Thursday, December5, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Toronto, KS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 5:05PM Thursday December 5, 2019 2:38 PM CST (20:38 UTC) Moonrise 1:51PMMoonset 12:50AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Toronto, KS
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location: 37.87, -96     debug


Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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FXUS63 KICT 051744 AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 1144 AM CST Thu Dec 5 2019

SHORT TERM. (Today through Saturday night) Issued at 312 AM CST Thu Dec 5 2019

Benign weather conditions have continued overnight across central, south central, and southeast Kansas with weak southerly winds and mostly clear skies (with the exception of some high clouds in southeast Kansas as of early this morning). During the day today, a low pressure system currently situated over the Central Great Basin will continue to move towards Kansas. As has been the trend over the past several days, latest deterministic models provide even drier solutions than previously forecast regarding rain chances later today. At this point, have severely limited POPs to southeast Kansas and still think they may be rather generous given the limited moisture availability. Continue to think better rain chances will be further south in eastern Oklahoma or further east into southern Missouri, but it is possible that southern portions of the area into southeast Kansas may receive a light rain shower or two this evening and overnight tonight. As the previous discussion mentioned, however, impacts look rather limited.

The main change following this system will be a noticeable drop in temperatures as breezy northerly winds usher in colder air on Friday and bring temperatures back down to near or slightly below normal values. The strongest winds should be during the early morning hours on Friday on the back side of the system, and then should gradually diminish during the afternoon on Friday. A large surface ridge is forecast to slide across the northern Plains and into the Mississippi Valley on Friday, which will switch winds back around on the back side to blow out of the south overnight.

This weekend's forecast looks to remain dry with well-above normal temperatures, though it will be a bit breezy as the pressure gradient across the forecast area tightens during the afternoon and evening on Saturday. Once again with this forecast issuance, bumped up wind speeds over the initialization grids/model blends in order to better account for the gradient winds.

LONG TERM. (Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 312 AM CST Thu Dec 5 2019

To start the work week, another trough will swing across the central CONUS and there could be sufficient lift and moisture along a front to produce some precipitation in the area. However, at this time chances appear rather low and model disagreement continues. As previously discussed, the biggest change will be another drop in temperatures, which will return to near-normal or slightly below normal values through the first half of the work week as mostly dry conditions are expected Tuesday and Wednesday.

AVIATION. (For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon) Issued at 1144 AM CST Thu Dec 5 2019

Upper low over the central Rockies will move east-southeast across Kansas and Oklahoma during the evening and into the Ozarks late tonight. An increase in mid and high clouds can be expected this afternoon. A cold front is expected to make its way across the forecast area this evening, flipping winds around to the north and allowing some MVFR ceilings to overspread the area. North winds behind the front will be occasionally gusty through early Friday morning. The MVFR cigs are expected to improve by late Friday morning with VFR conditions possible by the end of the forecast valid period.

KED

FIRE WEATHER. Issued at 312 AM CST Thu Dec 5 2019

Fire weather concerns will remain minimal over the next few days. However, by Monday afternoon an increase in wind speeds may produce high to very high grassland fire danger. This is subject to change over the next few days as the wind forecast is refined, so stay tuned for further details in the coming days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Wichita-KICT 59 33 45 28 / 0 10 10 0 Hutchinson 58 31 43 27 / 0 10 10 0 Newton 58 31 43 27 / 0 10 10 0 ElDorado 59 33 43 28 / 0 20 10 0 Winfield-KWLD 62 35 45 28 / 0 20 10 0 Russell 56 29 42 28 / 0 10 10 0 Great Bend 56 29 42 27 / 0 10 10 0 Salina 59 30 42 28 / 0 10 10 0 McPherson 58 30 43 26 / 0 10 10 0 Coffeyville 64 37 47 28 / 0 30 10 0 Chanute 61 35 44 28 / 0 30 10 0 Iola 59 34 43 28 / 0 30 10 0 Parsons-KPPF 62 36 46 29 / 0 30 10 0

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SHORT TERM . TAV LONG TERM . TAV AVIATION . KED FIRE WEATHER . TAV


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Chanute, Chanute Martin Johnson Airport, KS31 mi46 minS 13 G 2010.00 miFair67°F37°F35%1009.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCNU

Wind History from CNU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3CalmSE3SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3S3CalmSE4E5E7SE6E4SE9SE7SE7SE10S17
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1 day agoNW9NW7CalmW3W3W4W5W4W5W6NW4NW4W4W5W5NW4W4CalmSW4W3W3W7SW10W6
2 days agoSW6SW4S4SE5S6S6S6S6S6S6S7S7S5S8S6SE5CalmCalmS6SW7W6NW5NW9NW9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wichita, KS (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Topeka, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.