St. George Island, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for St. George Island, MD

June 24, 2024 9:51 AM EDT (13:51 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:43 AM   Sunset 8:37 PM
Moonrise 10:12 PM   Moonset 7:08 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ537 Tidal Potomac From Cobb Island To Smith Point- 918 Am Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .

Rest of today - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Scattered showers and tstms late this morning.

Tonight - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt - . Becoming nw 5 to 10 kt late. Waves 3 ft - .subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.

Tue - NW winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.

Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.

Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers through the day.

Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming se after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 918 Am Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will briefly return to the waters through Tuesday before a cold front crosses Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure will return from the north Friday into Saturday. Small craft advisories may be needed Tuesday night through Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. George Island, MD
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 241056 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 656 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front slowly crosses the area today and there is a chance for showers or storms through this afternoon. Drier weather returns tonight into Tuesday, but humidity and temperatures increase yet again for Wednesday. Another cold front approaches the region later Wednesday into Thursday, bringing the next chance for showers and thunderstorms.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 650 AM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Not as hot today. Humidity levels will decrease through the day.

- Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop over far southeast VA and northeast NC late this morning into the afternoon.

997 mb low pressure is located over far northern New England this morning. The associated cold front extends SSW through the Mid- Atlantic and into the Carolinas. Locally, the front is located along our western CWA border. Elsewhere, scattered showers and embedded storms continue to occur over SE VA where a good amount of MUCAPE resides. Expect this activity to gradually subside over the next few hrs (before redevelopment occurs this aftn). An isolated storm or two is also possible on the MD Eastern Shore early this morning.

The front will progress SE through the area through this morning and will located over the far SE by the afternoon hours.
Despite the frontal passage, temps will still increase to hot levels, with temps in the upper 80s-lower 90s by the late morning and early afternoon. However, dew points will drop off considerably behind the front and it will feel much better across the Piedmont and N/NE portions of the area. Along and ahead of the front, moderate-strong instability is forecast to develop given the presence of a moist/hot airmass. CAMs show numerous storms developing by noon or 1 PM across far SE VA/NE NC, with storms progressing S through the rest of the afternoon. Will maintain the highest PoPs in these areas and have introduced categorical (80%)
PoPs in coastal NE NC and along the Albemarle Sound. While shear remains on the weak side (~20 kt), soundings show very steep low- level lapse rates, MLCAPE of 2000+ J/kg, and moderately high DCAPE.
This suggests the potential for damaging downburst winds and marginally severe hail. An isolated supercell could also develop given any favorable storm or boundary interaction. SPC has maintained the marginal risk for svr wx across NE NC. Otherwise, frequent lightning and heavy rain are expected in any storm. QPF will limited to those who see storms, but could reach 1-2"+ in spots per the 00z HRRR. The dry conditions of late should mitigate any widespread flash flooding concerns. Expect storms to be S of the area by the early evening (6-8 PM). Comfortable wx tonight with lower humidity and lows in the mid-upper 60s, with upper 50s or lower 60s possible in rural locations across interior NC and VA.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 330 AM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Remaining hot Tuesday, though humidity levels will be comfortable.

- Heat builds again Wednesday and heat indices may near or exceed 100 F again.

Plentiful sunshine and dry conditions are expected for Tuesday with high pressure over the area. While air temperatures will be in the lower 90s (upper 80s at the coast), dewpoints will only be in the 50s to lower 60s, making for a more comfortable day.

High pressure slides offshore by Tuesday night. Winds become southerly Tuesday night which will bring more humid air back into the region. Lows Tuesday night will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s. The hot and humid weather returns again for Wednesday with temperatures rising back into the mid to upper 90s for much of the area (possibly 100 in a few typically hotter spots). Heat indices increase to 100-105 F in the afternoon and Heat Advisories may be needed. Another cold front will approach from the N/NW late in the day. Guidance is trending more aggressive with shower and storm potential with this feature, especially in the later afternoon and evening. The highest coverage will tend to focus over northern and northeast portions of the area. A few storms could approach strong or severe levels given moderately strong instability and increasing wind fields aloft (best chance N). Shower/storm chances linger into the overnight period with temps generally in the lower 70s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 330 AM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Scattered showers and storms possible with a cold front later Wednesday and Thursday.

- Flash drought conditions developing across most of the area.

The front will drop S Wednesday night into Thursday, focusing the thunderstorm chances across southern VA and NE NC Thursday afternoon. Another period of stronger storms will be possible during the afternoon heating period, but lower shear and wind fields across the S suggest a lower threat. Per collaboration with neighboring offices to our S, have introduced likely PoPs in NE NC.
High temps Thursday generally in the upper 80s to around 90 F.
High pressure will situate N of the area behind the front Friday, shifting offshore by the weekend. An isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out Friday across NC or the far SW Piedmont, but most should stay dry and mostly sunny. Hot weather is expected for the weekend as an upper-level dome of high pressure (594+ dm)
expands across the S-central and SE CONUS. The ridge retreats W as a trough drops S of the Great Lakes later Sunday into Monday, bringing a cold front through the area. Scattered showers and storms are thus possible Sunday ahead of this front.

Unfortunately, generally low aerial coverage of rainfall through the extended period suggests continued dry conditions and potential drought development or expansion.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 650 AM EDT Monday...

