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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dames Quarter, MD

June 25, 2024 2:14 AM EDT (06:14 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:38 AM   Sunset 8:31 PM
Moonrise 10:42 PM   Moonset 8:20 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 433 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 2 am edt Tuesday - .

Rest of this afternoon - N winds 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Tonight - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt - . Diminishing to 5 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Tue - NW winds 5 kt - .becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.

Tue night - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Wed night - S winds 15 to 20 kt - .becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.

Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.

Fri - E winds 10 to 15 kt - .becoming se after midnight. Waves 1 ft.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 433 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will briefly return to the waters through Tuesday before a cold front crosses Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure will return from the north Friday into Saturday. Small craft advisories may be needed Tuesday night through Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dames Quarter, MD
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
854 FXUS61 KAKQ 250559 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 159 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
Drier weather returns tonight into tomorrow as high pressure builds into the region. Another cold front approaches the region later Wednesday and crosses the region Wednesday night into Thursday, bringing the next chance for showers and thunderstorms. High pressure builds north of the region for the later portion of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
As of 730 PM EDT Monday...

The latest analysis indicates sfc low pressure off the coast of Maine, with the trailing cold front extending SSW off the mid- Atlantic coast, then weakening in the vicinity of the VA-NC border. Winds remain light from the S or SE across NE NC, along with dew pts in the upper 60s to low-mid 70s, while areas over the northern 1/2 of the CWA have northerly winds of 10 to 20 mph with dew pts mainly in the lower 50s. A spotty light showers may linger in NE NC through sunset, but it will mainly be dry with diminishing cloud cover across the south (the sky is already mainly clear over the north). With the flow aloft from the NW, the front will continue to push south of the entire area, with light N-NE winds making it into NE NC overnight. Some patchy fog in the vicinity of the Dismal swamp will be possible from about 2am through sunrise but this will be shallow and localized.

Low temperatures fall back into the low to mid 60s away from the immediate coast, with upper 50s possible in the typically cooler rural spots of the piedmont, and upper 60s to lower 70s along the coast in SE VA/NE NC.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 300 PM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Remaining hot tomorrow, though humidity levels will be comfortable.

- Heat builds again Wednesday and heat indices may near or exceed 100 F again.

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms develop Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night, with a few storms potentially being strong or severe.

Plentiful sunshine and dry conditions are expected for tomorrow with high pressure over the area. While air temperatures will be in the lower 90s (upper 80s at the coast), dewpoints will only be in the 50s to lower 60s, making for a more comfortable day.

High pressure slides offshore by Tuesday night. Winds become southerly Tuesday night which will bring more humid air back into the region. Lows Tuesday night will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s. The hot and humid weather returns again for Wednesday with temperatures rising back into the mid to upper 90s for much of the area (possibly 100 in a few typically hotter spots). Heat indices increase to 100-105 F in the afternoon and Heat Advisories may be needed. Another cold front will approach from the N/NW late in the day. Guidance is trending more aggressive with shower and storm potential with this feature, especially in the later afternoon and evening. The highest coverage will tend to focus over northern and northeast portions of the area. A few storms could approach strong or severe levels given moderately strong instability and increasing wind fields aloft (best chance N). Colorado State machine learning probabilities also show an increased potential for severe weather on Wednesday, so this will be something we will need to watch as we start to get closer in time. For now, SPC only has northern portions of the area highlighted in a Day 3 Marginal Risk of severe weather, but would not be shocked to see this expanded with future updates. Shower/storm chances linger into the overnight period with temps generally in the lower 70s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 300 PM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Scattered showers and storms possible with a cold front Thursday.

- Flash drought conditions continuing across most of the area.

The front will drop S Wednesday night into Thursday, focusing the thunderstorm chances across southern VA and NE NC Thursday afternoon. Another period of stronger storms will be possible during the afternoon heating period, but lower shear and wind fields across the S suggest a lower threat. High temps Thursday generally in the upper 80s to around 90 F. High pressure will situate N of the area behind the front Friday, shifting offshore by the weekend. An isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out Friday across NC or the far SW Piedmont, but most should stay dry and mostly sunny. Hot weather is expected for the weekend as an upper-level dome of high pressure (594+ dm) expands across the S-central and SE CONUS. The ridge retreats W as a trough drops S of the Great Lakes later Sunday into Monday, bringing a cold front through the area. Scattered showers and storms are thus possible Sunday ahead of this front.

Unfortunately, generally low aerial coverage of rainfall through the extended period suggests continued dry conditions and potential drought development or expansion.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 200 AM EDT Tuesday...

High pressure is building into the region as of 06z. VFR with a calm to very light wind. VFR conditions are expected to prevail today into tonight as high pressure passes over the area and settles off the Southeast coast by later tonight. The only exception will be some brief shallow ground fog at ECG early this morning, but this should be short-lived as drier air filters in from the NW. The wind is expected to become SSW 5-10kt inland today, and SE 5-10kt along the coast. By tonight the wind is expected to become SSW 8-12kt.

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through Saturday. A weakening cold front will approach from the NW later Wednesday aftn and then will drop into the area Wednesday night bringing a 20-40% chc of showers/tstms. This front will be slow to push through southern VA and NC NE Thursday with a 30-50% chc of aftn/early evening showers/tstms. High pressure and dry conditions return Friday into Saturday.

MARINE
As of 300 PM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Sub-SCA marine conditions expected tonight into Tuesday.

- Modest southerly flow returns Tuesday evening into Wednesday ahead of the next cold front.

Low pressure is moving off the coast of Maine this afternoon with a trailing cold front extending well to the SW into coastal SE VA and NE NC. Winds behind the front are generally N or NW ~15 kt while areas to the south and east remain WSW 10-15 kt. Waves in the bay are around 1 foot with 1-2 ft near the mouth. Seas range from 3-4 ft N to 2-3 ft for the waters south of Ches Light.

The cold front pushes offshore into this evening as weak high pressure builds in from the N. Drier air arrives behind the front but not expecting much in the way of cold advection. By tonight, the wind becomes NNW 5-10kt for most of the marine area, and 10-15kt offshore N of Parramore Island. The front washes out in vicinity of the Carolina coastal plain Tuesday with very weak flow expected through early-mid aftn Tuesday. High pressure rebuilds offshore by the middle of the week with sub-SCA southerly flow returning, generally S to SSW 10-15kt with gusts up to 20kt and strongest late aftn and evening Tuesday and Wednesday. A brief period of SCA conditions is possible Tuesday evening in the Ches Bay, especially from New Point Comfort northward. Seas will mainly be 2-3ft tonight into Tuesday with 1-2ft waves in the Ches. Bay. Seas build to 3-4ft N midweek and waves in the Bay ~2ft with increasing southerly flow.
4-5 ft seas are possible for a brief period north of Parramore Island Wednesday afternoon and evening. Another weakening cold front pushes through the region Thursday into Thursday night. The wind shifts to NE then E late week and is expected to be at or below 15kt.

Low rip current risk is forecast for all beaches on Tuesday. A moderate rip risk is possible for the northern beaches on Wednesday as southerly flow and associated wind waves increase.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 9 mi56 minNW 4.1G5.1 75°F 80°F29.93
44042 - Potomac, MD 26 mi44 minNNW 5.8G5.8 75°F 78°F1 ft
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 28 mi56 minW 2.9G4.1 74°F 81°F29.93
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 31 mi56 minNW 7G8.9 76°F 29.93
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 32 mi56 minW 4.1G5.1 75°F 78°F29.93
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 34 mi56 minSW 2.9G4.1 74°F 82°F29.93
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 35 mi56 minN 4.1G5.1
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 38 mi38 minWNW 9.7G12 74°F 79°F
44089 42 mi48 min 63°F3 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 42 mi56 minW 1.9G1.9 67°F 80°F29.92
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 43 mi56 minNW 4.1G5.1 72°F 58°F29.86
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 46 mi56 minSE 4.1G5.1 29.98
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 47 mi38 minWNW 3.9G5.8 77°F 79°F1 ft


Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSBY SALISBURYOCEAN CITY WICOMICO RGNL,MD 22 sm20 minSSW 0310 smA Few Clouds63°F55°F77%29.93
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Wind History graph: SBY
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Tide / Current for Great Shoals Light, Monie Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
   
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Great Shoals Light
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Mon -- 04:13 AM EDT     2.80 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:03 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:43 PM EDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:57 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Great Shoals Light, Monie Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
1.3
2
am
2
3
am
2.5
4
am
2.8
5
am
2.7
6
am
2.4
7
am
1.8
8
am
1.2
9
am
0.6
10
am
0.1
11
am
-0
12
pm
0.1
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
1.2
3
pm
1.8
4
pm
2.2
5
pm
2.2
6
pm
2
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1.1
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0


Tide / Current for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
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Mon -- 02:32 AM EDT     0.86 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:10 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:09 AM EDT     -0.91 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 12:40 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:56 PM EDT     0.40 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:35 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:06 PM EDT     -0.94 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 11:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current, knots
12
am
0.3
1
am
0.6
2
am
0.8
3
am
0.8
4
am
0.7
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.1
7
am
-0.4
8
am
-0.7
9
am
-0.9
10
am
-0.8
11
am
-0.6
12
pm
-0.2
1
pm
0.1
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
0.4
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
0.1
6
pm
-0.1
7
pm
-0.5
8
pm
-0.8
9
pm
-0.9
10
pm
-0.8
11
pm
-0.5


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