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Marine Weather and Tides
Heathsville, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 6:20PM Saturday October 19, 2019 4:27 PM EDT (20:27 UTC) Moonrise 9:34PMMoonset 11:43AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 406 Pm Edt Sat Oct 19 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from Sunday morning through late Sunday night...
Through 7 pm..S winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Rain after midnight.
Sun..E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 20 to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft, building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun night..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 ft, subsiding to 2 ft late. Rain likely, mainly in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 406 Pm Edt Sat Oct 19 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure slowly slides offshore through tonight, with former tropical storm nestor's low center inland along the florida panhandle. NEstor is lacking tropical characteristics with no deep convection near the center and the majority of the stronger winds and precip well removed to the north and east of the center. The low will move inland of the southeast coast tonight then continue east-northeast and off the mid-atlantic coast late Sunday into Monday morning.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Heathsville CDP, VA
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location: 37.84, -76.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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Fxus61 kakq 192019
afdakq
area forecast discussion
national weather service wakefield va
419 pm edt Sat oct 19 2019

Synopsis
Post tropical cyclone nestor will track northeast across the
carolinas tonight and Sunday morning, then push off the delmarva
coast Sunday afternoon. A strong cold front will cross the area
Tuesday.

Near term through Sunday
As of 345 pm edt Saturday...

latest msas has high pressure moving off the mid atlantic coast
while the center of post tropical cyclone nestor was located across
sern ga. Models generally agree in moving the low NE across ERN sc
this eve then into the coastal plain of nc by 12z sun. The low then
tracks NE ivof the albemarle sound late Sun morning, exiting off the
coast and into the va capes Sun aftrn. This track will bring a
widespread rainfall across the entire area along with gusty winds
along the coast.

While the track in the models is similiar, the QPF forecast differs
on where the axis of heaviest pcpn falls. It will all depend on
where the best f-gen forcing bands set up. GFS sref has the heaviest
rainfall across the south east while the NAM canadian shift the
heaviest bands into the piedmont. Overall, looking at at 1-3
inch rainfall across the fa (highest se) but low confidence for
any flood watch ATTM given a quick moving system.

Look for clouds to lower thicken this eve with rain overspreading
the area south to north after midnite, lclly hvy rain psbl across
the south late. Pops arnd 100% except likely to low end cat pops
across the lwr md ERN shore after midnite. Lows in the 50s except
for some upr 40s ivof sby and near 60 ivof ecg. This systm will
result in a rather large temp gradient Sunday with a fairly strong
insitu-wedge setup across the piedmont. Temps go nowhere across
the nwrn zones (low-mid 50s) while readings jump into the lwr
70s across the SE on the warm side of the triple point low.

Given the track of the remnant tropical low, added slght chc
thunder sern most va zones and NE nc zones that border the
albemarle sound. Potential for a waterspout across NE nc as
well. Otw, pops at 100% for mdt to lclly hvy rainfall thru 18z
with the axis of heavier rain shifting east towards the coast in
the aftrn, becoming lighter and actually tapering off across
the west late as the systm pulls offshore.

Short term Sunday night through Tuesday
As of 345 pm edt Saturday...

any lingering rain will end along the coast Sun eve followed by pt
cldy skies overnite. Gusty winds continue along the coast. Lows mid
40s NW to mid 50s se.

We dry out Monday as a weak area of high pressure builds in. Expect
pt sunny skies along with diminishing winds. Highs 65-70.

Dry to start off Mon night but moisture increases ahead of an
apprchg cold front to the west after 06z. Will keep low chc pops
mainly west of the i95 corridor after midnite for now. Lows 55-60.

The cold front crosses the area tues. With the gom opened up,
ample moisture is progged to ride north along the bndry tues.

This results in yet anther round of moisture in the form of
shwrs. Will carry likely-high chc pops with the rain tapering
off late across the west as the front pushes offshore. Mild with
highs upr 60s nw-mid 70s se.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
As of 345 pm edt Saturday...

cold front will be moving off the coast by Tuesday night pushing out
most of the rain showers. High pressure will move in behind the
front an will remain overhead for the end of the week. Conditions
will remain dry with seasonable temperatures. High temperatures will
be in the upper 60s to near 70 and lows will be the 40s inland and
low 50s near the coast. Next chance of rain will come with a front
that may approach the area by late on Friday.

Aviation 20z Saturday through Thursday
As of 115 pm edt Saturday...

vfr conditions along with light winds to start off the forecast
period as high pressure moves off the coast. The remnant low of
tc nestor will move NE along the carolina coast Sun morn then
off the DELMARVA coast Sun aftrn. Expect lowering thickeningVFR
cigs this eve with widespread rain and MVFR CIGS overspreading
the area south to north after midnite tonite and continuing thru
the end of this forecast period. CIGS will likely lwr to ifr Sunday
over most of the area along with rain of varying intensities. Se
wind becomes NE and gusty to btwn 20-30 kts across va md while a
gusty south wind continues at ecg until the low passes by to the ne.

