Monday, June14, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Southside Chesconessex, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:36AMSunset 8:28PM Monday June 14, 2021 10:54 PM EDT (02:54 UTC) Moonrise 8:12AMMoonset 11:00PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 658 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W late. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers or a slight chance of tstms after midnight.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers early in the morning.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 658 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Tropical depression two has developed off the coastal carolinas and will move northeast out to sea through Tuesday. Meanwhile, a cold front approaches from the northwest and will cross the local waters overnight into Tuesday. High pressure builds in from the northwest late Wednesday through Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southside Chesconessex, VA
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location: 37.72, -75.81     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 150243 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1043 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. A frontal boundary will slowly cross the area tonight into early Tuesday afternoon. Also, an upper trough will persist across the Mid Atlantic region from tonight through Wednesday. High pressure builds across the area for the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. As of 1045 PM EDT Monday .

Svr tstrm watch thru 06Z for the lwr Md ern shore/Westmoreland and Northumberland, VA. This for the convective complex to the nw in which the strngst storms will likely move across the Delmarva brushing the lwr Md ern shore after midnite. Otw, latest high res data does show some residual development along the front as it sags south into the area later on. Thus, adjusted the grids a bit based on the latest data. Mstly clr then bcmg pt to mstly cldy. Lows in the mid 60s-lwr 70s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 250 PM EDT Monday .

With the low development along the front, it will take much of the day on Tuesday for the front to push offshore. As such, will need to maintain chance PoPs across the eastern part of the forecast area. Even then, with the upper troughiness across the area into Wednesday, as well as a secondary cold front moving through Wednesday, will need to maintain chance Pops on Wednesday as well. Not expecting much more than widely scattered showers/storms though so both Tuesday and Wednesday should be fairly pleasant days for most locations.

Seasonably warm temps on Tuesday with mid-upper 80s most locations. Dewpoints drop later Tue afternoon into Tuesday night behind the fropa which should allow lows to bottom out in the low to mid 60s. Highs Wednesday a little below normal in the low-mid 80s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 250 PM EDT Monday .

High pressure builds across the region for Thursday and Friday. This will allow for temps to gradually warm through Saturday, with most places in the low-mid 80s Thu and Friday increasing to the lower in lower 90s by Saturday. Very dry airmass in west to northwest flow aloft so unlikely to see any precip through Sat at the earliest. Ridging finally builds again as the surface high shifts offshore. This will allow for more summerlike conditions with chances for aftn/evening showers/storms Sun and Monday.

AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 745 PM EDT Monday .

VFR conditions to start off the period ahead of a cold front that will drop se across the area after midnite. Expect a BKN SC deck to dvlp with this bndry with some CIGS lowering into the MVFR range after 06Z. Carried a VCSH at SBY given the models depiction of the convective complex to the north. S-SE wind blo 10 kts shift to the north arnd 10 kts Tue along with VFR conditions.

Outlook . Additional convection is psbl along the coastal areas Tues and Wed aftrns due to a lingering upper trough overhead. Quiet conditions the rest of the work week.

MARINE. As of 355 PM EDT Monday .

Low pressure off Cape Hatteras has developed into Tropical Depression Two. Other than perhaps enhancing the swell/rip current threat (which is moderate) this will have no impact on the local waters as the system is moving NE and is already well offshore (see NHC forecast for specific details). This aftn, winds are mainly from the SE at 10-15kt and seas avg 3 ft with waves of 1-2 ft in the Bay. A cold front will approach from the NW this evening and will weaken while crossing the region late Tue morning. SSW winds shift to NNW post cold front. Wind probs keep very low prob for SCA winds behind the front through Tue but expect a few hrs with marginal gusts to 20kt in the southerly flow overnight and then in NNW winds later Tue morning. For now this looks to be too marginal and short- lived for SCA headlines. Conditions remain sub- SCA through late in the week then the potential for SCAs increase (late) Fri into Sat in increasing southerly flow ahead of the next system.

Due to avg ~3 ft breakers and swell period 8-10 seconds the rip risk is moderate for all beaches today and with the offshore system will extend the moderate risk through Tue as well.

HYDROLOGY. As of 745 PM EDT Monday .

Flood warning conts for the issued Chickahominy River near Providence Forge as the water level continues to rise. See FLSAKQ for details.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Moderate risk for rip currents extended for all beaches through Tue evening. Minor tidal flooding possible early Tue morning for the MD eastern shore adjacent to the Bay. Current TWL forecast has Bishops Head reaching into minor flood, but keeps other sites in the region below. Will allow next shift to determine need for a statement/advisory given that this is well after midnight.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . TMG/MRD NEAR TERM . MPR/MRD SHORT TERM . MRD LONG TERM . MRD AVIATION . MPR MARINE . ALB/LKB HYDROLOGY . TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 10 mi61 min S 11 G 16 74°F 80°F1009.1 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 17 mi61 min SSE 16 G 17 1009.1 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 26 mi49 min S 14 G 18 73°F 75°F3 ft1009.2 hPa
44089 26 mi59 min 70°F3 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 37 mi61 min S 18 G 20 77°F 79°F1007.5 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 39 mi61 min S 15 G 17 77°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 40 mi61 min S 11 G 13 76°F 78°F1007.7 hPa
44072 43 mi49 min S 14 G 14 75°F 75°F1 ft
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 43 mi61 min S 11 G 11 77°F
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 48 mi61 min S 12 G 15
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 49 mi61 min SSW 7 G 8.9 82°F 77°F1008.1 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA5 mi40 minSSE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy73°F68°F85%1009.1 hPa
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA24 mi61 minS 1110.00 miA Few Clouds73°F70°F90%1008.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFV

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4------SE5--SE3--S4----S7----S9S7S9S8S10S10S10S9SE6S7
1 day ago------CalmCalm--------E5E5E5E3E4E4----SE5SE9--SE10--CalmCalm
2 days ago--E9E9--NE8NE9--NE7NE9NE8
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Tide / Current Tables for Chesconessex Creek, Schooner Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Chesconessex Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:55 AM EDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:42 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:26 PM EDT     1.86 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:34 PM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.82.12.22.11.81.410.60.40.30.50.91.31.61.81.81.61.310.70.50.50.7

Tide / Current Tables for Watts Island, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Watts Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:11 AM EDT     1.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:12 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:50 AM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:42 PM EDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:42 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.41.61.81.71.51.20.80.50.20.20.30.60.91.21.41.51.31.10.80.50.30.30.4

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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