Sunday, July12, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Tangier, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:47AMSunset 8:28PM Sunday July 12, 2020 6:11 PM EDT (22:11 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 12:01PM Illumination 50% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 310 Pm Edt Sun Jul 12 2020
Through 7 pm..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 5 kt, becoming S late. Waves 1 foot.
Wed..NE winds 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Thu..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 310 Pm Edt Sun Jul 12 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A weak cold front will approach the region tonight. High pressure moves offshore Monday. A weak cold front moves through the region later Monday night into Tuesday morning. High pressure returns later Tuesday into Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tangier, VA
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location: 37.84, -76.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 122027 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 427 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front will approach the region late tonight, then meanders over the area Monday before pushing offshore late Monday. Otherwise, high pressure will then rebuild and bring increasingly hot and humid conditions to the region through much of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 330 PM EDT Sunday .

Latest analysis showing a rather diffuse coastal trough lingering along the Carolina coast this aftn, and separates low to mid 60s dewpoints over the piedmont and I-95 corridor, even into western Tidewater . with 70s dewpoints across coastal NC. Will maintain a slight chance PoP for an isolated shower or storm into early evening, mainly along and east of Hwy 17. Meanwhile, to the west a weakening cool front approaches the local area. Associated mid-level shortwave trough has provided enough forcing for ascent to kick off some isolated to widely sct showers lifting NE across the Blue Ridge into northern VA. CAMs in good agreement that a few of these storms could push into our far western counties over the next 3-5 hours. Given warm/dry air aloft over central/NE tier of the CWA, have limited slight to low end chance PoP mainly along the Hwy 15 corridor in central VA, with any activity fizzling out after sunset. Aftn temps in the low to mid 90s inland, upper 80s to low 90s at the coast.

Shortwave trough and attendant weakening sfc cold front cross the area late this evening. Have maintained a 30-40% PoP overnight for some sct showers inland as the trough axis pushes across, but no severe wx issues are anticipated this aftn or this evening. Overnight lows in the 60s to low 70s.

Trough/sfc front slowly meanders across the area tomorrow morning before becoming hung up along the coast monday aftn. Chance PoP continues for sct showers in the morning. Lingering clouds will likely dampen sfc insolation a bit and hence limit instability to a small degree. That said, MLCAPE values AOA 1000 J/kg coincident with the boundary should be sufficient for numerous showers and storms in loosely-organized convection across the coastal plain. SPC has outlooked the entire area in a Marginal Day 2. Along the coast, this a few stronger storms are possible conditional on how much clearing we can attain ahead of the front across the SE. Farther inland, given drier air pushing in and DCAPE spiking in the afternoon, a stronger storm or two in the I-95 corridor is a possibility. However, concern for any severe potential would be higher in the coastal plain for tomorrow aftn and will highlight this area in the updated HWO. Remaining seasonably very warm with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 345 PM EDT Sunday .

Any remaining showers end Mon night as the cold front pushes offshore, setting the stage for a quieter day with only a slight chance for some showers/storms in the SE portion of the CWA Tue/Wed. A ridge builds in from the W Tues into Wed, resulting in highs increasing from the upper 80s to low 90s on Tues into the low to mid 90s on Wed. Lows Mon and Tues nights will range from the mid 60s in the NW to around 70F in the SE.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 345 PM EDT Sunday .

Low pressure passes well to our N Thursday. The trailing cold front should stall well to our W. However, diurnal heating and subsequent instability will still provide a chance for a few showers/storms in the western piedmont Thurs afternoon. The cold front moves into the region Fri and becomes nearly stationary, resulting in an increased chance for showers/storms Fri afternoon. The front dissipates as it slowly meanders E Fri night into Sat. Diurnal heating/instability once again provides a chance for showers/storms Sat afternoon. A shortwave moves through Sunday and will provide a ample forcing for more widespread showers/storms. Highs in the low to mid 90s. Lows will range from the upper 60s to low 70s on Wed night and from the low to mid 70s Thurs, Fri, Sat, and Sun nights.

AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 110 PM EDT Sunday .

Mainly VFR through the 18z TAF period with clear to partly sunny conditions expected. Slight chance of a SHRA/TSRA late this aftn at ECG but given expected low areal coverage, will keep any mention of precip out of the TAF at this time. Mid to high- level clouds will move into the area late tonight, with a chance of showers at RIC late tonight and into early Monday.

OUTLOOK . Mainly VFR conditions continue into the beginning of the week, with just scattered late day convection possible each day which may result in brief flight restrictions.

MARINE. As of 415 PM EDT Sunday .

No headlines in the short term tonight through Tue. A weak trough will approach the region late tonight, meanders over the area Mon before an actual cold front pushes through and offshore Mon night. E-S winds 10 kt or less early this evening, will become S then SW tonight into early Mon morning. The wind may briefly shift to the W behind the weak trough Mon morning, before becoming SSW during the day Mon ahead of the cold front. There is a low chc of tstms Mon aftn ahead of the cold front, but any tstms may produce some locally stronger wind gusts. The wind shifts to NNW around 10 kt late Mon night into Tue morning. High pressure then builds into the area later Tue into Wed. This area of high pressure slides offshore by Thu. Seas will range from 2-4 ft through the period, with waves 1-3 ft in the Bay.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MAM NEAR TERM . MAM SHORT TERM . CP/RMM LONG TERM . RMM AVIATION . MAM MARINE . AJZ/TMG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 17 mi71 min S 8 G 11 89°F 86°F1006.9 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 19 mi47 min S 9.7 G 9.7 86°F1011.5 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 24 mi71 min SSE 6 G 7 1008 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 26 mi71 min SSE 11 G 14
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 28 mi71 min S 8.9 G 12 88°F 90°F1007.1 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 33 mi71 min S 8 G 11 85°F 88°F1007.7 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 35 mi71 min SE 13 G 15 85°F 84°F1006.7 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 39 mi101 min SSW 1.9 92°F 1009 hPa67°F
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 40 mi89 min SSE 14 G 15 1007.5 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 41 mi77 min SE 8 G 8.9 84°F 1008.1 hPa
44072 44 mi51 min SSW 9.7 G 12 84°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 45 mi71 min E 6 G 8.9 86°F 82°F1007 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 48 mi71 min SSE 11 G 12 84°F

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD24 mi78 minVar 6 G 1410.00 miFair91°F66°F45%1006.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNUI

Wind History from NUI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4S5CalmW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4SW4SW3SW5SE4SE7SE8SE8SE86
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Tide / Current Tables for Great Wicomico River Light, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Great Wicomico River Light
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:48 AM EDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:11 PM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:25 PM EDT     1.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.30.40.60.80.910.90.80.60.40.20.20.20.30.50.81110.90.80.60.4

Tide / Current Tables for Glebe Point, Great Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Glebe Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:24 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:35 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:05 AM EDT     1.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:37 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:42 PM EDT     1.20 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.30.40.60.911.11.10.90.70.50.30.20.20.30.50.811.21.21.110.70.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.