Outlook...

lwr CIGS rain and gusty winds (strongest along the coast) with
nestor will continue Sunday evening with slowly improving conditions
late Sunday night. Monday will be dry as high pressure briefly builds
in ahead of a cold front that is expected to cross the area Tuesday.

Scattered showers are expected ahead of the front which may result
in brief periods of subVFR conditions.

Marine
As of 345 pm edt Saturday...

afternoon surface analysis shows high pressure over the local area
with the post-tropical extratropical remnant center of nestor along
the florida panhandle. Most of the rain and stronger winds are
located across georgia, south carolina, and the lower fl
peninsula... Well to the east of the low center. Winds are generally
light and variable with the high overhead but are becoming
increasingly SE this afternoon into the evening. Waves in the bay
are around 1 ft and seas are 2 ft offshore.

12z models have come into better agreement regarding the track and
strength of the storm formerly known as nestor. Model consensus has
slowed the approach of the low by about 6 hours vs the 19.00z suite.

Conditions will deteriorate after midnight with SE winds increasing
into the 20-25 knot range in the southern bay and 20-30 across the
southern offshore waters by mid morning. The low is forecast to exit
the coast in the early afternoon with winds quickly turning to the
north over the bay and northeast north over the northern coastal
waters. Winds should briefly diminish over southern waters and veer
around to the nnw and increase again behind the departing low. There
is the potential of a brief period of gale force gusts across the
bay coastal waters Sun evening (driven by CAA on the back side of
the low). Seas build to 6-9 ft by late Sunday waves to ~4 ft (4-5 ft
at the lower bay mouth of the bay).

Have upgraded all gale watch headlines to gale warnings and made
minor adjustments to hazard start times to accommodate the slower
onset of stronger winds. All previous scas remain in place for the
rivers and northern bay.

Northerly winds quickly diminish below SCA thresholds all zones
Monday morning (although seas may remain elevated through at least
mon night). Winds remain below SCA thresholds through much of tue
before another cold front crosses the waters Tue evening-later tue
night.

Tides coastal flooding
As of 420 pm edt Saturday...

no coastal flooding is expected through tonight. However, water
levels are expected to rise as the remnant low of t.C. Nestor tracks
from SE nc to offshore of the va nc coast Sun aftn and night.

Guidance continues to show the potential for minor coastal flooding
across parts of the area by high tide on Sunday (best chances are in
areas adjacent to the lower ches bay james river).

Akq watches warnings advisories
Md... None.

Nc... None.

Va... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 6 am Sunday to midnight edt Sunday
night for anz635>637.

Gale warning from 4 am Sunday to midnight edt Sunday night for
anz632>634-656-658.

Small craft advisory from 6 am Sunday to 6 am edt Monday for
anz630-631-638.

Gale warning from 8 am Sunday to midnight edt Sunday night for
anz650-652-654.

Synopsis... Mpr
near term... Mpr
short term... Mpr
long term... Cp
aviation... Mpr
marine... Rhr
tides coastal flooding... Akq


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 12 mi64 min E 6 G 6 62°F 61°F1017.6 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 13 mi40 min SE 9.7 G 12 61°F 65°F1020.2 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 19 mi40 min S 9.7 G 12 65°F 65°F1022.4 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 23 mi58 min SE 7 G 8.9
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 27 mi58 min S 6 G 7 1019 hPa
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 31 mi64 min SSE 6 G 7 60°F 59°F1018.5 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 34 mi58 min ENE 5.1 G 8 61°F 66°F1017.5 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 35 mi58 min W 1 66°F 1019 hPa45°F
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 39 mi58 min SW 7 G 8.9 63°F 61°F1018.1 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 41 mi58 min ESE 7 G 8.9 63°F 1018.6 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 43 mi58 min ENE 8.9 G 9.9 63°F 67°F1017.6 hPa
44072 44 mi68 min S 5.8 G 7.8 63°F
44041 - Jamestown, VA 49 mi40 min 64°F 66°F1018.1 hPa
NCDV2 49 mi64 min WSW 4.1 G 6 64°F 1016.7 hPa

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD21 mi35 minESE 310.00 miFair66°F46°F50%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNUI

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Last 24hrW64CalmCalmNW3Calm3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4SE5SE6SW645E3
1 day ago--------------W11
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------W8W10------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Glebe Point, Great Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Glebe Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:18 AM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:32 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:43 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:41 PM EDT     1.53 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:37 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.60.91.11.31.21.10.90.60.40.30.30.40.711.31.51.51.41.210.70.50.3

Tide / Current Tables for Dividing Creek, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Dividing Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:40 AM EDT     1.11 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:36 AM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:03 PM EDT     1.34 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:41 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.70.91.11.110.80.60.40.30.20.40.60.81.11.31.31.31.10.90.60.40.30.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.