Smith Island, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
L-36.com
Top   Marine   7-Day   NWS   Buoy   Airport   Tide   Map   GEOS   Radar   TAF  

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Smith Island, MD

June 23, 2024 1:47 AM EDT (05:47 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:38 AM   Sunset 8:31 PM
Moonrise 9:31 PM   Moonset 5:55 AM 
  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  News
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      HIDE   Help
ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 1259 Am Edt Sun Jun 23 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 4 am edt early this morning through late tonight - .

Rest of tonight - S winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Sun - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Sun night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Mon - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.

Mon night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.

Tue - N winds 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Wed night - S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Thu - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.

Thu night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

ANZ600 1259 Am Edt Sun Jun 23 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
high pressure remains offshore through Sunday. Low pressure passing well to the north of the region will push a weakening cold front through the area Sunday night into Monday morning. A southerly wind is expected to increase late Sunday afternoon through early Monday morning ahead of the approaching front.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Smith Island, MD
   Hourly   EDIT   Help   Map   HIDE
NEW! Add second zone forecast


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
      HIDE   Help   
NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KAKQ 230529 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 129 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure off slides further off the Mid Atlantic coast tonight into Sunday as a weak cold front approaches from the northwest. There is a small chance for rain Sunday evening into Monday, and again later next week, but most locations will remain dry. Hot temperatures return by the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 925 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Message:

- Remaining warm overnight with lows in the 70s, upper 70s to near 80 in urban centers and along the coast.

Early evening analysis reveals ~1024mb sfc high pressure now well offshore of the mid-Atlantic coast over Bermuda, with a weak surface trough extending from E PA SSW into the VA/NC piedmont. Aloft, upper level ridging centered over the southern plains into the mid-south covers much of the southern half of the CONUS, nudging into the lower mid-Atlantic region.

No major changes to the going forecast needed. Mainly clear for much of the overnight with some low stratus/patchy fog possible once again along the Albemarle Sound late tonight/early Sunday.
Lows tonight will not provide a ton of relief and only drop into the mid 70s inland and upper 70s to around 80 along the bay/ocean and over urban centers. Lows tonight may challenge record high minimum temperatures in spots. Please see the climate section below for more details.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 300 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- Another hot day on Sunday with maximum temperatures in the mid/upper 90s to around 100 F. Another round of Heat Advisories are in effect for much of hour area, with the exception of our NC counties, VA eastern shore and far SW piedmont counties.

- Isolated to widely scattered storms possible later Sunday through Monday afternoon.

- Drier and not quite as hot for Tuesday.

The core of the heat is expected to shift E/SE some for Sunday, though hot temps will remain over the entire forecast area.
High temperatures will be similar to today. Highs range from the mid to upper 90s for most of the area to around 100 F in the urban corridor within and surrounding Richmond. Clouds increase some later in the day across the NW so something to keep an eye on there. Guidance continues to advertise higher dew points Sunday due to strengthening southwesterly sfc flow. Soundings still show more moisture at and above the surface. This would lead to higher levels of humidity and thus heat indices in the afternoon. The current forecast has heat indices between 103 and 106 F, with the highest values focused around the Richmond Metro into eastern Virginia and including portions of the Maryland Eastern Shore. Wet bulb global temperatures (WBGT) in the upper 80s to around 90 suggest the potential for significant heat stress for those outdoors and especially those participating in strenuous activities. Heat Advisories are in effect for the same locations on Sunday as today, with the addition of the Maryland Eastern Shore. May need to add northeast NC into the the Advisory as well, but will let later shifts take a final look. We should have enough mixing across our SW counties to keep heat index values "only" around 100 F.
There again will not be much relief from the heat Sunday night with lows in the mid to upper 70s.

Isolated to widely scattered showers and storms are still a possibility Sunday afternoon and especially in the evening and overnight hours ahead of a weak cold front. Also expecting a weak sfc trough to set up east of the mountains. As is typically the case, the NAM is most aggressive regarding convective coverage and intensity. This could be related the model being slightly more amplified and having higher dew points. SPC continues the marginal risk for the northern third of the area. This makes sense as shear is higher with northern extent (though it only peaks at ~20 kt).
Overall, this suggests loosely organized storms capable of strong to marginally severe wind gusts given steep low-level lapse rates and high DCAPE. PoPs are 20-30% in the afternoon, increasing to 30-60% (highest N and NE) in the evening and early overnight period. Chance PoPs linger through most of the night with the boundary nearby.
Still, this does not look to be a widespread beneficial rainfall to alleviate the developing drought over the area, with only ~0.10- 0.20" of QPF in the forecast for portions of the area through Sunday night.