Areas of convection continue over SE VA as of 11z. Expect this activity to move offshore shortly after 12z. Otherwise, an isolated shower or storm is possible at SBY this morning. SSW winds this morning will shift to the NW and then N behind a cold front today. Patchy MVFR CIGs are also possible this morning, but coverage is too patchy for prevailing MVFR in any TAF. Scattered to numerous showers and storms return late this morning into this afternoon, mainly focused along coastal terminals with some localized sub- VFR conditions possible. The best chance is at ORF and ECG, with a lower, but no-zero, chance at PHF. Have included a TEMPO at these terminals for TSRA. A few storms could be on the strong to severe side. Strong winds, heavy rain, and small hail are the primary concerns with any storm. SKC expected tonight with light winds.

Outlook: Prevailing VFR flying conditions are expected Monday night through midweek. The next chance for widely scattered showers and storms is Wed aftn.

MARINE
As of 330 AM EDT Monday...

- Small Craft Advisories end this morning for the Chesapeake Bay, lower James River, Currituck Sound, and the coastal Atlantic.

- Benign marine conditions expected tonight into Tuesday.

- Modest southerly flow returns midweek.

Low pressure is centered over northern New England early this morning, with a trailing and weakening cold front approaching the Mid-Atlantic coast from the NW. The wind remains SW 15-20kt with gusts to ~25kt for most of the marine area aside from the upper rivers. Seas range from 3-5ft S to 5-7ft N, with waves in the Ches.
Bay 2-4ft. SCAs have been extended to 7 AM for the Ches. Bay, lower James River, and Currituck Sound, and continue through 10 AM for the coastal Atlantic.

The cold front pushes offshore this morning into this evening as weak high pressure builds in from the N. Drier air arrives behind the front but not much cooler. The wind will shift to NW 10-15kt across the northern tier of the area later this morning. In vicinity of the coasts of SE VA/NE NC, the wind will initially be WSW early Monday, and then become light and locally variable in the aftn as the front stalls. By tonight, the wind becomes NNW 5-10kt for most of the marine area, and 10-15kt offshore N of Parramore Is. The front washes out in vicinity of the Carolina coastal plain Tuesday with very weak flow expected through early-mid aftn Tuesday. High pressure rebuilds offshore by the middle of the week with sub-SCA southerly flow returning, generally S to SSW 10-15kt with gusts up to 20kt and strongest late aftn and evening Tuesday and Wednesday.
Seas will mainly be 2-3ft tonight into Tuesday with 1-2ft waves in the Ches. Bay. Seas build to 3-4ft N midweek and waves in the Bay ~2ft with increasing southerly flow. Another weakening cold front pushes through the region Thursday into Thursday night. The wind shifts to NE then E late week and is expected to be at or below 15kt as of this forecast cycle.

CLIMATE
A record high min temp was set 78 was set at Richmond yesterday (6/23) and a record high max temp of 99 for the date was tied at Norfolk.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for ANZ630>634-638.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ650- 652-654-656-658.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 4 mi51 minNNW 9.9G15 82°F 81°F29.74
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 7 mi51 minNNW 17G19
44042 - Potomac, MD 9 mi45 minWNW 12G16 79°F 81°F1 ft
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 20 mi51 minWNW 8G12 82°F 78°F29.74
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 26 mi51 minWNW 7G9.9 80°F 29.74
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 27 mi51 minWNW 14G15 81°F 81°F29.73
NCDV2 34 mi51 minNW 1.9G5.1 81°F 82°F29.73
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 35 mi45 minWNW 7.8G9.7 79°F 80°F1 ft
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 36 mi45 minW 5.8G7.8 77°F 79°F
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 43 mi51 minNW 12G17 82°F 81°F29.73
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 43 mi51 minWSW 8G8.9 29.79
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 45 mi81 minWSW 2.9 80°F 29.7475°F


Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KNUI WEBSTER NOLF,MD 8 sm58 minNW 0710 smOvercast84°F70°F62%29.73
KNHK PATUXENT RIVER NAS/TRAPNELL FIELD/,MD 18 sm59 minWNW 1010 smMostly Cloudy84°F68°F58%29.73
KXSA TAPPAHANNOCKESSEX COUNTY,VA 24 sm16 minNNW 0610 smPartly Cloudy84°F68°F58%29.77
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Wind History graph: NUI
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Tide / Current for Lynch Point, Virginia
   
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Lynch Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:03 AM EDT     1.62 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:59 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:45 PM EDT     1.39 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:54 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Lynch Point, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.9
2
am
1.3
3
am
1.5
4
am
1.6
5
am
1.5
6
am
1.3
7
am
1
8
am
0.7
9
am
0.4
10
am
0.2
11
am
0.1
12
pm
0.2
1
pm
0.5
2
pm
0.8
3
pm
1.2
4
pm
1.4
5
pm
1.4
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
1
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
0.4
10
pm
0.3
11
pm
0.2


Tide / Current for Point Patience, 0.1 mile southwest of, Maryland Current
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Point Patience
Click for MapFlood direction 315 true
Ebb direction 145 true

Mon -- 01:15 AM EDT     0.67 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:12 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:21 AM EDT     -1.06 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 01:06 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:25 PM EDT     0.28 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:58 PM EDT     -0.49 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:21 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Point Patience, 0.1 mile southwest of, Maryland Current, knots
12
am
0.5
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.4
4
am
0.1
5
am
-0.3
6
am
-0.7
7
am
-0.9
8
am
-1.1
9
am
-1
10
am
-0.9
11
am
-0.6
12
pm
-0.3
1
pm
-0
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
0.3
4
pm
0.1
5
pm
-0.1
6
pm
-0.3
7
pm
-0.4
8
pm
-0.5
9
pm
-0.4
10
pm
-0.3
11
pm
-0.1


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