Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Deep Creek, VA
 | Sunrise 5:36 AM Sunset 8:29 PM Moonrise 10:28 PM Moonset 7:26 AM |
ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 115 Am Edt Sat Jun 14 2025
Rest of tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 15 kt in the morning. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of tstms. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun - E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night - E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Mon - SE winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 15 kt in the evening. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw with gusts up to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Wed - SW winds 10 kt with gusts up to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 115 Am Edt Sat Jun 14 2025
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers - A cold front has became nearly stationary across northern portions of the marine area today, before slowly dropping south Sunday into Monday.
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Deep Creek, VA
NEW! Add second zone forecast
| Chesconessex Creek Click for Map Sat -- 02:20 AM EDT 2.31 feet High Tide Sat -- 05:40 AM EDT Sunrise Sat -- 08:25 AM EDT Moonset Sat -- 09:08 AM EDT 0.25 feet Low Tide Sat -- 02:50 PM EDT 1.88 feet High Tide Sat -- 08:26 PM EDT Sunset Sat -- 08:57 PM EDT 0.36 feet Low Tide Sat -- 11:28 PM EDT Moonrise Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |
Chesconessex Creek, Schooner Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.7 |
| 1 am |
| 2.1 |
| 2 am |
| 2.3 |
| 3 am |
| 2.3 |
| 4 am |
| 2 |
| 5 am |
| 1.6 |
| 6 am |
| 1.2 |
| 7 am |
| 0.7 |
| 8 am |
| 0.4 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| 0.3 |
| 11 am |
| 0.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
| Pungoteague Creek Click for Map Sat -- 01:59 AM EDT 1.94 feet High Tide Sat -- 05:41 AM EDT Sunrise Sat -- 08:26 AM EDT Moonset Sat -- 08:51 AM EDT 0.13 feet Low Tide Sat -- 02:29 PM EDT 1.58 feet High Tide Sat -- 08:26 PM EDT Sunset Sat -- 08:40 PM EDT 0.19 feet Low Tide Sat -- 11:28 PM EDT Moonrise Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |
Pungoteague Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.5 |
| 1 am |
| 1.8 |
| 2 am |
| 1.9 |
| 3 am |
| 1.8 |
| 4 am |
| 1.6 |
| 5 am |
| 1.2 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.4 |
| 8 am |
| 0.2 |
| 9 am |
| 0.1 |
| 10 am |
| 0.3 |
| 11 am |
| 0.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.7 |
FXUS61 KAKQ 140542 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 142 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will remain nearly stationary across northern portions of the area through Saturday, before slowly dropping south Saturday night and Sunday. This pattern will keep unsettled conditions in place through the weekend. An upper level ridge expands northward next week, bringing hot weather with lower rain chances.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
As of 935 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- Flood Watch in effect for central and eastern VA tonight through Saturday night.
- A Flood Watch is now in effect from Saturday afternoon through Saturday night in SE VA to account for additional storms tomorrow.
Active weather this afternoon has continued through the evening, with numerous storms battering our northwestern counties with heavy rainfall. While a few of the storms today have been strong to even near severe, the main threat this evening has been hydro. Some areas in Louisa have received upwards of 2.5" and it is still raining.
These storms have developed along a stationary boundary that is draped across northern VA. The Wallops sounding sampled a PW of 1.82" and >1000 J/kg of ML CAPE with minimal inhibition which has been an ideal environment for convection to develop and maintain itself. This atmospheric moisture content is well above normal for this time of year and has aided in producing the widespread high rainfall rates within numerous showers and thunderstorms. Storms have been slow moving this evening, which has helped lead to isolated instances of flash-flooding across northern VA. We will continue to monitor the northwest counties over the next few hours for flash-flooding issues if these storms persist. A Flood Watch remains in effect for a good portion of central and eastern VA tonight. Temperatures outside of any rain-cooled areas remain in the mid to upper 70s and dew points are in the lower 70s, making for a muggier mid June evening.