The front will be located across the SE Monday and have kept the trend going from previous forecasts with the best chances for showers and storms further SE. If current trends in the guidance continue, it may stay dry for most of the area, outside of far SE VA and NE NC. There will be ample instability along and ahead of the front so any storm again will be capable of producing strong to marginally severe wind gusts, in addition to frequent lightning and heavy rain. It also continues to look hot with high temps in the low- mid 90s. The highest dew points will reside across the SE VA and NE NC and heat indices of around 105 F are expected for those locations. The one caveat is storms could initiate as early as late morning or early afternoon in these areas given the moist/hot/unstable airmass, potentially preventing the high-end temp potential from being realized. Overnight lows in the mid-upper 60s inland and lower 70s closer to the coast.

Slightly cooler Tuesday with highs ranging from the mid to upper 80s along the coast to the lower 90s inland. It will feel noticeably less humid with dewpoints dipping back into the lower 60s and upper 50s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 300 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- The heat builds again midweek, with temperatures climbing back well into the 90s once again.

- Scattered showers and storms possible with a cold front Thursday.

- Flash drought conditions developing across most of the area.

The hot weather returns again for Wednesday and we again could be talking about temps nearing 100 F, though the latest NBM is a degree or two shy of triple digits. Heat indices increase to 100-105 F, but this is again dependent on the degree of BL mixing in the afternoon.
An isolated storm or two could also spill into our western counties.
By Wednesday night and Thursday, another cold front approaches from the NW and will continue chance PoPs for the area. Widespread rainfall is not expected with this feature and probabilities of such remain quite low through the extended period. Guidance is warmer in the late week period and most areas may stay in the lower 90s.

The upcoming dry conditions will only exacerbate the recent dry spell and it looks to set us up for what is considered a "flash drought". More information on this can be found on CPC's Probabilistic Hazards Outlook page at www.ncep.cpc.noaa.gov or drought.gov.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 130 AM EDT Sunday...

Prevailing VFR across area terminals looks to persist through the 06z TAF period. Only sky cover to deal with early this morning will be thin, high clouds. There is a low chance of brief MVFR CIGs or VSBY at ECG around sunrise, but confidence is too low for a prevailing group of this. SSW winds average 8-13 kt through ~12z, becoming gusty to ~20-25 kt by late morning and the afternoon. Gusty winds last into this evening and tonight.
Depending on any low- level inversions, cannot rule out some low-level wind shear tonight. There is also low chance for some isolated to widely scattered storms Sunday evening, with perhaps some better coverage of showers in the 06-12z timeframe Monday.

Outlook: Isolated to widely scattered chances for showers and storms return on Monday afternoon into Monday evening, mainly focused along coastal terminals with some localized sub- VFR conditions possible. Otherwise, prevailing VFR flying conditions are expected through early next week.

MARINE
As of 925 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- SCAs have been raised for the bay starting early Sunday morning for elevated southerly winds. SCAs start for the coastal waters, lower James, and Currituck Sound Sunday afternoon.

- Benign marine conditions expected for the early week period.

- Moderate Rip Current Risk continues through tomorrow.

Winds over the upper Bay and northern coastal waters are 15 to 20 kt this evening and may decrease briefly later tonight before increasing again by daybreak. This increase in winds this evening was expected and a couple of hours with gusts around 20kt in the bay will persist. Winds will increase during the early morning hours (before sunrise) as a weak front approaches.
SCAs have been raised for the bay starting at 4am for gusts up to 25kt. The front approaches the region Sunday and crosses local waters early Monday morning. Elevated S/SW winds are expected as the pressure gradient tightens between the front and high pressure offshore and the LLJ increases to 30-40kt. Winds will be 15-20kt (highest in N coastal waters) Sun morning through early afternoon. Through the rest of the afternoon and into the overnight hours, the rivers and bay will stay in the 15-20kt (gusts to 25kt) range, but winds over coastal waters pick up to 20-25kt (gusts around 30kt). SCAs for the coastal waters, lower James, and Currituck Sound will go into effect early Sunday afternoon. Will let the night shift evaluate the need for SCAs on the remaining river zones given marginal nature there.

