Tall Timbers, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tall Timbers, MD

June 16, 2024 7:11 AM EDT (11:11 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:41 AM   Sunset 8:35 PM
Moonrise 2:27 PM   Moonset 1:07 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ537 Tidal Potomac From Cobb Island To Smith Point- 555 Am Edt Sun Jun 16 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 2 pm edt this afternoon through late tonight - .

.small craft advisory in effect from Monday afternoon through late Monday night - .

Today - SW winds 5 kt - .becoming se this afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.

Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Mon - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Tue night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Thu - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

ANZ500 555 Am Edt Sun Jun 16 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure over new england will drift offshore through the week. A warm front over the tennessee river valley will lift northeastward across the mid-atlantic through Monday. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters each afternoon and evening through mid week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tall Timbers, MD
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 161050 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 650 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry with seasonable temperatures again today. A very warm and mainly dry pattern then looks to take hold for next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 245 AM EDT Sunday...

Key Messages:

- Warm today as ridging builds toward the Mid-Atlantic.

1022mb high pressure is noted over northern NY into Ontario with low pressure moving across the Dakotas. Aloft, troughing across the eastern Plains states gives way to ridging extending from the central Gulf Coast into the Southeast. Satellite and surface observations show clear skies and light/calm winds across the region.

Dry and warm again today with upper ridging lifting NE into the Carolinas by this afternoon. Afternoon high temperatures will be similar to yesterday, in the mid to upper 80s inland with onshore flow keeping temps near the coast in the low 80s. Forecast soundings continue to show drier air aloft mixing down to the surface this afternoon which will keep heat index values near the air temperature. Clear skies are expected tonight with temps in the low to mid 60s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
As of 245 AM EDT Sunday...

Key Messages:

- Warming trend continues Monday and Tuesday, but with manageable humidity levels.

Center of surface high pressure moves offshore on Monday but continues to ridge westward into the region which will maintain onshore (SSE) flow across the area. The anomalously strong upper heat ridge continues to build over the region. Latest guidance shows rising heights aloft but not quite to the level advertised 24 hours ago. Highs Monday will range from the mid 80s along the coast to around 90 degrees for inland areas. The warmest temps will likely occur from Richmond north and west. Overnight low temps fall into the mid to upper 60s.

H5 heights rise to ~596 dam Tuesday. A mostly sunny sky will result in highs a few degrees above the forecast values for Monday, generally in the low to perhaps mid 90s. Again, the warmest temps are forecast from the Richmond metro north. Afternoon dew points will remain in the 60s with relative higher values across the N and NW portions of the area, resulting in heat indices in the mid 90s.
The core of the upper ridge will lift north of the area Tuesday evening with low temps again in the mid 60s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 245 AM EDT Sunday...

Key Messages:

- Very warm and dry weather likely persists through next weekend.

Medium range period looks to continue an extended stretch of very warm and mainly dry conditions. The anomalously strong upper heat ridge continues to build as it drifts north along the eastern seaboard. This will maintain the atypical temperature pattern through midweek with slightly warmer highs to the north, as E-SE winds keep coastal areas into the Hampton Roads/N OBX area slightly cooler. H5 heights rise to ~598 dam Wed with high temps in the low 90s.

EPS/GEFS guidance does (very) slowly break down the heat ridge for the mid to late week period, as an inverted upper trough pushes ashore along the deep south from the western Atlantic, undercutting the core of the heat ridge aloft to our north. This will result in a continued very warm/dry late week period. High temps hold in the low/mid 90s through the week. However, as surface dew points are forecast to remain in the 60s, we don't appear likely to see heat indices in the triple digits through Thursday.

The hottest part of the week at this time actually looks to be Friday into next weekend, as high pressure slides offshore of the mid-Atlantic coast into the western Atlantic. A more typical summertime Bermuda Ridge pattern then allows heat to build Friday with highs into the mid 90s. EPS/GEFS probs and thickness schemes from both the ECMWF and GFS favoring more widespread mid to upper 90s and Max Heat Indices creeping into the upper 90s to low 100s on Saturday. Overnight lows stay in the 60s for most of the week but will average closer to 70 degrees heading into next weekend as low level moisture increases. A low chance for thunderstorms may materialize by next weekend, as a weak lee trough sets up Sat/Sun.

AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 650 AM EDT Sunday...

VFR conditions prevail through the 12z TAF period. Stubborn ground fog has been an issue early this morning at PHF and ECG but is expected to mix out very quickly by 12z. Winds are generally light and variable this morning, becoming SE 5-10 kt by mid morning. FEW to SCT cumulus (~5000 to 6000 ft) develop late this morning into the afternoon.

Outlook: Winds will average 10 kt or less with dry/VFR conditions and a mostly clear into early next week as high pressure gradually shifts off the coast.

MARINE
As of 245 AM EDT Sunday...

Key Messages:

- Prevailing sub-advisory conditions are expected through the remainder of the weekend and into the early and middle part of the week.

- Southeast winds will briefly gust to around 20 knots for a few hours Monday evening.

High pressure is centered over the northeast CONUS early this morning with light E-SE winds over the waters. Winds gradually become SE and increase to 10-15 kt by this aftn/evening (highest on the Ches Bay), before becoming S 10 kt tonight. Occasional gusts to 20 kt are possible on the bay (and perhaps the rivers) this evening.
The high will push offshore on Monday, and there will be a diurnal increase in SE winds (to around 15 kt) by the late aftn/evening. A 2- 4 hour period of 20 kt gusts is likely across the bay during the evening, with local wind probs showing a 35-60% chc of sustained 18 kt winds between 5-10 PM Monday. Winds become S 10-15 kt Mon night and are expected to remain generally diurnal (SE 10-15 kt in the afternoon/evening and S aob 10 kt at night) through the week as a ridge remains over the East Coast.

Waves and seas will remain 1-2 ft and 2-3 ft, respectively, through the middle of the week. The exception is a brief increase in waves to 2-3 ft late Mon afternoon into early Mon night as winds increase. There is a moderate rip current risk for the northern beaches today and Mon (low at VA Beach and Outer Banks Currituck).

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 5 mi53 minW 4.1G5.1
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 14 mi53 minWSW 2.9G4.1 68°F 79°F30.17
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 15 mi53 minSSW 1.9G2.9 69°F 77°F30.16
44042 - Potomac, MD 18 mi53 minW 7.8G7.8 70°F 77°F0 ft
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 22 mi53 minNW 1.9G2.9 71°F 30.16
NCDV2 25 mi53 minW 2.9G2.9 65°F 80°F30.15
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 30 mi47 minN 5.8G7.8 72°F 76°F0 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 32 mi53 minNW 1.9G1.9 73°F 77°F30.17
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 42 mi53 minSSE 1G2.9 71°F 78°F30.17
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 44 mi101 minWNW 1.9 58°F 30.1558°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 45 mi47 minW 3.9G5.8 73°F 77°F0 ft


Wind History for Piney Point, MD
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: NUI
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Tide / Current for Coles Point, Virginia
   
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Coles Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:33 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:57 AM EDT     1.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:14 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:19 PM EDT     2.03 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Coles Point, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
1.7
1
am
1.3
2
am
0.9
3
am
0.6
4
am
0.5
5
am
0.5
6
am
0.6
7
am
0.9
8
am
1.3
9
am
1.5
10
am
1.7
11
am
1.7
12
pm
1.6
1
pm
1.2
2
pm
0.8
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
0.4
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.9
8
pm
1.3
9
pm
1.7
10
pm
1.9
11
pm
2


Tide / Current for Point Patience, 0.1 mile southwest of, Maryland Current
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Point Patience
Click for MapFlood direction 315 true
Ebb direction 145 true

Sun -- 02:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 02:22 AM EDT     -0.63 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:41 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:56 AM EDT     0.20 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 09:42 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:49 PM EDT     -0.63 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:39 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:18 PM EDT     0.58 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:22 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Point Patience, 0.1 mile southwest of, Maryland Current, knots
12
am
-0.4
1
am
-0.5
2
am
-0.6
3
am
-0.6
4
am
-0.5
5
am
-0.3
6
am
-0.1
7
am
0.1
8
am
0.2
9
am
0.1
10
am
-0.1
11
am
-0.3
12
pm
-0.5
1
pm
-0.6
2
pm
-0.6
3
pm
-0.6
4
pm
-0.4
5
pm
-0.2
6
pm
0.1
7
pm
0.4
8
pm
0.6
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.4
11
pm
0.1


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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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