Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Southside Chesconessex, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 4:44PM Saturday December 14, 2019 11:36 PM EST (04:36 UTC) Moonrise 7:18PMMoonset 9:24AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 1008 Pm Est Sat Dec 14 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Overnight..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw late in the evening, then becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..E winds 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of rain after midnight.
Tue..SW winds 15 kt, becoming W late. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain.
Tue night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 foot in the afternoon.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 1008 Pm Est Sat Dec 14 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A weak trough will cross the waters tonight, with high pressure building in from the west on Sunday. Low pressure approaches from the west on Monday, with a cold front crossing the area waters late Tuesday into early Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southside Chesconessex, VA
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location: 37.72, -75.81     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 150236 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 936 PM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure rebuilds over the local area tonight through Sunday before the next system impacts the region late Monday and Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/. As of 915 PM EST Saturday .

A short wave trough is moving across the Mid-Atlantic early tonight, with a sfc trough moving off the coast. Dew points have fallen behind the trough, and will continue to do so as the sfc trough moves off the coast. W winds have increased this evening, with winds gusting to as high as 25 mph at times over Hampton Roads and eastern shore. Temperatures at 19z average from the low 50s NW to around 60/lower 60s across the SE. Low temperatures late tonight/early Sunday will generally range from the mid to upper 30s with lower 40s at the coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. As of 245 PM EST Saturday .

Weak high pressure builds across the southeastern United States on Sunday, with downslope flow aloft allowing for mostly sunny and dry conditions w/high temperatures in the 50s. Surface high pressure traverses the local area Sunday night, then moves well offshore on Monday. Meanwhile, a cold front will approach the region from the west during the day on Monday with chances for rain increasing over N/NW portions of the local area from late afternoon Monday into early Tuesday morning. Monday will generally feature warmer temperatures ahead of the approaching front, although increasing clouds and likely low stratus/fog Monday morning will prohibit max temps from reaching their full potential. Expect highs to range from the upper 40s to low 50s NW to the low to mid 60s across the SE. Non-diurnal temperature curve will likely result in rising/steadying temperatures Monday night from the lower 40s N to the low/mid 50s across the SE.

Front pushes across the region Tuesday through Tuesday evening. Categorical/likely Pops across the piedmont push east to the coastal plain by aftn, gradually tapering off from west to east late Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening. Drying out Tuesday night. Pending exact timing, temperatures will be a challenge across the north ahead of the front. For now will keep highs in the mid to upper 50s . with highs well into the 60s central and south on Tuesday.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 400 PM EST Saturday .

Cold front will be moving offshore Tuesday night with drying conditions and falling temperatures behind the front. Wednesday morning low temperatures will drop to the upper 20s west of I-95 and upper 30s along the coast. An upper level low pressure will track southeast out of Canada and across the Northeast US Wednesday. This will bring a reinforcing shot of colder air into the region. High temperatures Wednesday will range from near 40 across central VA and MD Eastern Shore to mid 40s across Hampton Roads and northeast NC. Low temperatures Thursday morning will be in the low 20s (upper 20s at the VA/NC beaches).

A cold high pressure system will settle across the region Thursday with high temperatures ranging from mid 30s north to mid 40 south. Friday will remain dry as well with slightly warmer temperatures as the sfc high pressure over the area begins to weaken, with high temperatures in the mid to upper 40s and low temperatures in the mid-upper 20s.

AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 900 PM EST Saturday .

CIGs have improved to VFR across the region. A mid-level cloud deck (5000-7000 ft) will remain over Delmarva until around 03z Sunday before moving offshore. VFR conditions are expected through 00Z Monday. Winds have become W-NW across the region and will become gusty through early evening before relaxing overnight. W winds will increase once again Sunday morning into Sunday afternoon.

OUTLOOK . The next chance of rain and degraded flight conditions comes on Tuesday. Visibilities then improve early on Wednesday through late week.

MARINE. As of 245 PM EST Saturday .

Frontal boundary is right along the coast early this afternoon. Winds are S/SW 15-20 kts with gusts up to 25 kts for the bay and the coastal waters, and 10-15 kts for the rivers. Waves in the bay are 2- 3 ft, and around 4 ft in the mouth of the bay. Seas are 5-8 ft in the coastal waters. As the front pushes offshore this evening, modest pressure rises behind the front will result in winds becoming a bit stronger this evening. Expect 15-25 kts with occasional gusts around 30 kts. Winds will remain gusty into Sunday as a weak surface trough swings through the area during the overnight hours. By late tonight waves in the bay will build to 3-4 ft with 5 ft at the mouth of the bay, and seas will continue 5-8 ft in the coastal waters. SCA for the lower James is in effect until 12Z Sunday. Currituck sound, the bay, and lower coastal waters until 18Z Sunday. Middle and northern coastal waters SCA was extended until 00Z Monday for lingering elevated seas.

Winds will gradually subside on Sunday as high pressure centered over the SE builds into the region. By Sunday evening S/SW winds in the bay will be 5-10 kts and 10-15 kts over the coastal waters. Expect waves in the bay to gradually subside to 1-2 ft and seas 2-4 ft. Next chance for SCA winds/seas will be on Tuesday ahead of a cold front that will cross the area waters late Tuesday into early Wednesday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Anomalies rose to 1.4-1.5 right before today's high tide cycle at Bishops Head and Cambridge, so a coastal flood statement was issued this afternoon for the bayside of the lower Maryland eastern shore as locations there will get right around minor flood stage at this afternoons high tide. The next high tide cycle early Sunday will be lower, and anomalies are expected to level off or drop slightly, so additional coastal flooding is not expected overnight.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Sunday for ANZ630>632-634- 656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Sunday for ANZ633. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Sunday for ANZ638. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Sunday for ANZ650-652-654.

SYNOPSIS . MAM NEAR TERM . CP/MAM SHORT TERM . AJB/MAM LONG TERM . CP AVIATION . MAM/CP MARINE . CMF TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 10 mi55 min WNW 4.1 G 11 49°F 49°F1003.5 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 17 mi49 min WNW 20 G 26 1004.9 hPa
44089 25 mi37 min 50°F5 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 26 mi73 min W 14 G 16 47°F1007.2 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 35 mi37 min W 9.7 G 12 46°F 46°F1004.4 hPa (+4.0)
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 37 mi61 min WNW 16 G 17 47°F 46°F1003.9 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 39 mi55 min WNW 18 G 23 48°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 40 mi55 min WNW 8.9 G 11 48°F 45°F1004.3 hPa
44072 43 mi37 min N 14 G 18 50°F 48°F2 ft
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 43 mi49 min WNW 15 G 18 50°F 1005.2 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 48 mi49 min WNW 11 G 13
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 49 mi55 min W 8.9 G 12 50°F 49°F1004.6 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA5 mi2.7 hrsno data10.00 miOvercast52°F47°F84%1001.4 hPa
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA24 mi43 minWNW 14 G 2210.00 miA Few Clouds46°F34°F63%1003 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFV

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
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2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Chesconessex Creek, Schooner Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Chesconessex Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:45 AM EST     1.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:55 AM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:23 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:07 PM EST     2.48 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:44 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:17 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:53 PM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.81.91.71.30.80.3-0.1-0.2-00.51.11.82.32.52.421.50.90.3-0-0.10.10.51.1

Tide / Current Tables for Watts Island, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Watts Island
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:02 AM EST     1.53 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:03 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:23 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:23 PM EST     1.96 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:45 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:18 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:01 PM EST     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.51.41.10.70.30-0.100.30.81.31.71.91.91.71.30.80.40-0.100.30.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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