Lighter winds are expected behind the front as they turn to the NW.
Winds will be around 10kt Monday with a sea breeze likely to form in the afternoon, especially at along the southern coast line (VA Beach and south). High pressure slides overhead Tuesday, which will lead to some variation in wind direction through the morning, but will generally be onshore (10kt or less) by the afternoon. May see another round of increased winds ahead of a front mid-week, but looks to be sub-SCA for now.

Seas are around 3ft this afternoon and will increase to 3-4ft later this evening. As winds increase Sunday evening, seas will increase to 5-6ft in northern waters and 4-5ft in southern. Seas diminish through the day Monday, falling back to 2-3ft by the evening. Waves are 1-2ft this afternoon. Waves will pick up to 2-3ft this evening and remain there through early Monday.

Rips: A moderate rip current risk will continue through Sunday.
Confidence is of moderate is higher for the northern beaches Sunday, but southerly flow and a longshore current may preclude a high risk.

CLIMATE
Record high temperatures for today, Saturday, June 22 w/actual highs:

- RIC: 101 (1933) (Actual high 99)
- ORF: 99 (1981) (97)
- SBY: 98 (1988) (96)
- ECG: 98 (1942) (93)

Record high minimum temperatures for Sunday, June 23:

- RIC: 76 (2010)
- ORF: 79 (2015)
- SBY: 75 (1925)
- ECG: 78 (2015)

Record high temperatures for Sunday, June 23:

- RIC: 101 (1988)
- ORF: 99 (2015)
- SBY: 99 (1988)
- ECG: 99 (2011)

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for MDZ021>024.
NC...None.
VA...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ048-061-062-064-068-069-075>078-080>086-088>090- 092-093-095>098-509>525.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for ANZ630>632-634.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EDT Monday for ANZ633-638.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EDT Monday for ANZ650-652-654-656-658.




Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       HIDE   Help
Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
44042 - Potomac, MD 12 mi42 minS 9.7G12 78°F 80°F1 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 15 mi54 minSSW 9.9G12 81°F 84°F29.93
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 22 mi48 minSW 7.8G12 80°F 79°F1 ft
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 24 mi54 minSW 9.9G12
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 26 mi54 minSSW 16G20 82°F 83°F29.93
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 26 mi54 minS 15G17 29.99
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 33 mi54 minSSW 9.9G12 81°F 81°F29.91
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 34 mi54 minSW 6G9.9 78°F 83°F29.94
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 37 mi54 minS 17G21 84°F 29.91
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 41 mi78 min0 80°F 29.9870°F
44072 47 mi42 minSSW 14G19 80°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 47 mi54 minSSW 7G12 83°F 82°F29.96
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 48 mi42 minSSW 12G19 79°F 79°F1 ft
44089 49 mi52 min 72°F3 ft
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 49 mi54 minS 6G8.9 80°F 80°F29.93


Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      HIDE   Help
toggle option: (graph/table)



Airport Reports
    EDIT      HIDE   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KNUI WEBSTER NOLF,MD 21 sm54 minS 0310 smClear81°F75°F84%29.91
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KNUI
   
NEW Forecast page for KNUI (use "back" to return)

Wind History graph: NUI
(wind in knots)
toggle option: (graph/table)


Tide / Current for Smith Point Light, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
   
EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   HIDE   Help
Smith Point Light
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:10 AM EDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 05:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:47 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:38 PM EDT     1.17 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:31 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Smith Point Light, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
1.4
1
am
1.5
2
am
1.4
3
am
1.2
4
am
0.9
5
am
0.6
6
am
0.3
7
am
0.1
8
am
0
9
am
0.2
10
am
0.4
11
am
0.7
12
pm
1
1
pm
1.1
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
1
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
0.5
6
pm
0.2
7
pm
0.1
8
pm
0.1
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
0.5
11
pm
0.9


Tide / Current for Glebe Point, Great Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
   EDIT      HIDE   Help
Glebe Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:56 AM EDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 05:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:49 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:24 PM EDT     1.17 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:33 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Glebe Point, Great Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
1.4
1
am
1.5
2
am
1.4
3
am
1.2
4
am
0.9
5
am
0.6
6
am
0.3
7
am
0.1
8
am
0
9
am
0.2
10
am
0.4
11
am
0.7
12
pm
1
1
pm
1.2
2
pm
1.1
3
pm
1
4
pm
0.7
5
pm
0.5
6
pm
0.2
7
pm
0.1
8
pm
0.1
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
0.5
11
pm
0.9


Weather Map
      HIDE   Help


GEOS Local Image of east us   
EDIT   HIDE



Dover AFB, DE,




NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE