Monday, August26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bob, VA

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 7:43PM Monday August 26, 2019 2:49 AM EDT (06:49 UTC) Moonrise 12:55AMMoonset 3:58PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 1245 Am Edt Mon Aug 26 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon...
Rest of tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Scattered showers.
Mon night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Scattered showers in the evening.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the evening.
Wed..SE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 1245 Am Edt Mon Aug 26 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A cold front will remain stalled well to our south through tonight. High pressure will become centered over new england early Monday through Tuesday, as low pressure is slow to lift northeast well off the carolina coast.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bob, VA
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location: 37.67, -75.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 260600
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
200 am edt Mon aug 26 2019

Synopsis
High pressure remains over new england through Tuesday as low
pressure is slow to lift northeast well off the carolina coast.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 900 pm edt Sunday...

an increasingly moist NE flow will result in widespread low and
mid level clouds after midnight into Monday morning. Shwrs are
currently confined to the ERN shore with high res data showing
this moisture moving west of the ches bay late but not quite to
the i95 corridor before 12z. Thus, pt to mstly cldy skies become
cldy to mstly cldy after midnite. Kept 20 pop just west of the
bay, 20-30 pop ivof the bay with 30-40 pop along the ERN shore.

Lows upr 50s WRN most zones to upr 60s sern coastal areas.

Short term 6 am this morning through Wednesday
As of 320 pm edt Sunday...

model preference continued to follow a wpc (gfs ecmwf) blend.

Models are slowly coming into better agreement with weak sfc
low NE off the ga north fl coast late tonight, with the system
sliding slowly NE well off the carolina coast through the day on
Tuesday.

Onshore flow increases a bit tomorrow, which allows for a
greater coverage of clouds and also a bit more in the way of
isolated to widely sct showers (especially east of i-95). Sfc
high stays parked over new england, with resultant E to NE low
level onshore flow lingering over the local area. Deeper
moisture looks to stay offshore, but will see a gradual increase
in dewpts and precipitable water values through midweek. Have
maintained mostly chance pops for both Tue wed, primarily due
to the moisture overrunning the wedging high rather than the sfc
low itself (as it will be well offshore).

At this time, given a farther offshore track, weak shear and
rather ragged appearance, trends are slightly less bullish
regarding further development in the short term. That said, we
will need to continue monitoring potential further tropical
development evolution with this system through midweek. Highs
will be mainly in the upper 70s lower 80s mon, and 80-85f tue,
with lows in the 60s Sun night Mon am and mid 60s to lower 70s
mon night Tue am. Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
As of 345 pm edt Sunday...

cold front will be moving off our coast early Thursday with sfc
high pressure building into the area. Pops were kept in (mainly
east of i-95) Thursday. Downslope flow will keep most of the
area dry through the extended forecast period. However, the
front stalls along the carolina coast, which may bring a few
showers to NE nc and va beach. Temperature won't drop too much
behind the front. High will be mainly in the low-mid 80 and lows
in the 60s inland to 70 near the ocean and bay thur-fri.

Temperatures then begin to climb once again ahead of another
cold front next weekend. Temperatures may reach the low 90s
along the i-95 corridor Saturday and Sunday. The beaches will be
slightly cooler with temperatures reaching the mid 80s. Chance
of showers and thunderstorms return for Sunday afternoon with
the font.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
As of 200 am edt Monday...

high pressure is anchored over NRN new england as 06z, with a
stationary front and low pressure off the southeast coast. This
is producing a nne NE wind of 6-12kt across the area. NE flow
will continue today with marine st sc expected to push onshore
withVFR CIGS of 4-5kft and occasional MVFR CIGS of 1.5-2.5kft.

Iso-sct showers are also expected to push inland through the
day. A NE wind of 12-15kt is expected along the coast with
occasional gusts to ~20kt. Remaining mostly cloudy tonight, with
some ifr CIGS possible inland mainly at ric, withVFR or MVFR
elsewhere.

A slight chc of showers will continue Tuesday, then there will
be a chc of showers tstms Wednesday aftn evening ahead of a cold
front. High pressure returns later in the week.

Marine
As of 410 pm edt Sunday...

late this aftn, sfc high pressure was centered over NRN new
england, with a frontal boundary well S and E off the coastal
carolinas. NE winds were 10-20 kt with gusts to 25 kt over the
marine waters. Waves were 1-3 ft, with seas 4-7 ft.

The high will remain over NRN new england tonight into early
tue, as an inverted trough develops along the dissipated frontal
boundary. Weak low pressure will lift NE well offshore along
this boundary late tonight into wed. This will result in strong
ne winds over most of the waters into Mon night, before
weakening and becoming NE or E late Mon night into early wed
morning.

Sca flags will continue into tonight for the lower james and the
currituck snd, thru Mon aftn evening for the ches bay, and thru
tue for the entire coastal waters. By Tue night and wed, the
wind will be ne-se less than 10 kt.

Equipment
As of 900 pm edt Sunday...

kdox radar has returned to normal operations.

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for anz634.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for
anz630>632.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt Tuesday for anz650-652-654-
656-658.

Synopsis... Mam
near term... Mpr mam
short term... Ajb mam
long term... Cp
aviation... Ajz
marine... Ajz tmg
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 7 mi50 min NNE 8 G 12 68°F 74°F1018.8 hPa (-1.0)
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 15 mi50 min 1020.1 hPa (-0.9)
44089 25 mi50 min 72°F7 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 36 mi56 min NE 6 G 8.9 73°F
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 40 mi56 min NE 14 G 18 68°F 76°F1020.6 hPa
44072 41 mi30 min ESE 14 G 18 72°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 41 mi50 min NE 15 G 18 72°F 1020 hPa (-0.6)
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 42 mi56 min ENE 11 G 15 70°F 76°F1020.4 hPa
CHBV2 47 mi56 min NE 12 G 14 70°F 1018.1 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 47 mi50 min NE 11 G 17 72°F 78°F1019.2 hPa (-0.6)
44087 48 mi50 min 77°F3 ft
44064 49 mi30 min ENE 12 G 16 71°F 1018.3 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA2 mi3.9 hrsNE 410.00 miRain67°F64°F93%1020.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFV

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE5N5N8NE7N7N6N7N6NE9E11
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2 days agoW6SW4W6W4SW4W5W8SW9W7W8NW6W3NW5W6W6N5N10
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Tide / Current Tables for Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Pungoteague Creek
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Mon -- 01:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:43 AM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:16 AM EDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:34 PM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:41 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:49 PM EDT     2.12 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.60.40.40.50.81.21.51.61.61.41.10.80.50.30.30.50.91.31.822.121.7

Tide / Current Tables for Chesconessex Creek, Schooner Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Chesconessex Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:00 AM EDT     0.73 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:37 AM EDT     1.97 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:51 PM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:41 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:10 PM EDT     2.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.10.80.70.81.11.41.71.921.81.51.20.80.60.50.711.522.42.52.42.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.