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Marine Weather and Tides Ozora, MO Version 3.4

NOTICE 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 6:19AM

Sunset 7:51PM

Monday August 19, 2019 8:48 AM CDT (13:48 UTC)

Moonrise 9:14PM

Moonset 8:57AM

Illumination 84%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ozora, MO

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Area Discussion for - St. Louis, MO

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Fxus63 klsx 191133 afdlsx area forecast discussion... Updated aviation national weather service saint louis mo 633 am cdt Mon aug 19 2019 Short term (through Tuesday) issued at 356 am cdt Mon aug 19 2019 a weak cold front over iowa is moving slowly south this morning... And may get as far as northeast missouri and west central illinois before stalling later today. There probably won't be much of a change in the sensible weather as the front moves south, other than a slow wind shift to the north or northwest and perhaps a slight drop in dew point temperature. Forecast soundings show quite a bit of instability building up today with a warm and moist boundary layer and 2m dew point temperatures in the mid 70s across much of the forecast area. The forecast dew point temperatures may be a little high as most current observations are in the upper 60s to low 70s... And yesterday afternoon's dew points were mainly in the low 70s as well. Additionally, forecast soundings are showing an inversion around 750mb across central, northeast and east central missouri as well as west central and parts of southwest illinois this afternoon. This inversion should keep a lid on convection today across much of the area... If the model soundings are correct. The inversion weakens the further south and southeast in missouri and illinois that you look, so I think that chance pops from southeast missouri and south central illinois fading to slight chance to the northwest remains a reasonable forecast today. The current forecast has afternoon highs ranging from the mid 80s in northeast missouri to the low 90s in southeast missouri and southwest illinois. The latest MOS guidance is a little warmer in northeast missouri and west central illinois so I think i'll tweak up there, but the the low 90s still look good further south. Attention turns to tonight and Tuesday. Any convection over the area this afternoon should dissipate during the early evening with the loss of diurnal heating. Short range guidance shows the low level jet re-focusing over eastern nebraska or western iowa overnight. Strong moisture convergence along with a shortwave moving into the midwest on northwest flow aloft ignite nocturnal convection. There is some disagreement in the guidance on exactly where and when the storms will fire, but both the GFS and NAM have 4000+ j kg MUCAPE over eastern nebraska and western illinois around 06z. 30-40kts of 0-3km and 0-6km shear along with the strong instability will promote a well-organized mcs. Models show a strong cold pool developing after 06z as the storms get organized, and forward propagating corfidi vectors are pointing to the southeast which would bring the MCS down into southern iowa northern missouri between 09-12z. The gfs, and the convection allowing models including the hrrr, NAM 4km, and arw nmm WRF are in pretty remarkable agreement on this scenario. These models all push the slowly decaying MCS southeast through our forecast area Tuesday morning into the early afternoon. The operational NAM is an outlier with the MCS moving east-southeast through iowa into illinois and then just clipping eastern missouri as it turns more southeastward during the day. Am leaning toward the model consensus for Tuesday as the more eastward solution of the NAM is not supported by the corfidi vectors. An MCS moving through the area on Tuesday could put the kibosh on the excessive heat potential for Tuesday afternoon depending on how fast it moves and how much convective debris it leaves behind. Will decrease temperatures slightly from previous forecast... Which may just barely keep heat index values below advisory criteria. Will therefore hold off issuing any heat

advisory this morning for Tuesday due to the uncertainty. Carney Long term (Wednesday through next Sunday) issued at 356 am cdt Mon aug 19 2019 medium range guidance shows the upper level pattern slowly amplifying for Wednesday through Friday. An upper level low digs in and deepens over southeast canada Wednesday which forces a surface cold front through the mid mississippi valley. Models are hinting at another MCS ahead of the front on Wednesday, and then more convection Wednesday night into Thursday as the front continues drifting south through missouri and illinois. The ECMWF is more aggressive in moving the front into the lower mississippi valley and eastern great plains, while the GFS hangs the front up over southern and western missouri. The GFS is therefore much wetter than the ecmwf as dry air from the high pressure system behind the front doesn't drive as far west southwest into the area. Given the uncertainty I kept an ensemble blend of chance slight chance pops in the forecast through the weekend. Temperatures should be more moderate on the "cool" side of the front though with highs mainly in the low to mid 80s and lows mainly in the 60s. Carney Aviation (for the 12z tafs through 12z Tuesday morning) issued at 601 am cdt Mon aug 19 2019 patchy fog is being reported across parts of the area this morning, primarily over northeast missouri and west central illinois. Satellite imagery is also hinting that there could be some fog over the eastern ozarks... But there aren't many observations down there to confirm. Fog should dissipate this morning leavingVFR flight conditions for most of the day. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are possible across much of the area which could briefly reduce visibility and produce gusty wind to 30-40kts. Storms should dissipate quickly after sunset.VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the evening with some patchy fog developing after 06z. Specifics for kstl: vfr flight conditions are expected to prevail at lambert through tonight. Widely scattered thunderstorms are possible in the vicinity of the airport this afternoon. If a storm happens to directly impact the terminal there could be some gusty winds to 30-40kts and reduced visibility. Storms should dissipate after sunset. Some guidance is showing that a line of thunderstorms will move into the stl metro area from the northwest between 14-16z Tuesday morning. Confidence isn't high enough at this point to mention more than showers in the taf.Carney Preliminary point temps pops Saint louis 93 76 93 77 30 20 40 20 quincy 89 73 89 74 20 10 50 30 columbia 91 73 92 72 20 5 50 30 jefferson city 93 73 93 72 20 10 40 20 salem 91 72 90 74 40 20 50 20 farmington 93 72 93 72 40 20 50 10 Lsx watches warnings advisories Mo... None. Il... None. Wfo lsx

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Farmington Airport, MO	20 mi	53 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Mostly Cloudy	74°F	72°F	94%	1017.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFAM

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Weather Map and Satellite Images

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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for St. Louis, MO (9,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Paducah, KY

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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.