Thursday, March4, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Chance, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 6:00PM Thursday March 4, 2021 7:11 PM EST (00:11 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:50AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 642 Pm Est Thu Mar 4 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday afternoon...
Tonight..NW winds 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
ANZ500 642 Pm Est Thu Mar 4 2021
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A cold front will continue to push south of the waters as canadian high pressure builds toward the region through Saturday. The high will settle overhead Saturday night into Sunday before shifting offshore early next week. Small craft advisories will likely be required Friday night through Saturday, and possibly Saturday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chance, MD
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location: 38.22, -76.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 042324 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 624 PM EST Thu Mar 4 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure slowly builds into the area through this weekend with dry weather continuing into next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. As of 615 PM EST Thursday .

Latest surface analysis shows the cold front that crossed the area earlier today continues to push well south of the area, and high pressure centered over Lake Superior is building into the area. A secondary CAA surge is expected late tonight and through the overnight. Gusty winds late tonight along the coast and over the Eastern Shore (15-25 mph gusts). Any remaining high cumulus clouds will dissipate early this evening with mostly clear skies expected overnight. Dew points will continue to fall overnight from the 20s down into the teens by early Friday morning as drier air continues to filter in from the N/NW. Low temps tonight will fall into the mid 20s N, upper 20s central, and low 30s in SE VA/NE NC.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 335 PM EST Thursday .

Mostly sunny, cooler, and dry Friday with highs in low 40s over the Eastern Shore, mid to upper 40s along the coast in eastern Va, and upper 40s to around 50F for the rest of the FA. Dewpoints will drop into the single digits in the afternoon with minimum RH values in the low to mid 20s over the Eastern Shore and along the coast and in the teens inland. Gusty NW winds in the afternoon with sustained winds 10 to 15 mph and gusts to 15-20 mph inland and 20-30 mph gusts along the coast and over the Eastern Shore. Fortunately, the ground and fire fuels remain moist, otherwise, this would be an increased fire danger day. Winds subside Fri night as high pressure continues to build to the west. Lows Fri night in the mid 20s N and upper 20s to around 30F S.

Dry weather will continue Sat and Sun with highs ranging from the low 50s SW to upper 40s NE (low to mid 40s over the Eastern Shore) Sat and from the upper 40s to around 50F SW to the low to mid 40s NE Sun. Lows Sat night in the mid to upper 20s. Gusty WNW winds 15-20 mph inland and along the coast and 20-25 mph over the Eastern Shore will once again return Sat afternoon.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 330 PM EST Thursday .

Mainly dry weather will continue from Saturday night through Wednesday night. The surface high continues to build toward the area before becoming centered just to our west Monday AM. Lows Sat/Sun nights will be in the mid/upper 20s in most areas, with highs Monday in the upper 40s to mid 50F.

A warming trend begins early next week as ridging aloft builds over the ern CONUS and the surface high becomes centered off the Carolina coast. This will result in SSW-SW low level flow across the FA. High temperatures will warm each day from the 50s on Monday to near 70 by Thursday. Low temperatures will warm each morning from the low 30s Tuesday morning to low 50s by Thursday morning. A cold front may try and approach the area from the north by Thursday. Although, almost all guidance keeps the rain showers and front to our north.

AVIATION /23Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 600 PM EST Thursday .

VFR conditions through the 00Z TAF period. NW winds at SBY/RIC. Light onshore flow continues at ORF/PHF/ECG but winds there should turn to the NW late tonight with expected CAA surge. NW winds overnight and through the remainder of the TAF period with gusts of 20-25 kts at SBY/PHF/ORF. Any remaining high cumulus early this evening will dissipate and then mainly clear skies expected overnight through the rest of the TAF period.

OUTLOOK . A prolonged period of generally benign weather is expected to continue into early next week as high pressure builds back over the area.

MARINE. As of 330 PM EST Thursday .

WNW winds 10-15 kt north and light onshore for central/southern waters will continue into the evening behind a cold front that has moved well south of the local area. A stronger period of CAA is expected this by this evening through Fri morning with NNW winds increasing to 15-25 kt with gusts of up to 30 kt. Waves heights reach 4-5 ft with 3-4 ft waves in the Bay. Winds/waves/seas diminish/subside Friday afternoon. SCAs will remain in place for the rivers until 10 am, most of the Bay and Currituck Sound until 1 pm and on the coastal waters until 4 pm.

Generally benign marine conditions then favored later Fri and over the upcoming weekend. Sfc high pressure rebuilds over the mid- Atlantic region . eventually pushing offshore late in the weekend into early next week while another weak area of sfc low pressure moves E-NE across the Gulf coast to the southeast coast. Looking to remain sub-SCA through this time frame . w/ with winds out of the N- NW Sun-Mon.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for ANZ635>638. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ631>634. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ630-650-652- 654-656-658.

SYNOPSIS . ERI/RMM NEAR TERM . CMF/RMM SHORT TERM . RMM LONG TERM . CP/ERI AVIATION . CMF/RMM MARINE . JDM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 0 mi71 min N 11 G 15 49°F 48°F1011.9 hPa (+1.1)
44042 - Potomac, MD 20 mi35 min NNW 18 G 19 49°F 41°F1012.7 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 22 mi71 min NNW 24 G 27 47°F 1012.8 hPa (+1.4)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 23 mi71 min NNW 15 G 19 49°F 42°F1012 hPa (+1.3)
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 25 mi71 min NNW 18 G 24 47°F 43°F1012.2 hPa (+1.4)
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 27 mi71 min NNW 8.9 G 14 49°F 44°F1012 hPa (+0.9)
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 27 mi71 min N 21 G 26
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 31 mi35 min NNW 19 G 23 44°F 40°F1013.5 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 46 mi71 min NNW 2.9 G 6 49°F 52°F1011.3 hPa (+0.5)
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 47 mi71 min N 13 G 15 1011.8 hPa (-0.0)

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD20 mi79 minNNW 21 G 2510.00 miA Few Clouds and Breezy50°F26°F39%1012 hPa
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD21 mi78 minVar 610.00 miFair54°F24°F31%1011.4 hPa
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD22 mi16 minNNW 20 G 2810.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy45°F21°F39%1013.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNHK

Wind History from NHK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmSW3SW4--W7W7W8NW6NW14
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1 day agoS4S7S5S4S3S7S8SW4SW4SW3SW6SW7SW8W7W8S7W3SE7E7E6W12W6SE6Calm
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NW10NE10NE84SE6SE6S6

Tide / Current Tables for Hooper Strait Light, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Hooper Strait Light
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:33 AM EST     1.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:31 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:49 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:07 PM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:57 PM EST     1.62 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:00 PM EST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.10.20.61.21.61.91.91.71.30.80.40.1-0.100.30.81.21.51.61.51.20.80.30

Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:08 AM EST     -0.51 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:00 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:21 AM EST     0.77 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:32 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:50 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:01 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:24 PM EST     -0.60 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:39 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:01 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:53 PM EST     0.33 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:26 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.5-0.5-0.3-00.30.60.80.70.60.30-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.20.10.30.30.30.1-0.1-0.3

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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