Wednesday, April8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Jetmore, KS

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 8:11PM Wednesday April 8, 2020 9:21 AM CDT (14:21 UTC) Moonrise 8:09PMMoonset 6:54AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jetmore, KS
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location: 38.04, -100     debug


Area Discussion for - Dodge City, KS
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FXUS63 KDDC 080947 AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 447 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2020

. Updated Aviation .

SHORT TERM. (Wednesday through Thursday) Issued at 1200 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2020

Infrared satellite imagery reveals a clear sky across SW KS as of midnight. Light and variable winds currently will trend to light northerly at sunrise, with morning lows in the upper 40s and lower 50s.

Another wonderful spring day for Wednesday. Again expecting full sun and temperatures well above normal for early April. A northerly pressure gradient will establish during the midday and afternoon hours as a dry cold front oozes south through Kansas. Models have backed off somewhat on the progged pressure gradient, but still, expecting north winds of 20-30 mph to be common Wednesday afternoon with some higher gusts. These north winds will be accompanied by modest cool advection (850 mb temperatures cooling 5-6 C versus Tuesday). As such, today will be "cooler" than Tuesday's 80s, but still quite warm for early April, well into the 70s. Still expecting some lower 80s along the Oklahoma border.

North winds will diminish and trend NEly around sunset this evening, with a continued mostly clear sky. Sunrise temperatures Thursday morning mainly in the 30s.

Thursday will be noticeably cooler. 00z NAM progs 1023mb surface high near Syracuse at sunrise, to drift slowly across SW KS during the daylight hours, keeping winds light. Another 2-3 degrees of cooling at 850 mb, much poorer mixing, and an increase in midlayer clouds will hold afternoon max temperatures primarily in the lower 60s.

LONG TERM. (Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 219 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2020

South winds will return on Friday, in response to leeside troughing in eastern Colorado. Some models continue to depict some scattered rain showers Friday morning amid the developing warm air advection pattern. Afternoon temperatures not far from normal, in the 60s.

Closed low is expected to progress across Arizona and New Mexico Saturday, with the trough axis reaching the Texas panhandle/SW KS early Sunday. As such, forcing for ascent will increase by Saturday evening along with modest moisture return. Models continue to prog CAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg Saturday afternoon and evening, with scattered convection favoring the eastern zones. NBM pops were accepted for this expected activity. Afternoon temperatures will remain mild in the warm sector, in the upper 60s and lower 70s.

00z ECMWF tracks the closed midlevel cyclone across Oklahoma on Sunday, and once it passes, that will open the flood gates for an intense cold front to roar into SW KS. Current thinking is the intense cold front will arrive just after sunrise Sunday, with non- diurnally falling temperatures by afternoon. Afternoon temperatures in the 40s seem plausible, with intense north winds. NBM wind grids are not strong enough, and pressure gradients will easily support gusts in excess of 50 mph, especially given diurnal timing. Will need to monitor for high wind warning criteria.

Medium range models suggest some banded rain/snow is possible behind the cold front Sunday night/early Monday, and NBM pops mainly in the chance category were retained. Precipitation with this system does not appear impressive, and any snow amounts are expected to be light. The far greater impact will be a hard freeze Monday morning, based on brute cold air advection alone. Expecting 20s areawide sunrise Monday, with teens across the NW zones. North winds will still be strong Monday morning, driving wind chills to the single digits and teens. Even with sunshine, Monday afternoon temperatures will struggle into the lower to mid 40s. Canadian surface ridging will persist, allowing for another widespread freeze Tuesday morning.

AVIATION. (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning) Issued at 447 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2020

VFR/SKC will continue through this TAF cycle, with increasing mid layer clouds near the end of the TAF period. After 15z Wed, north winds will increase at all airports behind a dry cold front. Expect north wind gusts near 30 kts at all airports during the midday and afternoon hours. Winds will trend NEly and diminish to 10-12 kts around sunset.

FIRE WEATHER. Issued at 247 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2020

Unseasonably warm afternoon temperatures will continue Wednesday, with highs in the mid 70s north to lower 80s south. These temperatures will again push minimum relative humidity to near 15% across far southwest Kansas, ranging to near 25% across central Kansas. North winds will increase today with the passage of a dry cold front, with sustained north winds near 20 mph and gusts of 30-35 mph. The combination of low humidity and gusty north winds will result in an elevated risk of wildfire spread during the midday and afternoon hours Wednesday. Outdoor burning is discouraged.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DDC 78 38 61 34 / 0 0 0 10 GCK 76 35 60 34 / 0 0 0 10 EHA 77 39 64 39 / 0 0 0 10 LBL 79 37 63 36 / 0 0 0 10 HYS 77 37 57 31 / 0 0 0 0 P28 83 42 60 36 / 0 0 0 10

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.

SHORT TERM . Turner LONG TERM . Turner AVIATION . Turner FIRE WEATHER . Turner


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dodge City, Dodge City Regional Airport, KS18 mi29 minNNW 710.00 miFair59°F39°F48%1009.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KDDC

Wind History from DDC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN11N15NE16
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NE11E8SE7SE5SE7SE8SE8SE10S9S7S8S6NW17
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1 day ago--SW21
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2 days agoSE14S14S13S15S16S14S20
G27
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G27
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Dodge City, KS (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dodge City, KS
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.