Some CAMs suggest that convection will continue for the next few hours, with a reprieve tomorrow morning into the early afternoon.
This drier period will allow the atmosphere to recharge itself for another round of convection tomorrow afternoon. Temperatures during the day before storms start to develop will soar into the upper 80s, helping to refuel instability across the area. The aforementioned front is will start to drop south, which will be the main trigger for convection. High PW values will remain in place across the area, which will once again help with the development of widespread showers and thunderstorms likely starting early tomorrow afternoon.
Probabilistic guidance is suggesting there is a good chance for areas around the Richmond Metro through the Hampton Roads to receive 2"+ of rainfall through tomorrow night. An additional Flood Watch is in effect tomorrow for SE VA starting tomorrow afternoon due to this signal for robust rainfall totals through tomorrow night.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/
As of 345 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- Continued unsettled Sunday, especially S of I-64.
- Additional rounds of heavy rain could lead to additional Flash flooding.
The front is expected to linger in the southern portion of the area Sunday, keeping above normal PoPs throughout the area.
Current deterministic models show a moist airmass recovering across the area as PW values are ~2.00". Additional QPF values are 2-3" for much of the region through Sunday evening, though with the scattered tstms, locally higher amounts are likely. An additional Flood Watch may be needed Sunday for southern zones.
Highs Sunday will be much cooler N of the front, only low 70s eastern shore, with mid-upper 80s far south. A Marginal SVR risk is in place along and S of I-64, (mainly for wind) due to slightly stronger flow aloft, though a lot of uncertainty exists with respect to specifics on the location of the front. Still unsettled Monday, with high chc to likely Pops.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 345 PM EDT Friday...
Key Message:
- Shower/storm chances drop off to near climo, with temperatures trending back above normal by mid to late week.
The latest 12z/13 ensemble guidance from both the GFS and ECWMF are in decent agreement, depicting an upper level ridge along the SE US coast expanding back north into the local area, with some upper troughing lingering well off to our W and NW. This setup will lead to warming temperatures, with a rather hot stretch (and high humidity) likely Wed-Thu with highs peaking into the low- mid 90s Thursday. Thursday could see heat indices above 100F, possibly close to headlines in the SE (though this is several days out so confidence is not real high). PoPs drop off to only 20-40% chc Tue-Thu (highest inland). Friday will have somewhat higher PoPs as the next cold front moves in from the NW.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 140 AM EDT Saturday...
VFR to MVFR CIGs to begin the 06z/14 TAF period. Showers and embedded thunderstorms are diminishing for the rest of the overnight period. Still expecting deteriorating flying conditions early this morning, with CIGS to drop to MVFR to potentially IFR tonight at all terminals after 08-10z/4-6a this morning.
CIGs eventually recover to MVFR/low-end VFR by mid-morning into Sat afternoon, before showers and storms increase again in coverage and intensity tomorrow afternoon. Once again, there is uncertainty in the evolution of storms this afternoon, so have opted to include a PROB30 for -TSRA at all terminals to account for the the possibility of numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. The challenge will be exactly where storms develop and when, so details of become a little more clear and confidence increases, we will likely include TEMPOs to capture the convection later this morning.
Outlook: Scattered to numerous, mainly aftn/evening showers/tstms return again on Sun, bringing localized flight restrictions in heavy rain and gusty winds. Rain chances remain elevated above climo Monday, before dropping off by Tuesday.
MARINE
As of 330 PM EDT Friday...
Key Message:
- Relatively benign across the marine area into next week outside of convection.
A cold front will be nearly stationary across the Delmarva tonight and Saturday, before slowly dropping south Sat night and Sunday. Seas are between 2 to 3 ft, with 1-2 ft waves in the Bay. Southerly winds will average 10-15 kt this evening, the exception being over the northern coastal waters near the front where wind directions may become onshore awhile, before shifting back to the S. Any showers and thunderstorms will be handled with SMWs. As the front drops south Sat night, E-NE winds develop, gradually shifting south with time by later Sunday.
Seas are expected to build to ~3 ft (possibly 3-4 ft over the waters N of Parramore Island). The front washes out next week, with a more S/SW flow again by Tuesday, with sub-SCA conditions continuing.
Rip currents are expected to remain low for Saturday, then moderate N and low S for Sunday.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...Flood Watch through late tonight for VAZ048-060>062-064-068- 069-075>078-082>086-090-099-100-509>525.
Flood Watch from this afternoon through late tonight for VAZ067-080-081-088-089-092-093-095>098.
MARINE...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 142 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will remain nearly stationary across northern portions of the area through Saturday, before slowly dropping south Saturday night and Sunday. This pattern will keep unsettled conditions in place through the weekend. An upper level ridge expands northward next week, bringing hot weather with lower rain chances.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
As of 935 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- Flood Watch in effect for central and eastern VA tonight through Saturday night.
- A Flood Watch is now in effect from Saturday afternoon through Saturday night in SE VA to account for additional storms tomorrow.
Active weather this afternoon has continued through the evening, with numerous storms battering our northwestern counties with heavy rainfall. While a few of the storms today have been strong to even near severe, the main threat this evening has been hydro. Some areas in Louisa have received upwards of 2.5" and it is still raining.
These storms have developed along a stationary boundary that is draped across northern VA. The Wallops sounding sampled a PW of 1.82" and >1000 J/kg of ML CAPE with minimal inhibition which has been an ideal environment for convection to develop and maintain itself. This atmospheric moisture content is well above normal for this time of year and has aided in producing the widespread high rainfall rates within numerous showers and thunderstorms. Storms have been slow moving this evening, which has helped lead to isolated instances of flash-flooding across northern VA. We will continue to monitor the northwest counties over the next few hours for flash-flooding issues if these storms persist. A Flood Watch remains in effect for a good portion of central and eastern VA tonight. Temperatures outside of any rain-cooled areas remain in the mid to upper 70s and dew points are in the lower 70s, making for a muggier mid June evening.
Some CAMs suggest that convection will continue for the next few hours, with a reprieve tomorrow morning into the early afternoon.
This drier period will allow the atmosphere to recharge itself for another round of convection tomorrow afternoon. Temperatures during the day before storms start to develop will soar into the upper 80s, helping to refuel instability across the area. The aforementioned front is will start to drop south, which will be the main trigger for convection. High PW values will remain in place across the area, which will once again help with the development of widespread showers and thunderstorms likely starting early tomorrow afternoon.
Probabilistic guidance is suggesting there is a good chance for areas around the Richmond Metro through the Hampton Roads to receive 2"+ of rainfall through tomorrow night. An additional Flood Watch is in effect tomorrow for SE VA starting tomorrow afternoon due to this signal for robust rainfall totals through tomorrow night.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/
As of 345 PM EDT Friday...
Key Messages:
- Continued unsettled Sunday, especially S of I-64.
- Additional rounds of heavy rain could lead to additional Flash flooding.
The front is expected to linger in the southern portion of the area Sunday, keeping above normal PoPs throughout the area.
Current deterministic models show a moist airmass recovering across the area as PW values are ~2.00". Additional QPF values are 2-3" for much of the region through Sunday evening, though with the scattered tstms, locally higher amounts are likely. An additional Flood Watch may be needed Sunday for southern zones.
Highs Sunday will be much cooler N of the front, only low 70s eastern shore, with mid-upper 80s far south. A Marginal SVR risk is in place along and S of I-64, (mainly for wind) due to slightly stronger flow aloft, though a lot of uncertainty exists with respect to specifics on the location of the front. Still unsettled Monday, with high chc to likely Pops.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 345 PM EDT Friday...
