 mi11 minNNW 410.00 miFair50°F50°F98%1011.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFYJ

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3SW3CalmSW3SW5S4W9SW10N11
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1 day agoS3CalmS3CalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E4E8E6NE3E6E7E4E7E5E3S3Calm
2 days agoNE3NE3N4NE5E6E9E8E8E4N3CalmW6NW6CalmW4W5W5SW3SW4SW7SW8W8SW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Urbanna, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Urbanna
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Mon -- 12:54 AM EST     1.64 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:27 AM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:14 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:17 PM EST     1.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:00 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:49 PM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:52 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.61.51.20.80.3-0-0.2-0.20.10.511.41.61.61.310.50.1-0.2-0.2-0.10.30.9

Tide / Current Tables for Orchard Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Orchard Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:38 AM EST     1.64 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:36 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:09 AM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:13 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:01 PM EST     1.65 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:59 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:31 PM EST     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:52 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.61.41.10.70.2-0.1-0.2-0.20.20.71.11.51.71.51.30.80.40-0.2-0.200.51

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