Key Message:
- Shower/storm chances drop off to near climo, with temperatures trending back above normal by mid to late week.
The latest 12z/13 ensemble guidance from both the GFS and ECWMF are in decent agreement, depicting an upper level ridge along the SE US coast expanding back north into the local area, with some upper troughing lingering well off to our W and NW. This setup will lead to warming temperatures, with a rather hot stretch (and high humidity) likely Wed-Thu with highs peaking into the low- mid 90s Thursday. Thursday could see heat indices above 100F, possibly close to headlines in the SE (though this is several days out so confidence is not real high). PoPs drop off to only 20-40% chc Tue-Thu (highest inland). Friday will have somewhat higher PoPs as the next cold front moves in from the NW.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 140 AM EDT Saturday...
VFR to MVFR CIGs to begin the 06z/14 TAF period. Showers and embedded thunderstorms are diminishing for the rest of the overnight period. Still expecting deteriorating flying conditions early this morning, with CIGS to drop to MVFR to potentially IFR tonight at all terminals after 08-10z/4-6a this morning.
CIGs eventually recover to MVFR/low-end VFR by mid-morning into Sat afternoon, before showers and storms increase again in coverage and intensity tomorrow afternoon. Once again, there is uncertainty in the evolution of storms this afternoon, so have opted to include a PROB30 for -TSRA at all terminals to account for the the possibility of numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. The challenge will be exactly where storms develop and when, so details of become a little more clear and confidence increases, we will likely include TEMPOs to capture the convection later this morning.
Outlook: Scattered to numerous, mainly aftn/evening showers/tstms return again on Sun, bringing localized flight restrictions in heavy rain and gusty winds. Rain chances remain elevated above climo Monday, before dropping off by Tuesday.
MARINE
As of 330 PM EDT Friday...
Key Message:
- Relatively benign across the marine area into next week outside of convection.
A cold front will be nearly stationary across the Delmarva tonight and Saturday, before slowly dropping south Sat night and Sunday. Seas are between 2 to 3 ft, with 1-2 ft waves in the Bay. Southerly winds will average 10-15 kt this evening, the exception being over the northern coastal waters near the front where wind directions may become onshore awhile, before shifting back to the S. Any showers and thunderstorms will be handled with SMWs. As the front drops south Sat night, E-NE winds develop, gradually shifting south with time by later Sunday.
Seas are expected to build to ~3 ft (possibly 3-4 ft over the waters N of Parramore Island). The front washes out next week, with a more S/SW flow again by Tuesday, with sub-SCA conditions continuing.
Rip currents are expected to remain low for Saturday, then moderate N and low S for Sunday.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...Flood Watch through late tonight for VAZ048-060>062-064-068- 069-075>078-082>086-090-099-100-509>525.
Flood Watch from this afternoon through late tonight for VAZ067-080-081-088-089-092-093-095>098.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA | 11 mi | 53 min | WSW 4.1G | 75°F | 82°F | 30.01 | ||
| RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA | 20 mi | 53 min | SSW 12G | 30.03 | ||||
| 44089 | 24 mi | 57 min | 72°F | 3 ft | ||||
| 44058 - Stingray Point, VA | 29 mi | 35 min | SW 7.8G | 75°F | 1 ft | |||
| 44042 - Potomac, MD | 35 mi | 35 min | SW 9.7G | 74°F | 77°F | 1 ft | ||
| BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD | 35 mi | 53 min | SW 8G | 76°F | 80°F | 30.01 | ||
| LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA | 40 mi | 53 min | SW 5.1G | 75°F | 80°F | 29.99 | ||
| KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA | 43 mi | 53 min | W 9.9G | 75°F | 77°F | 30.05 | ||
| 44072 | 47 mi | 35 min | SW 9.7G | 73°F | 77°F | 1 ft | ||
| PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD | 48 mi | 53 min | WSW 4.1G |
Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KMFV
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KMFV
Wind History Graph: MFV
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic
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